Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the oil processing industry Core Insights - The average global crude oil inventory change for 2026 is projected to be +204.90 thousand barrels per day according to IEA, EIA, and OPEC [2] - For Q4 2025, the average inventory change is expected to be +162.53 thousand barrels per day, showing a revision from previous forecasts [2] - Global crude oil supply for 2025 is forecasted at 10617.36, 10607.84, and 10470.71 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively, indicating a year-on-year increase [2] - The global crude oil demand for 2025 is estimated at 10392.25, 10393.68, and 10513.66 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively, reflecting a modest increase from 2024 [2] Summary by Sections Oil Supply - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict global crude oil supply for 2026 to be 10865.02, 10742.59, and 10654.18 thousand barrels per day respectively, with increases from 2025 [2][35] - The Q4 2025 supply increase is projected at +414.30, +385.36, and +254.12 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively [35] Oil Demand - The demand for 2026 is forecasted at 10478.51, 10516.87, and 10651.70 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively, indicating a growth from 2025 [2][35] - The demand increase for Q4 2025 is expected to be +108.72, +130.72, and +152.22 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively [4] Oil Prices - As of December 18, 2025, Brent crude, WTI, Russian ESPO, and Russian Urals prices are reported at 59.82, 56.00, 47.94, and 65.49 USD per barrel respectively, with significant declines observed over the year [9][10] - Year-to-date price changes show Brent down by -21.22%, WTI by -23.42%, and Russian ESPO by -33.37% [9][10] Oil Inventory - The global crude oil inventory change for 2025 is projected at +225.11, +214.16, and -42.95 thousand barrels per day by IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively, with an average increase of +132.11 thousand barrels per day [26] - The U.S. total crude oil inventory as of December 12, 2025, stands at 83658.8 thousand barrels, reflecting a slight increase [19][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the following companies: China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas, and New Natural Gas [2][3]. Core Views - The report highlights concerns over oil price weakness due to supply surplus fears, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and sanctions affecting Venezuela [7][10]. - It suggests that the oil price has a floor, with stable earnings expected for oil companies, particularly those with low production costs and high dividends [12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on industry leaders with strong performance stability and high dividends, particularly PetroChina and Sinopec [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Oil prices have shown weakness amid concerns of oversupply and geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Venezuela and the Russia-Ukraine conflict [7][10]. - The Brent crude oil futures price settled at $60.47 per barrel, down 1.06% week-on-week, while WTI futures settled at $56.52 per barrel, down 1.60% [10][36]. 2. Market Performance - As of December 19, the CITIC Petroleum and Chemical sector rose by 1.9%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 0.3% [14][17]. - The report notes that the other petrochemical sub-sector had the highest weekly increase of 5.1% [17]. 3. Company Performance - The report lists the top performers in the petroleum and petrochemical sector, with Shengtong Energy leading at a 61.06% increase [18]. - Conversely, Heshun Petroleum experienced the largest decline at 9.70% [18]. 4. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the stable growth in natural gas production, with November output reaching 21.9 billion cubic meters, a 5.7% year-on-year increase [21]. - It also notes that OPEC's total oil production remained stable at 2,848 million barrels per day in November [56]. 5. Oil and Gas Price Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of oil and gas prices, indicating a decline in both Brent and WTI crude oil prices compared to the previous week [36][45]. - Natural gas prices also showed a decrease, with NYMEX natural gas futures closing at $4.03 per million British thermal units, down 1.83% week-on-week [45].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongman Petroleum (603619) experienced a slight decline in stock price, closing at 21.98 yuan on December 19, 2025, with a trading volume of 61,800 hands and a total transaction amount of 136 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Trading Data - On December 19, 2025, the stock price decreased by 0.45%, with a turnover rate of 1.34% [1]. - The net outflow of main funds was 13.11 million yuan, accounting for 9.67% of the total transaction amount, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 7.37 million yuan, representing 5.43% of the total [1]. - The five-day fund flow data shows fluctuations in net inflows and outflows among main funds, retail funds, and speculative funds, with notable changes in the previous days [2]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Industry Ranking - Zhongman Petroleum's total market value is 10.162 billion yuan, with a net asset of 1.4628 billion yuan and a net profit of 453 million yuan, ranking 9th, 8th, and 8th respectively in the industry [3]. - The company reported a year-on-year decline in main operating income of 2.18% for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit decrease of 32.18% [3]. - The gross profit margin stands at 44.6%, significantly higher than the industry average of 21.54%, indicating strong operational efficiency [3].

