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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Alcoa (AA) Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-03-17 14:50
Group 1 - Alcoa Corporation (AA) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Apr 17, 2025 $20.00 Call showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Alcoa currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Metal Products - Distribution industry, which is in the bottom 17% of the Zacks Industry Rank, with recent earnings estimates for the current quarter adjusted from $1.83 to $1.66 per share [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility surrounding Alcoa may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay, hoping the stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Friday's Dog Announces Name Change
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-03-10 20:00
Group 1 - The Company will change its name from "Friday's Dog Holdings Inc." to "Patriot Resources Corp." effective March 12, 2025, pending final approval from the TSX Venture Exchange [1][2] - The Company's trading symbol will change to "MAGA.H" and the new ISIN number will be CA70338G1000, with the new CUSIP number being 70338G100 [2] - The Company currently has no active business but aims to reflect its focus on searching for opportunities in the resource sector through the name change [3]
Alcoa(AA) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-02-20 21:57
Safety and Employee Well-being - Alcoa aims for a step change in safety performance, focusing on minimizing risk and enhancing employee well-being[26]. - Alcoa's safety programs include rigorous standards and controls aimed at preventing loss of life and serious injury, with a focus on proactive incident reporting[101]. - As of December 31, 2024, Alcoa had approximately 13,900 employees globally, with women comprising about 20% of the workforce[102]. - Approximately 10,300 of Alcoa's global employees are covered by collective bargaining agreements, with varying expiration dates[102]. Sustainability and Environmental Initiatives - ELYSIS technology aims to eliminate greenhouse gas emissions from aluminum smelting, with a target for first production by 2027[31]. - Alcoa's sustainability initiatives include a comprehensive suite of products with lower carbon emissions under the Sustana brand[27]. - Approximately 87% of Alcoa's aluminum smelting portfolio was powered by renewable energy sources in 2024[88]. - The company has entered into long-term power purchase agreements with renewable energy providers to supply up to 50% of the San Ciprián smelter's power needs at full capacity[74]. - Alcoa's capital expenditures for new or expanded facilities for environmental control were $131 million in 2024, with an expected increase to approximately $170 million in 2025[94]. - Alcoa is committed to the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM), with audits confirming compliance for facilities classified with very high or extreme consequences[92]. - The company manages environmental assessments and cleanups at approximately 60 locations, including Superfund sites[94]. - Alcoa continues to monitor and assess the impact of climate change regulations on its business operations[93]. Production and Capacity - In 2024, Alcoa's bauxite production totaled 38.3 million dry metric tons, with 33.7 million dry metric tons from Alcoa-operated mines[48]. - As of December 31, 2024, Alcoa's total alumina refining capacity is 15,619,000 mtpy, with a consolidated capacity of 13,843,000 mtpy, and approximately 3,204,000 mtpy of idle capacity[53][54]. - Alcoa's primary aluminum facilities have a total smelting capacity of 3,102,000 mtpy, with a consolidated capacity of 2,645,000 mtpy, and approximately 374,000 mtpy of idle smelting capacity[60][61]. - The Kwinana refinery was fully curtailed in June 2024, reducing its workforce from approximately 780 to 250 employees, with further reductions planned[56]. - In 2024, the San Ciprián refinery operated at approximately 50% of its capacity due to high natural gas costs, and a strategic partnership with IGNIS EQT is being pursued[57][65]. - The company restarted 54,000 mtpy of capacity at the Warrick smelter in early 2024 and completed the restart of 16,000 mtpy at the Portland smelter[64]. - The Alumar smelter is currently operating at 84% of its total annual capacity of 268,000 mtpy as of December 31, 2024[75]. - Alcoa's San Ciprián smelter has been operating at 50% capacity since Q3 2022, with a restart of approximately 6% capacity expected in March 2024[74]. Financial and Investment Activities - Alcoa agreed to sell its 25.1% interest in the Saudi Arabia joint venture for approximately 86 million shares and $150 million in cash, expected to close in the first half of 2025[30]. - The acquisition of Alumina Limited was valued at approximately $2.7 billion, with an implied value of A$1.45 per Alumina Share[34]. - The company completed a five-year strategic portfolio review, curtailing or divesting 4 million metric tons of refining capacity, exceeding its target[55][62]. Energy and Resource Management - Energy costs accounted for approximately 24% of alumina refining production costs and 22% of primary aluminum production costs