➢ 事件。2025 年 3 月 12 日公司发布 2025 年一季度业绩预告，公司实现归 母净利润 1.8 亿元-2.0 亿元，同比增长 44.29%-60.32%；扣非后净利润为 1.8 亿元-2.0 亿元，同比增长 44.11%-60.12%。 道通科技（688208.SH）2025Q1 业绩预告点评 业绩继续向好，AI 赋能期待开花结果 2025 年 03 月 14 日 ➢ 生成式 AI 技术赋能。公司基于 AI 平台与大模型大脑构建行业具身智能解决 方案，聚焦能源与交通场景，已形成了以飞行智能体机器人、反无人系统和多种 地面智能体机器人为执行器，调度智能体实现巡检自主控制，自主作业。加快技 术成果转化，公司与具身智能合作伙伴签订《战略合作协议》，旨在一方面聚焦 能源行业的巡检和作业等关键场景需求，联合研发自主巡检、自主作业、空地一 体的创新行业解决方案，另一方面围绕场景化的机器人产品和空地一体整体解决 方案的联合研发和推广展开合作。积极拥抱 AI 赋能公司传统主业，有力提高数 智维修和数智能源产品及方案的竞争力与盈利能力，公司经营将继续迈入新阶 段。 ➢ 数字能源业务坚持高端化。公司聚焦在途、目的地、 ...

Financial Performance - The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 is expected to be between 180 million and 200 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.25 million to 75.25 million yuan, or a growth of 44.29% to 60.32%[3]. - The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses for Q1 2025 is also expected to be between 180 million and 200 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 55.10 million to 75.10 million yuan, or a growth of 44.11% to 60.12%[3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period last year was 124.75 million yuan[4]. - The performance forecast data has not been audited by a registered accountant and is based on preliminary calculations by the internal finance department[7]. - Investors are advised to pay attention to investment risks as the financial data for Q1 2025 is preliminary and will be confirmed in the official report[8]. AI Strategy and Business Development - The company continues to advance its "fully embrace AI" strategy, enhancing the competitiveness and profitability of its AI-enabled products and solutions, which has gradually increased market share and influence[5]. - The company is optimizing its AI robotics business by improving team capabilities, solutions, customer expansion, and ecosystem development, focusing on the application of integrated solutions in energy and transportation sectors[6]. - The company is driving a digital transformation in management through AI, covering core business areas such as R&D, marketing, supply chain, and functions, leading to improved operational efficiency[6].

