2月25日，碳酸锂连续主力合约强势上攻，日内涨超5%，最高报超170000.00元。 消息面上，日前津巴布韦锂矿出口叫停问题传闻引发市场关注，发运数据看最近两个月发运和出口量较此前有下降，但具体影响量级仍需验证。 2月25日，A股市场延续开门红强劲走势，上证指数涨超1%，截至13:02，同类规模领先、费率最低档的电池ETF汇添富(159796)震荡冲高，当前上涨超 2%，冲击两连涨。 电池ETF汇添富(159796)标的指数成分股多数冲高，格林美涨超4%，阳光电源、亿纬锂能、天赐材料、先导智能等涨超2%，国轩高科等涨超1%，三花 智控、银轮股份等回调。 | 【电池ETF汇添富(159796)标的指数前十大成分股】 | | --- | | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 002050 | 三花智控 | 家用电器 | -1.59% | 8.25% | | 2 | 300274 | 阳光电源 | 电力设备 | 2.47% | 7.85% | | 3 | 300750 | 宁德时代 | 电 ...

基本面上，中证电池指数成份股多家企业业绩预喜，受上游材料持续涨价影响，天赐材料、多氟多等盈利大增，净利润增幅230%和190%，头部电池制造企 业同样亮眼，国轩高科净利增幅148%，鹏辉能源增191%。 | 证券简称 | 预告净利润上限(亿元) | 预告净利润变动幅度(%) | 所属中证四 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 先导智能 | 18.00 | 529.15 | 其他专用 | | 道氏技术 | 5.80 | 269.76 | 电池部件】 | | 天赐材料 | 16.00 | 230.63 | 电池部件】 | | 鹏辉能源 | 2.30 | 191.11 | 电池 | | 多氟多 | 2.80 | 190.76 | 氟化二 | | 瑞泰新材 | 2.40 | 183.68 | 电池部件2 | | 德福科技 | 1.25 | 151.00 | 电池部件】 | | 国轩高科 | 30.00 | 148.59 | 电池 | | 湖南裕能 | 14.00 | 135.87 | 电池部件】 | | 恩捷股份 | 1.64 | 129.50 | 电池部件入 | | 震裕科技 | 5.50 ...

机构分析指出，关税一旦实施，总统可单方面调整，这使其在政策连续性与执行弹性上更具操作空间。 关税落地将显著增加出口成本，海外客户在预期驱动下加速下单，进一步强化了抢出口的紧迫性。 产业端，申港证券认为，钠电池技术突破及量产落地，展现多元供给韧性。钠电池低温性能优、成本 低，与锂电池互补，在储能、动力电池等场景前景广阔。随着产业规模提升，钠电池成本下降，成本优 势凸显，推动电池行业发展。 碳酸锂价格显著反弹，电池级碳酸锂上周单周涨幅达6.9%，工业级碳酸锂涨幅达7.46%。华鑫证券分析 指出，本轮涨价主要受供需格局阶段性改善驱动，一方面春节后下游排产回暖、3月起动力及储能电池 排产预计环比增长15%以上；另一方面供给端部分锂盐厂检修减产，1月国内碳酸锂产量环比下降 8.63%，叠加外购矿加工企业成本压力缓解但库存偏低，形成较强价格支撑。当前电池级碳酸锂均价已 回升至14.38万元/吨，较年初低点累计上涨超10%。 电池ETF南方(159147)紧密跟踪中证电池主题指数，中证电池主题指数选取业务涉及动力电池、储能电 池、消费电子电池以及相关产业链上下游的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映电池主题上市公司证券 的整体 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the electric power equipment and new energy sector [7] Core Views - The cancellation of IEEPA tariffs and the introduction of a 15% tariff under the 122 clause could lead to a marginal improvement of 5% to 10% in tariffs for various components, benefiting companies like Ningde Times, Sunshine Power, and others [2][10] - The potential for the Trump administration to implement additional tariffs under clauses 201, 232, 301, and 338 could maintain the overall tariff levels, impacting the competitiveness of domestic products against overseas counterparts [4][10] - The demand for electric new equipment in the U.S. remains strong, with a projected revenue share of 16% or less for sample companies in 2026, indicating resilience against tariff fluctuations [5] Summary by Sections Tariff Changes and Impacts - The report outlines two scenarios regarding tariff changes: an optimistic scenario with a 15% tariff leading to a 5% to 10% reduction in marginal tariffs for various components, and a pessimistic scenario where additional tariffs could keep overall levels unchanged [2][4] - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling is expected to narrow the tariff gap between domestic and overseas production by 1% to 5% due to the new uniform 15% tariff [3] Company Recommendations - The report highlights several companies as favorable investment opportunities, including: - Ningde Times (300750 CH) with a target price of 566.18 - Sunshine Power (300274 CH) with a target price of 198.63 - Yihua Lithium Energy (300014 CH) with a target price of 96.96 - TBEA (600089 CH) with a target price of 33.31 - Foster (603806 CH) with a target price of 19.97 [14] Market Dynamics - The electric new equipment sector is experiencing high demand due to the inability of overseas suppliers to meet urgent needs, particularly in the transformer market, which is expected to have a supply gap until at least 2027 [5] - The report emphasizes that the tariff adjustments will have a limited impact on the main photovoltaic industry, while auxiliary materials and lithium battery sectors may benefit significantly [3][10]

