2026.3.2本周早盘 1周末重要新闻 ①伊朗遇袭，美以轰炸伊朗在首都及周边地区，伊朗最高领袖及多位军方高层遇害。 伊朗方面对美以也有回击。 ②美军此次针对哈梅内伊的斩首行动，代号"沉默圣城"，仅出动1架MQ-9B"海上卫士"无人机、1支8人特种部队先 遣队，核心作战力量是Claude 3Opus大模型+Palantir Foundry国防平台的AI组合，以及接入CE 2026.3.2本周早盘 1周末重要新闻 ①伊朗遇袭，美以轰炸伊朗在首都及周边地区，伊朗最高领袖及多位军方高层遇害。 伊朗方面对美以也有回击。 2本周节奏 ①首先有色原油化工农产品等大宗肯定会高开，但受美元走强，战争持续周期不长的预期影响，很可能变成兑现 点位，在车上的可做t，没上车的最好不要追高。 摩根连续吹高黄金，高盛看空铜，有色的朋友可以适当减仓。 ②石油石化的板块，强的那些个标的，洲际油气，山东墨龙肯定一字板，前排买不到的别上后排，紧盯下国际期 货，最好开盘看获利盘兑现完再考虑是否上车etf。 ③小金属和化工这里则是独立逻辑，和需求端有关，和涨价线有关，不是主跟的避险逻辑，尤其是最近走的最强 的钨，其次是锗，镓，磷化铟等，化工材料可以 ...

证券研究报告|行业点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 03 月 01 日 [Table_Title] 国产算力逻辑春节后全面夯实 [Table_Title2] 通信 [Table_Summary] 1、国产算力逻辑春节后全面夯实：Token 调用量首超 美国 + 芯片拐点验证 + 政策基建双轮驱动 春节后，国产算力逻辑进一步夯实，由 Token 数量暴增、国产芯 片业绩拐点使得算力全链条确定性提升。当前时点， 短期地缘冲 突（美以-伊朗升级）可能放大 risk-off 情绪，需警惕海外不确 定性对全球 AI 投资节奏的扰动，但在国内市场需求相对具有韧 性，国产模型的成本/生态提供较强对冲，国产算力全链条有望 在政策+成本双轮驱动下持续稳健提升。在视频、编程等核心领 域有望加速催化应用落地，同时国内相关算力需求有望拉动硬件 设备和算力租赁相关市场景气度，对于边缘端算力分发也有受 益。相关受益标的包括算力租赁和第三方数据中心厂商：光环新 网、数据港、润泽科技、协创数据、东阳光、大卫科技等；国产 芯片和昇腾生态相关厂商：寒武纪、海光信息、华胜天成等；海 外共振+国产推理放量受益的光联接相关：天孚通信、 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Nvidia's performance exceeded expectations, with Q4 FY2026 revenue reaching $68.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 73% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of approximately 19%. The data center business revenue was $62.3 billion, up 75% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, driven by the continuous release of Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra products [5][13] - DeepSeek, in collaboration with Tsinghua University and Peking University, introduced the DualPath system to address storage bandwidth bottlenecks in LLM inference, achieving an average throughput increase of 1.96 times [6][16] - The global AI industry is expected to resonate, with significant capital expenditure increases from major players like Google and Meta, indicating a robust growth trajectory for AI-related sectors [14][18] Summary by Sections Nvidia Performance - Nvidia's Q4 FY2026 revenue was $68.1 billion, with a 73% year-on-year growth and a 19% quarter-on-quarter growth. Data center revenue reached $62.3 billion, marking a 75% year-on-year increase and a 22% quarter-on-quarter increase. The growth was primarily due to the release of Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra products, with the Grace Blackwell system contributing approximately two-thirds of the data center revenue [5][13][14] DeepSeek Innovation - DeepSeek's DualPath system addresses the KV-Cache storage bottleneck in LLM inference, significantly improving online inference throughput by 1.96 times. This innovation is seen as a milestone in AI computing, enhancing hardware utilization and facilitating the commercial application of large models [6][16] AI Industry Outlook - The report highlights a strong outlook for the AI industry, with major companies like Google and Meta increasing their capital expenditures significantly. This trend is expected to support the growth of AI computing and related technologies [14][18] Communication Data Tracking - As of December 2025, China had 4.84 million 5G base stations, with 1.204 billion 5G mobile users, reflecting an 18.74% year-on-year growth. However, 5G mobile phone shipments decreased by 27.3% year-on-year [28][30][41]