Financial Performance - The company achieved total operating revenue of RMB 393,225.64 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.95%[6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached RMB 64,048.01 million, a significant increase of 257.34% compared to the previous year[6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB 54,268.33 million, up 47.94% year-on-year[6] - Basic earnings per share increased to RMB 1.45, reflecting a growth of 262.50% from the previous year[6] Assets and Growth - Total assets at the end of 2024 were RMB 630,631.45 million, an increase of 13.08% from the beginning of the period[6] Business Segments - The company's digital maintenance business is expected to generate approximately RMB 3,042 million in revenue, a year-on-year growth of about 14.59%[6] - The digital energy business is projected to achieve revenue of approximately RMB 867 million, with a year-on-year increase of about 52.98%[6] Research and Development - R&D expenses in the fourth quarter increased by approximately RMB 61.96 million compared to the previous quarter, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation[7] Non-Recurring Items - Non-recurring gains and losses for 2024 amounted to approximately RMB 95.56 million, primarily due to investment income from the transfer of a subsidiary's equity[7] Strategic Initiatives - The company has implemented an AI-driven strategy to enhance operational efficiency and integrate generative AI technology into its processes[6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of between 3.8 billion to 4 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.88% to 23.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between 620 million to 680 million CNY, showing a significant increase of 245.92% to 279.39% [1]. - The digital maintenance business continues to lead the industry, with expected revenue of approximately 2.95 billion to 3.09 billion CNY in 2024. The digital energy business is also expanding, with projected revenue of around 830 million to 890 million CNY [2]. - The company is exploring new growth areas in integrated air-ground solutions, leveraging generative AI technology for smarter and more efficient inspection operations in energy and transportation sectors [3]. - The company focuses on R&D, production, sales, and services related to new energy charging piles, automotive diagnostics, and electronic components, indicating a broad future growth potential [4]. Financial Projections - The adjusted revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are 3.91 billion, 4.62 billion, and 5.36 billion CNY, respectively. The net profit forecasts for the same period are 641.56 million, 706.20 million, and 827.92 million CNY, with corresponding EPS of 1.42, 1.56, and 1.83 CNY per share [4][8]. - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected at 20.36% for 2024, 18.12% for 2025, and 15.90% for 2026, with net profit growth rates of 257.95%, 10.07%, and 17.24% for the same years [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [10]. Core Insights - The company has released a 2024 earnings forecast, expecting revenue between 3.8 billion to 4.0 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.9% to 23.0%, with a midpoint of 3.9 billion RMB and a year-on-year increase of 20.0% [2]. - The company is focusing on robotics and AI as a new growth curve, having established a wholly-owned subsidiary for robotics and launched a "ground-air integrated cluster intelligence solution" centered on generative AI, with collaborations with major clients like PetroChina [3]. - The digital energy business is projected to benefit significantly from overseas growth, with expected revenue of 830 million to 890 million RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51.8% [4]. - The digital repair business is expected to remain a stable contributor, with projected revenue of 2.95 billion to 3.09 billion RMB in 2024, indicating a year-on-year growth of 14.0% [5]. Financial Projections - The total revenue forecast for 2024 is set at 3.953 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 21.59% [10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 644.31 million RMB in 2024, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 259.48% [10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.43 RMB for 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.46 based on the latest diluted share price [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [5][12]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve revenue of 3.99 billion to 4.0 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.88% to 23.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between 620 million and 680 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 245.92% to 279.39% [1]. - The digital energy business is showing strong momentum, with expected revenue of 830 million to 890 million yuan in 2024. The company has established a diverse product matrix to meet the varied needs of overseas customers [1][2]. - The company is committed to expanding its global presence, having established production bases in Shenzhen, Vietnam, and North Carolina, USA, enhancing its global service capabilities [2]. - The integration of generative AI technology is a key focus, with the company developing intelligent solutions for the energy and transportation sectors, aiming to accelerate technology transfer and innovation [2]. - A stock incentive plan has been approved for 229 employees, granting 9.7696 million restricted shares to boost morale and promote long-term development [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 3.99 billion, 4.99 billion, and 6.37 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.6%, 25.1%, and 27.7% [3][4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 650 million, 800 million, and 970 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 260.4%, 23.8%, and 21.7% [3][4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 25, 20, and 16 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, reflecting the company's high-end market positioning and growth potential [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a current price of 35.30 CNY and a fair value of 43.43 CNY [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2024, with projected revenue between 3.8 billion to 4.0 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.9% to 23.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be between 620 million to 680 million CNY, reflecting a substantial increase of 245.9% to 279.4% [8][9]. - The company is actively expanding its AI applications, leveraging its experience in the automotive and drone sectors to develop intelligent inspection solutions for the energy and transportation industries [7][9]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are as follows: - 2024: 3.9 billion CNY, growth rate of 20.0% - 2025: 4.6 billion CNY, growth rate of 18.3% - 2026: 5.3 billion CNY, growth rate of 14.5% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be: - 2024: 645 million CNY - 2025: 785 million CNY - 2026: 954 million CNY [2][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be: - 2024: 1.43 CNY - 2025: 1.74 CNY - 2026: 2.11 CNY [2][11]. Business Segments - The digital energy business is anticipated to generate revenue of 830 million to 890 million CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 46.5% to 57.1%. The digital maintenance business is expected to achieve revenue of 2.95 billion to 3.09 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 9.9% to 15.1% [9][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock performance that will outperform the market by 10% to 20% within the next six months [1][9][13]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 3.8 billion to 4 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 16.88% to 23.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between 620 million to 680 million yuan, with a staggering growth rate of 245.92% to 279.39% [3][6]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its digital maintenance business and capitalizing on opportunities in the overseas new energy charging sector, with expected revenues of 2.95 billion to 3.09 billion yuan and 830 million to 890 million yuan respectively [6][7]. - The introduction of the "Air-Ground Integrated Cluster Smart Solution" aims to leverage AI technology to improve inspection efficiency and quality, with applications already in the energy and transportation sectors [7][9]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 is reported at 3.25 billion yuan, with projections of 3.96 billion yuan for 2024, 4.83 billion yuan for 2025, and 5.95 billion yuan for 2026, indicating a compound annual growth rate [5][10]. - The net profit for 2023 is 179 million yuan, with forecasts of 651 million yuan for 2024, 754 million yuan for 2025, and 940 million yuan for 2026, showcasing significant growth potential [10][11]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 54% to 54.9% over the next few years, while the net profit margin is projected to increase significantly to 16.5% by 2024 [11][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a strong global sales network covering over 120 countries, focusing on new energy core businesses and accelerating its strategic transformation [9][10]. - The strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading companies in the robotics and energy sectors are expected to enhance the company's innovation capabilities and market reach [7][9].

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2024年1月1日至2024年12月31日。 （二）业绩预告情况 1、经财务部门初步测算，预计2024年年度实现营业收入380,000.00万元至400,000.00万元，与上年同期 相比，将增加54,884.78万元至74,884.78万元，同比增长16.88%至23.03%。 2、预计2024年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为62,000.00万元至68,000.00万元，与上年同期相 比，将增加44,076.67万元至50,076.67万元，同比增长245.92%至279.39%。 3、预计2024年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为52,000.00万元至58,000.00 万元，与上年同期相比，将增加15,317.12万元至21,317.12万元，同比增长41.76%至58.11%。 （三）本次业绩预告未经注册会计师审计。 二、上年同期业绩情况和财务状况 上年同期营业收入：325,115.22万元。 ...

Revenue Projections - The company expects 2024 annual revenue to be between 3,800 million and 4,000 million CNY, an increase of 54.88 million to 74.88 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.88% to 23.03%[3]. - The digital maintenance business is projected to achieve revenue of approximately 2,950 million to 3,090 million CNY during the reporting period[6]. - The digital energy business is expected to generate revenue of approximately 830 million to 890 million CNY during the reporting period[6]. Profit Projections - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to be between 620 million and 680 million CNY, an increase of 440.77 million to 500.77 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 245.92% to 279.39%[3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 520 million and 580 million CNY, an increase of 153.17 million to 213.17 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 41.76% to 58.11%[3]. R&D and Innovation - The company plans to increase R&D investment in integrated smart solutions for air and ground operations, with a quarterly increase of approximately 50 million CNY in R&D expenses[7]. - The company is actively pursuing digital transformation and organizational capability building, integrating generative AI technology into digital processes[7]. Non-Recurring Gains and Losses - The company anticipates non-recurring gains and losses for 2024 to be approximately 96 million to 105 million CNY, primarily from the transfer of equity in a subsidiary[8]. Performance Forecast - The company has not identified any significant uncertainties that would affect the accuracy of the performance forecast[9]. - The performance forecast data is preliminary and subject to final audited financial results in the 2024 annual report[10].