BANK OF CHANGSHA(601577) 国盛证券·2025-04-27 06:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changsha Bank is "Buy" [5] Core Views - Changsha Bank reported a revenue of 25.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.8 billion yuan, up 4.87% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the bank achieved a revenue of 6.8 billion yuan, a 3.78% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.2 billion yuan, up 3.81% year-on-year. The non-performing loan ratio and provision coverage ratio at the end of Q1 2025 were 1.18% and 309.82%, respectively, showing slight improvements [1][2][4] Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the growth rates for operating income and net profit attributable to shareholders were 3.78% and 3.81%, respectively, which were lower than the previous year's growth rates by 0.8 percentage points and 1.1 percentage points. The significant growth in non-interest income and cost savings are expected to positively contribute to performance [2] - Net interest income increased by 1.81% year-on-year, with a net interest margin of 2.11% for 2024, a decrease of 20 basis points compared to the previous year. The yield on interest-earning assets and loan yield for 2024 were 4.21% and 5.26%, respectively, both showing declines [2][3] - Fee and commission income saw a substantial increase of 53.08% year-on-year, attributed to a low comparative base from the previous year and the gradual reduction of policy impacts [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for Q1 2025 was 1.18%, with an increase of 1 basis point from the previous quarter. The increase in non-performing loans is primarily due to fluctuations in retail loan asset quality. The provision coverage ratio decreased by 3 percentage points [4] - The non-performing loan ratio for personal loans increased to 1.87%, reflecting heightened pressure in personal operating loans and credit cards, consistent with industry trends [4] Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, total assets and loans amounted to 1.21 trillion yuan and 587.9 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 14.13% and 12.56%. The net increase in loans for the quarter was 42.8 billion yuan, primarily driven by corporate loans [9] - Total deposits reached 750.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.98%, with a net increase of 27.7 billion yuan in personal deposits during the quarter [9] Financial Forecast - The bank is expected to achieve net profits of 8.216 billion yuan, 8.695 billion yuan, and 9.460 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 4.97%, 5.83%, and 8.80% [9][11]