About eight months ago, in June 2025, I published my last article about Adobe ( ADBE ), and while my articles published between June 2022 and December 2024 were rated with a “Hold,” the June 2025 article was the first inMy analysis is focused on high-quality companies, that can outperform the market over the long-run due to a competitive advantage (economic moat) and high levels of defensibility. Focused on European and North American companies, but without constraints regarding market capitalization (from ...

Core Insights - The analysis focuses on high-quality companies that can outperform the market over the long term due to competitive advantages and high levels of defensibility [1] Group 1 - The previous articles published between June 2022 and December 2024 were rated with a "Hold," while the article from June 2025 marked a shift in perspective [1] - The analysis is concentrated on companies in Europe and North America, without restrictions on market capitalization, covering both large-cap and small-cap companies [1] - The author's academic background includes a Master's Degree in Sociology with an emphasis on organizational and economic sociology, and a Bachelor's Degree in Sociology and History [1]

QIANJIANG, CHINA - FEBRUARY 26: In this photo illustration, a smartphone displays the logo of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE), an American software company specializing in digital media, creative software and cloud-based design solutions, in front of a screen showing the company's latest stock market chart on February 26, 2026 in Qianjiang, Hubei Province, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)Getty ImagesOur multi-faceted evaluation indicates that it could be an opportune moment to buy ADBE stock. ...

华尔街因担心AI带来颠覆性冲击而持续抛售软件股，但非专业投资者却在逆势扫货。 摩根大通汇编的数据显示，遭到重挫的软件板块中，散户交易活跃度正逼近历史高位，尽管标普综合 1500软件与服务子指数自年初以来已下跌近20%。 摩根大通策略师阿伦·贾因（Arun Jain）表示，尽管"市场部分领域持续出现裂痕"，散户投资者仍然"对 软件板块形成支撑"。 微软(MSFT.O)无论是在上周还是年初至今，都是散户投资者最青睐的标的。其他吸引散户兴趣的公司 还包括ServiceNow(NOW.N)和AppLovin(APP.O)。 这些散户的买入行为常被用"YOLO"（你只活一次）这一缩写来形容，这一次发生在软件股因一系列新 AI产品发布而承压之际。华尔街担心这些AI产品可能取代Salesforce(CRM.N)、Adobe(ADBE.O)等公司 的服务。 AI相关的担忧同样似乎并未吓退普通散户，他们在每一轮下跌中持续进场买入。根据VandaTrack Research的数据，周四，英伟达(NVDA.O)收跌5.5%，是自2025年4月以来表现最差的一天，却吸引了创 纪录比例的散户逢低买入。 博通(AVGO.O)、iShar ...

Adobe stock is showing downward bias. What’s the outlook for ADBE shares?Google Offers Advanced Image Generation FreeIn a series of X posts on Thursday, Google's Gemini team introduced Nano Banana 2, promising "Pro"-grade image quality at Flash speed, with realistic lighting, sharper textures and accurate multilingual text for logos, posters and social posts. Powered by real-time web search and image data, the model aims to mirror current events and is offered directly in the Gemini app and on the web at no ...

隔夜全球资本市场迎来普涨行情，欧美股市全线走高，科技股成为上涨核心驱动力，贵金属、大宗商品同步异动。而美股盘后算力龙头英伟达发布的超预期 财报，更是进一步点燃市场情绪，成为当日全球市场的绝对焦点。 当地时间2月25日，美股三大指数全线收涨，连续两个交易日携手上行。Wind数据显示，截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数涨0.63%，报 49482.15点；纳斯达克指 数涨1.26%，报23152.08点；标普500指数涨0.81%，报6946.13点。欧洲市场同步走强，截至收盘，法国CAC40指数涨0.47%，英国富时100指数涨1.18%，德 国DAX指数涨0.76%。 | 美股指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普5( | | 49482.15 | 23152.08 | 6946. | | +307.65 +0.63% +288.40 +1.26% +56.06 + | | | | 中国金龙 | 纳指100期货 | 标普500 | | 7545.55 | 25344.25 | 6954 .! | | -35.49 -0.47% -37.75 -0.15% | | - ...

Core Insights - Adobe's expanding partner base and AI initiatives are expected to help the stock navigate a challenging business environment, particularly as traditional SaaS software stocks face ongoing AI disruption. An innovative AI-infused portfolio is anticipated to assist Adobe in competing against major players like Microsoft and Alphabet in the near term. Adobe shares have declined by 27.1% year to date [1]. Group 1: Partnerships and AI Integration - Adobe has a robust partner ecosystem that includes Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google, and OpenAI, among others. The company is expanding its partnership with WPP to deliver integrated solutions for global brands, optimizing media through AI agents [2]. - Adobe's applications, such as Firefly, Express, and Creative Cloud, are integrating models from various partners, enhancing their capabilities and performance [2]. Group 2: Product Development and Adoption - The continued adoption of Adobe's cloud-based platforms, including Acrobat and Express, is expected to drive growth, supported by AI-powered features like Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant. These innovations are facilitating faster content creation and improving document productivity, which is positively impacting subscription renewals and premium upgrades [3]. - Users are increasingly relying on Acrobat AI Assistant for efficient content consumption and utilizing Express for creating customized presentations and designs. This trend is expected to contribute to top-line growth in fiscal 2026, with revenue estimates at $26.04 billion, reflecting a 9.5% increase from fiscal 2025 [4][8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business remains small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet. Microsoft is experiencing growth in its Intelligent Cloud revenues, driven by Azure AI services and the AI Copilot business, which enhances customer relationships and revenue per user [5]. - Alphabet is leveraging AI across its offerings, including Search and Google Cloud, which is driving monetization opportunities and overall growth [6]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - Adobe shares have underperformed, losing 42.5% over the past year, compared to a 25.2% return in the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector [7]. - The stock is currently trading at a lower forward price/sales multiple of 3.94 compared to the sector average of 6.38, indicating a potential undervaluation [11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $23.47 per share, suggesting a 12.1% growth from fiscal 2025 [14].