化工板块迎来开门红，消息面上，2026年2月18日，美国宣布将磷和草甘膦列入战略资源。此外印度尿 素招标（印标）价格已创下阶段性新高，东海岸 CFR 512 美元/吨、西海岸 CFR 508 美元/吨，较 1 月招 标大涨约85 美元/吨，折合人民币约3500元/吨。 国金证券指出，油价上涨可能带动化工品涨价预期，而如果地缘风险溢价回落则行业成本压力下降，考 虑到国内未来产业反内卷的政策方向，有利于化工产业的长期格局优化及高质量发展，建议长期关注中 下游化工龙头企业。 化工ETF(159870)，场外联接(A：014942；C：014943；I：022792)。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 截至2026年2月24日 13:33，中证细分化工产业主题指数(000813)强势上涨3.50%，成分股和邦生物上涨 10.08%，云天化上涨10.01%，川发龙蟒上涨10.00%，兴发集团，扬农化工等个股跟涨。化工 ETF(159870)上涨3.64%，最新价报0.94元。 化工ETF紧密跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，中证细分产业主题指数系列由细分有色、细分机械等7 条指数组成 ...

投资建议：第一条线推荐壁垒最高的电池环节，首推宁德时代，关注国轩高科，金龙羽等；第二条线推 荐设备端，推荐先惠技术，纳科诺尔，先导智能，联赢激光，关注宏工科技，灵鸽科技，利通科技，海 目星，利元亨，松井股份等；第三条线推荐材料端，首推硫化锂+电解质，推荐上海洗霸，厦钨新能， 当升科技，天赐材料，恩捷股份，华盛锂电，关注博苑股份，海辰药业，其次推荐天奈科技，容百科技 等；第四条线推荐新技术，关注中一科技，远航精密，英联股份等。 25年看，固态电池产业化加速，H1车规级电芯下线，H2中试线落地，带来两轮主升浪行情。26年看， 固态电池进入关键期，H1车规级Pack下线，开启装车路试验证，H2预计量产线落地。该行认为26年核 心催化点在于GWh级量产线的招标+固态相关车型的路试，有望带来类比25年两轮大级别的行情，建议 重点关注头部企业的产线招标情况，以及后续亮相工信部申报名录的新车型。 具备宽温域+高能量+安全性，固态电池天然适配太空领域 太空体系具备真空、极端温差、高辐射等特点，环境温度在-200℃~+150℃，液态电池工作温度 在-20℃~+60℃，而固态电池具备宽温域的属性，此外安全性高不起火，抗辐射不产气 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the solid-state battery industry, highlighting key players and sectors to focus on [2][11]. Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is entering a critical phase in 2026, with significant advancements expected in the production of battery packs and vehicle testing [2][14]. - Solid-state batteries are particularly suited for space applications due to their wide temperature range, high energy density, and safety features [27][32]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support and technological advancements in driving the commercialization of solid-state batteries [11][24]. Summary by Sections Part 1: Transition from Cell to Pack - The focus is shifting from cell production to pack development, with significant attention on vehicle testing progress [5][14]. - The timeline indicates that 2025 will see the rollout of vehicle-grade cells, while 2026 will focus on pack production and testing [11][12]. Part 2: Adaptation to Space Environment - Solid-state batteries are designed to operate in extreme conditions, making them ideal for space applications [27][32]. - The demand for solid-state batteries in the space sector could reach tens to hundreds of GWh annually as technology matures [32][29]. Part 3: Equipment and Material Dynamics - The equipment sector is expected to benefit first from the expansion of solid-state battery production, with a focus on key players in the equipment supply chain [37][41]. - The materials sector is becoming increasingly competitive, with various players working on cost reduction and efficiency improvements [60][62]. Part 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading battery manufacturers, equipment suppliers, and material producers, highlighting specific companies for investment [2][11]. - Key players include CATL, Gotion High-Tech, and others in the battery production and equipment sectors [2][11].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the recent US Supreme Court ruling on the $175 billion tariff refund has significant implications for both China and the A-share market, despite the refund being an internal US matter [2][6][28] - The $175 billion in tariffs was primarily collected from imports, including a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, and is now being refunded to US importers [8][10] - The refund will indirectly benefit Chinese companies as US importers, who have been financially strained by tariffs, will use the refunded money to pay off debts to Chinese suppliers and resume orders [12][14][28] Group 2 - The immediate impact on the A-share market is expected to be positive, with a potential "opening red" for A-shares as market sentiment improves following the ruling [40][46] - The ruling is seen as a signal that the previous high tariffs on Chinese goods may not be a permanent state, which could lead to a more favorable environment for Chinese exports [20][48] - Structural opportunities in the A-share market are identified, focusing on five main lines: export-oriented sectors, domestic substitution, strategic resources, domestic consumption, and new energy [51][62][88] Group 3 - Export-oriented sectors, particularly those with high exposure to the US market, are expected to benefit directly from the tariff refunds, with companies like Midea Group and Haier expected to see improved performance [52][72][73] - Domestic substitution and self-sufficiency in sectors like semiconductors and military equipment are highlighted as long-term strategic focuses, with companies like SMIC and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft being key players [53][78][86] - Strategic resources such as rare earths and gold are also expected to see price support due to ongoing global supply chain disruptions, benefiting companies like Northern Rare Earth and Shandong Gold [56][87]

