Finbold
Search documents
Is AI boom over as Nvidia wipes $260 billion and Coreweave stock falls 11% in a day?
Finbold· 2026-02-27 11:50
Core Insights - Nvidia's latest earnings report initially sparked a 5% rally in its stock, but it subsequently fell 5.46%, resulting in a $260 billion loss in market capitalization [1][9][21] - Coreweave, a company backed by Nvidia, reported earnings that fell short of expectations, leading to an 11.38% drop in its stock price, raising concerns about the AI sector's profitability [4][7][9] - The AI industry's road to profitability is under scrutiny, with doubts about demand and the sustainability of investments in AI infrastructure [9][14][18] Nvidia's Performance - Nvidia's stock experienced a significant drop despite reporting strong earnings, highlighting investor concerns about the AI industry's future [1][9] - The company's regulatory filings indicated it has made non-cancellable orders worth billions, raising questions about demand forecasting [13] Coreweave's Situation - Coreweave reported $1.57 billion in revenue, slightly above expectations, but posted a larger-than-expected loss per share, which contributed to its stock decline [7] - The company's guidance for the first quarter was lower than consensus estimates, further exacerbating investor concerns [7] Market Dynamics - The drop in Nvidia's stock is attributed to market mechanics rather than fundamental issues, as it faced an options wall around $200 per share [23] - Analysts suggest that the sell-off may not indicate systemic risk, as major tech companies like Nvidia have strong fundamentals and cash reserves [21][23] AI Industry Concerns - The AI sector faces skepticism due to practices like "AI washing," where traditional products are marketed as AI without significant changes [15][17] - Studies indicate that the impact of AI on productivity may be limited, and there are concerns about the societal implications of AI adoption [18][20] Future Outlook - Despite recent setbacks, the potential for significant breakthroughs in AI remains, as history shows that major advancements can occur unexpectedly [22] - The overall sentiment suggests that the current downturn may be temporary, with a possibility of a renewed rally in Nvidia's stock [23]
Microsoft to pay dividends on March 13; Here's how much 100 MSFT shares will earn
Finbold· 2026-02-27 09:53
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft will pay its first quarterly dividend of 2026 on March 13, maintaining a dividend of $0.91 per share, consistent with the previous quarter [1][2]. Dividend Details - The next estimated dividend payment is $0.91 per share, with a pay date of March 12, 2026, and it is categorized as a regular quarterly dividend [2]. - Shareholders owning 100 shares before February 19 can expect a total dividend payment of $91 next month, leading to an estimated yearly payout of $364 for 2026 if the trend continues [3]. Dividend Profile - Microsoft is recognized as a reliable dividend payer in the technology sector, currently offering a dividend yield of 0.91%, which is below the sector average of 1.37% but is balanced by stability and long-term growth [4]. - The company has a forward payout ratio of 19.14%, indicating that less than one-fifth of expected earnings are distributed to shareholders, allowing for reinvestment and future dividend increases [5]. Historical Performance - Microsoft has increased its dividend for nearly 24 consecutive years, positioning itself among established dividend growth companies, with Broadcom being a notable peer with a 16-year track record of dividend increases [7]. - The shares exhibit strong historical dividend capture characteristics, with an average price recovery time of just 1.3 days following ex-dividend dates [8].
Michael Burry explains why he still finds Nvidia stock ‘troubling'
Finbold· 2026-02-26 15:23
Michael Burry, the ‘Big Short’ investor who predicted the financial crash of 2008, is not backing down in his criticism of big-tech names, in particular Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA).The chipmaker, the stock market veteran argued in a post published on his Substack on February 26, has seen a sharp rise in long-term purchase obligations, which he sees as a potential structural risk.More specifically, reviewing Nvidia’s fiscal 2026 Form 10-K, Burry highlighted that the company’s purchase obligations surged to $95.2 b ...
