Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6] Core Viewpoints - Geopolitical premiums are rising, and the performance of strategic metals is expected to be promising. The ongoing risks from the Israel-Iran conflict are significant, and the safe-haven attributes of precious metals are likely to provide substantial support for their prices. In the industrial metals sector, there was a significant accumulation of copper and aluminum inventories during the Spring Festival. As downstream production resumes, the demand during the peak season will be tested, with a focus on the inventory reduction speed post-holiday, which will determine the strength of industrial product prices [3][9] Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - Geopolitical premiums are increasing, and strategic metals are expected to perform well. The recent military actions between the US and Israel against Iran have led to a halt in oil tanker movements in the Strait of Hormuz, which may elevate inflation expectations due to rising oil prices. The ongoing conflict poses uncontrollable risks, supporting precious metal prices. In the industrial metals sector, significant inventory accumulation during the Spring Festival will be tested as production resumes [9][13] 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 9.77%, ranking second among all industries [27][19]. Key stocks include Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988, Buy) [4] 3. Precious Metals - Precious metals are supported by rising geopolitical premiums. As of February 27, SHFE gold rose by 3.41% to 1,147.90 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 4.12% to 5,280.00 USD per ounce. The inventory levels for SHFE gold decreased slightly, while SPDR gold holdings increased by 726,000 ounces [14][30][57] 4. Copper - Copper prices increased by 3.53% to 103,920 CNY per ton on SHFE as of February 27. The supply side remains tight, with significant inventory accumulation during the Spring Festival. The focus is on the inventory reduction speed as production resumes [17][28][72] 5. Aluminum - Aluminum prices rose by 2.76% to 23,835 CNY per ton on SHFE. Supply concerns are heightened due to geopolitical tensions, which may support aluminum prices. The operating rate for aluminum processing has recovered, and inventory levels have increased significantly [16][87][83]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a significant increase of 9.77% in the week from February 23 to February 27, outperforming the overall market [14] - The geopolitical risks in the Middle East have escalated, driving up safe-haven demand for precious metals [4][48] - Industrial metals are expected to see price increases as the traditional peak season approaches in March and April, with macro funds returning to the market [29] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.98%, with the non-ferrous metals sector ranking second among 31 sectors, up 9.77% [14] - The small metals sector surged by 17.72%, while energy metals, new materials, precious metals, and industrial metals also saw increases of 9.32%, 9.26%, 8.32%, and 7.75% respectively [14] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: As of February 27, LME copper closed at $13,296 per ton, up 2.56% week-on-week, while SHFE copper was at ¥103,920 per ton, up 3.53% [33] - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum closed at $3,142 per ton, up 1.26%, and SHFE aluminum at ¥23,835 per ton, up 2.76% [37] - **Zinc**: LME zinc price was $3,308 per ton, down 2.20%, while SHFE zinc was ¥24,710 per ton, up 2.13% [41] - **Tin**: LME tin surged to $58,050 per ton, up 24.68%, and SHFE tin reached ¥453,240 per ton, up 24.04% [44] Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at $5,296.40 per ounce, up 3.24%, and SHFE gold at ¥1,147.90 per gram, up 1.93% [49] - The geopolitical tensions have led to a spike in gold prices, with a peak of $5,500 per ounce observed in the dark market [4][48] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Copper supply is tightening as domestic smelters are expected to undergo maintenance starting in March, while demand is supported by rigid replenishment needs post-Spring Festival [33] - Aluminum supply is affected by overseas production cuts, with a theoretical operating capacity of 44.32 million tons in China [39] - The overall demand for aluminum is expected to rise as downstream production resumes [39] Economic Indicators - The U.S. January PPI year-on-year was recorded at 2.9%, above the expected 2.6%, indicating rising inflation concerns [4][29] - The Chicago PMI for February was reported at 57.7, exceeding expectations, which may influence future monetary policy [29]

