北京商报讯（记者 宋亦桐）2月4日，农业银行发布《关于代理上海黄金交易所个人贵金属交易业务调 整延期合约保证金比例的通知》指出，近期国际贵金属市场价格波动加剧，个人客户交易类贵金属业务 市场风险上升。为切实保护投资者利益，农业银行定于自2026年2月5日（星期四）收盘清算时起，Au （T+D）、mAu（T+D）、Ag（T+D）合约的保证金比例从60%调整为80%。 相关合约交易保证金比例的后续调整，将另行通知。农业银行表示，请客户关注交易保证金比例变化及 持仓风险，合理控制持仓规模，理性交易。 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 2026 年 1 月社融前瞻 预计社融增速 8.3％ [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师： 林虎 SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 SFC CE No. BWK411 021-38003643 gflinhu@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 02/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 银行 沪深300 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 银行行业:浙江 163 家区域性 | 2026-02-03 | | --- | --- | | 银行全梳理——丈量地方性 | | | 银行（2） | | | 银行行业:政府债及春节取现 | 2026-02- ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the state-owned large bank sector experienced an increase of 0.73% on February 4, with Postal Savings Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - The main capital flow into the state-owned large bank sector was a net inflow of 399 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 40.88 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Postal Savings Bank's stock closed at 5.11 yuan, with a rise of 1.59% and a trading volume of 1.8883 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 959 million yuan [1] - China Bank's stock closed at 5.35 yuan, increasing by 1.33% with a trading volume of 2.7248 million shares, resulting in a transaction value of 1.455 billion yuan [1] - Agricultural Bank's stock closed at 6.67 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.15% and a trading volume of 3.0656 million shares, leading to a transaction value of 2.041 billion yuan [1] Group 3 - The main capital inflow for China Bank was 114 million yuan, accounting for 7.80% of the total, while retail investors had a net outflow of 32.22 million yuan [2] - Postal Savings Bank saw a main capital inflow of 90.38 million yuan, representing 9.42%, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 9.39 million yuan [2] - Construction Bank had a net capital outflow of 12.60 million yuan from main capital, while retail investors had a net inflow of 25.48 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have experienced significant volatility, rebounding from a previous drop and surpassing the $5000 per ounce mark as of February 4, 2026, following a sharp decline earlier in the week [2][3]. Market Dynamics - Gold prices saw a dramatic fluctuation, peaking near $5600 per ounce on January 29, 2026, before plummeting nearly 10% on January 30, dropping below $4500 per ounce by February 2, and then rebounding with over a 6% increase on February 3 [3]. - Analysts from Guangzhou Futures Co. noted that concerns over future monetary policy, coupled with technical selling pressure due to crowded positions, contributed to the price drop. However, long-term factors such as central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks are expected to support gold prices [5]. Risk Management Adjustments - Major state-owned banks have announced measures to strengthen risk management for gold investment businesses in response to price volatility. For instance, China Bank adjusted margin requirements and trading limits for gold and silver contracts starting February 3 and 4, respectively [6][8]. - Agricultural Bank also modified trading limits for gold and silver contracts effective February 3 and 4, respectively, to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations [7][8]. Changes in Investment Products - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China announced limits on its gold accumulation business starting February 7, 2026, particularly on non-trading days, to manage risk exposure [10]. - Construction Bank raised the minimum investment amount for personal gold accumulation to 1500 yuan, reflecting a tightening of investment conditions amid increased market volatility [11]. Investor Guidance - Banks have urged clients to monitor changes in trading limits and manage their positions wisely, emphasizing the importance of rational investment strategies [9][11]. - Financial experts recommend a systematic approach to gold investment, such as regular contributions, to avoid the pitfalls of emotional trading during volatile periods [12].