Analyst updates Nvidia stock price target after blockbuster earnings
Finbold· 2026-02-26 11:37
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's recent earnings report has led to a bullish outlook from Wall Street analysts, with a significant price target increase reflecting strong performance and optimistic future guidance [1][3][7]. Financial Performance - Nvidia reported quarterly revenue of $68.13 billion, surpassing expectations of $66.21 billion [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $1.62, exceeding the anticipated $1.53 [4]. Future Guidance - The company expects revenue to reach $78 billion by the end of the current quarter, projecting annual sales to approach approximately $300 billion by the fiscal year's end [6]. Analyst Ratings - Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse maintained a 'Buy' rating and set a 12-month price target of $300, indicating a potential 52.45% increase from the current price of $196.79 [2][3][7]. - Other analysts, including Bank of America's Vivek Arya, also revised their price targets upward to $300, while Needham's Quinn Bolton projected a more conservative target of $240 [7][8]. - Additional positive recommendations came from JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, William Blair, and Keybanc, with price targets ranging from $260 to $275 [8].
2 non-tech stocks to hit $1 trillion market cap in H1, 2026
Finbold· 2026-02-26 10:35
Core Insights - Walmart's valuation surpassing $1 trillion in February 2026 indicates that traditional companies can also join the elite club, challenging the notion that only tech firms dominate this space [1] - The struggles within the technology sector have led investors to explore potential in other industries [1] Group 1: JPMorgan - JPMorgan is positioned as the strongest non-tech company to potentially cross the $1 trillion valuation threshold, currently valued at $818 billion [3] - The bank's scale and systemic importance, along with prospects from the AI boom and cryptocurrency developments, could enhance its valuation [4] - Wall Street's average 12-month price target for JPMorgan suggests a 15.97% increase, potentially reaching a valuation of about $950 billion [5] - The most optimistic forecasts, such as Goldman Sachs predicting a price of $397, could elevate JPMorgan's market capitalization to approximately $1.07 trillion [6] Group 2: Exxon Mobil - Exxon Mobil is in a strong position to aim for the trillion-dollar club, with a stock price of $149.06 and a valuation of $621 billion as of February 26, 2026 [7] - The stock has rallied 21.53% year-to-date, indicating robust performance in the oil sector [7] - Current price targets for Exxon Mobil may be underestimated, with an average target of $142.40 and a general rating of 'Buy' [10] - The stock has increased about 30% from three months ago, and favorable conditions from the White House could lead to further gains for Exxon Mobil and its peers [12] - The AI boom and geopolitical instability are expected to provide tailwinds for fossil fuel companies, enhancing their market position [13]
We asked DeepSeek AI what will be Nvidia stock price at end of 2026
Finbold· 2026-02-26 08:59
While the after-hours in the wake of Nvidia’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) latest earnings report – published late on February 25, 2026 – failed to be genuinely decisive, the filing was sufficient for DeepSeek, China’s most prominent artificial intelligence (AI) model, to take a highly optimistic stance.Specifically, the semiconductor giant’s report showed that the company not only beat the revenue forecast – it reported $68.13 billion instead of $66.21 billion – but also set its sights at $78 billion in the first quarte ...
Analyst sets Oracle stock price target
Finbold· 2026-02-25 13:52
Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock is gaining attention with a 2.3% increase in pre-market trading, following an upgrade to 'Buy' by Oppenheimer analyst Brian Schwartz, who set a price target of $185, indicating over 25% upside potential from the last close of approximately $146 [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Insights - The stock's valuation multiples have decreased by more than 50% since September, making the risk-reward profile more attractive despite the early nature of the call [2][3]. - Oracle's shares have experienced a significant decline of roughly 25% in 2026, attributed to investor concerns regarding the company's heavy investments in AI and cloud infrastructure [4]. - Oppenheimer's analysis suggests that Oracle is a "strong EPS compounder," projecting pro-forma earnings per share (EPS) to grow at a 20% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through fiscal 2023, reaching $12.66, with a bull-case scenario estimating EPS growth at around 30% annually to $17.79 [5]. Group 2: Factors Supporting Optimism - Several factors contribute to the positive outlook, including reduced counterparty, financing, and execution risks due to recent capital-raising efforts and significant customer acquisitions like OpenAI [6]. - Despite the optimism, there are acknowledged concerns regarding balance sheet strain, margin pressure from AI investments, elevated counterparty risk, and the substantial financing needed for Oracle's infrastructure expansion [6].
