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Rivian (RIVN) stock soars 20% after earnings
Finbold· 2026-02-13 10:48
Core Viewpoint - Rivian reported stronger-than-expected Q4 results, achieving its first annual gross profit, which led to a significant increase in its stock price after hours [1][2]. Financial Performance - Rivian's Q4 revenue was $1.29 billion, surpassing the expected $1.26 billion, while the loss per share was $0.54, better than the anticipated $0.68 [2]. - The company achieved its first annual gross profit of $144 million, with Q4 contributing $120 million [2]. Stock Market Reaction - Following a decline of over 5% during the February 12 session, Rivian's stock rebounded by nearly 20% in after-hours trading, reaching a price of $16.77 [1][3]. Future Outlook - Rivian's guidance for 2025 includes expectations to ship between 62,000 and 67,000 vehicles, indicating a potential annual delivery growth of up to 59% [5]. - Despite the positive outlook, the company anticipates operating at a loss in the current year, which poses risks to investors [6]. Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating for Rivian, with a price target of $17.75, which is above the recent trading price but reflects cautious sentiment [8][11]. - The only recent rating revision was bearish, with Mizuho Securities assigning a 'Sell' rating while raising the price forecast from $10 to $11 [11].
Apple stock just suffered its worst day in 10 months
Finbold· 2026-02-13 09:32
Core Viewpoint - Apple experienced a significant decline in its stock price, marking its worst day in approximately 10 months, primarily due to delays in its AI developments and regulatory scrutiny from the FTC [1][9]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 12, Apple shares initially showed strong performance, being the only smartphone maker to grow in China in January [1]. - However, the stock plummeted 5% from $275.50 to $261.73, closing at $261.73, and continued to decline by 0.53% in after-hours trading, reaching $260.35 [2][1]. Group 2: AI Development Delays - Apple is postponing its anticipated AI update for the Siri personal assistant, which is seen as detrimental given the company's late entry into the AI market [5]. - The delay is particularly concerning as AI is a critical component in many bullish forecasts for 2026 [6]. Group 3: Regulatory Scrutiny - The stock's decline was exacerbated by news of regulatory scrutiny from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), which is investigating Apple's terms of service and allegations of censoring conservative voices on Apple News [9]. - This scrutiny comes amid a broader trend of litigation against media firms by the Trump administration [10].
Is this memory stock Nvidia of 2026?
Finbold· 2026-02-12 13:50
Core Viewpoint - SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) has experienced a significant rise in stock value, with a 1,500% increase since its IPO about a year ago, and is expected to continue gaining momentum through 2026 due to industry-wide developments and anticipated memory shortages [1][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 11, 2023, SNDK shares rose by 10.65%, with an additional increase of 6.51% in pre-market trading on February 12, bringing the stock price to $638.51 [2]. - The recent rally in SanDisk stock is influenced by broader sector developments, particularly driven by Micron's (NASDAQ: MU) announcement of early shipments of HBM4 chips, which led to a nearly 10% increase in Micron's stock [5]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The year 2026 is projected to experience a significant memory shortage, referred to as 'RAMaggedon', driven by the demand from AI companies and the willingness of suppliers to meet this demand, which is expected to lead to higher prices and increased revenue for memory manufacturers [6][7]. - The potential decision by Nvidia to withdraw from the consumer market due to the memory shortage has raised concerns outside institutional investors, but it is seen as a positive development for SanDisk's growth prospects [7]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Ratings - Despite the optimism surrounding AI investments, there is uncertainty regarding the actual results compared to expectations, which may affect market sentiment towards SanDisk [9]. - SanDisk shares are currently rated as 'Moderate Buy' on the stock analysis platform TipRanks, although the rapid rise in stock price may lead to a reassessment of the price target, which forecasts a slight retracement from $638.34 to $637.33 [10][11].
ChatGPT picks 2 stocks to buy during February market crash
Finbold· 2026-02-12 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The recent downturn in big tech stocks is attributed to investor anxiety over AI exposure rather than an impending recession, indicating that previous investment logic may no longer apply [1]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The sell-off in the software sector is unprecedented in speed and severity, with major companies like Salesforce and ServiceNow being perceived as having structurally broken business models due to AI [2]. - Notable winners from the previous year, such as Nvidia, are experiencing significant volatility, while blue-chip stocks like Microsoft and AMD have suffered after earnings reports revealed substantial AI exposure [3]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Albemarle Corp (NYSE: ALB) is identified as a strong investment opportunity, particularly due to its position as the world's fourth-largest lithium producer, which is critical for various industries including EVs [5][6]. - Albemarle's stock has increased by 124% over the last 12 months, reaching a price of $171.54, with most risk factors already priced in, making it a bullish prospect [8]. - Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is recommended as a second investment, with a recent 15% decline in shares to $204.62 presenting a buying opportunity due to its diversified business model and fundamental strength [11][14].
