Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8][26]. Core Insights - The company reported strong retail performance in Q1 2025, with main brand offline sales growth of 10-15%, children's clothing offline sales growth of 10-15%, and e-commerce sales growth of 35-40%, reflecting a robust market presence [6][8]. - The company is actively innovating its store formats, launching the "Super Product Store" concept, with plans to expand from 10 to 50-100 stores by 2025, enhancing customer shopping experience [8]. - The company maintains a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4.5-5 times, with a stable discount rate of around 30% in Q1 2025, indicating effective inventory management [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: - FY2023: 84.23 billion RMB - FY2024: 100.7 billion RMB (20% YoY growth) - FY2025E: 113.0 billion RMB (12% YoY growth) - FY2026E: 123.8 billion RMB (10% YoY growth) - FY2027E: 134.5 billion RMB (9% YoY growth) [7][17]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - FY2023: 9.6 billion RMB - FY2024: 11.5 billion RMB (20% YoY growth) - FY2025E: 13.0 billion RMB (13% YoY growth) - FY2026E: 14.5 billion RMB (12% YoY growth) - FY2027E: 15.8 billion RMB (9% YoY growth) [7][17]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve slightly from 41.1% in FY2023 to 41.9% in FY2027 [7][17]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has over 700 sales points in Europe and North America, with a focus on Southeast Asia and Belt and Road countries for future expansion, indicating a strategic approach to international markets [8]. - The management expresses confidence in achieving a sales growth of 10-15% in 2025, primarily driven by volume growth [8].

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月15日 优于大市 京东集团-SW（09618.HK） 2025Q1 前瞻：继续受益于国补以旧换新，新业务投入影响可 控 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 互联网·互联网Ⅱ |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 张伦可 | 0755-81982651 | zhanglunke@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980521120004 | | 证券分析师： | 王颖婕 | 0755-81983057 | wangyingjie1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980525020001 | | 证券分析师： | 张昊晨 | | zhanghaochen1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980525010001 | 事项： 京东集团即将发布 2025 年一季度财报。 国信互联网观点：1）收入端：预计 25Q1 收入同比+12%。其中京东零售/京东物流/新业务增速分别为 +13%/9%/5%。京东零售预计 25Q1 收入同比+14%，商品收 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月15日 阿里巴巴-W（09988.HK） 4QFY25 前瞻：淘天保持货币化率提升，云收入加速 优于大市 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 互联网·互联网Ⅱ |  | 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 张伦可 | 0755-81982651 | | zhanglunke@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980521120004 | | 证券分析师： | 张昊晨 | | | zhanghaochen1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980525010001 | 事项： 阿里巴巴即将发布 2025 财年第四季度财报。 国信互联网观点：1）整体：预计 4QFY25 收入同比+7%，经调整 EBITA 利润率 13%。其中淘天/国际数字 商业/云智能集团/本地生活/菜鸟/大文娱收入增速分别为 5%/27%/20%/12%/1%/7%，经调整 EBITA 利润率 同比+2pcts，主要反映出非淘天业务亏损持续性收窄。2）淘天集团：预计 FY25Q ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports (02020.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Anta Sports continues to show strong performance in Q1 2025, with FILA exceeding expectations and plans to acquire Jack Wolfskin to expand its outdoor segment [6][7] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue across its brands, with Anta, FILA, and others experiencing a revenue growth of 65-70% [6] - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is expected to enhance the company's outdoor portfolio and accelerate its global channel development [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are as follows: - 2023: 62,356 million - 2024: 70,826 million - 2025: 78,576 million - 2026: 86,693 million - 2027: 94,871 million - Year-over-year growth rates are projected at 16.2% for 2023, 13.6% for 2024, and declining to 9.4% by 2027 [8] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: 10,236 million - 2024: 15,596 million - 2025: 13,458 million - 2026: 14,991 million - 2027: 16,567 million - The projected P/E ratios are 16.6 for 2025, 14.9 for 2026, and 13.5 for 2027 [8]