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 有色周报：地缘溢价抬升，战略金属表现 可期 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 核心观点：地缘溢价抬升，战略金属表现可期。伊以冲突爆发后，继续升温的不可控风 险仍然较大，避险属性预期对贵金属价格将形成明显支撑。工业金属方面，春节期间铜 铝库存大幅累积，随着下游进入复工复产，旺季需求成色将迎来检验，重点关注节后复 工的去库速度，将决定节后工业品价格强度。 投资标的： 相关标的：山东黄金(600547，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级)、中金黄金 (600489，未评级)、赤峰黄金(600988，买入)、紫金矿业(601899，买入)、洛阳钼业 (603993，未评级)、中国铝业(601600，未评级)、西部矿业(601168，未评级)、金诚 信(603979，未评级)。 风险提示 下游需求弱于预期、供给端大量释放、美联储降息进程不及预期等。 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 03 月 01 日 看好维持 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao [11]. Core Views - The geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are expected to boost the safe-haven appeal of precious metals like gold and silver [2]. - Despite inventory accumulation in copper, prices remain strong due to ongoing demand and strategic reserve considerations from both China and the US [3]. - The aluminum market is anticipated to experience price fluctuations as the consumption season approaches, supported by macroeconomic factors [4]. - Nickel prices are on an upward trend due to supply constraints and increased inquiries from steel mills [5]. - Tin prices are expected to remain strong amid renewed concerns over supply disruptions from Myanmar [8]. - Lithium prices are rising due to export bans from Zimbabwe, which may tighten supply in the coming months [9]. - Cobalt prices are showing strength as demand recovers with the resumption of production [10]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions are driving up demand for gold and silver as safe-haven assets, with specific companies recommended for investment [2]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Despite a significant increase in global copper inventories, prices remain resilient due to strategic reserve initiatives and expectations of domestic demand recovery [3]. - **Aluminum**: The market is expected to see price volatility as downstream production resumes post-holiday, with macroeconomic conditions remaining favorable [4]. - **Nickel**: Prices have increased by 4.7% to 141,560 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and demand from steel manufacturers [5]. - **Tin**: Prices are expected to experience strong fluctuations due to supply concerns stemming from Myanmar's political situation [8]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Prices have surged, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 174,000 CNY/ton, influenced by export restrictions from Zimbabwe [9]. - **Cobalt**: The price of cobalt has risen by 3.4% to 440,000 CNY/ton, supported by recovering demand as production resumes [10]. Key Companies - Recommended companies for investment include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao, among others, reflecting strong growth potential in the non-ferrous metals sector [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao [11]. Core Insights - The geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are driving increased demand for precious metals as a safe haven, suggesting a strong long-term investment value in this sector [2]. - Despite a significant increase in copper inventories, the price remains strong due to ongoing demand and strategic reserve initiatives from both China and the US [3]. - The aluminum market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations, but overall demand is anticipated to recover as downstream production resumes [4]. - Nickel prices are on an upward trend due to supply constraints and increased inquiries from steel mills, indicating a positive outlook for the nickel market [5]. - Tin prices are expected to remain strong due to ongoing supply concerns from Myanmar and cautious purchasing behavior from downstream enterprises [8]. - Lithium prices are rising sharply due to export bans from Zimbabwe, which may tighten supply in the coming months [9]. - Cobalt prices are also showing strength as demand from precursor companies increases, with expectations of a stable recovery in the market [10]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report highlights the benefits of precious metals in times of geopolitical uncertainty, recommending companies such as Xinyi Silver and Zijin Mining for investment [2]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: The report notes a 32,200-ton increase in global copper inventories but emphasizes that prices remain resilient due to strategic reserve initiatives and ongoing demand [3]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum market is experiencing a significant inventory build-up, but demand is expected to recover as production resumes post-holiday [4]. - **Nickel**: Nickel prices have increased by 4.7% to 141,560 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and demand from steel mills [5]. - **Tin**: The report indicates that tin prices may experience strong fluctuations due to supply concerns from Myanmar [8]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Lithium prices have surged, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 174,000 CNY/ton, driven by supply disruptions from Zimbabwe [9]. - **Cobalt**: Cobalt prices have increased by 3.4% to 440,000 CNY/ton, with demand from precursor companies showing signs of recovery [10].

