证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 吉林绿电直连项目开发建设实施方案征求意 见，国家电网披露十五五投资方向 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2026 年 02 月 09 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 执业证书：S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 2025/2/10 2025/6/10 2025/10/8 2026/2/5 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《气温回暖，欧美气价高位回落，国 内气价平稳》 2026-02-09 《发电侧容量电价机制完善，容量机 制扩围提比，调节性资产价值重塑》 2026-02-02 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点：1）吉林绿电直连项目开发建设实施方案征求意见。1 月 30 日，吉林省能源局发布关于公开征求《吉林省绿电直连项目开发建 ...

行 业 及 产 业 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 研究支持 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 09 日 环保行业持续分化，运营资产表现 稳健 看好 ——环保行业 2025 年业绩前瞻 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 联系人 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 环保 - ⚫ 市政水务：整体运营平稳，工程业务有所下滑。市政供水及污水整体运营稳定，部分公 司受益战略扩张及水价调整，同时污水工程则整体需求下降，工程业务预计有所下滑， 预计 2025 年 Q1-4 归母净利同比整体平稳，其中中山公用+67%，江南水务同比+3%， 兴蓉环境+8%，洪城环境+1%。 ⚫ 垃圾焚烧：整体平稳，历史电费收入确认、折旧增加、收并购等带来分 ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - 2026 年 02 月 09 日 碳交易市场规模持续扩大 全球气价 回落 看好 —— 申万公用环保周报(26/2/02~26/2/06) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 电力：2025 年碳市场交易规模持续扩大。截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，全国碳排放权交易市场配额 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全 ...

龙净环保所属申万行业为：环保-环保设备Ⅱ-环保设备Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：固废处理、土壤修复、 光伏玻璃、PM2.5、节能环保等。 截至9月30日，龙净环保股东户数4.44万，较上期增加0.04%；人均流通股28630股，较上期减少0.04%。 2025年1月-9月，龙净环保实现营业收入78.58亿元，同比增长18.09%；归母净利润7.80亿元，同比增长 20.53%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，龙净环保十大流通股东中，广发多因子混合（002943）位居第六 大流通股东，持股2847.03万股，相比上期减少1175.26万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第九大流通股 东，持股1085.06万股，为新进股东。南方中证1000ETF（512100）退出十大流通股东之列。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 分红方面，龙净环保A股上市后累计派现31.84亿元。近三年，累计派现7.63亿元。 2月5日 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant block trading activity on February 3, with a total transaction value of 2.236 billion yuan, highlighting notable trading in specific stocks such as Shanghai Airport, Zijin Mining, and Longjing Environmental Protection [1]. Group 1: Block Trading Activity - A total of 80 stocks underwent block trading, with Shanghai Airport leading at 349 million yuan, followed by Zijin Mining at 274 million yuan and Longjing Environmental Protection at 161 million yuan [1]. - Among the stocks traded, 7 were sold at par value, 2 at a premium, and 71 at a discount, indicating a predominance of discounted trades [1]. Group 2: Premium and Discount Rates - The stocks with the highest premium rates were DeMa Technology at 5.67% and Shen High-Speed at 2.01% [1]. - The stocks with the highest discount rates included Kai Fa Technology at 29.94%, New Wave Shares at 23.56%, and Ai Meike at 23.43% [1]. Group 3: Institutional Buying and Selling - The top institutional buying positions included Shanghai Airport at 349 million yuan, Longxin Zhongke at 116 million yuan, and Xinyuan Shares at 60.575 million yuan [2]. - The leading institutional selling positions were Nanxin Technology at 8.4 million yuan and Guobo Electronics at 4.1784 million yuan [2].

事件跟踪：上海老港生态环保基地绿色甲醇首发：复洁科技牵头，颠覆性技术实现100%碳利用&降本 30%。上海老港生态环保基地首批绿色甲醇发布，标志着全国首个"沼气全碳定向转化制绿色甲醇"千吨 级中试装置成功投运。该技术实现100%碳利用率，较传统工艺降本超30%，并将开启10 万吨级工程放 大，助力上海国际航运中心绿色燃料供给。建议关注【复洁科技】，绿色甲醇沼气高价值化利用标的， 具备上海老港基地沼气保障碳源。 2026 年策略：仓庚于飞，熠燿其羽：价值+成长共振，双碳驱动新生！ 主线1——红利价值：重视市场化+提质增效、优质运营价值重估。1）固废：国补加速强化分红能力， 25 年左右可再生能源补贴基金当年收支实现平衡，考虑资本开支下降+国补常态化回款，板块分红潜力 有望从114%提至141%；提吨发&改供热&炉渣涨价可带来业绩与ROE 双升，关注海外新成长。重点推 荐①红利价值：【瀚蓝环境】【绿色动力H+A】【上海实业控股】【海螺创业】【永兴股份】【光大 环境】【军信股份】；②出海成长：【伟明环保】【三峰环境】【光大环境】【军信股份】。2）水 务：价格市场化+现金流左侧，自由现金流改善带来分红和PE 估值提升 ...

