2月3日，潜能恒信涨7.65%，成交额8.29亿元。两融数据显示，当日潜能恒信获融资买入额6611.85万 元，融资偿还8986.53万元，融资净买入-2374.68万元。截至2月3日，潜能恒信融资融券余额合计2.58亿 元。 融券方面，潜能恒信2月3日融券偿还700.00股，融券卖出5200.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 15.29万元；融券余量5.63万股，融券余额165.52万元，超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，潜能恒信十大流通股东中，银华内需精选混合(LOF)（161810） 位居第三大流通股东，持股520.00万股，持股数量较上期不变。银华同力精选混合（009394）位居第四 大流通股东，持股480.00万股，相比上期减少20.00万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第五大流通股东， 持股271.91万股，相比上期减少31.19万股。 资料显示，潜能恒信能源技术股份有限公司位于北京市朝阳区北苑路甲13号北辰新纪元大厦2塔22层， 成立日期2003年11月10日，上市日期2011年3月16日，公司主营业务涉及 为石油公司提供地震数据处理 解释一体化找油服务 ...

Group 1 - The A-share mining sector experienced a significant upward trend on February 3, with notable gains from companies such as Qianeng Hengxin and Tongyuan Petroleum, both rising over 8% [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Jinchengxin, Tongguan Mining Construction, Guangdong Hongda, Xinjin Power, and Keli Co., also saw increases in their stock prices [1]

Group 1: Oil and Chemical Indices Performance - The oil indices showed an overall increase, with all three oil indices rising, while all four chemical indices experienced declines [1] - The chemical raw materials index fell by 1.98%, the chemical machinery index decreased by 1.73%, the chemical pharmaceuticals index dropped by 3.11%, and the pesticide and fertilizer index declined by 2.06% [1] - In contrast, the oil processing index increased by 4.01%, the oil extraction index rose by 12.08%, and the oil trading index went up by 5.87% [1] Group 2: International Oil Prices - International crude oil prices saw a significant increase, with WTI crude oil futures settling at $65.21 per barrel, up 6.78% from January 23 [1] - Brent crude oil futures settled at $70.69 per barrel, reflecting a 7.30% increase from January 23 [1] Group 3: Petrochemical Product Price Changes - The top five petrochemical products with the highest price increases included octanol (up 8.42%), adipic acid (up 7.95%), carbon black (up 7.94%), Brent (up 7.30%), and butadiene (up 6.98%) [1] - The five petrochemical products with the largest price declines were hydrogen peroxide (down 7.66%), lithium battery electrolyte (down 7.04%), battery-grade lithium carbonate (down 5.91%), paraquat 42% mother liquor (down 5.56%), and hydrochloric acid (down 3.70%) [1] Group 4: Capital Market Performance of Listed Chemical Companies - The top five listed chemical companies with the highest stock price increases were Tongyuan Petroleum (up 63.03%), Sidike (up 60.03%), Runtu Co. (up 34.08%), Qianeng Hengxin (up 33.43%), and Sinopec Oilfield Service (up 29.66%) [2] - The five listed chemical companies with the largest stock price declines included Gaomeng New Materials (down 21.06%), Guofeng New Materials (down 19.37%), Jianghua Micro (down 19.01%), Lafang Jiahua (down 18.74%), and Shuangwei New Materials (down 16.26%) [2]

