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COF's NII Increases in 4Q25 Despite Rate Cuts: What Drove the Rise?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 18:16
Core Insights - Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) experienced a significant increase in net interest income (NII), rising 54% year over year to $12.47 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by loan growth, particularly in credit card loans, and strategic balance sheet expansion from the Discover Financial acquisition [1][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The credit card business remains the primary driver of NII, benefiting from strong consumer spending and elevated interest rates on card receivables, with period-end loans held for investment in the credit card segment increasing 72% year over year [2][9]. - The integration of Discover Financial's loan portfolio significantly expanded the loan base, contributing to the volume of interest-earning assets, while average deposits and total deposits grew modestly, and interest-bearing deposit costs declined, enhancing NII [3][9]. - Despite modest net interest margin (NIM) compression, the increase in loan balances, particularly in card loans, and higher interest rates on loans relative to deposit costs supported robust year-over-year growth in NII [4]. Group 2: Industry Comparison - Peers such as Ally Financial and OneMain Holdings are also navigating the evolving interest rate landscape, with Ally Financial reporting a 5.9% year-over-year increase in net financing revenues to $1.60 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025 [5]. - OneMain has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% in NII over the past five years, with continued growth in the first nine months of 2025, focusing on a loan mix that aims for revenue sustainability [7]. Group 3: Valuation and Estimates - Capital One's shares have increased by 1.5% over the past six months, underperforming the industry growth of 3.5% [8]. - The company currently trades at a 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.62X, which is above the industry average of 9.51X [10]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year earnings growth of 1.3% for 2026 and 21.6% for 2027, with recent revisions showing a decrease in 2026 estimates to $19.86 and an increase for 2027 to $24.16 [11][14].
Jim Cramer on Capital One: “I’m Probably Going to Buy Back the Stock for the Trust That We Sold Much Higher”
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 12:23
Group 1 - Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF) is performing well in its core business, which includes banking and financial services such as credit cards, loans, deposit accounts, and commercial banking solutions [2] - The integration of Discover is progressing as planned, although there are concerns about the overall performance and market perception of Capital One [1] - The company is being positioned as a full-service financial institution, aiming to provide comprehensive banking and credit card services to both consumers and businesses [1] Group 2 - There is a recognition that while Capital One has potential as an investment, certain AI stocks may present greater upside potential with less downside risk [3]
INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Capital One Financial Corporation – COF
Globenewswire· 2026-01-27 22:29
NEW YORK, Jan. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Pomerantz LLP is investigating claims on behalf of investors of Capital One Financial Corporation (“Capital One” or the “Company”) (NYSE: COF). Such investors are advised to contact Danielle Peyton at newaction@pomlaw.com or 646-581-9980, ext. 7980. The investigation concerns whether Capital One and certain of its officers and/or directors have engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices.  [Click here for information about joining the class ac ...
Capital One: Strong Growth Profile (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-27 19:49
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or ...
COF's Card Business Fuels Long-Term Growth: Should You Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 18:25
Core Business and Performance - Capital One Financial Corporation's credit card business is a primary earnings driver, contributing over 70% of revenues through net interest income and interchange/fee income [1][8] - In 2025, the credit card segment's net revenues increased by 40.5% year-over-year, with loans held for investment rising 72% and purchase volumes improving by 27% [3][8] - Following the acquisition of Discover Financial, Capital One became one of the largest U.S. credit card issuers by balances, enhancing its scale and revenue potential [2][8] Recent Developments and Acquisitions - The company ended its card partnership with Walmart in May 2024 but has made strategic acquisitions, including a $5.15 billion deal for fintech firm Brex and the $35.3 billion acquisition of Discover Financial [2][9] - Other acquisitions, such as Velocity Black and ING Direct USA, have diversified Capital One's offerings beyond credit cards into retail banking and digital platforms [10] Financial Metrics and Projections - Capital One's net interest income has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.4% over five years, with net interest margin expanding to 7.84% in 2025 [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 revenues is $62.77 billion and $65.44 billion, indicating year-over-year growth rates of 17.5% and 4.3% respectively [13] Capital Distribution and Shareholder Value - The company has a strong balance sheet with total debt of $51 billion and cash equivalents of $57.4 billion, supporting its capital distribution activities [16] - Capital One has restored and increased its dividend, with a recent hike to 80 cents per share and a share repurchase plan authorized for up to $16 billion [18] Analyst Sentiment and Valuation - Analysts have mixed views on Capital One's earnings growth, with the 2026 earnings estimate revised lower to $20.12 but the 2027 estimate revised higher to $24.26 [19][20] - The current price-to-book ratio for Capital One is 1.22X, indicating a premium compared to the industry average of 0.78X [21] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Capital One's diversified customer base allows it to generate attractive yields while managing risk effectively [24] - Despite recent macro concerns, the stock has gained 9% over the past year, outperforming some peers but underperforming others [4][30]
