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宇通客车10月销量点评:10月销量同比高增,出口和新能源出口维持高水平
长江证券· 2024-11-18 02:32
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a strong sales performance in October 2024, with total bus sales of 3,221 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.2% and a month-on-month decrease of 15.0%. The sales of medium and large buses were 2,782 units, up 40.4% year-on-year and down 17.0% month-on-month. Cumulatively, from January to October, total bus sales reached 34,567 units, a year-on-year increase of 21.2%, with medium and large bus sales at 30,460 units, up 23.0% year-on-year [2][5][7]. - The company is benefiting from a global and high-end strategy, with exports maintaining a high level. In October, the export volume of medium and large buses was approximately 1,100 units, with nearly 200 units being new energy buses. The domestic market is expected to see a recovery in sales due to the natural replacement cycle of buses and the implementation of subsidy policies [5][7]. - The company has a strong cash flow and is expected to continue high dividend payouts, with a dividend of 0.5 yuan per share (including tax) for the first three quarters of 2024, totaling 1.11 billion yuan and a dividend payout ratio of 45.5% [7]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In October 2024, the company sold 3,221 buses, a year-on-year increase of 43.2% and a month-on-month decrease of 15.0%. Medium and large bus sales were 2,782 units, up 40.4% year-on-year [2][5]. - From January to October, total bus sales reached 34,567 units, a year-on-year increase of 21.2% [5]. Export and Market Strategy - The company’s export strategy is showing positive results, with medium and large bus exports maintaining high levels. The export share is increasing, with nearly 200 new energy buses exported in October [5][7]. - The company is expanding its direct sales and service model, which is expected to enhance service quality and efficiency [6]. Financial Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.51 billion, 4.21 billion, and 5.02 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14.5X, 12.1X, and 10.2X [7].
宇通客车:公司点评报告:10月销量同比高增,新能源客车需求加速
中原证券· 2024-11-17 02:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [3][15][6] Core Views - The company experienced significant year-on-year growth in October sales, with a 38.1% increase in bus production and a 43.2% increase in sales, totaling 3,558 and 3,221 units respectively [3] - The demand for new energy buses is accelerating, supported by government policies and subsidies, which are expected to boost sales further [3][6] - The company is positioned as a leader in the new energy bus sector, achieving a market share of 23.1% with a year-on-year sales increase of 63.0% for buses over 6 meters in length [3][6] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 344.24 billion, 398.64 billion, and 465.21 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.47, 1.87, and 2.25 yuan [3][7] - The net profit is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 3,246 million yuan in 2024, 4,138 million yuan in 2025, and 4,985 million yuan in 2026, reflecting growth rates of 78.65%, 27.47%, and 20.46% respectively [7][11] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 22.85% in 2024, with a net margin of 9.43% [11] Market Dynamics - The report highlights a robust export performance, with a 69.62% year-on-year increase in bus exports in October, and a total of 6,576 units exported [3] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in Latin America, where it has delivered 274 buses to Mexico [3][6] - The overall bus industry is expected to benefit from the recovery of the tourism sector and the implementation of electric vehicle policies, leading to sustained demand growth [3][6]
宇通客车:10月销量同比提升,公交景气度回升已现
东吴证券· 2024-11-07 10:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yutong Bus [1] Core Views - In October 2024, Yutong Bus sold 3,221 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 43% and a month-on-month decrease of 15%. The production was 3,558 units, with a year-on-year increase of 38% and a month-on-month decrease of 8% [2] - The sales recovery in October indicates that the company is entering a peak season for production and sales, driven by the demand from the bus replacement policy and the peak delivery season for export orders. The outlook for November and December remains positive as bus demand is expected to increase further [2][3] - The proportion of medium and large buses remains high, with sales of 1,321 medium buses, 1,461 large buses, and 439 light buses in October 2024, reflecting year-on-year increases of 11%, 85%, and 64% respectively [2] - The company continues to build inventory, with a total of 337 units added in October 2024, indicating a strong order backlog and preparation for year-end sales [3] - The new energy city bus and battery replacement subsidy policies are expected to boost demand in Q4, with average subsidies of 60,000 yuan per vehicle, and 80,000 yuan for new energy buses [3] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts Yutong Bus's total revenue for 2024 to be 34.733 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 3.314 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 82% [4] - The projected P/E ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 16, 13, and 11 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4]