Group 1 - Trump announced that Mexico will stop supplying oil to Cuba as part of increased pressure on the country, although he did not provide specific details on this decision [1] - As of January, WTI crude oil prices increased by 14% month-on-month but decreased by 11% year-on-year. OPEC+ is adjusting its production strategy between market share and price stability, with an increase in production expected starting in 2025, but facing challenges from weak demand and oversupply [1] - By early 2026, geopolitical risks affecting oil prices are expected to rise, leading to potential supply constraints [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index (399439) had its top ten weighted stocks, including China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec, which collectively account for 66.76% of the index [2] - The Petroleum ETF Penghua closely tracks the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index, reflecting the price changes of listed companies in the oil and gas sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 920088 | 科力股份 | 42.50 | -17.95% | 10.74万 | 4.72 乙 | | 300164 | 通源石油 | 11.05 | -14.21% | 240.79万 | 26.98亿 | | 300191 | 潜能恒信 | 27.31 | -12.83% | 36.98万 | 10.38亿 | | 603619 | 中曼石油 | 31.22 | -10.00% | - 4.88万 | 1.52亿 | | 002207 | 准油股份 | 10.01 | -9.98% | 4.23万 | 4236.13万 | | 600871 | 石化油服 | 3.07 | -9.97% | 82.22万 | 2.52亿 | | 600339 | 中油工程 | 3.84 | -8.13% | 256.35万 | 10.05 Z | | 002828 | 贝肯能源 | 12.08 | -7.72% | 42.97万 | 5.22亿 | | 60 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic precious metals market experienced a historic shock on February 2, 2026, with significant declines in futures and stocks, prompting the Shanghai Gold Exchange to implement emergency risk control measures to stabilize the market [2][3][4]. Market Reaction - On February 2, the main silver futures contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit the limit down, while gold futures fell over 10%, leading to a collective drop in the A-share precious metals sector, with over ten stocks hitting the limit down [2][6][7]. - The spot gold price fell below $4600 per ounce, with an intraday decline of 6.25%, reflecting a broader panic in the market [2][9]. Regulatory Response - The Shanghai Gold Exchange issued an urgent announcement to adjust the margin levels and price fluctuation limits for silver deferred contracts, aiming to curb excessive volatility and maintain market stability [3][4]. - The margin for silver contracts was raised from 20% to 26%, and the price fluctuation limit was increased from 19% to 25% in response to significant price movements [3][4]. Underlying Factors - The recent volatility in the precious metals market was attributed to multiple factors, including external liquidity concerns, changes in Federal Reserve policies, and panic selling among investors [11][12][14]. - The sharp decline in international gold prices, which fell over 12% in a single day, and the extreme volatility in silver prices, which dropped over 36%, were significant contributors to the market's instability [4][11]. Broader Market Impact - The panic in the precious metals market led to a domino effect, causing declines in related sectors such as oil and gas and telecommunications, with many stocks in these sectors also experiencing significant drops [10][11]. - The domestic commodity futures market saw widespread declines, with various precious metal futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market retreat [8][10]. Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for precious metals remains influenced by several key variables, including Federal Reserve policy adjustments, global liquidity changes, and geopolitical uncertainties [27][28]. - Despite the short-term volatility, the fundamental drivers for gold's long-term value, such as ongoing monetary easing and strong central bank demand, remain intact [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a significant decline in various sectors of the A-share market, particularly in precious metals and energy, driven by external market pressures and changes in liquidity conditions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The precious metals sector in A-shares experienced a sharp decline, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down, including companies like Xiaocheng Technology and Zhaojin Gold [1]. - The oil and gas sector also faced severe losses, with companies such as Tongyuan Petroleum and Zhongman Petroleum hitting the daily limit down due to a drop in natural gas prices influenced by warmer weather forecasts [2]. - Commodity futures markets saw widespread declines, with major contracts like silver and gold futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market sell-off [2]. Group 2: External Influences - The U.S. leveraged loan index has fallen to its lowest point since April 2025, indicating potential liquidity issues in the market, which is further corroborated by a significant drop in the cryptocurrency market [3]. - The adjustment of margin levels and price limits for silver contracts by the Shanghai Gold Exchange suggests increased volatility and risk in the precious metals market [1]. Group 3: Liquidity Concerns - A report from Tianfeng Securities highlights that the U.S. dollar liquidity index has dropped to -60%, indicating extreme tightening that could impact global assets [5]. - The potential appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair has raised concerns about a hawkish monetary policy, which could lead to further tightening and affect market expectations for interest rates [6].