记者|杜宇 编辑|何小桃 杜波 校对|段炼 2月25日，黄金、白银，再度拉升！ 2月25日午后，现货黄金价格直线走高。截至发稿，现货黄金涨破5200美元/盎司，涨1.38%。 与此同时，今日A股黄金股普遍上涨。 | | 黄金股ETF | | Ci Q | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2.658 +1.30% | | | | 持仓股 | 资金 | F10 资讯 | 互动 | | 名称 | 持仓占比 ÷ | 最新 = | 涨幅 ÷ | | 铜陵有色 | 3.01% | 7.73 | +2.93% | | 000630 融 | | | | | 弓可波罗 | 0.00% | 24.80 | +2.61% | | 001386 融 注 | | | | | 紫金黄金国际 | 3.32% | 237.000 | +2.07% | | 02259 通 | | | | | 江西铜业股份 | 1.50% | 46.120 | +1.99% | | 00358 通 | | | | | 紫金矿业 | 3.94% | 44.800 | +1.77% | | 02899 通 | | | | | 江西铜业 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the gold industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by various factors including geopolitical tensions and economic concerns, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks (931238) has risen by 1.35%, with significant gains in individual stocks such as WanGuo Gold Group (up 6.97%) and Zhuye Group (up 5.90%) [1] - The gold stock ETF (159322) has also seen an increase of 1.28%, with the latest price reported at 2.13 yuan [1] Group 2 - Spot gold prices have reached $5,200, reflecting a daily increase of 1.16% [2] - The strong performance of precious metals is attributed to three main factors: a U.S. Supreme Court ruling impacting dollar credibility, ongoing tensions in Iran raising geopolitical risk, and lower-than-expected GDP growth in the U.S. alongside higher inflation, reinforcing gold's anti-inflation properties [2] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks includes 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales, with the top ten stocks accounting for 61.69% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The price of spot gold surged, breaking the $5200 per ounce mark with an increase of 1.38% as of the report time [1] - A-shares of gold-related stocks generally rose in response to the increase in gold prices [1] Group 2 - Spot silver also experienced a strong rise, surpassing $90 per ounce with an intraday increase of over 4% [3] - The main contract for silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose by 5%, reaching 23138 yuan per kilogram [3] - The Guotou Silver LOF saw a significant increase of over 9% [3] Group 3 - Gold stock ETFs showed a positive trend, with a 1.30% increase to 2.658 [2] - Notable gold stocks included: - Zhongjin Gold with a 9.12% holding ratio, increasing by 1.41% to 31.54 [2] - Zijing Mining with a 3.94% holding ratio, increasing by 1.77% to 44.800 [2] - Shandong Gold with a 4.18% holding ratio, increasing by 0.68% to 41.580 [2]

Core Viewpoint - On February 25, both gold and silver prices experienced significant increases, with gold surpassing $5200 per ounce and silver exceeding $90 per ounce, indicating a strong bullish trend in precious metals [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Market - As of the report, the spot gold price rose by 1.38%, breaking the $5200 per ounce mark [1]. - A notable increase in A-share gold stocks was observed, reflecting positive market sentiment towards gold investments [1]. - Key gold stocks such as Zijin Mining and Zhongjin Gold showed respective increases of 1.77% and 1.41% [2]. Group 2: Silver Market - The spot silver price surged over 4%, reaching above $90 per ounce, with the Shanghai Futures Exchange's main silver contract rising by 5% to 23138 yuan per kilogram [3]. - The National Investment Silver LOF saw a significant increase of over 9%, indicating strong investor interest in silver [4].

Core Viewpoint - Shanjin International has shown a significant increase in stock price and trading activity, indicating strong market interest and potential growth in the precious metals sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 25, Shanjin International's stock rose by 2.02%, reaching 31.33 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 400 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.51%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 86.995 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 28.77%, with a 4.12% rise over the last five trading days, a 4.34% decline over the last 20 days, and a 53.96% increase over the last 60 days [1]. - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent appearance on January 21 [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Shanjin International, established on June 18, 1999, and listed on June 8, 2000, is based in Beijing and specializes in precious and non-ferrous metal mining and trading, primarily focusing on gold mining [2]. - The revenue composition includes copper trading (33.67%), gold (32.30%), silver trading (17.01%), tin ingots (7.17%), lead-zinc concentrate containing silver (4.79%), zinc concentrate (1.55%), zinc ingots (1.14%), lead concentrate (0.85%), gold containing silver (0.79%), aluminum ingots (0.67%), and others (0.05%) [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shanjin International reported a revenue of 14.996 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.460 billion CNY, which is a 42.39% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 5.982 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.568 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 18.50% to 43,700, with an average of 57,784 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 15.61% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 76.4162 million shares, an increase of 9.2006 million shares from the previous period [3].