Seedance2.0突破，AI视频竞争格局及产业链机遇 从产业中期视角而非春季躁动视角讨论问题： 2.0强在哪里？ #AI颠覆还是赋能？ 技术上多模态参考输入、生成可控性、长效一致性进步，产业落地上依托字节"创作-分发-变现-反哺迭代"的闭 环。 #竞争冲击其他AI视频吗？ 市场足够大+差异化定位，技术上模型榜单迭代快，国内性价比明显。 快手可灵3.0主打专业影 Seedance2.0突破，AI视频竞争格局及产业链机遇 从产业中期视角而非春季躁动视角讨论问题： 2.0强在哪里？ 技术上多模态参考输入、生成可控性、长效一致性进步，产业落地上依托字节"创作-分发-变现-反哺迭代"的闭 环。 #竞争冲击其他AI视频吗？ 市场足够大+差异化定位，技术上模型榜单迭代快，国内性价比明显。 快手可灵3.0主打专业影视创作者；Seedance2.0覆盖中小创作者。 根据Fal创始人，生成5秒4K视频的算力是让LLM处理10万次200TokenPrompt的10万倍。 利好AI云、芯片和服务器、存储、IDC、网络互联带宽等。 #投资分析意见。 改写内容产业生产函数，转向"基础创意+提示词工程+AI算力+数据燃料+分发算法"。 ...

数据显示，广发基金旗下1只基金位居奥飞数据十大流通股东。广发中证1000ETF（560010）三季度新 进十大流通股东，持有股数332.48万股，占流通股的比例为0.34%。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约428.9万 元。 2月27日，奥飞数据涨5.01%，截至发稿，报27.05元/股，成交21.18亿元，换手率8.22%，总市值266.49 亿元。 资料显示，广东奥飞数据科技股份有限公司位于广东省广州市南沙区庆沙路100号21层、22层，成立日 期2004年9月28日，上市日期2018年1月19日，公司主营业务涉及互联网数据中心(Internet Data Center,IDC)运营的互联网综合服务。主营业务收入构成为：IDC服务82.18%，其他互联网综合服务 17.82%。 从奥飞数据十大流通股东角度 广发中证1000ETF（560010）成立日期2022年7月28日，最新规模358.72亿。今年以来收益11.65%，同 类排名1375/5574；近一年收益31.41%，同类排名1875/4326；成立以来收益23.08%。 广发中证1000ETF（560010）基金经理为罗国庆。 截至发稿，罗国庆累计任职时 ...

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4147 | -0.01 | 0.34 | 1.58 | | 深证综指 | 2755 | 0.33 | 1.26 | 2.79 | | 风格指数 (％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.25 | 0.34 | 5.18 | | 中盘指数 | 0.41 | 1.02 | 22.14 | | 小盘指数 | 0.59 | 1.31 | 15.75 | | 涨幅居前 行业(％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 元件Ⅱ | 5.57 | 13.86 | 41.45 | | 其他电源设 | 3.9 | 6 | 28.64 | | 备Ⅱ 风电设备Ⅱ | 3.89 | 1.04 | 41.58 | | 通信服务 | 3.29 | 3.43 | -1.44 | | 特钢Ⅱ ...

投资加速背景下，基于盈亏平 衡框架的 IDC 企业信用特征 研究 联合资信 工商评级一部 |候珍珍 宁立杰 AI 算力需求爆发驱动 IDC 行业进入高增长与投资加速期，行业呈现 "东部核心+西部低成本"协同布局特征，政策端以"东数西算"与"双碳"目 标为核心，强化能耗、上架率等硬约束，提升行业准入门槛。上架率直接 决定收入规模与固定成本分摊效率，PUE 作为能耗核心指标，影响企业 变动成本，折旧政策通过财务调节影响盈亏平衡点位，上述核心因素共同 推动行业内企业信用水平分化。本文结合案例测算验证，高上架率（60% 以上）、低 PUE（1.3 以下）、现金流充足的头部企业信用水平高、投资风 险低，而相关指标表现不佳的中小企业信用风险需重点警惕。 www.lhratings.com 研究报告 1 一、IDC 行业概况及竞争格局 IDC 行业受益于 AI 算力需求爆发进入高增长周期，供给端投资持续加码，区域 布局呈现"东部核心+西部低成本"的协同格局。政策层面以"东数西算"和"双碳" 目标为核心，强化能耗、上架率等硬约束，提升行业准入门槛。市场竞争中，电信运 营商、第三方 IDC、云服务商凭借各自资源优势差异化竞争， ...

