经济观察网 河钢资源（000923）于2026年2月11日接受机构调研时披露，受南非异常强降雨影响，井下 生产暂时停产，铜矿二期配套的六号破碎机项目施工进度受阻，原定2026年三季度投入使用的计划预计 延期。公司强调未发生人员伤亡或重大安全事故，正全力评估恢复情况，但达产时间可能延迟。此事件 可能对短期生产效率和项目推进产生负面影响。 机构观点 机构最新市场观点（截至2026年2月14日）显示，河钢资源舆情偏中性，机构评级以中性为 主，综合目标价24.80元，较当前价存在负向空间。2025年预测净利润同比增长66.02%，但铜二期延期 可能影响2026年增长预期。调研中公司强调分红政策将保持稳定，结合盈利和现金流综合制定。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 股票近期走势 近7个交易日（2026年2月9日至13日），河钢资源股价区间振幅达7.04%，最新收盘价（2 月13日）为23.30元，单日跌2.71%，但5日累计涨0.60%。资金流向显示2月13日主力净流入约2899万 元，散户资金呈净流出态势。同期钢铁板块整体下跌，该股表现略优于行业平均水平。 财报分析 根据2025年三季报（发布于2026年 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Hebei Steel Resources is experiencing delays in the construction of the No. 6 crusher project associated with the second phase of its copper mine due to underground water accumulation affecting the site [1] - Some equipment for the project has already arrived and is currently in the infrastructure construction phase [1] - The original plan for the project to be operational by the third quarter of 2026 is now expected to be postponed [1]

Group 1: Production and Operational Challenges - The company has implemented safety measures in response to extreme weather, including a weather warning system and drainage system maintenance [2] - Heavy rainfall in January 2026 led to increased underground water levels, causing flooding in some mine tunnels [2] - Despite the flooding, the company successfully executed emergency measures, ensuring no casualties or major safety incidents occurred [2] Group 2: Project Development and Delays - The progress of the No. 6 crusher for the copper phase II project has been affected by the flooding, leading to delays in construction [2][3] - The expected production start date for the copper phase II project will be postponed due to the impact of the flooding [3] - The company is assessing recovery efforts and aims to resume work as soon as safety and operational conditions allow [3] Group 3: Financial and Dividend Policies - The company emphasizes sustainable development as the basis for future dividend plans, balancing profitability, cash flow, and investment needs [3] - The commitment to maintaining a stable dividend policy is highlighted to protect investor interests [3] Group 4: Technical Capabilities - The copper phase II project utilizes the natural caving method, which is advantageous in terms of mining capacity, efficiency, and cost [3] - The company has established technical reserves and a skilled workforce from previous successful applications of the natural caving method in the copper phase I project [3]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42]

Market Performance - The steel sector declined by 3.02% this week, underperforming the broader market, with sub-sectors such as special steel down 2.10%, long products down 1.88%, and flat products down 3.84% [2][5] - Iron ore and steel consumables sectors also saw declines of 1.74% and 3.02% respectively, while the trade circulation sector fell by 4.006% [2][5] Supply Situation - As of February 6, the capacity utilization rate of blast furnaces in sample steel enterprises was 85.7%, an increase of 0.22 percentage points week-on-week [2] - Electric furnace capacity utilization was at 48.1%, a decrease of 7.59 percentage points week-on-week [2] - The production of five major steel products was 7.208 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 15,500 tons [2] - Daily average pig iron production was 2.2858 million tons, an increase of 6,000 tons week-on-week and 1,400 tons year-on-year [5] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products was 7.607 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 410,800 tons, or 5.12% [2] - Mainstream traders' sales volume of construction steel was 35,000 tons, down 32,500 tons week-on-week, representing a 48.24% decline [2] Inventory Situation - As of February 6, social inventory of five major steel products was 9.404 million tons, an increase of 496,800 tons week-on-week, or 5.58%, but down 18.04% year-on-year [3][5] - Factory inventory of five major steel products was 3.973 million tons, an increase of 95,600 tons week-on-week, or 2.47%, and down 24.13% year-on-year [3][5] Steel Prices & Profits - As of February 6, the comprehensive index for ordinary steel was 3,414.2 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 13.31 yuan/ton, or 0.39%, and down 5.51% year-on-year [3] - The comprehensive index for special steel was 6,582.0 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 2.28 yuan/ton, or 0.03%, and down 2.88% year-on-year [3] - The profit for rebar from blast furnaces was 65 yuan/ton, an increase of 14.0 yuan/ton week-on-week, or 27.45% [3] - The profit for construction steel from electric furnaces was -76 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.0 yuan/ton week-on-week, or 5.00% [3] Raw Material Situation - As of February 6, the spot price index for Australian powder ore (62% Fe) at Rizhao Port was 764 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 29.0 yuan/ton, or 3.66% [4] - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1,700 yuan/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 80.0 yuan/ton [4] - The average available days of iron ore for sample steel enterprises was 31.29 days, an increase of 2.6 days week-on-week [4] Investment Recommendations - The steel sector is expected to have strong "anti-involution" characteristics and significant profit recovery potential, with high-quality steel companies likely to see performance improvements [6][7] - Key companies to focus on include regional leaders with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as those benefiting from the new energy cycle [7]

