Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the banking sector in 2026, indicating a return to fundamental narratives supported by policy-driven financial tools [6][25]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in January 2026, social financing (社融) increased by 8.2% year-on-year, with a total increment of 7.22 trillion yuan, exceeding market expectations [9][10]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of asset expansion in the banking sector, supported by a concentrated repricing cycle of deposits, which is expected to stabilize net interest margins [25][26]. - It identifies two main investment themes: quality small and medium-sized banks with solid fundamentals and state-owned banks with defensive value [26]. Summary by Sections Social Financing and Loan Growth - In January 2026, social financing increased by 8.2% year-on-year, with a total increment of 7.22 trillion yuan, which is 1,654 billion yuan more than the previous year [9][10]. - The report notes that the increment in government bonds was significant, with an increase of 2,831 billion yuan, marking the highest level for January since 2020 [10]. - The report indicates that the growth rate of loans fell to 6.1% year-on-year, with new loans amounting to 4.71 trillion yuan, which is 4,200 billion yuan less than the previous year [13][14]. Deposit Growth and Monetary Aggregates - M1 and M2 growth rates showed a rebound, with M1 increasing by 4.9% year-on-year and M2 by 9.0% [21]. - The report states that new RMB deposits reached 8.09 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.77 trillion yuan year-on-year, driven by significant growth in corporate and non-bank deposits [21][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two investment lines: quality small and medium-sized banks such as Nanjing Bank, Ningbo Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and state-owned banks like Bank of Communications and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which are rated as stable [25][26].

个人消费贷业务是南京银行个人贷款业务的重点。据南京银行2025年中期报告显示，截至报告期 末，该行个人贷款余额3319.49亿元，较上年末增加117.55亿元，增长3.67%。其中，消费类贷款的期末 余额为2072.93亿元，占个人贷款的比重达到62.45%。这意味着，南京银行的个人贷款业务重点为消费 类贷款，信用卡和住房抵押贷款占比相对较小。 (责任编辑：华青剑) 中国经济网北京2月14日讯 《经济参考报》2月13日发表文章《个贷不良率承压 南京银行加速"坏 账"处置》。文章指出，2月初，南京银行股份有限公司（简称"南京银行"，601009.SH）在银登网挂牌 转让2026年第1期个人不良贷款（信用卡透支）资产包，该资产包未偿本息总额约1.23亿元。数据显 示，该行个人贷款不良率同比攀升。南京银行对不良贷款资产包的精细化处置，显示"最严催收新规"落 地实效。 文章称，据2025年三季度报告显示，该行母公司期末的个人贷款不良率升至1.33%，较上年末的 1.29%增加了0.04个百分点，远高于该行同期0.83%的公司不良贷款率，体现出该行在个人贷款业务方面 的风险上升。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - The overall social financing growth slightly declined to 8.2% in January, while M1 and M2 growth rates significantly rebounded, with M1 growing by 4.9% and M2 by 9.0% [6][16] - Government net financing increased significantly by 2,831 billion yuan year-on-year, contributing to the overall social financing growth [6][17] - The report indicates a shift in deposit structure due to accelerated deposit migration, impacting M1 negatively while having limited effect on M2 [6][16] Summary by Sections Overall Situation - Social financing growth decreased slightly to 8.2%, while M1 and M2 growth rates increased significantly [15][16] - M1 and M2 growth rates rose by 1.1 percentage points and 0.5 percentage points respectively compared to the previous month [6][16] Government Sector - Fiscal strength showed a year-on-year decline, impacting overall financing dynamics [39] Household Sector - Demand remained stable year-on-year, with short-term loan demand increasing [39] Corporate Sector - Short-term loan demand increased year-on-year, while bill financing saw a significant reduction [39] Non-Bank Sector - The acceleration of deposit migration was noted, with non-bank deposits increasing by 1.45 trillion yuan year-on-year [6][39]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The report highlights a "strong deposit, weak loan" characteristic in the opening month of the year [4] - In January 2026, new social financing increased by 7.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.2 billion yuan, with a balance growth of 8.2% [4][5] - New RMB loans in January 2026 amounted to 4.7 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 420 billion yuan, with a balance growth of 6.1% [4][5] - The report indicates that consumer demand has shown some recovery, particularly in short-term loans, but overall consumer credit demand may remain pessimistic throughout the year [1][2] Summary by Sections Credit Overview - Entity credit remained stable, with a significant reduction in bill financing [1] - Retail loans saw an increase of 456.5 billion yuan in January, with short-term loans contributing 109.7 billion yuan [1] - Corporate loans totaled 4.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 330 billion yuan, influenced by a substitution effect between short-term loans and bill financing [2] Social Financing - Government bonds contributed significantly to social financing, with new issuance of 976.4 billion yuan in January, a year-on-year increase of 283.1 billion yuan [5] - The report notes a trend of "deposit migration," with non-bank deposits reaching 36 trillion yuan, accounting for 10.7% of total deposits [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a "New Momentum Portfolio" including banks like Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others, highlighting their potential for value recovery [3][5] - It emphasizes the importance of high-dividend bank stocks in the current environment, suggesting that banks with new growth drivers may achieve greater value restoration [5]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration have conducted an assessment for the 2025 systemically important banks, identifying 21 domestic banks as systemically important, including 6 state-owned commercial banks, 10 joint-stock commercial banks, and 5 city commercial banks [1][3] - The list aims to establish a comprehensive macro-prudential management system and strengthen the regulation of systemically important financial institutions [2] Group 2 - Systemically important banks in China are categorized into five groups based on their importance scores, with the first group consisting of 11 banks, the second group having 4 banks, the third group with 2 banks, the fourth group containing 4 banks, and no banks in the fifth group [3] - The People's Bank of China plans to enhance the combined effect of macro-prudential management and micro-prudential regulation, continuing to solidify additional supervision for systemically important banks to promote their safe and sound operation and better serve the high-quality development of the real economy [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The report highlights a "strong deposit, weak loan" characteristic in the opening month of the year [4] - In January 2026, new social financing increased by 7.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.2 billion yuan, with a balance growth of 8.2% [4][5] - New RMB loans in January 2026 amounted to 4.7 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 420 billion yuan, with a balance growth of 6.1% [4][5] - The report indicates that consumer demand has shown some recovery, particularly in short-term loans, but overall consumer credit demand may remain pessimistic throughout the year [1][2] Summary by Sections Credit Overview - Entity credit remained stable, with a significant reduction in bill financing [1] - Retail loans added 456.5 billion yuan in January, a year-on-year increase of 12.7 billion yuan [1] - Corporate loans added 4.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 330 billion yuan, primarily due to a reduction in bill financing [2] Social Financing - Government bonds contributed significantly to social financing, with new issuance of 976.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 283.1 billion yuan [5] - The report notes a trend of "deposit migration," with non-bank deposits reaching 36 trillion yuan, accounting for 10.7% of total deposits [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a "New Momentum Portfolio" including banks such as Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, highlighting their potential for value recovery [3][5] - It emphasizes the importance of high-dividend bank stocks as having allocation value amid steady declines in credit growth [5]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has conducted an assessment of systemically important banks for 2025, identifying 21 domestic banks categorized into five groups based on their systemic importance scores [1] Group 1: Assessment Overview - The assessment is part of a broader effort to establish a comprehensive macro-prudential management system and strengthen the regulation of systemically important financial institutions [1] - The evaluation was carried out in collaboration with the National Financial Regulatory Administration [1] Group 2: Classification of Banks - A total of 21 banks were recognized as systemically important, including 6 state-owned commercial banks, 10 joint-stock commercial banks, and 5 city commercial banks [1] - The banks are divided into five groups based on their systemic importance scores: - Group 1: 11 banks including China Minsheng Bank, China Everbright Bank, Ping An Bank, Huaxia Bank, Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Beijing Bank, Nanjing Bank, Guangfa Bank, Zheshang Bank, and Shanghai Bank [1] - Group 2: 4 banks including Industrial Bank, China CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and China Postal Savings Bank [1] - Group 3: 2 banks including Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank [1] - Group 4: 4 banks including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China [1] - Group 5: No banks were classified in this group [1]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration have conducted an assessment of systemically important banks for 2025, identifying 21 domestic banks categorized into five groups based on their systemic importance scores [1]. Group 1: Assessment of Systemically Important Banks - A total of 21 banks have been recognized as systemically important, including 6 state-owned commercial banks, 10 joint-stock commercial banks, and 5 city commercial banks [1]. - The banks are divided into five groups based on their systemic importance scores, with the first group containing 11 banks, the second group 4 banks, the third group 2 banks, the fourth group 4 banks, and the fifth group having no banks [1]. Group 2: Breakdown of Banks by Group - **First Group (11 banks)**: Includes China Minsheng Bank, China Everbright Bank, Ping An Bank, Huaxia Bank, Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Beijing Bank, Nanjing Bank, Guangfa Bank, Zheshang Bank, and Shanghai Bank [1]. - **Second Group (4 banks)**: Includes Industrial Bank, China CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and China Postal Savings Bank [1]. - **Third Group (2 banks)**: Includes Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank [1]. - **Fourth Group (4 banks)**: Includes Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China [1]. - **Fifth Group**: No banks are included in this group [1]. Group 3: Future Regulatory Actions - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration will implement additional regulatory measures for systemically important banks according to the "Regulations on Additional Supervision of Systemically Important Banks (Trial)" [1]. - The aim is to enhance the synergy between macro-prudential management and micro-prudential supervision, ensuring the safe and sound operation of systemically important banks and better supporting the high-quality development of the real economy [1].

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration have conducted an assessment for the 2025 systemically important banks, identifying 21 domestic banks, including 6 state-owned commercial banks, 10 joint-stock commercial banks, and 5 city commercial banks [3][4]. - The list aims to establish a comprehensive macro-prudential management system and strengthen the regulation of systemically important financial institutions [4]. - Systemically important banks are categorized into five groups based on their importance scores, with the first group including 11 banks such as China Minsheng Bank and China Everbright Bank, and the fourth group including major banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Bank of China [5]. Group 2 - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration will enhance the combined efforts of macro-prudential management and micro-prudential regulation to solidify additional supervision of systemically important banks, promoting their safe and sound operation to better serve the high-quality development of the real economy [5].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has identified 21 domestic systemically important banks for the year 2025, aiming to enhance macro-prudential management and regulatory oversight of these institutions [1] Group 1: Identification of Systemically Important Banks - A total of 21 banks have been recognized as systemically important, including 6 state-owned commercial banks, 10 joint-stock commercial banks, and 5 city commercial banks [1] - The banks are categorized into five groups based on their systemic importance scores, with the first group containing 11 banks, the second group 4 banks, the third group 2 banks, the fourth group 4 banks, and the fifth group having no banks [1] Group 2: Breakdown of Bank Groups - Group 1 includes: China Minsheng Bank, China Everbright Bank, Ping An Bank, Huaxia Bank, Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Beijing Bank, Nanjing Bank, Guangfa Bank, Zheshang Bank, and Shanghai Bank [1] - Group 2 consists of: Industrial Bank, China CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and China Postal Savings Bank [1] - Group 3 includes: Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank [1] - Group 4 comprises: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China [1] Group 3: Future Regulatory Actions - The People's Bank of China and the financial regulatory authority will implement additional regulatory measures as per the "Regulations on Additional Supervision of Systemically Important Banks (Trial)" to ensure the safe and sound operation of these banks [1] - The aim is to strengthen the macro-prudential management and micro-prudential regulatory synergy, promoting the healthy development of systemically important banks to better serve the high-quality development of the real economy [1]