宇通客车:Q3业绩符合预期,关注Q4政策放量
华安证券· 2024-11-07 06:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yutong Bus is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The performance in Q3 met expectations, with a focus on policy implementation in Q4 [1] - Despite being a seasonal sales downturn, Q3 performance remained robust [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 24.08 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 131.5% [1] - The gross profit margin in Q3 improved year-on-year, benefiting from effective cost control [1] - The sales structure continues to optimize, with an increasing proportion of new energy buses in exports [1] - The domestic vehicle replacement policy is expected to boost bus sales in Q4 [1] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth in the bus export market, projecting net profits of 3.4 billion, 3.92 billion, and 4.57 billion yuan for 2024-2026, representing year-on-year growth of 87.0%, 15.5%, and 16.5% respectively [1] Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 27.04 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 34.13 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.1% and 26.2% respectively [2][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 1.817 billion yuan, with projections of 3.398 billion yuan for 2024, indicating a year-on-year increase of 139.4% and 87.0% respectively [2][3] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 25.6% in 2023 to 26.6% in 2024 [2][3] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to rise from 13.1% in 2023 to 23.7% in 2024 [2][3] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.82 yuan in 2023 to 1.53 yuan in 2024 [2][3] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Operating cash flow for 2023 was 4.717 billion yuan, with a projected decrease to 4.619 billion yuan in 2024 [4] - Total assets are projected to grow from 30.857 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.461 billion yuan in 2024 [5] - Total liabilities are expected to increase from 16.800 billion yuan in 2023 to 20.966 billion yuan in 2024 [5] - The company maintains a strong liquidity position with a current ratio projected to remain stable [6]
宇通客车10月销量解读及后续销量展望
2024-11-06 16:34
通常话我们也是每个月一次的一个解读吧那么在我同事然后这边跟大家详细的汇报之前我在这个时间点我觉得还是有必要跟各位领导再强调一下我们对于宇通的这个观点的结论的话宇通是我们系统最看好的两个标记之一那么也是我们二五年目前从年度策略角度来看应该是明年我们的 继续核心推进的这个经过主要我们还是想强调两点吧第一就是我们还是会维持二三年以来的对于从这一轮所处的这个大周期的实际上上的这样的一个判断吧我们会认为就是海外的这波的红利尤其是新疆科技的红利现在 确实还是在中期的这个持续向上的一个位置那么公司的这个远期出口两万台的目标我们认为是实现的概率是非常非常大的这是第一点第二的话就是对于公司今年的这个交付节奏确实大家可能会看到上半年比较快进入三季度以来到昨天学分数据大家可能还是会看到 新西兰的达成率还不到70%我们认为大家不要着急这一块确实交付的规律每年都差异会比较大 跟陈公司那边是有很大差异我们建议大家还是再耐心的等待一下十一、十二月份的数据我们认为还是能够去全年达成公司原定的这样的一个目标我们对整个公司的这个目标市值来看的话我们还是坚持之前那个判断吧今年年底我们认为肯定是能够创历史新高的那么对于公司这轮合理的这个目标市值我们 ...
宇通客车(600066) - 宇通客车股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表(2024年10月)
2024-11-05 09:08
Sales Performance - In the first three quarters, the industry sales of buses over 5 meters reached 111,951 units, a year-on-year increase of 18.0% [2] - The company sold 31,346 buses, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.3% [2] - The company's revenue for the same period was 24.07 billion yuan, up 27.0% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.43 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 131.5% [2] Technological Advancements - The company has developed a vehicle monitoring and warning system to enhance vehicle safety and reduce lifecycle costs [3] - Key features include remote diagnostics, driver behavior analysis, and online repair requests, aimed at improving operational efficiency [3] - The company has launched a cloud platform for vehicle networking, focusing on big data and vehicle cybersecurity [3] Hydrogen Energy Vehicles - The company has prioritized the research and commercialization of fuel cell buses, achieving batch sales of these vehicles [3] - Development of a long-range fuel cell power system has been completed, with successful cross-province operation [3] - Key components such as domestic membrane electrodes and proton exchange membranes have been developed to reduce costs [3] After-Sales Service - The company promotes a direct service model, expanding service centers and utilizing over 1,600 authorized service outlets [3] - A focus on customer-centric service strategies has led to the development of comprehensive service solutions [3] Export Market Outlook - The export volume of large and medium-sized buses increased by 37.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters [3] - Future growth in overseas markets is anticipated, driven by the Belt and Road Initiative and increasing demand for new energy buses in regions like Europe and Southeast Asia [3]
宇通客车:关于召开2024年第三季度业绩说明会的公告
2024-11-05 08:35
证券代码:600066 证券简称:宇通客车 编号:临 2024-053 宇通客车股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")已于 2024 年 10 月 29 日披露 2024 年第三季度报告。为便于广大投资者更全 面深入地了解公司 2024 年三季度经营成果、财务状况,公司计 划于 2024 年 11 月 13 日上午 9:00-10:00 召开 2024 年第三季度 业绩说明会,就投资者关心的问题进行交流,同时听取投资者的 意见和建议。 宇通客车股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 会议召开时间:2024年11月13日(星期三)上午9:00- 10:00 会议召开地点:上海证券交易所上证路演中心(网址: http://roadshow.sseinfo.com/) 会议召开方式:网络互动 投资者可于11月6日(星期三)至11月12日(星期二)16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公 司邮箱 ir@yutong.com 进行 ...