Broadcom to pay dividends on March 31; Here's how much 100 AVGO shares will earn
Finbold· 2026-02-25 10:36
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom is set to continue its dividend payout streak with an estimated quarterly dividend of $0.65 per share on March 27, 2026, marking sixteen consecutive years of dividend increases [1][5]. Dividend Details - The next estimated dividend of $0.65 per share aligns with the previous payout on December 31, 2025, meaning shareholders with 100 shares will receive a total of $65 [2]. - If the dividend remains unchanged, the total annual payout for Broadcom would amount to $260 [3]. Competitive Position - Broadcom's dividend is considered attractive compared to competitors, such as Nvidia, which offers a minimal dividend of $0.01 per share. Broadcom's forward dividend yield is approximately 0.8%, which is below the technology sector average of around 1.37% [4]. - As of February 24, 2026, Broadcom's stock price is $325.49, with a market capitalization of $1.58 trillion [5]. Financial Health - The forward payout ratio is slightly above 18%, indicating that the dividend is well-supported by earnings, allowing for potential increases while maintaining capital for growth [6]. - Historically, Broadcom's stock has recovered from typical ex-dividend dips in about 8.6 days on average, which may be relevant for investors considering dividend-capture strategies [6].
Meta stock on the verge of a brutal bear cycle, warns expert
Finbold· 2026-02-25 10:29
Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms' stock may be nearing a critical point before a potential deeper correction, as indicated by technical analysis suggesting a loss of upside momentum since its all-time high in August 2025 [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price remains supported by the weekly 100-period moving average, which has prevented a sharper decline, marking it as the last major support level before the risk of a broader bear cycle increases [2] - The monthly relative strength index has shown bearish divergence since July 2025, indicating weakened momentum despite previous price increases, similar to patterns observed before significant declines in 2018 and 2022 [3] - Historical data suggests that a break below the weekly 100 moving average could lead to declines towards the monthly 50 moving average, with potential losses of approximately 44% in 2018 and 40% in 2022 [4] Price Targets and Predictions - If the bearish trend continues, the next downside target for Meta stock could be around $480, aligning with the monthly 50 moving average and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level [4] - In a potential intensified bear cycle, the stock could drop to the monthly 100 moving average and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension around $360, indicating a possible decline of about 55.8% [6] Company Developments - On February 24, Meta announced a multi-year partnership with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to deploy up to 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs for its AI infrastructure, marking one of the largest chip supply deals to date [7] - Meta's capital expenditure guidance for 2026 is projected to be between $115 billion and $135 billion, primarily focused on AI data centers, despite concerns over high capital spending [11] Stock Performance - As of the latest session, Meta's stock closed at $639.30, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 3% amid concerns regarding capital expenditures [8] - Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Meta, with a 'Strong Buy' consensus on TipRanks, supported by 39 buy recommendations and an average 12-month price target of $864.62, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 35% from the current price [11][13]
Analysts set new S&p 500 target for end of 2026
Finbold· 2026-02-24 18:52
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street strategists have raised their outlook for the S&P 500, predicting it will surpass 7,000 in the coming months, with an end-of-year target of 7,500, indicating a potential gain of approximately 10% from current levels [1][4]. Group 1: Market Projections - The S&P 500 is projected to end the year at 7,500, which is about 9% above its current value of 6,892 [1]. - This forecast represents a modest upgrade from previous projections and would mark the fourth consecutive year of advances for the index [4]. Group 2: Earnings Growth Expectations - Analysts anticipate S&P 500 earnings growth of 14.8% in 2026, slightly higher than the 14.4% estimate for 2025 [5]. - Technology companies are expected to be the primary drivers of this growth, with profit growth in the sector projected to rise by approximately 33% next year [5]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - The S&P 500 currently trades at about 21.6 times forward earnings, down from 22.5 at the beginning of the year, indicating some moderation in valuations while fundamentals remain supportive [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Risks - Despite the positive year-end target, many strategists foresee potential turbulence, with a majority expecting a market correction within the next three months, viewing it as a reset rather than a change in the broader trend [6]. - Key risks include persistent inflation pressures, the trajectory of Federal Reserve policy, trade tensions, and geopolitical uncertainties [7]. Group 5: Sector Performance - Software stocks have experienced significant declines since the start of the year, reflecting investor caution, yet the sector is still projected to lead overall earnings growth [8]. - The consensus view suggests resilient corporate performance and steady economic conditions will support further gains for the S&P 500 through the end of 2026 [8].