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant declines in various sectors, particularly in metals and banks, with a notable focus on bank stocks as a safe haven amid volatility in precious metals prices [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 2, A-share non-ferrous metals led the decline with a drop of 7.62%, while steel, chemicals, coal, and oil and gas sectors also fell over 5% [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 2.48%, with over 4,600 stocks declining and a trading volume of approximately 2.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of nearly 250 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3][4]. - The banking sector showed resilience, with certain banks like Citic Bank and Shanghai Bank posting gains of 2.64% and 1.62%, respectively, amidst the overall market downturn [4]. Group 2: Bank Sector Analysis - The banking sector has seen a significant correction, with the China Securities Bank Index dropping 6.76% as of January 30, with major banks like Pudong Development Bank and Agricultural Bank of China experiencing declines of 19.29% and 12.5%, respectively [4][5]. - Analysts believe that the peak of fund outflows from the banking sector has passed, with the sector's valuation becoming more attractive, as the median price-to-book (PB) ratio is around 0.57 and the median dividend yield has risen to over 4.5% [5][6]. - Recent reports indicate that passive fund outflows have been a major factor in the banking sector's recent adjustments, but the selling pressure is expected to diminish, allowing for potential recovery in bank stock prices [6][7]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - Institutions are starting to show interest in bank stocks, with reports indicating that active funds had reduced their holdings in bank stocks by 1.3 billion shares by the end of the fourth quarter [7]. - Several regional banks have announced stock buyback plans, which have been positively received by the market, reinforcing confidence in the banking sector's fundamentals [7].

2月4日，苇渡Windrose宣布，于近期启动总额超过1亿美元的C轮融资，其中C1轮由中国移动链长基金 领投，其他投资人还包括苇渡科技创始人韩文、法国工业地产商PRD等；同时，本轮还获得了中国工商 银行、中国建设银行、中国农业银行等银行的授信支持。C轮融资将主要用于加速公司的纯电重卡在获 得中美欧三地认证之后，在全球市场的量产布局和交付，以及推动比利时、法国、美国三地的总装交付 基地以及配套风光电+储能+快充基础设施建设。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive," indicating an expected overall return exceeding 5% above the CSI 300 index within the next six months [3][40]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the banking sector's performance is entering a recovery phase, with a focus on the stability of interest margins and the potential for improved asset quality as the economy recovers [7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of strong capital positions and reliable dividend payouts for investment selection, recommending specific banks based on their financial health and market position [7]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index experienced changes of -0.44% and +0.08% respectively, while the banking sector index rose by 0.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points [10][11]. - Notable performances within the banking sector included increases in share prices for major state-owned banks such as Bank of China (+1.90%) and Agricultural Bank of China (+0.81%) [13][14]. Data Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 0.65, indicating a valuation at the 70.10 percentile over the past five years [6][19]. - The median dividend yield for individual stocks in the sector is 4.54%, which is 2.73 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year government bonds [6][19]. Industry Dynamics - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain interest rates between 3.5% and 3.75%, reflecting a balanced approach to managing inflation and employment concerns [33][35]. - The China Banking Association has introduced guidelines for the collection of personal consumption loans, aiming to standardize practices and promote healthy industry development [37][39].

最近一周，国际国内金价出现大幅震荡，工行、农行、中行、建行、交行等多家国有大行以及部分股份 制银行，陆续调整积存金等贵金属相关业务规则，并同步发布市场风险提示，强化投资者风险管控要 求。此次各银行对于积存金业务的密集调整，距上一次调整仅过去两个月时间。随着投资门槛的不断上 调，积存金业务已不再是此前投资者眼中的"低门槛"业务。 金价坐上"过山车" 上周起，在开年以来被市场热捧的黄金，突然开启了令投资者心惊胆战的史诗级巨震，其价格形成明显 的"过山车"走势。1月30日，国际现货黄金在创下历史新高后突遭大跌，后迅速反弹，第二日金价再度 遭遇暴跌，并创下40年来的最大单日跌幅。虽然本周以来，金价有所反弹，但距离此前高点尚有较大缺 口。 1月26日，伦敦黄金现货价格首次突破每盎司5000美元，创历史新高。随后继续上涨，1月28日，伦敦黄 金现货价格突破每盎司5200美元。1月29日早盘冲破每盎司5500美元，并一度创下历史新高，虽然随后 金价略有回落，但已站稳5500美元/盎司。当日，国际金价的飙升迅速传导至国内市场，国内部分主流 金饰品牌报价刷新1700元/克，创下历史新高，单日价格上涨近百元。 1月30日，伦敦黄 ...

岁末年初,消费市场升温,新春经济持续发力。在南通,从农副产品批发生意到连锁门店经营,从水产年货备 货到特色果蔬销售,各类商户迎来全年经营黄金期。面对节前备货、资金周转等迫切需求,江苏农行南通 分行主动作为、精准施策,以定制化信贷产品、高效化审批流程、全覆盖服务网络,为商户送上"金融及时 雨",助力万千经营者稳稳把握新春商机,实现开门大吉。 精准对接农批商户 300万授信稳货源 "年前是水果销售的旺季,订单量比平时翻了几番,多亏农行的贷款让我备足了货!"在南通农副产品物流中 心,余老板的水果摊位前客流不断,谈及近期的经营状况,他难掩喜悦。作为当地规模最大的农副产品集散 地,该物流中心水果区聚集200余户固定经营户,新春前的备货资金需求尤为集中。 "从货架告急到一店变两店,农行的贷款不仅解了燃眉之急,更给了我扩大经营的信心!"姚氏果业加盟店店 主小刘看着新开的年货专卖店,言语间满是感激。几个月前,冬季果蔬进货价上涨近三成,小刘的门店因资 金周转不畅陷入困境,货架空置近半,经营举步维艰。 农行南通海安支行客户经理在市场走访中发现这一情况后,第一时间上门对接,当天便启动贷款办理流程, 短短数日50万元资金就精准到账。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 163 regional banks in Zhejiang Province, highlighting their asset and liability structures, profitability, and asset quality [6][20] - The asset growth rate for major city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 9.4%, which is lower than the 14.2% growth rate of listed city commercial banks, while major rural commercial banks show an asset growth rate of 8.0%, exceeding the 6.7% growth rate of listed rural commercial banks [6][25] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is projected to reach 55.5% in 2024, an increase of 95 basis points year-on-year, while rural commercial banks will see a decrease to 59.3%, down 19 basis points [31] - Profitability metrics show that the average Return on Assets (ROA) for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 0.78%, slightly above the average of listed city commercial banks, while rural commercial banks have an average ROA of 0.82%, which is below the average of listed rural commercial banks [6][31] - The asset quality of regional banks in Zhejiang is reported to be better than that of listed banks, with non-performing loan ratios lower by 16 basis points for city commercial banks and 9 basis points for rural commercial banks compared to their listed counterparts [6][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: Economic Structure of Zhejiang Province - Zhejiang Province is focused on high-quality development and aims to become a model for common prosperity [13] - The province's GDP is heavily concentrated in cities like Hangzhou, Ningbo, and Wenzhou, with Hangzhou accounting for 24.3% of the total GDP in 2025 [15] Section 2: Overview of 163 Regional Banks - The report categorizes the banks into city commercial banks, rural banks, and others, with a total of 163 banks in the region [20] - The distribution of registered capital among these banks is relatively balanced, with 63 banks having over 500 million yuan in registered capital [22] Section 3: Asset and Liability Structure - The asset growth of major city and rural commercial banks has been declining since 2019, with city banks showing a growth rate of 9.4% in the first half of 2025 [25] - The liability structure indicates that customer deposits account for 77.5% of liabilities for city commercial banks, which is higher than the 66.2% for listed city banks [44] Section 4: Profitability and Asset Quality - The average ROE for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 11.98%, slightly lower than the average of listed city banks [6][31] - The report highlights that the non-performing loan ratio for city commercial banks is lower than that of listed banks, indicating better asset quality [6][31]