Core Insights - The report highlights the contradiction faced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, where carbon reduction pressures are increasing while the growth rate of new energy installations is slowing down. The introduction of a national capacity price policy is expected to open up space for new energy installations and support high-yield investment options for power companies during the "14th Five-Year Plan" investment intensity [5][6][9]. Group 1: Energy Storage Industry - The national capacity price policy, issued on January 30, 2026, aims to establish a mechanism that balances power supply stability, green energy transformation, and efficient resource allocation. This policy is expected to support the development of adjustable power sources and enhance the installation of new energy [7][9]. - The report estimates that the demand for energy storage will show a high growth trend, with new energy storage installations expected to reach 66.43 GW and 189.48 GWh in 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 52% and 73% respectively [8][9]. - The capacity price policy is seen as the final piece needed for energy storage development, potentially increasing project returns from approximately 6.5% to over 8% under current subsidy conditions. This is expected to stimulate investment interest from state-owned enterprises in new energy storage projects [8][9]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in leading companies involved in energy storage integration and upstream battery cells, recommending firms such as Sungrow Power Supply, Trina Solar, LONGi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, CATL, and Eve Energy. It also advises monitoring companies like Haisum, Sungrow Electric, Canadian Solar, and Penghui Energy [9].

2月4日，浙江龙盛大宗交易成交145.35万股，成交额2000.02万元，占当日总成交额的2.18%，成交价 13.76元，较市场收盘价14.36元折价4.18%。 | 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额[万元) 成交量(*) 买入营业部 | | | | 卖出营业部 | 是否为专场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 026-02-04 | 浙江龙督 | 600352 | 13.76 2000.02 | 145.35 | 覺都是發展 | 類翻譯 | | Ka | ...

Core Viewpoint - The improvement in the pattern of disperse dye intermediates is expected to drive up disperse dye prices, while the supply tightening of H-acid, an active dye intermediate, may also lead to potential price increases. The price increase expectations for these two types of dyes have been gradually confirmed by leading companies' price hikes, with a positive outlook for a long-term bullish market driven by environmental and dual-carbon policies in China [1]. Industry Restructuring - China is the largest dye producer globally, but the dye industry is highly polluting, generating significant wastewater. The tightening of environmental regulations has led to the exit of non-compliant small enterprises, resulting in a higher industry concentration. The concentration ratio (CR4) for disperse dyes is 67.2%, and for active dyes, it is 65.3%, indicating a well-established industry reshuffle [1][2]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued guidelines to expand zero-carbon factory construction to various sectors, including textiles, which may tighten carbon emission requirements in the dyeing industry [1]. Intermediate Supply Dynamics - The production of disperse dye intermediates involves complex processes that generate substantial waste, leading to a concentrated supply among compliant enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta. The supply elasticity is low due to the closure of many non-compliant small factories [2]. - The effective capacity of H-acid has fallen below 60,000 tons, with a supply gap exceeding 10%. Recent maintenance by two major H-acid manufacturers may further reduce effective capacity by over 25% [2]. Price Elasticity and Market Comparison - The current situation of intermediates in the dye industry is likened to the relationship between citral and VA, characterized by complex synthesis processes and high concentration among leading firms. The cost of intermediates constitutes a significant portion of the production costs for dyes, which may lead to effective cost transmission [3]. - Historical data shows that disperse dye prices reached a high of 45,000 yuan/ton in 2015 and 19,000 yuan/ton currently, while active dye prices peaked at 33,000 yuan/ton in 2016 and are now at 23,000 yuan/ton, indicating substantial upward price potential [3]. Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include RunTu Co., Zhejiang Longsheng, Jihua Group, Jinji Co., Annuoqi, Yabang Co., Fulaient, Wanfeng Co., and Haixiang Pharmaceutical, which are expected to benefit from the favorable market dynamics and integrated advantages [3].