2026 年 02 月 26 日 ledi/229 相关研究 证券分析师 林起贤 A0230519060002 linqx@swsresearch.com 袁伟嘉 A0230519080013 yuanwj@swsresearch.com 任梦妮 A0230521100005 renmn@swsresearch.com 夏嘉励 A0230522090001 xiajl@swsresearch.com 赵航 A0230522100002 zhaohang@swsresearch.com 黄俊儒 A0230525070008 huangjr@swsresearch.com 李国盛 A0230521080003 ligs@swsresearch.com 研究反馈 张淇元 A0230124080001 zhangqy@swsresearch.com 联系人 张淇元 A0230124080001 zhangqy@swsresearch.com Seedance2.0 突破, Al 视频 格局及产业链机遇 ——GenAl 系列报告之 69 暨 Al 应用深度之四 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Insights - The communication sector saw a 2.35% increase in the 6th-7th week of 2026, ranking 6th among primary industries in the Yangtze River region; since the beginning of 2026, it has risen by 0.44%, ranking 27th [2][6] - Tower's silicon photonics revenue doubled, with a high demand for 1.6T, and capacity expansion plans have been adjusted with prepayments secured; silicon photonics modules continue to penetrate the market [2][10] - Vertiv's orders and backlog reached new highs, with a shipment-to-order ratio rising to 2.9 times [2][10] - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 has industry-leading generation availability, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro tops the charts, and Anthropic's annual revenue is growing rapidly at $14 billion [2][10] - OpenAI's cumulative computing expenditure is expected to exceed $600 billion by 2030, with an upward revision of revenue forecasts [2][10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 6th-7th week of 2026, the communication sector increased by 2.35%, ranking 6th among primary industries; since the start of 2026, it has risen by 0.44%, ranking 27th [2][6] - Among companies with a market capitalization above 8 billion, the top three gainers this week were Dawei Technology (+39.4%), Shengke Communication (+31.7%), and Shenling Environment (+29.6%); the top three decliners were Tongyu Communication (-11.7%), Dingtong Technology (-9.7%), and Xinke Mobile (-9.3%) [6] Company Highlights - **Tower**: In Q4 2025, revenue reached $440 million, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%, with GAAP net profit of $80 million, up 45.3%. The company expects silicon photonics revenue to reach $228 million in 2025, doubling from 2024, and has raised its capacity target from 3 times to over 5 times the Q4 2025 shipment [7] - **Vertiv**: In Q4 2025, revenue was $2.88 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, with GAAP net profit of $450 million, up 203.1%. The company reported a significant increase in organic orders, with a year-on-year growth of 252% [7] AI Model Developments - On February 12, ByteDance launched Seedance 2.0, achieving industry-leading performance in complex scenarios with a high generation availability rate [8] - Anthropic completed a $30 billion Series G financing round with a post-money valuation of $380 billion, reporting an annual revenue of approximately $14 billion [8] - On February 19, Google released Gemini 3.1 Pro, which ranked first in AI analysis, showing significant improvements in reasoning capabilities [8] Future Projections - OpenAI updated its financial outlook, projecting cumulative computing-related expenditures to exceed $600 billion by 2030, with training costs expected to rise significantly in 2025 and 2026 [9]

或由于英伟达亮眼财报，粉碎海外AI泡沫担忧，今日（2月26日）重点布局国产算力（IDC、服务器）、国产AI应用领域的大数据ETF华宝（516700）场内 涨幅盘中上探2.27%，现涨2%，上交所数据显示，该ETF此前3日连续吸金近900万元，反映资金看好大数据方向后市表现，逐步进场布局！ | 序号 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 | 两日图 | 申万一级行业 | 甲万二级行业 | 田方三级行业 | 总市值 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 润泽科技 | 18.56% | | 通信 | 通信服务 | 通信应用增值服务 | 1682 Z | 107.30亿 | | 2 | 奥飞数据 | 11.57% | | 通信 | 通信服务 | 通信应用增值服务 | 257亿 | 32.02亿 | | 3 | 云大励飞-U | 9.63% | | 计算机 | IT服务Ⅱ | IT服务Ⅲ | 334亿 | 14.97亿 | | 4 | 光环新网 | 7.16% | | 通信 | 通信服务 | 通信应用增值服务 | 299亿 | 28. ...