新凤鸣：盈利逐步改善，产能稳步扩张-20250516

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.29 CNY, based on a 19 times P/E ratio for 2025 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company's earnings are gradually improving, with a projected revenue of 66.615 billion CNY for 2025, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year, followed by growth in subsequent years [4][9]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with plans to increase PTA capacity to over 10 million tons by the end of 2025 and to add 65,000 tons of long fiber capacity [9]. - The long fiber market is expected to see continued recovery, driven by a slowdown in supply growth and an increase in demand, particularly from the textile sector [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2023: 61.469 billion CNY - 2024: 67.091 billion CNY - 2025: 66.615 billion CNY - 2026: 75.409 billion CNY - 2027: 82.129 billion CNY - Net Profit: - 2023: 1.086 billion CNY - 2024: 1.100 billion CNY - 2025: 1.380 billion CNY - 2026: 1.745 billion CNY - 2027: 2.285 billion CNY - Earnings Per Share: - 2023: 0.71 CNY - 2024: 0.72 CNY - 2025: 0.91 CNY - 2026: 1.14 CNY - 2027: 1.50 CNY [4][9][11]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of May 14, 2025, was 11.49 CNY, with a 52-week high of 16.1 CNY and a low of 9.53 CNY [5]. - The stock has shown a relative performance of 1.93% over the past month, indicating a positive trend compared to the market [6].