来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月24日，芯片ETF天弘（159310）开盘涨1.12%，报2.342元。芯片ETF天弘（159310）重仓股方面，寒 武纪开盘涨1.39%，中芯国际涨0.94%，海光信息涨3.00%，北方华创涨1.17%，兆易创新涨2.85%，澜起 科技涨3.27%，中微公司涨1.26%，豪威集团涨1.02%，紫光国微涨1.02%，拓荆科技涨0.92%。 芯片ETF天弘（159310）业绩比较基准为中证芯片产业指数收益率，管理人为天弘基金管理有限公司， 基金经理为洪明华，成立（2024-04-18）以来回报为131.72%，近一个月回报为3.46%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

2）当下全球存储仍以典型周期资产估值定价，下一个阶段有望转向成长，估值将不再是5X、6X，而是10X、 15X、甚至20X。 持续强call存储设备，重视机器人催化【华西机械】 3）大陆存储扩产是景气度+国产替代共振，十五五两存+晋华预计扩产规划超过百万，显著强于海外，短期看两存 招标po临近。 持续强call存储设备，重视机器人催化【华西机械】 #1、1）春节假期海外指数普涨，欧洲、东亚等多国指数创新高；2）科技方向中存储板块表现强势，海力士、三 星等原厂股价再创新高，ASML、AMAT、LAM、泰瑞达等半导体设备龙头同样表现强势，股价逼近历史新高。 #1、1）春节假期海外指数普涨，欧洲、东亚等多国指数创新高；2）科技方向中存储板块表现强势，海力士、三 星等原厂股价再创新高，ASML、AMAT、LAM、泰瑞达等半导体设备龙头同样表现强势，股价逼近历史新高。 #2、1）2月20日海力士电话会议再次乐观指引全球存储景气度：一方面，AI带来的真实需求爆发，另一方面原厂 纪律性扩产以及洁净室限制导致供给失衡。 #2、1）2月20日海力士电话会议再次乐观指引全球存储景气度：一方面，AI带来的真实需求爆发，另一方面原厂 ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 芯片ETF（159995）业绩比较基准为国证半导体芯片指数收益率，管理人为华夏基金管理有限公司，基 金经理为赵宗庭，成立（2020-01-20）以来回报为93.54%，近一个月回报为3.60%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月24日，芯片ETF（159995）开盘涨1.86%，报1.972元。芯片ETF（159995）重仓股方面，中芯国际开 盘涨0.94%，海光信息涨3.00%，寒武纪涨1.39%，北方华创涨1.17%，兆易创新涨2.85%，中微公司涨 1.26%，澜起科技涨3.27%，豪威集团涨1.02%，拓荆科技涨0.92%，长电科技涨1.67%。 ...

Group 1: Stock Recommendations - 吉利汽车 (Geely Auto) has a market cap of $23.4 billion, with a target price of $25.00, indicating an upside potential of 48%[5] - 正力新能 (Zhengli New Energy) has a market cap of $2.8 billion, with a target price of $18.00, indicating an upside potential of 113%[5] - 极兔速递 (Jitu Express) has a market cap of $12.2 billion, with a target price of $13.40, indicating an upside potential of 25%[5] - 三一国际 (Sany International) has a market cap of $6.2 billion, with a target price of $20.60, indicating an upside potential of 37%[5] - 瑞幸咖啡 (Luckin Coffee) has a market cap of $11.0 billion, with a target price of $54.68, indicating an upside potential of 41%[5] Group 2: Performance Overview - The basket of 26 long positions had an average return of -2.3%, outperforming the MSCI China Index, which returned -2.4% by 0.1 percentage points[10] - Out of the 26 stocks, 11 had returns exceeding the benchmark[10] - The report includes a new addition of Datadog (DDOG US) to the buy list, while Salesforce (CRM US) has been removed[7]

内容概况：在"后摩尔时代"，原子层沉积（ALD）技术凭借其独特的原子级精度和优异的三维保形性， 正从辅助工艺跃升为制造先进芯片三维结构的关键核心技术。2024年，中国ALD设备行业市场规模约 为45.22亿元，同比增长7.23%。一方面，集成电路制造正持续向更先进的节点突破，制造工艺步骤成倍 增加，直接拉动了对ALD设备的核心需求。另一方面，"超越摩尔"战略下的广阔应用正成为新的增长引 擎。高效太阳能电池（TOPCon）的产业化、OLED柔性显示的精密薄膜封装、锂电池固态电解质涂层 等新能源及新材料领域，正为ALD技术开辟远超传统半导体领域的巨大增量市场。 相关上市企业：微导纳米（688147）、拓荆科技（688072）、北方华创（002371）、中微公司 （688012） 相关企业：江苏南大光电材料股份有限公司、江苏雅克科技股份有限公司、华友钴业股份有限公司、赣 锋锂业股份有限公司、营口风光新材料股份有限公司、盈德气体集团有限公司、深圳市恒运昌真空技术 股份有限公司、中芯国际集成电路制造有限公司、隆基绿能科技股份有限公司、宁德时代新能源科技股 份有限公司、京东方科技集团股份有限公司、歌尔股份有限公司、迈瑞医 ...

