Core Insights - The 15th Cybersecurity Vulnerability Analysis and Risk Assessment Conference highlighted breakthroughs in the domestic innovation (信创) sector, particularly in software compatibility and interface consistency, which are reducing migration costs significantly [1][2] - The domestic software industry is transitioning from "tool replacement" to "productivity reconstruction," driven by innovations such as digital employees and intelligent knowledge bases [1] - The year 2025 is identified as a critical turning point for the domestic innovation industry, with the potential for market growth and deeper integration of domestic software solutions [1] Industry Developments - The domestic innovation sector is currently in a phase driven by "policy + technology + market," with ongoing cost pressures and technological breakthroughs facilitating implementation [1] - The announcement of a potential 33% price increase by Microsoft for commercial subscriptions starting in 2026 presents an opportunity for the domestic innovation office ecosystem [1] - The construction of a self-controllable office ecosystem is deemed essential for ensuring digital security and enhancing cost efficiency [1] Technological Advancements - Beijing Kingsoft Office Software Co., Ltd.'s WPS 365 has developed an AI collaborative office platform that integrates core AI products, marking a significant shift from "usable" to "user-friendly" domestic office software [1] - Document intelligent parsing is identified as a core entry point for office data flow, breaking foreign monopolies and contributing to a robust domestic technology foundation [1] - The integration of domestic software with national encryption algorithms and zero-trust architecture is creating a "smart + secure" technology system, providing viable upgrade paths for critical industries such as finance and energy [1] Market Outlook - The domestic innovation office sector is experiencing a tiered development pattern, with small and medium enterprises leading the way in basic replacements due to cost pressures, while large enterprises deepen their applications through AI capabilities [2] - The market size of China's domestic innovation industry is projected to exceed 20 trillion yuan by 2025, with office software being a core application driving the autonomous and controllable process across the entire industry chain [2] - The dual push from policy and market forces is accelerating the penetration of domestic innovation office software, which is expected to become a crucial support for the safe development of the digital economy in the next three years [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, with key targets including Hand Enterprise, Wuxi Unicomp Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Hehe Information, Hikvision, Newland Digital Technology, Autel, and Hygon, with Dawning Information Industry as a related target [3][8]. Core Insights - Recent developments in the tech sector indicate that AI is advancing in both specialization and terminalization, exemplified by OpenAI's breakthroughs with the GPT-5.2 series and Zhipu's efforts to popularize cellphone AI [3][8]. - The USA has conditionally approved the export of NVIDIA's H200 AI chips to China, but this comes with significant restrictions, including generational locks and a requirement for a 25% sales commission to the US Treasury [3][8]. - In the commercial space sector, the Long March 12 rocket's frequent launches demonstrate efficient deployment capabilities, and the establishment of the "Space Computing Joint Laboratory" enhances domestic capabilities in space technology [3][8]. Summary by Sections AI Technology Developments - AI technology has made significant strides, with OpenAI's GPT-5.2 achieving expert-level performance in GDPval benchmarks, enhancing capabilities in long document reasoning and complex tool usage [3][8]. - Zhipu AI has open-sourced its cellphone project Open-AutoGLM, allowing AI to interact with mobile screens for cross-application tasks, significantly lowering development barriers for high-performance AI assistants [3][8]. Geopolitical and Supply Chain Considerations - The conditional approval for NVIDIA's chip exports reflects a complex geopolitical landscape, with the US aiming to protect national security while providing limited options for Chinese markets [3][8]. - The stringent conditions attached to the chip exports are expected to accelerate China's pursuit of domestic alternatives, fostering the growth of local AI computing capabilities [3][8]. Commercial Space Advancements - The Long March 12 rocket successfully launched 16 low-orbit satellites within 32 days, showcasing China's efficient deployment capabilities for large satellite constellations [3][8]. - The "Space Computing Joint Laboratory," established in collaboration with Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Guoxing Aerospace, focuses on developing autonomous space computing chips and in-orbit maintenance technologies [3][8].