淡季维持累库趋势，但库存处于历史低位 [Table_Industry] 钢铁 ——钢铁行业周度更新报告 | | | --- | [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 李鹏飞(分析师) | 010-83939783 | lipengfei2@gtht.com | S0880519080003 | | 刘彦奇(分析师) | 021-23219391 | liuyanqi@gtht.com | S0880525040007 | | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 021-38674763 | weiyudi@gtht.com | S0880520010002 | | 王宏玉(分析师) | 021-38038343 | wanghongyu@gtht.com | S0880523060005 | 本报告导读： 需求有望逐步触底；供给端即便不考虑供给政策，目前行业微利时间已经较长，供 给的市场化出清已开始出现，我们预期钢铁行业基本面有望逐步修复。而若供给政 策落地，行业供给的收缩速度更快，行 ...

钢材库存压力有限，重视阶段性回调的配置机会 [Tabl 行业周报 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 钢铁 投资评级 看好 【】【】 钢铁 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 2 月 8 日 上次评级 看好 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 刘 波 煤炭、钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525070001 邮 箱：liubo1@cindasc.com 李 睿 煤炭、钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525040002 邮箱：lirui@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [钢材库存压力有限，重视阶段性回调的配置机会 Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 2 月 8 日 本期内容提要： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 ➢ 本周市场表现：本周钢铁板块下跌 3.02%，表现劣于大盘；其中，特 钢板块下跌 2.1 ...

Group 1 - HeSteel Resources announced that it will hold an investor research meeting on February 5, 2026, from 16:00 to 17:00 [1] - The meeting will be attended by the company's board secretary Zhao Qingsong and securities affairs representative Zheng Zengyan, who will respond to investor inquiries [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the issue of millions of elderly individuals living alone and the need for solutions to help them age gracefully [1] - It mentions that the concept of intended guardianship has been present in the country for 14 years but is still facing challenges in full implementation [1]

Group 1: Production and Operational Challenges - The company has implemented safety measures in response to extreme weather conditions, including a comprehensive drainage system and emergency evacuation plans [2] - Due to heavy rainfall in January 2026, underground water inflow exceeded drainage capacity, leading to water accumulation in some tunnels [2] - Despite the challenges, the company successfully executed a production halt and evacuation, preventing any casualties or major safety incidents [2] Group 2: Project Updates and Delays - The progress of the No. 6 crusher project for the copper phase II has been affected by the underground water issues, causing delays in the construction schedule [3] - The expected production commencement for the copper phase II project will be postponed due to the impact of the recent flooding [3] Group 3: Iron Ore Processing Enhancements - The company plans to upgrade its processing techniques to increase the iron ore grade from 58% to 65%, targeting an annual output of 6 million tons [3] - Although costs per ton may slightly increase, the price differential (approximately $13 per ton) between 62% and 65% grade will enhance overall economic benefits [3] Group 4: Dividend Policy and Investor Relations - The company emphasizes sustainable development in its dividend policy, aiming to balance profitability, cash flow, and investment needs to ensure stable returns for investors [3]

Group 1: Production and Operational Challenges - The company has implemented safety measures in response to extreme weather conditions, including monitoring rainfall data and activating emergency plans [2] - Due to heavy rainfall in January 2026, underground water inflow exceeded drainage capacity, leading to water accumulation in some tunnels [2] - Despite the challenges, the company successfully executed measures such as production suspension and emergency drainage, preventing any casualties or major safety incidents [2] Group 2: Project Delays - The construction progress of the No. 6 crusher for the copper phase II project has been affected by the underground water issues, causing delays in the project timeline [3] - The expected production commencement for the copper phase II project will be postponed due to the impact of the recent flooding and water accumulation [3] - The company is currently assessing recovery conditions and plans to resume work as soon as safety and operational conditions allow, aiming to minimize delays in the production schedule [3]