Capital One: Buying Opportunity After Recent Dip, Plus 6% Yield On Preferred
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-27 13:00
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Over Half of US Banks Set To Offer Bitcoin, New Research Shows — Here’s Who’s Still Out
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 12:12
Core Insights - Nearly 60% of the largest banks in the U.S. are either already offering Bitcoin-related services or expect to do so, indicating a significant trend towards Bitcoin adoption in the banking sector [1][5] Group 1: Current Offerings and Initiatives - Major U.S. banks such as JPMorgan Chase have launched Bitcoin trading services, while Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley provide Bitcoin exposure primarily to high-net-worth clients [2] - U.S. Bank and BNY Mellon are among the first systemically important banks to offer custody services for Bitcoin [3] - PNC Group has launched both Bitcoin custody and trading services, while State Street and HSBC's U.S. operations have announced custody plans [5] Group 2: Exploratory Stages and Recommendations - Some banks, including Citigroup and Fifth Third, are still in the exploratory stages regarding custody and trading offerings [6] - Bank of America has recommended that clients allocate up to 4% of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, reflecting a shift in stance even among banks without direct Bitcoin products [4][9] - Bank of America also plans to initiate coverage of four U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which provide direct exposure to Bitcoin [10] Group 3: Banks Yet to Enter the Market - Despite the growing momentum, a significant minority of large U.S. banks have not yet announced Bitcoin-related products or plans, with nine banks remaining on the sidelines [7][8][11]
Capital One Financial Corporation's Growth Prospects Amid Market Volatility
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-27 03:11
Core Viewpoint - Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE:COF) is experiencing a selloff due to an earnings miss and regulatory concerns, but has a positive long-term outlook driven by its strong consumer credit business and strategic initiatives [1][2][5] Financial Performance - The current stock price of COF is $220.18, reflecting a 1.33% increase or $2.88, with a trading range between $216.53 and $222.11 during the day [3] - Over the past year, COF has experienced significant volatility, with a high of $259.64 and a low of $143.22 [3] - The company's market capitalization is approximately $140 billion [3] Analyst Insights - Truist Financial has set a price target of $275 for COF, indicating a potential upside of 24.9% from the current trading price [1][5] - The trading volume for COF today is 7.17 million shares, indicating active investor interest [4] - Projected earnings per share (EPS) growth is expected in the mid-teens over the next three years, presenting a compelling entry point for investors [4] Strategic Initiatives - Capital One's focus on technology, AI, and premium cards is anticipated to provide lasting competitive advantages, despite causing short-term margin pressures [2][5] - The strategic acquisition of Brex is expected to drive long-term growth for the company [2][5]
Capital One Financial: A Strong Buy After The Selloff (NYSE:COF)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-26 15:13
Core Insights - Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) is identified as one of the largest banks in the United States and a leading issuer of branded credit cards [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Capital One is recognized for its significant presence in the banking sector, particularly in credit card issuance [1] Group 2: Investment Focus - The analysis aims to uncover high-yield investment opportunities for individual investors, emphasizing the importance of clear and actionable insights for better portfolio management [1]
Caterpillar, Medtronic, Transocean And A Financial Stock: CNBC's 'Final Trades' - Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Capital One Finl (NYSE:COF)
Benzinga· 2026-01-26 13:14
Group 1: Capital One Financial Corporation - Capital One Financial reported worse-than-expected fourth-quarter adjusted EPS results and announced plans to acquire Brex [1] - Shares of Capital One Financial dipped 7.6% to close at $217.30 [4] Group 2: Medtronic plc - Bernstein analyst Lee Hambright maintained an Outperform rating for Medtronic and raised the price target from $111 to $112 [2] - Barclays analyst Matt Miksic also maintained an Overweight rating and increased the price target from $111 to $116 [2] - Medtronic shares fell 0.5% to settle at $100.88 during the session [4] Group 3: Transocean Ltd. - Transocean is scheduled to report earnings for the fourth quarter and issue a fleet status report on February 19 [3] - Jim Lebenthal named Transocean as his final trade [2] - Transocean shares gained 2.8% to close at $4.83 [4] Group 4: Caterpillar Inc. - Stephen Weiss picked Caterpillar as his final trade [3] - Wells Fargo analyst Jerry Revich maintained an Overweight rating for Caterpillar and raised the price target from $675 to $702 [3] - Caterpillar shares fell 3.4% to close at $626.62 during the session [4]