机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，潜能恒信十大流通股东中，银华内需精选混合(LOF)（161810） 位居第三大流通股东，持股520.00万股，持股数量较上期不变。银华同力精选混合（009394）位居第四 大流通股东，持股480.00万股，相比上期减少20.00万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第五大流通股东， 持股271.91万股，相比上期减少31.19万股。 融券方面，潜能恒信1月30日融券偿还300.00股，融券卖出1100.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 3.45万元；融券余量5.66万股，融券余额177.33万元，超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 资料显示，潜能恒信能源技术股份有限公司位于北京市朝阳区北苑路甲13号北辰新纪元大厦2塔22层， 成立日期2003年11月10日，上市日期2011年3月16日，公司主营业务涉及 为石油公司提供地震数据处理 解释一体化找油服务。主营业务收入构成为：油气开采95.51%，石油勘探技术服务3.47%，租赁 1.02%。 截至9月30日，潜能恒信股东户数1.64万，较上期减少27.13%；人均流通股13499股，较上期增加 37.23%。2025年1月-9 ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil service engineering sector experienced a decline of 3.38% on January 30, with Keli Co., Ltd. leading the losses. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The oil service engineering sector saw significant individual stock movements, with notable declines in Keli Co., Ltd. by 14.39% and Qianeng Hengxin by 12.83% [2]. - The trading volume for Keli Co., Ltd. was 138,000 shares, with a transaction value of 773 million yuan [2]. - The overall sector had a net outflow of 1 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 656 million yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Individual Stock Analysis - Keli Co., Ltd. closed at 51.80 yuan, experiencing a drop of 14.39% with a trading volume of 138,000 shares [2]. - Qianeng Hengxin closed at 31.33 yuan, down 12.83%, with a trading volume of 457,200 shares [2]. - The stock of Huibo Yin fell by 6.14%, closing at 4.13 yuan, with a trading volume of 143,670 shares [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Major funds showed a net outflow from several stocks, including Keli Co., Ltd. with a net outflow of 75.27 million yuan [3]. - Retail investors showed a positive net inflow in stocks like Huibo Yin, with a net inflow of 58.99 million yuan [3]. - The stock of Haiyou Development had a net inflow of 18.4 million yuan from retail investors, despite a major fund outflow [3].

Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share liquor sector experienced a significant surge, with a rise of 9.68% on January 29, leading the market performance for the day [1][2] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector also saw a notable increase of 8.18%, with a total transaction volume of 32.31 billion [2] - The precious metals sector rose by 8.04%, with a transaction volume of 70.62 billion, indicating strong market interest [2] Group 2: Energy and Petrochemical Sector Dynamics - The energy and petrochemical sector's rise began in early January 2026, with domestic crude oil futures rebounding from 411 yuan/barrel to 475 yuan/barrel, a 15% increase [4] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector has accumulated a remarkable increase of 44.22% year-to-date, ranking second in market performance, only behind precious metals [7] - The petrochemical ETF (159731) has shown a cumulative increase of 14.71% since the beginning of the year, reflecting strong investor interest [9] Group 3: Geopolitical and Economic Influences - The recent surge in the petrochemical sector is driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, raising concerns over oil supply stability [11] - The market has priced in a risk premium of $3-8 per barrel due to fears of potential disruptions in oil supply from Iran, which produces approximately 3.3 million barrels per day [11] - The classic rotation pattern in commodity markets, where precious metals lead, followed by industrial metals and then energy, is being validated again [14][16] Group 4: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector is expected to gain market attention as commodity prices rise, driven by increased costs in agricultural production due to higher energy prices [17][24] - The CPI and food prices have shown signs of recovery, with the CPI rising by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a potential shift in consumer price dynamics [18] - The agricultural ETF (516810) tracks a comprehensive index covering the entire agricultural value chain, which may benefit from the rising commodity prices [26] Group 5: Industry Outlook - The petrochemical industry is at a turning point, with new policies aimed at preventing excessive competition and improving profitability [22] - The capital expenditure ratios in the refining and chemical sectors are showing a trend towards conservatism, indicating a strategic shift among companies [23] - The anticipated recovery in the petrochemical sector is supported by both geopolitical factors and the broader commodity market dynamics, suggesting a favorable outlook for industry leaders [24][25]