Core Viewpoint - BYD is projected to achieve global sales of 4.6 million vehicles by 2025, surpassing traditional automotive giant Ford for the first time [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Ford's global wholesale sales for 2025 are expected to be slightly below 4.4 million vehicles, reflecting a year-on-year decline of nearly 2% [1] - BYD has become the first Chinese automotive brand to enter the top five global automotive groups in terms of sales volume [1] Group 2: Market Leadership - BYD has maintained its position as the global sales champion for new energy vehicles for four consecutive years [1]

Group 1 - Ford's wholesale sales for 2025 are projected to be less than 4.4 million units, which is lower than BYD's previously announced target of 4.6 million units for the same year [1] - This marks the first time BYD has surpassed the century-old automaker Ford in terms of projected sales, positioning BYD among the top six global automakers by 2025 [1]

面对业绩困境，福特宣布停止部分纯电车型生产，将资源向混合动力、增程式车型倾斜，同时开发更贴合市场需求的小型纯电产品。在 业务布局上，福特持续巩固传统优势板块，燃油及混动业务、商用车业务2025年保持盈利，成为公司业绩的重要支撑，其中混动车型销 量同比增长超20%，商用车板块利润率达10.3%。 对于未来发展，福特管理层明确了盈利优先的核心方向，预计电动汽车业务仍将面临短期亏损，但亏损规模将逐步收窄，2026年调整后 息税前利润有望回升至80亿至100亿美元。同时，公司正开拓电池储能等新盈利赛道，改造原有电动车电池工厂布局储能业务，推动企业 从规模扩张向质量增长转型。 （校对/黄仁贵） 当地时间2月10日，福特汽车发布2025年第四季度及全年财报，数据显示公司全年营收实现1873亿美元，同比微增1.23%，连续五年保持 营收增长态势，但净利润由盈转亏，全年净亏损达81.82亿美元，第四季度单季净亏损更是达到111亿美元。 此次业绩大幅亏损核心原因源于电动化业务的持续承压与战略调整成本。福特电动化部门2025年亏损48亿美元，累计亏损已超百亿美 元，为缩减电动化业务规模，公司计提195亿美元特殊项目费用，且大部分 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is shifting its focus from traditional vehicles to the manufacturing of large batteries for utilities, data centers, businesses, and homeowners [1] Group 1 - The company has historically concentrated on cars and trucks [1] - The new initiative marks a significant diversification into the energy storage market [1] - Large batteries are increasingly essential for various sectors, including utilities and data centers [1]

Group 1 - Ford Motor has shut down a battery factory and laid off 1,600 workers due to the reduction of government support for electric vehicles by President Trump and Republicans [1]

日前，福特汽车（中国）有限公司根据《缺陷汽车产品召回管理条例》和《缺陷汽车产品召回管理 条例实施办法》的要求，受委托向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。 福特汽车（中国）有限公司将以挂号信等方式，通知相关用户。林肯品牌授权经销商也会主动联系 相关用户，安排受影响的车辆回店检查。用户可致电林肯客户服务热线：400-988-6789，了解此次召回 的详细信息。此外，也可登录市场监管总局召回中心网站www.samrdprc.org.cn，关注微信公众号 （SAMRDPRC），了解更多信息，反映缺陷线索。 召回编号S2026M0019V：自即日起，召回2025年8月5日至2025年11月27日期间生产的部分林肯航 海家汽车，共计1706辆。 本次召回范围内部分车辆，由于生产问题，左外后视镜可能装配了平面镜镜片，导致驾驶员左后方 视野范围减小，存在安全隐患。 福特汽车（中国）有限公司将委托林肯品牌授权经销商，为召回范围内的车辆免费检查左外后视镜 镜片，如果为平面镜镜片，则更换为凸面镜镜片，以消除安全隐患。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS expresses increased confidence in Ford Motor Company's (F.US) Q4 2025 performance and 2026 outlook, highlighting a potential EBIT exceeding expectations by 69% when excluding a $900 million unexpected headwind from tariff recovery delays [1] Group 1: 2026 Performance Outlook - UBS maintains a "Neutral" rating on Ford with a target price of $15, indicating that the adjusted EBIT for 2026 is approximately 20% higher than the company's guidance, with a profit margin target of 8% by 2029 supporting an EPS of $2.90 [1] - The 2026 EBIT guidance is projected at $9 billion, an increase of $2.2 billion year-over-year, driven by several factors including a $1 billion reduction in Novelis-related costs and improvements in Model E business [1][2] - The company faces significant risks, including execution challenges, near-zero free cash flow in 2026, and aggressive assumptions regarding tariff refunds that may raise investor concerns about growth potential [1][2] Group 2: 2027 and Beyond - UBS anticipates that normalized profit improvements could lead to stronger performance in 2027, with an optimistic EBIT projection potentially exceeding $12 billion, supported by increased SuperDuty production and narrowing losses in Model E [2] - The company reaffirms its target of an 8% adjusted EBIT margin by 2029, which could correspond to an EPS of approximately $2.90 under low single-digit revenue growth assumptions [2] - Historical context shows that Ford previously set a 10% profit margin target for 2026, while the current guidance is around 5%, indicating a significant shift in expectations [2] Group 3: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - UBS raises its EPS forecasts for 2026 and 2027 from $1.49 and $1.78 to $1.55 and $1.86, respectively, reflecting a more normalized profit level [3] - The forward P/E ratio for 2027 is adjusted from 8.5x to 8x, which remains slightly above the average of 7.3x since 2022, suggesting a reasonable valuation given the potential for future earnings adjustments [3]