宇通客车:2024年10月份产销数据快报
2024-11-05 08:35
证券代码:600066 证券简称:宇通客车 编号:临2024-052 宇通客车股份有限公司 2024 年 10 月份产销数据快报 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 宇通客车股份有限公司2024年10月份产销数据快报如下: 注:本表为销售快报数据,最终数据以公司定期报告数据为 准。 特此公告。 宇通客车股份有限公司董事会 二零二四年十一月五日 1 单位:辆 产 品 2024 年 10 月份 去年同期 单月数量 同比变动 本年 累计 去年同期 累计 累计数量 同比变动 生产量 3,558 2,577 38.07% 35,485 29,582 19.95% 其中:大型 1,558 1,435 8.57% 19,844 15,761 25.91% 中型 1,549 889 74.24% 11,516 9,931 15.96% 轻型 451 253 78.26% 4,125 3,890 6.04% 销售量 3,221 2,249 43.22% 34,567 28,524 21.19% 其中:大型 1,321 1,192 1 ...
宇通客车:关于对外担保的进展公告
2024-11-05 08:35
证券代码:600066 证券简称:宇通客车 编号:临 2024-054 宇通客车股份有限公司 关于对外担保的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 2024 年 10 月发生担保事项(以下简称"本次担保")的被 担保人为宇通客车股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")全资子公 司香港宇通国际有限公司(以下简称"香港宇通")、控股子公司 宇威顺通(西安)汽车销售服务有限公司(以下简称"西安宇威 顺通")等。 2024 年 10 月新增对子公司担保发生额为 4,466.18 万元; 为购房人申请按揭贷款提供阶段性担保发生额为 3,182.50 万元; 为购车客户等销售业务链相关企业提供担保/回购责任发生额为 7,509.37 万元。(外币金额根据 2024 年 10 月 31 日即期汇率折 算为人民币,如无特别说明,本公告中金额币种均为人民币) 1、对控股子公司及控股子公司之间相互提供的担保; 2、为购房客户提供阶段性担保; 截至本公告披露日,公司无逾期担保。 一、担保情况概述 (一)担保事项审议程序 本 ...
宇通客车:2024年第二次临时股东大会会议资料
2024-11-05 08:15
二、请出席现场会议的股东或股东授权代表携带相关身份证 明(股票账户卡、身份证或公司营业执照等)及相关授权文件于 2024 年 11 月 18 日 8:00-8:20 在本公司行政南楼六楼大会议室 办理签到手续。 三、为保证本次会议的正常秩序,除已办理参会登记或出席 会议的股东或股东授权代表、公司董事、监事、高级管理人员及 相关工作人员外,公司有权拒绝其他无关人员进入会场。 四、股东需要发言或就有关问题进行提问的,应在会议登记 期间将相关问题向公司董事会办公室进行登记。为提高会议召开 质量和效率,每名股东发言时间原则上不超过 5 分钟。 目录 | 2024 | 年第二次临时股东大会会议须知 | 1 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2024 | 年第二次临时股东大会议程 | 2 | | 审议事项: | | | | 2024 | 年前三季度利润分配预案 | 3 | 宇通客车股份有限公司 2024年第二次临时股东大会会议须知 为维护投资者合法权益,确保公司 2024 年第二次临时股东 大会的正常秩序和顺利召开,根据《公司法》《上市公司股东大 会规则》以及《公司章程》的有关规定,特制定本会议须知,请 出 ...