in 2024[66]. - Alcoa generated approximately 10% of the power used at its smelters worldwide in 2024, with the remainder purchased under long-term arrangements[68]. - The total electricity generation capacity of Alcoa's facilities is 1,281 MW, generating 8,310,327 MWh in 2024[70]. - Approximately 31% of the generation from the Warrick power plant was sold into the market in 2024, following the cessation of coal use from the Alcoa-owned Liberty Mine[71]. - Alcoa has secured approximately 80% of the necessary power for its Mosjøen smelter through long-term power purchase agreements until 2035[74]. - Alcoa's gas supply arrangements are expected to cover approximately 90% of the Pinjarra and Wagerup refineries' gas requirements through 2027[73]. - The company is evaluating alternatives to resell, swap, or redeploy gas secured for the Kwinana refinery, which was fully curtailed in June 2024[73]. Research and Development - The company plans to invest in breakthrough technologies at a measured pace, balancing research, development, and commercialization efforts[27]. - Alcoa's worldwide patent portfolio consists of approximately 360 granted patents and about 200 pending patent applications as of December 31, 2024[89]. Regulatory Compliance - The company is subject to new regulations, including the European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRS) and the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), applicable to its operations starting in 2025[93]. - Alcoa's operations are influenced by various government regulations, which may increase operational costs but are believed to be in compliance in all material respects[90]. - The company continues to monitor and assess the impact of climate change regulations on its business operations[93]. Human Capital Management - Alcoa's human capital management strategy emphasizes attracting, developing, and retaining skilled employees as a key to business success[97].
Alcoa Stock Surges 35% in a Year: Still Worth Buying?
ZACKS· 2025-02-19 21:01
Core Viewpoint - Alcoa Corporation has experienced a 35% increase in stock price over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry and S&P 500 growth rates of 11.9% and 23.2% respectively [1] Stock Performance - The stock closed at $37.01, trading below its 52-week high of $47.77 and above its 52-week low of $24.86, indicating price stability as it is close to its 50-day and 200-day moving averages [3] Business Segments Performance - The Aluminum segment is currently the strongest driver of Alcoa's business, with increased demand in Europe and North America contributing to its growth [4] - The company anticipates Aluminum segment production of 2.3-2.5 million tonnes and shipments of 2.6-2.8 million tonnes for 2025 [5] - The Alumina segment benefits from higher shipments and increased smelter production, with expected production of 9.5-9.7 million tonnes and shipments of 13.1-13.3 million tonnes for 2025 [6] Strategic Actions - Alcoa has undertaken strategic actions to enhance organic growth, including the acquisition of Alumina Limited in August 2024, which strengthens its position in the bauxite and alumina markets [7] - The company initiated the sale of its investment in the Ma'aden joint ventures valued at approximately $1.3 billion and made progress in improving production capacity at its San Ciprian site [8] Shareholder Returns - Alcoa's commitment to rewarding shareholders is evident, with dividends of $89 million paid in 2024, marking a 23.6% year-over-year increase [9] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for 2025 have risen by 9.1% to $4.43 per share, while estimates for 2026 have increased by 1.6% to $3.17 per share [10] Valuation Concerns - The stock's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.69X, higher than the industry average of 8.14X, which raises concerns about potential pullbacks if market sentiment declines [11] Growth Prospects - Robust momentum in the Aluminum and Alumina segments, along with strategic acquisitions, positions Alcoa favorably for growth in the upcoming quarters [12] - Despite valuation concerns, positive analyst sentiment and growth prospects suggest it may be an opportune time for potential investors [13]
5 Low-Leverage Stocks to Buy Amid Weak Market Sentiment
ZACKS· 2025-02-19 15:40
Market Overview - The majority of U.S. equities indices finished slightly positive on February 18, reflecting investor skepticism regarding Trump's tariff policy and the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut [1] - President Trump proposed a 25% tariff on automobile, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical imports, contributing to market uncertainty [1] Investment Strategy - In the current market environment, prudent investors are encouraged to consider low-leverage stocks as safer investment options [2] - Recommended stocks include Alcoa Corp (AA), Noble Corporation Plc (NE), Nextracker (NXT), The Greenbrier Companies (GBX), and EZCORP (EZPW), all of which exhibit low leverage [2] Understanding Leverage - Leverage refers to the practice of borrowing capital for operations and expansion, typically through debt financing [4] - Excessive debt financing can lead to significant losses, making low-leverage stocks more desirable