2月3日，浙江龙盛涨5.11%，截至发稿，报14.40元/股，成交6.24亿元，换手率1.36%，总市值468.48亿 元。 鹏华中证细分化工产业主题ETF联接A（014942）基金经理为闫冬。 截至发稿，闫冬累计任职时间6年324天，现任基金资产总规模217.96亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 456.3%， 任职期间最差基金回报-40.74%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，浙江龙盛集团股份有限公司位于浙江省绍兴市上虞区道墟街道龙盛大道1号，成立日期1998 年3月23日，上市日期2003年8月1日，公司主营业务涉及染料、中间体、减水剂以及纯碱、合成氨等无 机化工产品。主营业务收入构成为：染料55.83%，中间体23.14%，助剂7.33%，无机产品5.08%，房产 业务3.48%，其它业务1.88%，汽配业务1.23%，颜色标准及可持续发展解决方案1.22%，其他(补 充)0.81% ...

证券日报网讯2月2日，浙江龙盛（600352）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年1月31日， 公司股东总户数102468户。 ...

Market Overview - The chemical products sector experienced a decline of 4.83% on February 2, with Meibang Technology leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the chemical products sector included: - Wanfeng Co., Ltd. (603172) with a closing price of 28.30, up 9.99% on a trading volume of 52,700 shares [1] - Fulu Technology (688350) closed at 28.42, up 3.65% with a volume of 136,800 shares [1] - Tiansheng New Materials (300169) at 7.11, up 3.64% with 311,400 shares traded [1] - Major decliners included: - Meibang Technology (920471) with a closing price of 18.57, down 12.61% on a volume of 102,000 shares [2] - Yida Co., Ltd. (300721) at 15.57, down 11.23% with 256,000 shares traded [2] - Zhongchumei (688267) at 28.92, down 10.02% with a volume of 85,100 shares [2] Capital Flow - The chemical products sector saw a net outflow of 3.325 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.427 billion yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Key stocks with significant capital flow include: - Jinghua New Materials (603683) with a net inflow of 37.77 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Wanfeng Co., Ltd. (603172) had a net inflow of 12.78 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Yida Co., Ltd. (300721) experienced a net outflow of 32.26 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector experienced a significant pullback on February 2, with the chemical ETF (516020) declining by 5.85% during trading, reflecting a broader downturn in the industry [1][7]. Market Performance - The chemical ETF (516020) opened lower and saw a decline of 5.85%, with a trading price of 0.917 as of the latest update [2][7]. - Key stocks in the sector, including Huafeng Chemical, Hongda Co., and Luxi Chemical, hit the daily limit down, while others like Satellite Chemical and Zhejiang Longsheng fell over 9% [1][7]. Supply Chain and External Factors - A cold wave in the U.S. Gulf Coast has led to the shutdown of several chemical plants, affecting over 30% of the chemical production capacity in Texas, which accounts for about one-third of the U.S. chemical output [3][10]. - The cold weather has increased natural gas prices, raising the costs of ethylene and polyethylene, while supply constraints are expected to strengthen the pricing outlook for chemical products [10]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the chemical industry will face low demand in 2025, but measures to counteract "involution" may help restore profitability by 2026, alongside growth in new materials driven by rapid downstream demand [10]. - The current low valuation of the industry presents potential opportunities for investors, particularly through the chemical ETF (516020), which tracks a specialized index covering various themes including AI and new energy [10]. Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to consider the chemical ETF (516020) for efficient exposure to the sector, as it tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index and includes stocks related to trending themes [10].