转自：前瞻产业研究院 以下数据及分析来自于前瞻产业研究院光伏设备行业研究小组发布的《中国光伏设备行业市场前瞻与投 资战略规划分析报告》。 行业主要上市公司：捷佳伟创(300724)、晶盛机电(300316)、迈为股份(300751)、京山轻机(000821)、连 城数控(920368)、北方华创(002371)、奥特维(688516) 金辰股份(603396)、帝尔激光(300776)、罗博特科 (300757)、高测股份(688556)、双良节能(600481) 先导智能(300450)、微导纳米(688147)、大族激光 (002008)、博硕光电(831019)、拉普拉斯(688726)、宇晶股份(002943)、京运通(601908)等 本文核心数据：光伏设备行业企业布局情况;中国光伏设备行业发展历程;中国光伏设备行业规模 光伏设备种类繁多 参考中国光伏行业协会的资料，光伏设备指光伏制造企业用于生产原料、电池及电池组件、零部件等产 品中使用的，并在反复使用中基本保持原有实物形态和功能的机器设备。 光伏设备的种类较多，主要包括硅棒/硅锭制造设备、硅片制造设备、电池片制造设备、晶体硅电池组 件制造设备、薄 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the recent US Supreme Court ruling on the $175 billion tariff refund has significant implications for both China and the A-share market, despite the refund being an internal US matter [2][6][28] - The $175 billion in tariffs was primarily collected from imports, including a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, and is now being refunded to US importers [8][10] - The refund will indirectly benefit Chinese companies as US importers, who have been financially strained by tariffs, will use the refunded money to pay off debts to Chinese suppliers and resume orders [12][14][28] Group 2 - The immediate impact on the A-share market is expected to be positive, with a potential "opening red" for A-shares as market sentiment improves following the ruling [40][46] - The ruling is seen as a signal that the previous high tariffs on Chinese goods may not be a permanent state, which could lead to a more favorable environment for Chinese exports [20][48] - Structural opportunities in the A-share market are identified, focusing on five main lines: export-oriented sectors, domestic substitution, strategic resources, domestic consumption, and new energy [51][62][88] Group 3 - Export-oriented sectors, particularly those with high exposure to the US market, are expected to benefit directly from the tariff refunds, with companies like Midea Group and Haier expected to see improved performance [52][72][73] - Domestic substitution and self-sufficiency in sectors like semiconductors and military equipment are highlighted as long-term strategic focuses, with companies like SMIC and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft being key players [53][78][86] - Strategic resources such as rare earths and gold are also expected to see price support due to ongoing global supply chain disruptions, benefiting companies like Northern Rare Earth and Shandong Gold [56][87]

Group 1: Core Insights - UBS's in-depth research in China identifies two main industry themes for 2026: self-sufficiency and overseas expansion [1] - The research covered various sectors including technology, industrial, healthcare, consumer, and utilities, visiting over 100 companies and industry experts [1] - The report highlights a shift in investor interest, with capital goods, media entertainment, and real estate development seeing increased research focus, while semiconductor and automotive parts sectors experienced a decline [1] Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - The technology sector is a key focus, with advancements in self-sufficiency moving from isolated breakthroughs to industry-wide collaboration [2] - AI capital expenditure is expected to grow steadily in 2026, driven by strong demand for AI applications and local semiconductor production [3] - Despite uncertainties regarding H200 GPU imports, domestic supply chains are adapting through technology substitution and demand upgrades [3] Group 3: Semiconductor Developments - The localization of China's semiconductor industry is accelerating, with significant progress in advanced etching/ deposition equipment, advanced packaging, and high-end analog chips [4] - Capital expenditure for wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) is projected to grow by 10-15% annually, driven by capacity expansion in advanced logic and memory wafer fabs [4] - Domestic manufacturers anticipate a substantial increase in storage capital expenditure in 2026, aligning with a global upcycle in the storage industry [4] Group 4: Overseas Expansion Trends - Multiple industries, including industrial, biopharmaceuticals, and consumer goods, are focusing on overseas expansion as a key growth strategy [6] - In the industrial sector, overseas orders for AIDC and renewable energy storage equipment are increasing significantly [7] - The healthcare sector is also prioritizing global expansion, with biopharmaceutical companies actively pursuing international collaborations and local sales team development [9] Group 5: Key Recommendations - UBS recommends several core stocks in the technology and semiconductor sectors, including Northern Huachuang (advanced etching/ deposition), Changdian Technology (advanced packaging), and Horizon Robotics (edge AI) [5][12] - In the healthcare sector, companies like WuXi AppTec (CRO/CDMO) and 3SBio (biopharmaceuticals) are highlighted as key beneficiaries of global expansion [12] - The consumer sector sees recommendations for Jason Furniture (overseas expansion) and Leap Motor (new energy vehicles), while Gree Electric Appliances is advised to sell due to margin pressures [12] Group 6: Overall Industry Outlook - The report concludes that China's industrial development in 2026 will be characterized by a dual focus on self-sufficiency in technology and overseas expansion in various sectors [13] - The integration of these two themes is expected to enhance China's economic globalization, with technology supporting overseas expansion and vice versa [13] - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors with low crowding and improving fundamentals, as well as in high-growth areas like AI and semiconductors [13]

