Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown a revenue growth of 8.5% for the full year 2024, with a net profit increase of 13.4%. However, the growth rates for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 were below market expectations due to significant declines in sales of lower-tier products [7] - The company’s high-end product line, particularly the "洞藏" series, continues to grow rapidly, while the mid-to-low-end products are showing signs of fatigue [7] - The company is actively managing its cash flow and inventory to ensure healthy channel profits and turnover [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 6,771 million, projected to be 7,344 million in 2024, and 7,378 million in 2025, with a growth rate of 22.99%, 8.46%, and 0.46% respectively [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 2,282 million, expected to rise to 2,589 million in 2024 and 2,617 million in 2025, reflecting growth rates of 33.85%, 13.45%, and 1.06% respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 3.24 in 2024 and 3.27 in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 15.07 and 14.92 respectively [1] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is expected to increase significantly from 1,907 million in 2024 to 3,926 million in 2025 [12]
迎驾贡酒:2024年报及2025一季报点评中低档酒降速消化,洞藏势能保持积极-20250429