（编辑 楚丽君） 证券日报网讯 2月12日，海螺水泥在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司已建立财务共享中心，形成 了覆盖核心业务场景、统筹运营主体的共享服务能力，有力支撑各业务板块的财务协同，持续赋能公司 高质量发展。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is experiencing a sustainable growth momentum due to unprecedented debt resolution actions, which are expected to improve market expectations and drive investment recovery in infrastructure and real estate sectors [1] Fiscal Perspective - The current debt resolution measures, including debt swaps and the expansion of special bonds, have systematically alleviated liquidity constraints for local governments, improving fiscal space for infrastructure investments [1] - Special bonds issued by local governments have been increasing annually since 2017, with projections for 2024 and 2025 to exceed 7 trillion yuan, and the total issuance in 2025 expected to surpass 10 trillion yuan for the first time in history [1][4] Infrastructure Investment - The issuance of special bonds is expected to lead to a significant increase in construction activity in transportation, municipal, and water conservancy sectors, with a projected surge in physical work volume in the first half of 2025 [4][6] - Despite a decline in infrastructure investment growth, the sector still holds a significant share of fixed asset investment, indicating its critical role in the overall economy [4] Policy Transition - The policy environment is shifting from "debt replacement" to "investment stimulation," which is likely to further enhance demand for construction materials [5] Demand Dynamics - The demand structure for construction materials is changing, with traditional materials benefiting from infrastructure support and renovation materials gaining from the demand for upgrading existing properties [6] - The dual drivers of infrastructure and real estate are expected to provide a solid foundation for the construction materials sector during this debt resolution cycle [6] Profitability and Market Outlook - The profitability of the cement industry is recovering, with expectations of improved margins due to supply-side adjustments and a favorable demand outlook from real estate policies [8] - The construction materials sector is characterized by high cash flow and potential for stable dividends, with forecasts indicating overall profit recovery by 2026 [8] Investment Opportunities - The construction materials ETF (159745) tracks the performance of the construction materials index, providing investors with a tool to efficiently allocate resources in the sector [8][11] - The sector is viewed as a core cyclical investment opportunity, especially in the context of a market shift towards undervalued, high-dividend stocks [11]

Core Viewpoint - Current infrastructure investment is becoming a crucial support for the economy, with fiscal policies continuously strengthening, leading to a configuration window driven by infrastructure recovery in the building materials sector [1] Group 1: Infrastructure Investment Dynamics - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is entering its final year, accelerating the implementation of major engineering projects, which is providing solid support for the improvement of the industry fundamentals through the demand pull of infrastructure [1] - Since the second half of 2024, active fiscal policies have significantly increased, with the pace of special bond issuance accelerating and the launch of ultra-long special government bonds injecting ample funds into infrastructure investment [1] - Infrastructure investment has a clear policy orientation and planning, unlike the endogenous fluctuations of real estate investment, with 2025 being a key year for the transition between the "14th" and "15th" Five-Year Plans [1][4] Group 2: Investment Trends and Performance - Despite a year-on-year decline in cumulative infrastructure construction investment to -1.48% in December, the cumulative proportion of infrastructure investment remained high at 50.49% in December 2025, reflecting its significant position in fixed asset investment [1][4] - Key areas for current infrastructure investment include urban agglomerations, metropolitan areas, and the connectivity of infrastructure along the "Belt and Road" [4] - Major infrastructure projects are expected to drive demand for cement, pipes, waterproof materials, and other building materials, with a focus on water conservancy and disaster prevention projects [4][5] Group 3: Building Materials Sector Outlook - The building materials industry is currently in a low operating state after inventory destocking, and the concentrated release of infrastructure demand is expected to trigger price elasticity [5] - The profitability transmission from infrastructure recovery is anticipated to drive the development of the building materials sector, with a notable improvement in gross profit margins due to supply-side discipline and cost pressure relief [6] - The building materials sector is characterized by "valuation repair + profit improvement," with the risk of a cliff-like decline in demand eliminated by infrastructure support, leading to a systematic uplift in valuation [8] Group 4: Investment Vehicles and Strategies - The building materials ETF (159745) tracks the CSI All-Share Building Materials Index, covering leading enterprises across the entire industry chain, providing an efficient tool for investors to layout in the building materials sector [8][9] - The top ten holdings in the ETF reflect a high concentration in leading companies across various segments of the building materials industry, accounting for over 60% of the total holdings [9] - The building materials sector is highlighted as a core cyclical investment, with low valuations and