导语 1月下旬以来，全球软件行业迎来了"末日抛售"。 2月24日周二，A股马年首个交易日，软件股延续年前跌势；20日港股马年首个交易日，软件股在农历 新年的第一声锣响中也一样延续年前跌势。几大软件巨头股价均从1月中旬的最高点跌去40%至50%。 隔夜美股（当地时间23日周一）出现惊悚一幕，国际商业机器公司（IBM）收盘下跌13.2%，收报 223.35美元，单日市值蒸发约310亿美元，创下2000年10月以来最大单日跌幅，今年以来累计下跌超过 了24%。原因是Anthropic周一宣布Claude Code新增功能，自动化完成COBOL现代化改造中最复杂的代 码探索与分析工作。 这又是一起"AI恐慌交易"。1月下旬以来，全球软件行业就迎来了"末日抛售"。标普500软件与服务指数 （包含微软、Adobe等约140家公司）跌幅最大超过18%，较2025年9月高点跌去约30%。 两大导火索 对全球软件业上市公司的这场抛售，有两个导火索。 你可能觉得这太逆天了，其实也没有那么逆天。比如你是外卖跑腿小哥，在APP上接单，和你直接打交 道的是这个APP，你并不认识下单的客户，只知道是个人。TA也许是另一个人的助理，帮TA ...

Core Insights - Software stocks, including design software, have faced significant declines due to concerns over artificial intelligence impacts, with Adobe's stock down 30% this year [1] - Canva is actively acquiring startups to enhance its competitive position against Adobe, purchasing Cavalry and MangoAI to bolster its animation and video capabilities [2] Company Developments - Canva has acquired Cavalry, which specializes in two-dimensional animation software, and MangoAI, which focuses on short video creation for advertising [2] - The terms of the acquisitions were not disclosed, but both startups are expected to help Canva compete more effectively with Adobe [2] Product Integration - Canva plans to integrate Cavalry's animation technology into its core product and the Affinity application, which was made free after its acquisition in 2024 [4] - MangoAI will be incorporated into the Canva Grow advertisement generator, which is available at $250 per person per year, enhancing video performance tracking and recommendations [5] Market Position and Financials - Canva reported over $4 billion in annualized revenue for 2025, a 36% increase from the previous year, while Adobe's revenue for the November quarter was $6.2 billion, up 10% [7] - Canva's market valuation was noted at $42 billion in August, prior to the recent downturn in software stock prices [7] AI and User Experience - Canva's co-founder emphasized the importance of human input in content creation, stating that while AI can assist, the final touches that ensure brand representation are crucial [8] - The company has not experienced a slowdown in revenue or user growth, attributing improvements in product quality to the integration of AI [9]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing tech sell-off in the U.S. is significantly influenced by developments in AI, with IBM experiencing its steepest drop in history, reflecting broader market concerns about the tech sector's sustainability amidst AI advancements [1][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The tech sector is under pressure, with a notable sell-off driven by fears that AI advancements are cannibalizing traditional tech stocks [2][3]. - FAANG ETFs and software stocks like Salesforce and Adobe are among the first to feel the impact, indicating a broader trend of U.S. investors divesting from tech [3][9]. - The consumer discretionary, tech, and financial sub-indices of the S&P 500 remain negative year-to-date, highlighting the rapid growth of investor fears [9]. Group 2: AI Developments - IBM's recent price action is linked to the emergence of AI programs like Anthropic's 'Claude,' which are seen as potential competitors to existing software solutions [5][9]. - Agentic AI, which can autonomously create code and fulfill roles traditionally held by humans, poses a significant threat to companies like Adobe and Salesforce, potentially reducing their revenue from SaaS contracts [6][9]. - The speculative nature of AI's impact on the economy is underscored by a report suggesting that AI could lead to a 'Ghost GDP,' where economic activity does not translate into consumer spending [14][15]. Group 3: Speculative Insights - A speculative blog post titled "The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" has contributed to market panic, suggesting that AI disruption could lead to a collapse in labor GDP and the mortgage market [11][12]. - The report's narrative resonates with existing market fears, indicating a consensus view among investors regarding the potential negative implications of AI on the economy [12][15]. - The concept of a 'Ghost GDP' suggests that while investments in AI may increase, they do not benefit the workforce, leading to decreased consumer spending and economic downturn [14][15].