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2023年业绩点评:投资收益驱动增长,主营业务有望提振
00388HKEX(00388) 国泰君安·2024-03-03 16:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388) with a target price of HKD 430, corresponding to a 2024 PE of 41.6x [2][4]. Core Insights - The company's overall performance growth is driven by high investment returns, with significant contributions from investment income, which reached a historical high of HKD 49.59 billion in 2023, compared to HKD 13.56 billion in 2022. This investment income accounted for 175% of the total revenue growth in 2023 [4]. - The report anticipates that the company's main revenue will be boosted by favorable policies in the Hong Kong capital market and the expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to increased trading volumes and enhanced main business income [4]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company recorded revenues of HKD 205.2 billion and net profits of HKD 119.8 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 11% and 19%, respectively [4]. - Projections for 2024 to 2026 estimate revenues of HKD 222 billion, HKD 243 billion, and HKD 269 billion, with net profits of HKD 131 billion, HKD 147 billion, and HKD 166 billion, respectively [4][6]. - The company’s financial performance is expected to improve due to ongoing optimization of trading and listing mechanisms, as well as diversification of business operations [4].