high dividends, making it attractive for investors during market shifts towards cyclical stocks [12]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [5] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the expectation of price increases post-Spring Festival and the potential catalyst from the real estate sector. It highlights that the consumption building materials sector may begin to show fundamentals independent of real estate from 2025-2026, with a focus on the resilience of the real estate market after the Spring Festival [2][7] - The report recommends leading companies in the consumption building materials sector that have independent growth logic and sufficient dividend valuation support, particularly in the waterproof materials sub-sector [5][7] Summary by Sections Building Materials Industry Investment Strategy - The consumption building materials sector is anticipated to benefit from potential macroeconomic improvements, with a focus on the resilience of the real estate market post-Spring Festival. The report highlights the importance of observing second-hand housing transactions for signs of market recovery [7] - Recommended companies include Oriental Yuhong, Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, and others that are expected to perform well due to their growth strategies and market positions [7] Market Review - From February 2 to February 6, 2026, the building materials sector increased by 0.70%, with specific segments like glass manufacturing rising by 5.32% [10] - The report notes significant individual stock movements, with companies like Hanjian Heshan and Jinjing Technology showing notable weekly gains [17] Cement Industry - The national cement market price decreased by 1% week-on-week, with significant price drops in regions like Henan and Hubei. The average shipment rate for cement companies fell by approximately 8 percentage points [24][25] - The report anticipates a stabilization in cement prices as the market enters a holiday period, with a focus on the execution of production restrictions in 2026 [7][24] Glass Industry - The average price of domestic float glass increased to 1154.49 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 9.69 RMB/ton. However, demand is expected to weaken as downstream processing plants shut down for the holiday [42] - The report recommends leading companies in the glass sector, including Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass, due to their strong market positions and dividend yields [42][43] Fiberglass Industry - The report indicates that the fiberglass market is experiencing price increases, particularly in the electronic yarn segment, driven by tight supply and steady demand [55] - Recommended companies in this sector include China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology, which are expected to benefit from structural demand upgrades [55]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the expectation of price increases post-Spring Festival and the potential catalyst from the real estate sector. It highlights that the consumption building materials sector may begin to show fundamentals independent of real estate from 2025-2026, with a focus on the resilience of the real estate market after the Spring Festival [2][7]. - The report recommends leading companies in the consumption building materials sector that have independent growth logic and sufficient dividend valuation support, particularly in the waterproof materials sub-sector [5][7]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The consumption building materials sector is anticipated to benefit from potential macroeconomic improvements, with a focus on the resilience of the real estate market post-Spring Festival. The report highlights the importance of observing the transaction data in the real estate market for signs of sustained improvement [7]. - Recommendations include companies like Oriental Yuhong, Beixin Building Materials, and Weixing New Materials, which are expected to perform well due to their growth strategies and market positioning [7]. Market Review - The building materials sector saw a 0.70% increase, with cement manufacturing up 0.15%, glass manufacturing up 5.32%, and glass fiber manufacturing down 1.81% during the period from February 2 to February 6, 2026 [10]. - The report notes significant individual stock movements, with Han Jian He Shan and Jin Jing Technology showing notable weekly gains [17]. Cement Industry - The national cement market price decreased by 1% week-on-week, with significant price drops in regions like Henan and Hubei. The average shipment rate for cement companies in key regions fell by approximately 8 percentage points [24]. - The report anticipates a stabilization in cement prices as the market enters a holiday period, with a focus on the potential for price increases post-holiday [24][25]. Glass Industry - The average price of domestic float glass increased to 1154.49 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 9.69 CNY/ton. However, demand is expected to weaken as downstream processing plants shut down for the holiday [42]. - The report suggests that companies like Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass are well-positioned due to their high dividend yields and global market presence [42][43]. Glass Fiber Industry - The report indicates that the price of glass fiber is on an upward trend, supported by tight supply and steady demand. The market for electronic yarn remains strong, with prices for certain products increasing [55]. - Leading companies in this sector, such as China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology, are recommended due to their competitive advantages and market positioning [55].