抓住化工涨价行情系列之一——染料 20260130 摘要 还原物市场供应紧张是染料涨价主因，主要生产商包括宁夏中胜新、龙 胜和闰土，但实际产能未完全释放，开工率不足 80%，导致市场对涨价 预期强烈。 博奥股份因库存不足率先提价并停产，加剧市场供应紧张，推动整体价 格上涨。龙胜、闰土等企业随后跟进涨价，头部企业协调一致或将进一 步推高市场价格。 分散染料市场中，龙胜侧重环保及高牢度产品，常规品盈利困难；润土 产能与龙胜相当，吉华较小；中圣新通过收购增加成品产能至约 2 万吨。 下游客户对当前染料涨价接受度尚可，因前期备货不足，只能接受新价 格。染厂库存普遍较低，多为即时调货，小幅涨价仍可承受。 H 酸等原材料也在涨价，部分大厂提前停产检修，可能与市场调控有关。 企业通过调整产量和价格应对市场需求变化，H 酸价格上涨若能维持， 成交价有望达到每吨 3.5 万元。 中盛新与龙胜存在竞争关系，曾导致分散染料价格下降。若两家公司达 成一致，分散染料价格或大幅上涨，头部企业的态度是未来涨价的重要 驱动因素。 还原物扩产困难，现有工艺存在能耗高、收率低等问题，且新增产能难 以获批。龙胜还原物基本自给自足，中盛新产能是龙胜 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the chemical industry, specifically focusing on the supply and pricing dynamics of H acid and active dyes, which are critical intermediates in the dye manufacturing process [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **H Acid Supply Tightness**: Major H acid production facilities, including Dabaidan Leqing Technology Co., Ltd. and Dabaidan Hexin Technology Co., Ltd., have undergone maintenance, leading to a supply shortage. The average market price of H acid increased by 0.63% (+250 CNY/ton) to 40,300 CNY/ton, while the average price of active dyes rose by 4.55% (+1,000 CNY/ton) to 23,000 CNY/ton [1]. - **Environmental and Safety Pressures**: The production of H acid faces significant environmental and safety challenges due to difficult wastewater treatment and hazardous reactions, resulting in the gradual elimination of many small and outdated production capacities [1]. - **Cost Transmission Mechanism**: Historical data indicates that during the 2019 Q1 incident, H acid prices reached 80,000 CNY/ton, causing active dye prices to spike to 33,000 CNY/ton. H acid consumption in active dye production is substantial, accounting for 30-50% of production costs, which facilitates effective cost transmission [2]. - **Production Capacity Concerns**: Current effective H acid production capacity is below 60,000 tons, with a supply gap exceeding 10%. The recent maintenance of two major H acid manufacturers may further reduce effective capacity by over 25% [2]. Potential Investment Opportunities - **Jinji Co., Ltd.**: With an active dye production capacity of 45,000 tons and H acid capacity of 5,000 tons, the company has a market capitalization of approximately 4.3 billion CNY. A 10,000 CNY/ton increase in active dye prices could contribute an estimated 400 million CNY to performance [3]. - **Runtu Co., Ltd.**: The company has an active dye production capacity of 100,000 tons and a disperse dye capacity of 118,000 tons, with a market capitalization of around 13.6 billion CNY. A 10,000 CNY/ton increase in active dye prices could yield an estimated 880 million CNY in performance [3]. - **Zhejiang Longsheng**: This company possesses 70,000 tons of active dye capacity and 140,000 tons of disperse dye capacity, along with H acid and related reductants. A 10,000 CNY/ton increase in active dye prices could lead to an estimated 620 million CNY in performance [3]. Additional Important Information - The ongoing environmental inspections and incidents, such as the fire at the Yadong Fine Chemical Plant in Inner Mongolia, may exacerbate supply pressures for H acid, further impacting the active dye market [2].

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 2 月 2 日 二月份建议关注：1、低估值行业龙头公司；2、"反内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、下游需求旺 盛，自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司。 行业动态 投资建议 风险提示 ◼ 地缘政治因素变化引起油价大幅波动；全球经济形势出现变化。 相关研究报告 强于大市 化工行业周报 20260201 国际油价上涨，分散染料、维生素 E 价格上涨 《化工行业 2026 年度策略》20260128 《化工行业周报 20260125》20260125 《化工行业周报 20260118》20260118 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 基础化工 证券分析师：余嫄嫄 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300517050002 证券分析师：范琦岩 qiyan.fan@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300525040001 ◼ 本周（01.25-02.01）均价跟踪的 100 个化工品种中，共有 50 个品种价格上涨，22 个品种价格下 跌，2 ...