Core Points - The Sci-Tech ETF (588050) opened down 1.01% at 1.369 yuan on December 15 [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include companies like SMIC, Haiguang Information, and Cambrian, with varying performance; SMIC down 1.41%, Haiguang down 1.05%, and Cambrian down 2.08% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech 50 Index, managed by ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management, with a fund manager named Zhao Xu [1] - Since its establishment on September 28, 2020, the ETF has returned -3.35%, with a one-month return of -2.02% [1] Company Performance - SMIC opened down 1.41% [1] - Haiguang Information opened down 1.05% [1] - Cambrian opened down 2.08% [1] - Lanke Technology opened down 2.02% [1] - Zhongwei Company opened up 0.16% [1] - United Imaging opened down 0.14% [1] - Kingsoft Office opened down 1.27% [1] - Chipone Technology opened down 5.06% [1] - Stone Technology opened down 0.99% [1] - Transsion Holdings opened down 0.45% [1]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The computer industry has shown steady revenue growth and improved profit margins, with total revenue reaching 939.34 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [11] - The software development sub-industry has seen significant profit improvements, while the computer equipment sub-industry remains relatively high in terms of market sentiment [11] - The industry has experienced a volatile upward trend since the beginning of 2025, with the computer industry index rising by 18.54% as of November 28, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.5 percentage points [18] Group 2: Algorithm and Applications - The global landscape of large models is rapidly evolving, with significant competition among closed-source models from companies like Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI, while domestic open-source models like Kimi K2 and MiniMax-M2 maintain a leading position [27][30] - The focus of large model applications is shifting towards programming, enterprise services, and office productivity tools, indicating a convergence in the market [42] - The integration of multi-modal capabilities and AI agents is becoming a competitive focal point in the large model market, expanding the boundaries of model tasks [32][34] Group 3: Computing Power - The AI computing power market is experiencing high demand, with the global AI server market projected to grow at a CAGR of 15.5% from 2024 to 2028, while China's market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 30.6% during the same period [10] - The domestic AI computing power chip industry is poised for growth due to strong policy support and increasing downstream demand, with a clear trend towards self-sufficiency [10][22] Group 4: Intelligent Driving - The penetration rate of Navigate on Autopilot (NOA) features is increasing, indicating a rapid commercialization of the intelligent driving industry in China, with the market size expected to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2030 [4] - Major players like Tesla and Xpeng are advancing their intelligent driving technologies, with significant updates and new model releases enhancing their market positions [4][5] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the computer industry, highlighting investment opportunities in AI computing power, algorithms, and intelligent driving sectors [5] - Specific stock recommendations include companies like Zhongke Chuangda, Haiguang Information, and Industrial Fulian in the AI computing power segment, and companies like Daotong Technology and Kingsoft Office in the AI algorithm and application space [5][6]

Group 1: Industry Changes - The computer industry in 2026 will witness a convergence of "industrial cycles" and "policy cycles," marking a decisive year for both existing tasks and new growth opportunities [2][3] - AI applications are expected to reach a critical point of explosion, transitioning from a phase of high expenditure to profitability, with significant scale deployment in vertical scenarios [11] - Domestic computing power has evolved from being a backup to becoming fully usable in training and inference for domestic large models, with 2026 anticipated to be a year of comprehensive replacement [12] - The completion of the "信创" (Xinchuang) initiative is set for 2027, making 2026 a peak year for bidding and delivery, with strong performance certainty for related companies [13] Group 2: Policy Changes - The "十四五" (14th Five-Year Plan) elevates commercial aerospace to a national strategic level, with 2026 expected to be a year of industry explosion driven by satellite