Huaneng Hydropower(600025) 申万宏源证券·2025-04-25 10:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huaneng Hydropower [2] Core Views - The company reported a strong Q1 performance with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by improved water conditions and new power station contributions [7] - The financial outlook remains positive with projected revenue and profit growth in the coming years, supported by ongoing projects and cost management strategies [6][7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 24,882 million, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1%, and for Q1 2025, revenue reached 5,385 million, reflecting a 21.8% increase [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to be 8,297 million, with a year-on-year increase of 8.6%, while Q1 2025 net profit was 1,508 million, up 41.6% [6] - Earnings per share for 2025 is estimated at 0.54, with a projected gross margin of 58.3% [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 12.1% for 2025 [6] Operational Highlights - The company experienced a 31.42% increase in electricity generation in Q1 2025, attributed to improved water storage and the commissioning of new power units [7] - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 was 222.57 yuan per megawatt-hour, showing a slight increase from the previous year [7] - Financial expenses have decreased, contributing positively to the company's profitability [7] Growth Potential - The company is actively expanding its renewable energy capacity, with significant projects underway in the Lancang River basin [7] - A planned capital increase of 60 billion yuan aims to support ongoing construction projects, ensuring future growth in installed capacity [7]