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略深度报告 策略深度报告 20260202 2 月度金股：蓄势再出发 2026 年 02 月 02 日 [Table_Summary] ◼ 波动释放后，2 月蓄势再出发 我们认为 1 月下旬指数的震荡整理有两方面原因。一方面源于波动率修复 的内在要求。1 月中旬，沪指 20 个交易日波动率指标升至短线高位，指数 需要通过放缓上行斜率的方式完成波动率的修复。另一方面，也与外生力 量的节奏引导相关，沪指走出十七连阳后市场情绪短期过热，多项信号密 集释放，核心宽基 ETF 多日放量净赎回，凸显外生力量逆周期调节平抑波 动的决心，强化"慢牛"思路。 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈刚 执业证书：S0600523040001 cheng@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 孙婷 展望 2 月，市场表现有望较 1 月下旬走强。一是当前沪指 20 个交易日波 动率已由峰值 102 回落至 32 附近， ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting stable revenue mechanisms and growth potential in consumption and pricing [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a refined capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and ensure fair compensation for various power sources [4][6]. - It notes that natural gas consumption is expected to grow, supported by favorable weather conditions and improved economic indicators, despite short-term price fluctuations [10][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Improved Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new power system [4]. - The new mechanism aims to ensure that different types of power generation, including coal, gas, and new energy sources, receive fair compensation based on their peak supply capabilities [6][7]. - The report highlights that the refined pricing structure will lead to more predictable revenue for power generation companies, reducing volatility in earnings [7]. 2. Natural Gas: Continued Growth in Consumption - The report indicates that the apparent consumption of natural gas in China is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2025, with December consumption reaching 38.57 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [29]. - It notes that the recent cold weather has supported high natural gas prices, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $7.18/mmBtu, while European prices remain elevated due to low inventory levels and geopolitical tensions [10][12]. - The report suggests that the natural gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved pricing mechanisms, leading to a recovery in profitability for city gas companies [31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal-fired power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their stable revenue sources [8]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential to improve profit margins through reduced capital expenditures [8]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested for their growth potential as new units are approved [8]. - The report also recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies like ENN Energy and China Gas Holdings, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and increased sales [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to policy improvements and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent improvements in the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and enhance the profitability of various power sources [6][10]. - It notes a slight increase in natural gas consumption in 2025, with a projected growth of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand outlook for the gas sector [32]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Capacity Pricing Mechanism Improvement - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new energy system [6]. - The new mechanism introduces differentiated pricing for various types of regulatory power sources, ensuring that their capacity value is adequately compensated [7]. - A unified compensation standard for peak capacity across different power sources is established, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [8][10]. 2. Gas Sector: Continued Growth in Natural Gas Consumption - Natural gas consumption in China is expected to reach 385.7 billion cubic meters by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [32]. - The report emphasizes the impact of cold weather on gas prices, with global prices remaining high, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which supports the profitability of gas companies [13][19]. - The report suggests that the gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved demand, particularly for city gas companies, with recommendations for several key players in the market [34]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, power, gas, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 24 to January 30, 2026 [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with significant growth in solar and wind power installations [43]. - The report includes various company announcements, highlighting performance forecasts and operational updates from key players in the energy sector [44].

Market Overview - On January 30, the environmental equipment sector rose by 0.09% compared to the previous trading day, with Hengyu Environmental leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - Hengying Environmental (688309) closed at 31.60, up 12.06% with a trading volume of 58,100 shares and a transaction value of 175 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Meiyu Technology (688376) with a closing price of 69.02, up 2.77%, and Lihua Technology (300800) at 12.69, up 2.59% [1] - The table of stock performance shows various companies in the environmental equipment sector with their respective closing prices, percentage changes, trading volumes, and transaction values [1] Capital Flow - The environmental equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 124 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 151 million yuan [2] - The capital flow table indicates the net inflow and outflow for various stocks within the sector, highlighting the dynamics between institutional and retail investors [2][3] Individual Stock Analysis - Yinfeng Environment (000967) had a net inflow of 28.08 million yuan from institutional investors, while Hengying Environmental (688309) saw a net inflow of 18.60 million yuan [3] - Conversely, Huahong Technology (002645) faced a significant decline of 10.00%, with a trading volume of 323,900 shares and a transaction value of 507 million yuan [2][3]