Nvidia insiders dump over $100 million of NVDA stock since 2026 started
Finbold· 2026-02-12 10:08
Core Insights - Nvidia insiders have sold over $100 million worth of NVDA stock since the beginning of 2026, indicating a significant level of insider trading activity [1][5] - A senior officer, Jay Puri, has been responsible for approximately 70% of these sales, offloading more than $73 million in January alone [2][5] - The overall pace of insider sales has decreased significantly compared to late 2025, where over $200 million was sold in the last two months [5] Insider Sales Details - Jay Puri, the executive vice president of Worldwide Field Operations, executed two major sales on January 9 and January 23, totaling over $73 million [2] - Colette Kress, the executive vice president and chief financial officer, sold approximately 95,000 shares for just over $17 million between January 13 and February 4 [2] - The first insider sale of 2026 was conducted by Donald Robertson, the principal accounting officer, amounting to $15.2 million [4] Stock Performance - Nvidia stock has shown a 46.07% increase over the past 12 months, but this momentum has slowed to just 5.22% over the last six months [6] - As of the latest press time, Nvidia stock is up only 2.69% in 2026, reflecting a loss of positive momentum [6] Future Outlook - The company's future appears uncertain as it shifts focus from consumer semiconductors to artificial intelligence (AI), which could lead to significant volatility in stock performance [7] - If the AI market continues to grow, Nvidia's stock could see substantial gains, but if the market falters, it risks losing its consumer market share to competitors like AMD and Intel [8]
Wall Street analysts update Coca-Cola stock price target after Q4 2025 earnings
Finbold· 2026-02-11 12:47
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola's recent earnings report showed mixed results, but Wall Street analysts remain bullish on the stock, with all seven rating revisions post-earnings indicating a 'Buy' rating and expectations for a price rally in the next 12 months [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In Q4, Coca-Cola reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58, surpassing the forecast of $0.56, but missed revenue expectations by $210 million, reporting $11.82 billion instead of the anticipated $12.03 billion [8]. - The company anticipates revenue growth of 4% to 5% for the upcoming year, although it noted a decline in demand for its soft drinks due to consumer purchasing power challenges [8]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Morgan Stanley's analyst upgraded the price target for Coca-Cola from $81 to $87, indicating a potential 13.27% increase from the latest closing price of $76.81 [3]. - Citi's analyst also revised the price target to $87, reflecting a 16% increase from a previous target of $75 [4]. - TD Cowen adjusted its price target from $80 to $85, showing a slightly less optimistic outlook [5]. - The average price target across Wall Street for Coca-Cola is $82.27, suggesting a 7% expected rally in the next 12 months [5]. Product Performance - Coca-Cola's other product divisions, including water, sports drinks, coffee, and tea, have significantly outperformed its traditional soft drink offerings in Q4 [7][9]. Upcoming Events - Investors should note February 17 as a key date when Coca-Cola is expected to provide further insights into its future plans, coinciding with a CEO transition [9].