Core Viewpoint - The AI industry is experiencing a surge in activity with major companies like ByteDance, Alibaba, and others releasing flagship models, indicating a competitive landscape and potential investment opportunities in AI applications and related sectors [3][6]. Group 1: Industry Performance - On the last trading day before the Year of the Snake, the film and media, as well as semiconductor equipment sectors, saw significant gains, with the Seedance video model index rising against the trend [4]. - Companies such as iReader Technology and Light Media reached their daily limit up, while semiconductor stocks like Deep Technology and North Huachuang also surged [4]. - In the Hong Kong market, AI leaders MiniMax and Zhiyu both saw their market values exceed HKD 200 billion [4]. Group 2: AI Model Developments - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 model has achieved four key breakthroughs, including multi-modal input support and a significant reduction in video production costs, with costs dropping to between 4.5-9 yuan per 15-second 1080P video [6][7]. - Zhiyu AI launched its flagship model GLM-5, enhancing programming capabilities, while MiniMax introduced its new text model MiniMax M2.5 [7]. - The rapid release of flagship models in the AI sector is noted as unprecedented, with a shift towards converting technological advancements into consumer products [7]. Group 3: Market Trends and Investment Insights - The AI sector is witnessing a surge in ETF investments, with several thematic ETFs showing over 20% gains this year [6]. - Analysts caution that the current enthusiasm in the AI sector may lead to overvaluation, with some stocks already reflecting optimistic future earnings [9]. - Investment opportunities are seen in areas with high certainty, such as computing infrastructure and content production, while risks remain due to high valuations and market volatility [9][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The AI commercialization path is expected to focus on user subscriptions and enterprise applications, with internet tech companies poised to benefit from advertising and value-added services [10]. - Market sentiment is anticipated to improve post-Spring Festival, with analysts expressing a relatively optimistic outlook for the A-share market [10].

Investment Rating - The semiconductor industry is rated as "stable improvement" for the next 12 to 18 months, with potential for upward adjustments based on demand growth from automotive electronics and artificial intelligence [5][7]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry in China is expected to benefit from effective industrial support policies, accelerating domestic substitution processes, and a stable upward trend in credit quality [5][8]. - The competition in the semiconductor industry remains a key national focus, with ongoing support for high-end breakthroughs and supply chain management [7][9]. - The recovery of the semiconductor industry is driven by the mild recovery in consumer electronics and rapid development in automotive electronics and artificial intelligence [19][24]. - The global semiconductor sales reached approximately $697.18 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.22%, indicating a new recovery cycle after a previous downturn [20][24]. - The domestic semiconductor market in China is projected to reach $210.88 billion in 2025, growing by 14.68% year-on-year, driven by AI and automotive electronics [24]. Industry Fundamentals Analysis - The semiconductor industry is supported by a comprehensive policy framework that includes national and local government initiatives aimed at enhancing self-sufficiency and technological breakthroughs [9][10]. - The production of integrated circuits in China reached 484.3 billion units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 87.28%, with exports also showing significant growth [11][24]. - The industry is characterized by a high degree of concentration, with the top ten chip design companies holding over 65% of the market share globally, predominantly led by U.S. firms [30][31]. Credit Performance of Industry Enterprises - The overall financial performance of the semiconductor industry has improved, with revenue, profit, and operating cash flow showing growth, while debt levels remain manageable [29]. - The industry has not experienced any bond extensions or defaults, indicating a stable credit environment [29]. - The chip design sector has seen rapid growth, particularly in AI chip manufacturers, which have outperformed other segments [31].