Core Viewpoint - Major American automakers, including Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, have reported a total loss exceeding 8 trillion yen related to electric vehicles (EVs), indicating significant challenges in the EV sector due to shifting policies in the US and Europe [2][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Losses - Ford reported a final loss of $11.1 billion for the fourth quarter of 2022, primarily due to adjustments in its EV development plans [4]. - The total EV-related losses for Ford, GM, and Stellantis have reached 8.1 trillion yen, reflecting the adverse impact of policy reversals on EV support in the US and Europe [6]. - Ford's total loss for 2025 is projected to reach $8.2 billion, marking the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis [6]. Group 2: Policy Changes and Strategic Adjustments - The Biden administration initially implemented various support policies for EVs, such as tax credits for purchasing EVs assembled in North America, aimed at boosting domestic EV production [6]. - The Trump administration reversed tax credit policies and modified emissions regulations, allowing major automakers to prioritize investments in gasoline and hybrid vehicles over EVs [8]. - The EU has also postponed its target to ban the sale of new gasoline vehicles after 2035, indicating a broader retreat from aggressive EV policies [10]. Group 3: Collaborations and Market Strategies - Ford is seeking partnerships with Chinese companies like Geely and Xiaomi to develop low-cost EVs, despite opposition from US hardliners [10][11]. - CEO Jim Farley emphasized the need to adapt to changing regulatory environments by leveraging partnerships and expanding market share outside the US, while also focusing on more competitively priced EVs domestically [10]. - The collaboration with Chinese firms may serve as a gateway for Chinese companies to enter the US market, as they look to expand amid domestic demand challenges [11].

Core Insights - Ford Motor Company reported its largest annual loss since 2008, with a net loss of approximately $8.18 billion for the fiscal year 2025, a significant decline from a net profit of $5.88 billion in 2024 [1][1][1] - Despite achieving record annual revenue of about $187.3 billion in 2025, marking five consecutive years of revenue growth, the company's adjusted EBIT fell to $6.8 billion, down from $10.2 billion in 2024, indicating ongoing pressure on profit margins [1][1][1] - In a notable shift in the global automotive landscape, Ford's global sales were surpassed by Chinese automaker BYD for the first time, with BYD achieving approximately 4.6 million units sold compared to Ford's less than 4.4 million units [1][1][1] Financial Performance - Ford's total revenue for fiscal year 2025 reached approximately $187.3 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous year [1] - The company experienced a net loss of about $8.18 billion, contrasting sharply with the previous year's net profit of $5.88 billion [1] - Adjusted EBIT for 2025 was reported at $6.8 billion, a decrease from $10.2 billion in 2024, highlighting ongoing challenges in maintaining profitability [1] Market Position - Ford's global sales were overtaken by BYD, marking a significant milestone in the competitive landscape of the automotive industry [1] - BYD's global sales reached approximately 4.6 million units, while Ford's sales were reported at less than 4.4 million units [1] - This shift reflects the competitive advantages of Chinese automakers in terms of electrification and cost-effectiveness [1]

Core Insights - The automotive industry is witnessing a shift in consumer preferences, with a focus on vehicle quality and pricing being crucial for long-term sales predictions [1] Group 1: Ford Motor Company - Ford's F-150 has been ranked as the best full-size pickup for 2026 by Consumer Reports, highlighting its reliability and strong powertrains [3] - Full-size pickups are significant profit drivers for Detroit automakers, as they command higher price tags and margins compared to passenger cars [4] - Ford has taken a $19.5 billion charge to adjust its electric vehicle (EV) strategy, indicating a pivot towards hybrids and internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles [5][7] - Ford's hybrid sales increased nearly 22% for the full year 2025, achieving a record in fourth-quarter sales, with one in every four F-150 trucks being a hybrid [8] