Core Viewpoint - China State Construction Engineering Corporation has recently secured multiple significant projects in both the housing construction and infrastructure sectors, indicating a strong pipeline for future revenue growth [1] Group 1: Housing Construction Projects - The housing construction projects include the Singapore Alexandra Hospital IP segment awarded to China State Construction Nanyang [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Projects - Infrastructure projects include the G0611 Zhangye to Wenchuan National Expressway related bundled projects won by China State Construction and others [1] Group 3: Financial Impact - The total project value amounts to 37.24 billion yuan, which represents 1.7% of the audited operating revenue for the fiscal year 2024 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The housing construction sector experienced a 0.94% increase on January 29, with Longyuan Construction leading the gains, while the overall market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% and the Shenzhen Component Index falling by 0.3% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Longyuan Construction saw a closing price of 3.08, with a gain of 5.48% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - China State Construction closed at 5.04, up 1.61%, with a trading volume of 8.3036 million shares and a transaction value of 4.109 billion [1] - Zhejiang Construction Investment closed at 8.70, up 1.40%, with a trading volume of 160,700 shares and a transaction value of 2.66 million [1] - Chongqing Construction closed at 3.22, up 0.94%, with a trading volume of 184,800 shares and a transaction value of 5.93884 million [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The housing construction sector saw a net outflow of 739 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 264 million [1] - Longyuan Construction had a main fund net inflow of 36.1255 million, while retail investors had a net outflow of 14.3168 million [2] - China State Construction experienced a main fund net outflow of 373 million, but a net inflow of 454.49 million from retail investors [2]

Group 1: Fund Analysis - The public FOF fund scale increased in Q4 2025, with a new issuance scale of 458.54 billion yuan, primarily in bond-type funds [6][7] - The proportion of positive returns for FOF was 49%, with the top performer being CITIC Securities' selected fund [6][8] - Fund managers are optimistic about the market outlook, focusing on structural opportunities with technology and cyclical sectors as the main themes [6][11] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Market - The European electric vehicle market is entering a new phase, with a projected penetration rate of 29% in 2025 and 35% in 2026 due to supply-side drivers and supportive policies [14][15] - The introduction of affordable electric models by European automakers is expected to stimulate consumer demand significantly [15] - Chinese lithium battery companies are positioned to capitalize on the growth of the European market, enhancing their competitive landscape [14][16] Group 3: Construction and Decoration Industry - The construction state-owned enterprises are expected to benefit from strategic and professional restructuring policies initiated by the state [18][19] - The market share of major construction state-owned enterprises remains relatively low, with significant competition and operational pressure evident [19][20] - Recommendations include companies like China Communications Construction, China Railway, and China Chemical, which are likely to enhance their competitiveness through restructuring [21] Group 4: Beauty and Personal Care - The beauty industry in China is transitioning from incremental expansion to competitive positioning, with domestic brands gaining market share [23][24] - The company aims to achieve 30 billion yuan in sales by 2030, driven by research and development, brand expansion, and global operations [25] - The application of AI in production and marketing is expected to enhance operational efficiency and support long-term growth [25] Group 5: Basic Chemicals - The price of hafnium has surged by 21.64% since the beginning of 2026, driven by high demand in sectors like semiconductors and aerospace [27][28] - The company is advancing its zirconium-hafnium separation project, which is expected to significantly contribute to future earnings [29] - Hafnium's unique properties make it essential in high-tech applications, indicating strong future demand [28] Group 6: Electronics - The company is set to benefit from the high demand for PCB and packaging substrates, with projected net profits for 2025 expected to increase by 68% to 78% [31][32] - The expansion of production capacity is ongoing, with new facilities in Thailand and South China expected to enhance growth potential [33] - The company is recognized as a leading provider of electronic circuit technology, with a positive outlook for future performance [33]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that southbound funds have reduced their holdings in China State Construction International (03311.HK) by 2.418 million shares on January 28, with a total net reduction of 3.268 million shares over the last five trading days [1] - Over the past 20 trading days, there have been 8 days of net reductions in holdings by southbound funds, totaling 1.3905 million shares [1] - As of now, southbound funds hold 511 million shares of China State Construction International, representing 9.66% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] Group 2 - China State Construction International Group Limited primarily engages in construction business and investment holding [1] - The company is involved in various activities including construction, infrastructure project investment, toll road operations, project supervision services, and exterior wall engineering [1] - Additionally, the company is engaged in the renovation of industrial plants, provision of project supervision services, sale of construction materials, and leasing of machinery and investment properties [1]

行业专题报告 | 建筑装饰 建筑央企有望受益于国资央企战略性/专业化重组 证券研究报告 2026 年 01 月 28 日 核心结论 行业评级 超配 政策层面：导向明确，加强国资央企战略性、专业化重组。2024 年 12 月， 国务院国资委召开中央企业负责人会议便已经提出"加大力度推进战略性重 组和专业化整合"。2025 年下半年国资委表述开始频繁，比如 2025 年 9 月， 国务院国资委副主任李镇在国新办举行的新闻发布会上表示，下一步"大力 推动国资央企战略性专业化重组整合"；2025 年 12 月，国务院国资委主任 张玉卓在《充分激发各类经营主体活力》一文中强调，要"加强战略性、专 业化重组，加大力度合并'同类项'，避免重复建设和无序竞争"；2025 年 12 月国务院国资委召开中央企业负责人会议，以及 2026 年 1 月国新办举行 新闻发布会介绍 2025 年国资央企高质量发展情况，均表明 2026 年国资央 企要"大力推进战略性、专业化重组整合和高质量并购"。 行业层面：需求承压，专业化重组或助力建筑央企提升综合竞争力。大建筑 央企市占率相对较低：2024 年八大建筑央企合计市占率达到 21.4%， ...

Market Overview - The housing construction sector declined by 1.36% compared to the previous trading day, with Shanghai Construction leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the housing construction sector included: - Gaoxin Development (000628) rose by 3.65% with a closing price of 52.52 and a trading volume of 149,700 shares, totaling 777 million yuan [1] - Longyuan Construction (600491) increased by 0.34% to 66.7, with a trading volume of 222,600 shares, amounting to 66.76 million yuan [1] - Chongqing Construction (600939) fell by 0.62% to 3.19, with a trading volume of 139,900 shares, totaling 44.30 million yuan [1] - China State Construction (601668) decreased by 1.38% to 5.02, with a trading volume of 3,020,300 shares, amounting to 1.526 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow - The housing construction sector experienced a net outflow of 179 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 18.27 million yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks showed: - Gaoxin Development had a net inflow of 84.11 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 61.29 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Longyuan Construction saw a net inflow of 8.56 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 4.07 million yuan from retail investors [2] - China State Construction experienced a net outflow of 141 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 26.73 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The housing construction sector increased by 0.33% on January 26, with China State Construction leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] - Key stocks in the housing construction sector showed mixed performance, with China State Construction closing at 5.09, up 0.59%, and other companies like Shaanxi Construction and Chongqing Construction experiencing declines [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the housing construction sector was 180 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 205 million yuan [1] - Detailed fund flow data indicated that China State Construction had a net inflow of 226 million yuan, while other companies like Longyuan Construction and Shaanxi Construction experienced significant net outflows [2] - Retail investors showed a negative net flow across several stocks, with notable outflows from companies like High-tech Development and Longyuan Construction [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction and decoration industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - Infrastructure investment is experiencing a short-term bottoming out, with cumulative year-on-year growth turning negative for the first time since 2004. In 2025, narrow infrastructure (excluding electricity) completed 18.08 trillion yuan, down 2.20% year-on-year, while broad infrastructure totaled 24.50 trillion yuan, down 1.48% year-on-year. December saw significant declines, with narrow and broad infrastructure down 12.22% and 15.95% year-on-year, respectively. Despite this, major strategic projects are expected to continue, and infrastructure investment is anticipated to stabilize and recover gradually [5][12][22]. Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - In 2025, narrow infrastructure investment completed 18.08 trillion yuan, down 2.20% year-on-year, while broad infrastructure totaled 24.50 trillion yuan, down 1.48% year-on-year. December saw a year-on-year decline of 12.22% for narrow infrastructure and 15.95% for broad infrastructure, with significant drops in water conservancy and public facilities management [5][12]. New Orders - New orders in 2025 showed a pattern of stability among central enterprises, with China State Construction, China Railway, China Electric Power, and China Energy achieving new orders of 4.15 trillion yuan, 2.75 trillion yuan, 1.33 trillion yuan, and 1.45 trillion yuan, respectively. Local state-owned enterprises exhibited more significant differentiation, with Shanghai Construction, Shaanxi Construction, and Pudong Construction seeing declines of 35%, 25%, and 23% year-on-year, while Sichuan Road and Bridge saw a substantial increase of 47% year-on-year [6][17]. Market Performance - The construction and decoration index rose by 1.88% during the week, with chemical engineering, steel structure, and international engineering leading the gains at 10.70%, 7.71%, and 4.49%, respectively. A total of 123 stocks in the construction sector rose, with the top five performers being Huawi Design (+51.92%), Zhite New Materials (+49.21%), and others [8][28]. Company Dynamics - Several companies reported significant changes in their financial performance for 2025. For instance, China Metallurgical Group expects a net profit decline of 76.28% to 80.73% due to ongoing losses in the real estate sector and substantial asset impairment provisions. In contrast, companies like Xinjiang Jiaojian anticipate a net profit increase of 50.14% to 125.22% [24][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this area [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that fixed asset investment (FAI) in 2025 is under pressure, with a total of 485,186 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 3.8%, which is a worsening of 1.2 percentage points compared to the previous 11 months [15]. - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) decreased by 2.2% year-on-year, with a similar trend observed in real estate development investment, which fell by 17.2% to 82,788 billion yuan [15]. - The report emphasizes the potential for a rebound in the construction and real estate markets driven by macroeconomic policies, particularly in urban renewal initiatives [16]. - Key companies such as China State Construction and China Energy Engineering reported year-on-year increases in new orders for Q4, indicating a positive trend in capital expenditure among leading industrial firms [16]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the cyclical recovery of the construction sector, particularly in light of supportive policies aimed at urban renewal and infrastructure development [16]. - It recommends investing in high-quality cyclical stocks and companies involved in commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy sectors, such as Roman Holdings and Honglu Steel Structure [26]. Market Performance Review - The construction decoration index rose by 1.88%, outperforming the overall A-share index, which increased by 0.83% [14]. - Notable performers in the sector included chemical engineering (+10.70%) and steel structure (+7.71%) [14]. Key Company Dynamics - Roman Holdings is projected to achieve a profit of 1.8-2 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a turnaround from previous losses, driven by strong demand for computing power in major cities [19]. - China Energy Engineering reported a new contract amount of 1.45 trillion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [19].

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant increase in the State Grid's capital expenditure during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a projected investment of approximately 4 trillion yuan during the "15th Five-Year Plan," representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [15][18][21] - The report recommends focusing on power engineering companies, specifically China Electric Power Construction, China Huadian Engineering, and China Energy Engineering, which are well-positioned to benefit from the increased capital expenditure [21][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting companies with strong fundamentals and low valuations based on ROE and valuation percentiles, recommending firms such as China Chemical, China National Materials, and Donghua Technology [23][24] Group 2 - Weekly tracking indicates steady progress in coal chemical projects, with significant contract awards for the coal-to-natural gas project in Xinjiang, totaling over 15 billion yuan [28][29] - The hydrogen energy sector is gaining momentum, with government initiatives promoting zero-carbon factory construction and the launch of major projects like the Baowu Green Hydrogen Industrial Park, which has a total investment of 110.9 billion yuan [31][32] - The report notes a slight decline in steel prices, with average prices for medium-thick plates and rebar decreasing by 0.5% and 0.8% respectively, indicating a stable but low price environment [31]