【DT新材料】 获悉，近日， 2月13日， 永太科技 公告，由于"各相关方未能就交易方案达成一致意见"，"综合考虑公司实际情况及外部因素"后， 永太科技决定 终止筹划该交易事项 ，公司股票将于2月24日开市起复牌。 然而，这场看似双赢的交易并未如预期推进 。不过永太科技同时留下一丝余地，表示"后续将在条件允许的情况下继续探索并筹划符合公司发展需求的 资本运作方案"。 据悉，作为交易核心的永太高新，其基本面发生显著变化 。2022年，宁德时代入局时，永太高新正处于业绩巅峰，当年净利润高达4.6亿元，2021年 亦录得4.23亿元盈利。 然而随着行业周期调整，永太高新经营急转直下，2023年由盈转亏，净亏损3.25亿元，2024年亏损额虽收窄至1.54亿元，但 仍未走出泥潭。 截至2024年末，公司总资产18.1亿元，净资产6.55亿元，全年营收4.57亿元。进入2025年，永太科技半年报亦未披露其具体财务数 据，仅在在建项目中提及永太高新的"年产13.4万吨液态锂盐产业化项目"等。 除了业绩压力，永太高新还面临重大的法律诉讼风险 。2025年7月，电解液龙头 天赐材料 全资子公司九江天赐，就一起商业秘密侵权纠纷 ...

来源：子弹财经 2026年1月27日，全球电解液龙头企业新宙邦向联交所递交招股书，计划在港股上市。此次赴港IPO， 新宙邦计划募资建设海外产能，此外公司还计划扩大国内电解液产能。 值得注意的是，近两年大量A股企业集中赴港股上市，导致目前港股IPO排队等待聆讯的企业超过400 家，因此新宙邦能否通过聆讯仍是未知之数。 由于海外盈利能力较高，不少电解液企业正在加速出海。若港股等待上市时间过长，如何通过其他渠道 尽快募资获得海外扩产所需资金，对于新宙邦抢占海外市场至关重要。 在电解液价格仍在缓慢复苏、固态电池大规模应用越来越近的背景下，全球第二大电解液企业新宙邦又 能否抓住契机，推动企业进一步发展壮大？ 1 电解液价格大涨， 利润表现 却远不及天赐材料 在经历连续数年的下跌后，电解液价格终于在2025年下半年迎来止跌反弹。 广东电池协会的统计数据显示，2025年7月电解液核心材料六氟磷酸锂均价仅为4.9万元/吨，到2025年 12月六氟磷酸锂价格上涨至18万元/吨。 六氟磷酸锂价格的回暖，与储能电池需求爆发有很大关系。过去几年，由于风电、光伏等装机量持续上 升，在此背景下，储能调峰调配需求日益强烈，全球欧美澳亚非拉 ...