Investment Rating - The report rates the construction materials industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [2][12]. Core Insights - Domestic cement prices are expected to show a trend of high prices followed by a decline, with an average price of 372.8 RMB/ton in 2025, a decrease of 12.6 RMB/ton year-on-year. Cement production is projected to decline by 7.2% in 2025, with a gradual recovery in profitability anticipated in 2026 due to supply-side improvements [4]. - The glass sector continues to face pressure, with the average price of flat glass expected to drop to 1323.3 RMB/ton in 2025, a significant decrease of 383.4 RMB/ton year-on-year. The industry is entering a period of accelerated cold repairs, which may enhance profitability in the future [4]. - The fiberglass yarn market remains relatively stable, with an expected average price of 3866 RMB/ton in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 174 RMB/ton. The demand for specialty electronic fabrics is anticipated to grow rapidly, contributing positively to the sector's performance [4]. - Consumer building materials are expected to show strong performance, with companies like Sanke Tree and Han Gao Group maintaining excellent revenue and profit due to strong channel development and brand advantages [4]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - The average cement price in 2025 is projected at 372.8 RMB/ton, down 12.6 RMB/ton from the previous year. The first quarter's average price is expected to be 400.8 RMB/ton, declining to 358.0 RMB/ton by the fourth quarter. Cement production is expected to decrease by 7.2% in 2025, with a recovery in profitability anticipated in 2026 due to supply-side improvements [4]. Glass Industry - The average price of flat glass is expected to be 1323.3 RMB/ton in 2025, a decrease of 383.4 RMB/ton year-on-year. The industry is entering a cold repair cycle, with daily melting capacity dropping below 150,000 tons. This may lead to improved profitability in the future [4]. Fiberglass Sector - The average price of fiberglass yarn is projected to be 3866 RMB/ton in 2025, an increase of 174 RMB/ton year-on-year. The demand for specialty electronic fabrics is expected to accelerate, contributing positively to the sector's performance [4]. Consumer Building Materials - Companies such as Sanke Tree and Han Gao Group are expected to perform strongly due to their robust channel development and brand advantages. Other companies in the sector are also expected to maintain good operational quality, with potential for significant performance recovery in 2026 [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with improving quarterly reports and those benefiting from supply-side adjustments. Recommended companies include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Tianshan Shares in the cement sector, as well as China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology in the fiberglass sector. In consumer building materials, companies like Dongfang Yuhong and Kezhong Shares are highlighted for their strong performance [4].

Group 1 - The Capital Group Companies, Inc. increased its stake in Conch Cement (600585) by acquiring 5,226,973 shares at a price of HKD 24.6293 per share, totaling approximately HKD 129 million [1] - Following the acquisition, The Capital Group's total shareholding in Conch Cement reached approximately 132 million shares, representing a 10.16% ownership stake [1]

Group 1 - The Capital Group Companies, Inc. increased its stake in Conch Cement (00914) by 5,226,973 shares at a price of HKD 24.6293 per share, totaling approximately HKD 129 million [1] - Following the increase, the total number of shares held by The Capital Group is approximately 132 million, representing a holding percentage of 10.16% [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [3] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, funds increased their allocation in the cement and glass sectors, while the overall allocation in the building materials sector remains low at 0.51%, with a low allocation of 0.49% [19][23] - The industry shows signs of profit recovery, with leading companies demonstrating resilience [23] - The fund's strategy continues to focus on core industries that counteract internal competition, particularly in waterproofing and glass [41] Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q4 2025, the fund's allocation in the building materials sector is 0.51%, up by 0.046 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a low allocation compared to the overall market [19] - The allocation by sub-sector includes cement at 0.13%, glass at 0.07%, and other materials at 0.02% [23] - The fund increased its holdings in all sub-sectors except for consumer materials, new materials, and glass fibers [23] Individual Stock Performance - The top ten companies by fund holdings as of Q4 2025 include: - 菲利华 (44.5 billion RMB) - 东方雨虹 (22.4 billion RMB) - 三棵树 (20.5 billion RMB) - 中材科技 (16.1 billion RMB) - 海螺水泥 (13.7 billion RMB) [41] - The top ten companies by fund holding percentage include: - 菲利华 (8.68%) - 东方雨虹 (8.61%) - 三棵树 (6.00%) [41] Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report includes a detailed valuation and financial analysis of key companies in the building materials sector, with several companies rated as "Buy" based on their projected earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the construction materials sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Views - The report highlights a favorable supply-demand dynamic in the electronic fabric market, with price increases expected to continue in 2026, driven by structural adjustments and strong demand for mid-to-high-end products [5][9]. - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in major cities, which is anticipated to boost the performance of consumer building materials [5][9]. - The cement industry is entering a seasonal downturn, with a slight decrease in prices and demand, but is expected to stabilize post-Chinese New Year [22][29]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is experiencing a seasonal decline, with average shipment rates around 25%, down approximately 8 percentage points week-on-week [22][24]. - The average price of cement is approximately 347 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 3.2 RMB/ton [22][24]. - Recommendations include companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with a focus on potential recovery post-holiday [29]. Glass - The glass market is entering a demand lull, with production capacity decreasing to about 14.89 million tons per day, and inventory levels rising [31][41]. - The average price of float glass has increased to 1,154 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week rise of 10 RMB/ton [31][41]. - Companies to watch include Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, as they may benefit from the anticipated stabilization in the market [41]. Fiberglass - The electronic fabric prices have increased, with 7628 electronic fabric now priced at 5.1-5.3 RMB/m, indicating a strong market outlook for 2026 [5][9]. - The report recommends China Jushi as a key player in the fiberglass sector, with additional attention on International Composite Materials and Changhai Co., Ltd. [5][9]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are stable, with potential demand growth driven by advancements in commercial aerospace [5][9]. - Companies like Zhongfu Shenying and Guangwei Composites are highlighted for their growth potential in this sector [5][9].