Here's how much Palantir insiders have dumped in PLTR shares in 2026
Finbold· 2026-02-11 12:36
Core Insights - Palantir Technologies insiders have sold over $9 million worth of stock in 2026, continuing a trend amid the stock's rally [1] - The stock has experienced volatility, with a recent decline of over 2% in a single day and nearly 22% year-to-date [6] Insider Transactions - Director Alexander Moore sold 20,000 shares on February 2, 2026, for $2,949,000, leaving him with 1,172,978 shares [2] - Director Lauren Elaina Stat Friedman sold 400 shares on February 2, 2026, for $60,456, reducing her holdings to 58,287 shares [3] - Officer Ryan Taylor sold 12,000 shares on January 2, 2026, for $2,176,200, retaining 239,409 shares [4] - The total insider sales for 2026 amount to $9,148,246 across five disclosed transactions [4] Financial Performance - Palantir's Q4 2025 revenue rose 70% year-over-year to $1.41 billion, surpassing expectations of $1.33 billion [8] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.25, exceeding the forecast of $0.23 [8] - U.S. commercial revenue increased by 137% to $507 million, while U.S. government revenue grew by 66% to $570 million [8] - Full-year 2025 revenue reached $4.48 billion [8] Future Guidance - Management projects 2026 revenue between $7.182 billion and $7.198 billion, indicating approximately 61% annual growth [9] - U.S. commercial revenue is expected to exceed $3.144 billion, reflecting at least a 115% increase [9] Market Sentiment - Despite strong growth in the AI sector, Palantir's premium valuation raises concerns about its exposure to market volatility and potential slowing momentum [9] - Michael Burry identified a head-and-shoulders pattern in Palantir's stock, suggesting a potential downside to the low $50s, indicating a possible drop of up to 60% from current levels [10]
This metric set to trigger massive S&P 500 crash, expert warns
Finbold· 2026-02-11 11:20
Core Insights - The S&P 500 is approaching a record high of 7,000 but may face a correction in the coming months due to volatility and liquidity concerns [1][2] Group 1: Market Conditions - The S&P 500 is currently trading at 6,941, reflecting a decrease of 0.33% [1] - The index's three-year bull cycle, which began after the October 2022 low, is nearing a critical turning point, with liquidity indicators showing warning signs [2] - Historically, major bear cycles have bottomed near the 200-week moving average, which the index has not retested since October 2022, indicating potential overheated market conditions [3] Group 2: Liquidity and Valuation - The M2 Global Liquidity Index is entering a cyclical peak zone, with historical peaks occurring roughly every four years, suggesting a potential market top around February 23, 2026 [4] - If liquidity is peaking, the S&P 500 could transition into a systemic bear cycle, with a typical retracement potentially pulling the index back toward the 200-week moving average, projected near the 5,500 level [5] - The S&P 500 earnings yield is near 100-year lows at around 3%, indicating that investors are accepting lower returns for exposure to U.S. stocks, which suggests stretched valuations [6][7]
Michael Burry issues ultra-bearish stock price target for Palantir
Finbold· 2026-02-11 09:36
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry, known for his bearish stance, is analyzing Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) stock and suggests a potential price crash of up to 60% by the end of 2026, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock's support levels [1][3]. Group 1: Burry's Analysis - Burry identified a head and shoulders pattern in Palantir's long-term stock chart, marking the August 2025 high as the left shoulder, the late October all-time high above $200 as the head, and the mid-December rally as the right shoulder [2]. - He suggests that the next significant support level for Palantir is below $100, which is approximately 30% lower than the current price of $138.87 [2]. - Burry's analysis indicates a potential landing zone for the stock around slightly above $50, reflecting his bearish outlook [3]. Group 2: Current Stock Performance - Despite a 12-month increase of 23.22%, Palantir shares have experienced a decline of 21.67% over the last six months and are down 21.88% year-to-date, currently priced at $138.87 [4]. - Other Wall Street analysts do not share Burry's pessimism, with a general rating of 'Moderate Buy' for Palantir stock, indicating a more optimistic outlook [6][7]. Group 3: Analyst Ratings and Predictions - Recent revisions in February have been predominantly bullish, with a notable change in the price target from Daiwa's Shigemichi Yoshizu moving towards 'Buy' [7]. - Palantir's latest earnings report showed strong year-over-year growth, beating revenue and earnings expectations, which supports a more favorable view among analysts [8]. - However, there was a slight downgrade in the 12-month price target from $200 to $180, reflecting some caution in the market [8].
Amazon is trading at its lowest valuation ever
Finbold· 2026-02-10 15:19
Core Viewpoint - Amazon's stock has experienced significant volatility, reaching its lowest valuation in history following the Q4 2025 earnings report, with shares down over 15% in the past month [1][3]. Valuation Analysis - Amazon's trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has dropped to approximately 29x, the lowest in its public market history, contrasting sharply with previous cycles where it often exceeded 100x [3][4]. - Historical data shows that Amazon's valuation has previously surged above 100x earnings, peaking near 350x during early growth phases and over 150x during the pandemic [4]. - The current valuation is near historical lows, last seen when Amazon was significantly smaller, indicating a potential for future multiple expansion [5][7]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Amazon reported a 14% year-over-year increase in net sales to $213.4 billion, with AWS revenue rising 24% to $35.6 billion, driven by strong demand for cloud and AI services [9]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $1.95, slightly below expectations due to one-off costs [9]. Capital Expenditure Concerns - The stock has faced pressure due to guidance indicating approximately $200 billion in capital expenditures for 2026, significantly higher than 2025 levels, primarily directed towards AI infrastructure [10]. - Following the earnings report, shares fell more than 10%, leading to some analyst downgrades, although Wall Street maintains a broadly positive outlook with price targets suggesting over 30% upside [10].