for risk-averse investors [5] Debt-to-Equity Ratio - The debt-to-equity ratio is a key metric for assessing a company's financial risk, with a lower ratio indicating better solvency [7] - High debt-to-equity ratios can turn positive earnings reports into negative outcomes during economic downturns [8] Stock Selection Criteria - Stocks should have a debt-to-equity ratio lower than the industry median, a current price of at least $10, and an average 20-day volume of 50,000 or more [11] - Additional criteria include earnings growth expectations, a VGM Score of A or B, and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) [12] Stock Recommendations - **Alcoa Corp (AA)**: Reported a 82.5% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS and a 20% increase in revenues for Q4 2024, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 40.8% [13][14] - **Noble Corporation (NE)**: Achieved a 63% year-over-year growth in adjusted net income and a 44.2% increase in revenues for Q4 2024, with a projected 18.4% improvement in 2025 sales [14][15] - **Nextracker (NXT)**: Reported a record backlog exceeding $4.5 billion and a 57.44% average earnings surprise over four quarters [16][17] - **The Greenbrier Companies (GBX)**: Reported net earnings of $55 million with a 12.8% operating margin, and a long-term earnings growth rate of 11.7% [18][19] - **EZCORP (EZPW)**: Achieved a 14% year-over-year increase in adjusted net income and a 7% rise in revenues for Q1 2025, with an 8.2% projected improvement in 2025 sales [20][21]
UPDATE - Tidal Trust II Announces Name Change of STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-02-11 16:45
Core Viewpoint - Tidal Trust II is rebranding its STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF to STKd 100% Bitcoin & 100% Gold ETF, effective February 18, 2025, to better reflect its investment strategy that combines exposure to both Bitcoin and Gold [1][2]. Company Overview - Tidal Financial Group is recognized as a leading innovator in the ETF industry, focusing on providing advanced investment solutions tailored to the changing market landscape [5]. Fund Structure and Strategy - The fund's investment strategy remains unchanged despite the name change, continuing to offer a diversified approach to both digital and traditional assets [2]. - The fund does not invest directly in Bitcoin or Gold but gains exposure through futures contracts and underlying funds [4][11]. Documentation and References - All references to the previous fund name will be updated in the Prospectus, Summary Prospectus, and Statement of Additional Information (SAI) [3]. - Investors are encouraged to retain the official supplement to these documents for future reference [3]. Market Positioning - The fund aims to provide investors with a unique investment opportunity by combining the characteristics of both Bitcoin and Gold, appealing to those looking for diversification in their portfolios [2].
The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-11 13:00
Group 1 - The article discusses the overwhelming political headlines from the nation's capital, particularly focusing on President Trump's influence on news coverage [1] - It highlights the perception that January felt unusually long due to the continuous stream of political news [1] Group 2 - There is no specific information regarding companies or industries in the provided content [2]
Stocks to Watch as Trump Announces 25% Tariffs on Steel & Aluminum
ZACKS· 2025-02-11 01:30
The industrial products and basic materials sectors saw a nice spike today, particularly among U.S. stocks as their foreign counterparts fell on news of President Trump’s plan to implement a 25% tariff on imported steel and aluminum.  Along with the likelihood of higher commodity prices, U.S. manufacturers will benefit from increased demand for domestically produced metals with Trump’s tariffs making it more expensive for foreign producers. Nucor’s Market Dominance:  As the largest steel producer in the Uni ...
Tidal Trust II Announces Name Change of STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-02-07 22:21
CHICAGO, Feb. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tidal Trust II today announced that the STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF (BTGD) will undergo a name change to STKd 100% Bitcoin & 100% Gold ETF, effective February 17, 2025. The fund will continue to be listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market, LLC under its current ticker symbol, BTGD. This name change reflects the fund’s distinct investment strategy, which seeks to provide exposure to both Bitcoin and Gold, offering investors a diversified approach to digital and traditional ass ...
Why Has Alcoa Stock Dropped Post Q4 Results?
Forbes· 2025-02-03 11:00
POLAND - 2025/01/25: In this photo illustration, the Alcoa company logo is seen displayed on a ... [+] smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Piotr Swat/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesAlcoa latest earnings report for Q4 2024 showed strong financial improvements with the company reporting sales of $3.49 billion, a significant increase from $2.6 billion in Q4 2023. It also swung to profitability, reporting net income of $202 million, compared to a net loss ...