networking and reusable rockets [6] - The low-altitude economy is transitioning from policy enthusiasm to industrial heat, with substantial construction expected in 2026 due to infrastructure standards and special bonds [6] - The integration of AI with various industries is emphasized in the "十四五" plan, aiming for deep integration in manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and finance, which will enhance productivity and create greater economic value [20][36] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Companies in the AI application sector should be selected based on their alignment with national policies and the "AI+" initiative, focusing on sectors like agriculture, industrial software, and healthcare [36] - Companies with strong foundational platforms and aggregation entry points for large models are recommended for long-term investment, such as Alibaba and iFlytek [37] - Data barrier companies that possess proprietary data to train models are crucial, with a focus on firms like 海天瑞声 (Haitian Ruisheng) and 同花顺 (Tonghuashun) [38] - Companies that dominate high-frequency usage scenarios, such as 金山办公 (Kingsoft Office) and 东方财富 (Eastmoney), are positioned to benefit significantly from AI integration [40]

来源：证券市场周刊市场号 文 |牛犇 本周，A股市场持续调整，沪指仅在周五小幅反转。 但从技术面看，市场已频频出现止跌反弹信号，这或意味着下周将有不错的表现，而最新的重要会议同 样释放了积极信号。 机会方面，业内人士指出，可关注重要会议的指引方向，而AI、消费和新能源三大主线已成明牌。 止跌反弹信号出现 近期，A股止跌反弹信号不断出现，如沪指在近三个交易日已出现三根较长的下影线（见附图）。 在K线图中，下影线是从实体向下延伸的细线，与上影线一起长期被看作趋势反转的信号。在阳线中， 它是当日开盘价与最低价之差；在阴线中，它是当日收盘价与最低价之差。一般说，产生下影线的原因 是多方力量大于空方力量而形成的，股票开盘后，股价由于空方的打压一度下落，但由于买盘旺盛，使 股价回升，收于低点之上，产生下影线。这种形态表明，个股或大盘有可能结束弱势行情，将转入强势 行情，且下影线越长，表示反转力量越强。 上影线则与之相反，通常由个股或大盘冲高后回落形成，位于阶段性低位可能预示见底反转，上升途中 多为洗盘结果，而高位出现则提示见顶风险，11月14日的出现长上影线，市场即见顶调整就印证了这个 逻辑。 在技术面之外，A股市场也迎 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer sector [4]. Core Insights - Recent developments in the AI industry show significant progress in both specialization and terminalization, exemplified by OpenAI's breakthrough with the GPT-5.2 model and Zhipu AI's promotion of mobile AI [2][4]. - The U.S. has conditionally approved the export of Nvidia's H200 chips to China, but this comes with stringent restrictions that may impact supply chain stability [4]. - The commercial aerospace sector is witnessing efficient deployment, highlighted by the successful high-frequency launches of the Long March 12 rocket and the establishment of the "Space Computing Joint Laboratory" [4]. Summary by Sections AI Technology Developments - AI technology has made notable advancements in specialization and terminalization, with OpenAI's GPT-5.2 achieving human expert-level performance in key benchmarks and Zhipu AI's Open-AutoGLM enabling mobile AI capabilities [2][4]. U.S.-China Technology Relations - The U.S. has conditionally relaxed export controls on AI chips to China, allowing Nvidia to sell its H200 chips, but with dual constraints including generational technology locks and a 25% sales commission to the U.S. Treasury [4]. Commercial Aerospace Progress - The Long March 12 rocket successfully launched 16 low-orbit satellites within 32 days, demonstrating high-efficiency deployment capabilities, while the "Space Computing Joint Laboratory" aims to enhance domestic autonomous capabilities [4]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends stocks such as Hand Information, Sunlink Technology, Kingsoft Office, Hehe Information, Hikvision, Newland, Daotong Technology, and Haiguang Information, with a focus on their projected earnings and market performance [5].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the computer industry is driven by model iteration, application breakthroughs, and domestic computing power leadership, with a buy rating for the sector [2][4][17]. Industry Overview - The AI infrastructure sector is transitioning from "testing and trial" to "large-scale rollout in 2026" for domestic AI chip replacements, with a narrowing gap between domestic and international leading models [8][17][26]. - The AI application sector is categorized into three types of companies: those with recognized benchmark clients but in early stages, those with long-term trends but uncertain timelines, and those leveraging AI with reachable inflection points [8][17][19]. - The EDA and R&D software sector is seeing rapid improvement in domestic product capabilities, with mergers and acquisitions expected to accelerate due to policy support [8][17][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, the report suggests focusing on competitive chip tracks, overseas expansion, and new autonomous driving opportunities, recommending global AMR leader Geek+ [8][18][21]. - The report