事件 4 月 11 日，公司披露原保费收入情况，Q1 实现保费收入 80 亿元， 同比 12.3%；3 月当月保费收入 29 亿元，同比 15.1%。 预计众安 25 年归母净利润约 9 亿元（24 年净利润 6 亿），高弹性 增长。截至 4 月 14 日，公司 2025 年 PB 估值为 0.67X，处于历史 估值分位的 2%，建议关注底部配置机会，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 监管趋严；经济修复不及预期；行业竞争加剧；资本市场波动。 经营分析 保险业务：盈利持续优化。预计 Q1 保费较快增长由健康险、车险 保费高增带来，其中健康险由产品创新驱动，公司 2 月上市了覆 盖非标体的中高端医疗险众民保，发售仅十天全网保费即超过 1.4 亿元。全年来看，保险基本盘持续优化，25 年承保盈利预计实现 双位数增长：1）全年保费预期增速 10%以上，其中健康险和车险 是重要发力点，退运险将压缩，保证险将审慎发展。2）COR 预期 较 2024 年略有优化，来源于退运险的压缩、健康险费用率的降低、 以及保证险赔付改善。 银行业务：预计 25 年实现盈亏平衡。众安银行香港市场领先的虚 拟银行，25 年预计将实现盈亏平衡（2 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨名创优品（9896.HK） [Table_Title] 名创优品 2024 全年以及 Q4 点评：战略投入阶 段稀释利润率，IP 和出海拉动成长 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2024 年公司实现收入 169.9 亿元，同比增长 23%；归母净利润为 26.2 亿元，同比增长 16%， 经调整后净利润 27.2 亿元，同比增长 16%。2024Q4 公司实现收入 47.1 亿元，同比增长 23%， 归母净利润为 8.1 亿元，同比增长 27%，经调整净利润为 7.9 亿元，同比增长 20%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490514080004 SAC：S0490520080019 SAC：S0490524110002 SFC：BUV258 名创优品（9896.HK） cjzqdt11111 李锦 罗祎 秦意昂 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 名创优品 2024 2] 全年以及 Q4 点评：战略投入阶 段稀释利润率，IP 和出海拉动成长 [T ...

事件 4 月 11 日，公司披露原保费收入情况，Q1 实现保费收入 80 亿元， 同比 12.3%；3 月当月保费收入 29 亿元，同比 15.1%。 经营分析 保险业务：盈利持续优化。预计 Q1 保费较快增长由健康险、车险 保费高增带来，其中健康险由产品创新驱动，公司 2 月上市了覆 盖非标体的中高端医疗险众民保，发售仅十天全网保费即超过 1.4 亿元。全年来看，保险基本盘持续优化，25 年承保盈利预计实现 双位数增长：1）全年保费预期增速 10%以上，其中健康险和车险 是重要发力点，退运险将压缩，保证险将审慎发展。2）COR 预期 较 2024 年略有优化，来源于退运险的压缩、健康险费用率的降低、 以及保证险赔付改善。 银行业务：预计 25 年实现盈亏平衡。众安银行香港市场领先的虚 拟银行，25 年预计将实现盈亏平衡（24 年银行净亏损 2.32 亿港 元实现大幅减亏）。用户数量超 80 万人，是当前亚洲唯一同时提 供基金、美股及虚拟资产交易零售服务的持牌银行，业务布局趋 于完善投入减少叠加规模效应显现，预计 2025 年有望实现扭亏为 盈，长期增长潜力大。 科技业务：对内 AI 应用赋能核心业务且 25 ...

15 Apr 2025 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update PICC P&C (2328 HK) 1Q25 CoR outperformed PICC P&C reported a strong 1Q25 earnings alert, with net profit expected to surge 80%-100% YoY to RMB10.6bn-11.7bn, implying a QoQ upswing of 95.3%-117% vs 4Q24 (link). 1Q25 net profit represented more than one-third (33%-37%) of last year's total net profit, driven by 1) a largely improved CoR with reduced catastrophic claims in 1Q25; and 2) optimized asset allocation structure shifting ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][5][9] Core Views - In the first quarter of 2025, the company's main brand recorded a 10-15% growth in offline retail sales, while the children's clothing brand also saw a 10-15% increase. The e-commerce platform experienced a growth of 35-40% [3][4][6] - The company has successfully expanded its "super premium" stores to 10 locations, with a stable inventory-to-sales ratio of 4.5-5.0 and retail discounts around 30% [4][7] - The company is optimistic about its brand momentum, with a focus on launching competitive new products in the running and basketball shoe categories, and a brand revitalization plan showing initial positive results [5][9] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - The first quarter of 2025 saw a 10-15% growth in offline sales for both adult and children's clothing, with e-commerce growth at 35-40%, indicating a strong performance [3][4][6] Product Development - The company continues to innovate with monthly new product launches in core categories, including running shoes and basketball shoes, which have gained market attention [7][9] Channel Expansion - The expansion of "super premium" stores has reached 10 locations, with each store covering over 800 square meters and offering around 700 SKUs [7][9] Financial Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.63 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.1%, 12.2%, and 11.8% [5][10]

2025 年 04 月 14 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) | 研究所： | | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 陈梦竹 S0350521090003 | | | chenmz@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 张娟娟 S0350523110004 | | | zhangjj02@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 罗婉琦 S0350524050002 | | | luowq@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 业绩基本符合预期，新业务投入预计影响可控 ——京东集团-SW（9618.HK）2025Q1 业绩前 瞻 最近一年走势 | 相对恒生指数表现 | | | | | 2025/04/14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 京 东 | 集 | 团 | -8.3% | 12.2% | 38.8% | | -SW | | | | | | | 恒生指数 | | | -12.1% | 9.7% | 22.3% | | 市场数据 | 2025/0 ...