Group 1 - The oil service engineering sector increased by 0.52% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhongman Petroleum leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3870.28, up by 1.19%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13224.51, up by 2.4% [1] - A detailed table of individual stock performance in the oil service engineering sector is provided [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the oil service engineering sector was 390.95 million yuan, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 3487.36 million yuan [2] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 3096.41 million yuan to the sector [2] - A detailed table of fund flow for individual stocks in the oil service engineering sector is included [2]

石化周报 美国降息、地缘发酵，油价受供应过剩担忧影响表现疲软 glmszqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 13 日 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价 | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （元） | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601857.SH | 中国石油 | 9.53 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 推荐 | | 600938.SH | 中国海油 | 28.40 | 2.90 | 2.60 | 2.68 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 推荐 | | 600028.SH | 中国石化 | 5.78 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 推荐 | | 603619.SH | 中曼石油 | 22.05 | 1.76 | 1.48 | 1.99 | 13 | ...

（编辑 王雪儿） 证券日报网讯 12月9日晚间，中曼石油发布公告称，控股股东上海中曼投资控股有限公司将质押给浙商 银行股份有限公司上海分行的10，404，300股无限售流通股办理了解除质押，并将10，400，000股无限 售流通股办理了再质押手续。 ...

证券日报网讯12月9日晚间，中曼石油（603619）发布公告称，截至目前，公司对外担保总额为254， 314.78万元(不含本次担保)，占本公司2024年度经审计净资产的63.59%。担保对象为公司下属全资子/孙 公司。本公司无逾期对外担保。 ...

证券代码：603619 证券简称：中曼石油 公告编号：2025-074 中曼石油天然气集团股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股份解除质押及再质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 中曼石油天然气集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东上海中 曼投资控股有限公司（以下简称"中曼控股"）持有公司股份数量 87,900,528 股， 占公司总股本的 19.01%。本次解除质押及再质押完成后，中曼控股累计质押股 份 50,450,000 股，占其所持有公司股份总数的 57.39%，占公司总股本的 10.91%。 公司于 2025 年 12 月 9 日接到控股股东中曼控股的通知，获悉其将质押给浙 商银行股份有限公司上海分行的 10,404,300 股无限售流通股办理了解除质押，并 将 10,400,000 股无限售流通股办理了再质押手续，具体情况如下： 一、上市公司股份解除质押的基本情况 1.本次股份被解除质押情况 | 股东名称 | | | 上海中曼投资控股有限公司 | | --- | --- | - ...

证券代码：603619 证券简称：中曼石油 公告编号：2025-073 中曼石油天然气集团股份有限公司 关于 2025 年 11 月对外担保的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | | 被担保人名称 | 四川中曼石油设备制造有限公司（以下简称 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | "四川中曼"） | | 担保对象一 | 本次担保金额 | 1,000 万元 | | | 实际为其提供的担保余额 | 21,000 万元 | | | 是否在前期预计额度内 | 是 □否 □不适用：_________ | | | 本次担保是否有反担保 | 是 否 □不适用：_________ | | | 被担保人名称 | 四川中曼电气工程技术有限公司 （以下简称"中曼电气"） | | | 本次担保金额 | 1,000 万元 | | 担保对象二 | 实际为其提供的担保余额 | 4,200 万元 | | | 是否在前期预计额度内 | □否 □不适用：_________ 是 | | | 本次担保是 ...

Investment Strategy - Crude oil supply is limited while demand remains resilient, leading to expectations of fluctuating prices in the future [9][10] - The global oil and gas capital expenditure trend is declining, with a significant reduction of nearly 22% from the 2014 peak to 2021 [9][10] - Major energy companies are cautious with capital expenditures due to long-term low oil prices and increasing decarbonization pressures [9][10] - OPEC+ has announced no further production increases for the next year, indicating limited supply growth [9][10] Crude Oil - Brent crude oil spot price is $64.58 per barrel, up 0.87% week-on-week, while WTI crude oil spot price is $59.33 per barrel, up 1.23% week-on-week [10][32] - The market is responding to geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which have contributed to price fluctuations [10][32] Coal - The average market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 802.7 yuan per ton, down 3.32% week-on-week, indicating weak demand and rising inventories [11][12] - Total coal inventory at major ports in the Bohai Rim reached 27.61 million tons, up 3.77% week-on-week, while southern ports reported 6.426 million tons, up 2.57% [11][12] - Domestic key power plants reported a daily coal consumption of 4.77 million tons, down 3.44% week-on-week, with coal inventory at 13.01 million tons, up 2.09% [11][12] Coking Coal - Coking coal prices are declining due to weak supply and demand dynamics, with the price of main coking coal at 1,630 yuan per ton, down 2.40% week-on-week [13][14] - Steel mills are showing cautious purchasing behavior due to lower profitability, impacting coking coal demand [13][14] Natural Gas - The EU has reached an agreement to phase out Russian gas imports by 2027, which may impact global gas supply dynamics [15][16] - The average price of NYMEX natural gas is $4.95 per million British thermal units, up 7.7% week-on-week, while European gas prices have decreased [15][16] Oilfield Services - The oilfield services sector is expected to maintain its growth due to government policies supporting energy security and capital expenditures [17][18] - The number of active drilling rigs globally is reported at 1,800, with a slight decrease in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific regions [17][18]