BANK OF CHANGSHA(601577) 浙商证券·2025-04-27 05:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changsha Bank is "Buy" [6] Core Views - Changsha Bank's dividend payout ratio for 2024 is increased by 1.1 percentage points to 22.5%, with a current dividend yield of 4.47% [4] - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit both grew by 3.8% year-on-year, although the growth rate slowed compared to 2024 [2][5] - The bank's total assets increased by 14.1% year-on-year as of Q1 2025, indicating continued strong growth in scale [2] - The net interest margin decreased to 1.96% in Q1 2025, down 28 basis points from Q4 2024, primarily due to pressure on asset yields [2][3] - The non-performing loan ratio rose to 1.18% in Q1 2025, reflecting increased pressure on retail loans amid macroeconomic challenges [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 6,809 million yuan, a 3.8% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 2,173 million yuan, also up 3.8% [11] - The bank's total assets as of Q1 2025 were 1,211,242 million yuan, showing a 14.1% increase year-on-year [11] - The non-performing loan balance increased to 6,929 million yuan, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.18% [11] Profitability and Valuation - The forecasted net profit growth for Changsha Bank from 2025 to 2027 is 4.10%, 4.54%, and 5.28% respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 17.97, 19.57, and 21.27 yuan [5][12] - The target price is set at 11.68 yuan per share, indicating a potential upside of 24% based on a projected price-to-book ratio of 0.65 for 2025 [5] Asset Quality - The provision coverage ratio decreased to 310% in Q1 2025, down 3 percentage points from the previous quarter [11] - The attention loan ratio was 2.61% as of Q1 2025, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous quarter [11]