notes that traditional trust and innovation directions are facing funding delays, while the release of HarmonyOS PC in 2025 is seen as a catalyst for business growth and technological upgrades [8][18][21]. - The energy information sector is expected to benefit from stable capital expenditures and market reforms, although policy implementation timelines need to be monitored [8][18][21]. Key Companies - In the AI infrastructure sector, recommended companies include Cambricon, Inspur, and Unisoc, with attention to Sugon [8][19]. - For AI applications, notable companies are Jingtaikong, Rainbowsoft, and Kingdee International, with additional focus on Hancloud and Guangyun Technology [8][19][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, key players include Geek+, Black Sesame Intelligence, and Rui Ming Technology, with recommendations to monitor Desay SV and SOTER [8][19][21]. - In the EDA and R&D software sector, companies like GigaDevice, Gexin Electronics, and BGI are highlighted, with attention to Zhongkong Technology and Haocen Software [8][19][21]. - For trust and innovation, recommended companies include Kingsoft and Softcom, with additional focus on Taiji Co. and China Software International [8][19][21]. - In the energy information sector, notable companies are Guoneng Rixin and Longxin Group, with attention to State Grid Information and South Grid Digital [8][19][22].

Core Viewpoint - The software development sector experienced a 1.4% increase on December 12, with Hehe Information leading the gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.35, up 0.41% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13258.33, up 0.84% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Hehe Information (688615) closed at 222.00, up 13.80% with a trading volume of 85,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.802 billion [1] - Shengbang Security (688651) closed at 44.55, up 6.58% with a trading volume of 54,800 shares [1] - Xinghuan Technology (688031) closed at 75.05, up 5.70% with a trading volume of 73,900 shares and a transaction value of 541 million [1] - Yingshisheng (300377) closed at 21.82, up 5.16% with a trading volume of 1,358,600 shares and a transaction value of 2.946 billion [1] - Dameng Data (688692) closed at 270.00, up 4.92% with a trading volume of 33,400 shares and a transaction value of 880 million [1] - Desay SV (002920) closed at 113.51, up 4.80% with a trading volume of 126,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.412 billion [1] - Foxit Software (688095) closed at 91.34, up 4.59% with a trading volume of 33,200 shares [1] - Kingsoft Office (688111) closed at 307.90, up 4.02% with a trading volume of 77,100 shares and a transaction value of 2.333 billion [1] - Gallen Electronics (688206) closed at 35.58, up 3.85% with a trading volume of 58,000 shares [1] - Jingwei Hengrun (688326) closed at 93.66, up 3.77% with a trading volume of 12,600 shares [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The software development sector saw a net inflow of 320 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 119 million [1] - Speculative funds had a net outflow of 201 million [1]

Group 1 - The core index of artificial intelligence, the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index (930713), has seen an increase of 0.78% as of December 12, 2025, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Chipone Technology (688521) up 5.73% and Beijing Junzheng (300223) up 5.26% [1] - JD.com is actively recruiting talent in the edge AI chip sector, focusing on integrated storage and computing AI chips intended for use in robotics and smart home appliances [1] - The "Shandong Province Artificial Intelligence Industry High-Quality Development Action Plan (2025-2027)" aims for the core AI industry in the province to exceed 200 billion yuan by 2027, with an average annual growth rate of over 30% [1] Group 2 - Dongfang Caifu Securities anticipates that next year will be a significant year for the expansion of domestic storage, recommending attention to the overall opportunities in the domestic storage industry chain, including NAND & DRAM semiconductor equipment and HBM storage chips [2] - The CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index tracks 50 listed companies involved in providing foundational resources, technology, and application support for artificial intelligence, reflecting the overall performance of AI-related stocks [2] - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index account for 63.92% of the index, including companies like Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) and Hikvision (002415) [2]