ZHENHUA(000733) 东方证券·2025-04-27 01:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 78.12 CNY [4]. Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure, but it is expected to improve as industry demand recovers [9]. - The company reported a revenue of 5.219 billion CNY in 2024, a decrease of 32.99%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 970 million CNY, down 63.83% [1][9]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 908 million CNY, down 10.45%, and a net profit of 59 million CNY, down 42.60% [1]. Financial Forecast and Investment Suggestions - Revenue growth rates have been adjusted downward due to industry demand and price control, with EPS for 2025 and 2026 revised to 2.52 CNY and 3.30 CNY respectively, and a new EPS for 2027 set at 4.08 CNY [2]. - The target price is based on a PE ratio of 31 times for comparable companies in 2025 [2]. Financial Information - The company’s revenue is projected to recover to 6.775 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 29.8% [3]. - The gross margin is expected to decline to 49.7% in 2024, down 9.65 percentage points, and further to 42.49% in Q1 2025, down 5.07 percentage points [9]. - The net profit margin is projected to improve gradually, reaching 22.3% by 2027 [3]. Company Overview - The company is positioned as a leading platform in military components, with significant growth potential through product diversification and industry chain extension [9]. - The company has been increasing inventory to meet order delivery requirements, indicating a recovery in industry demand [9].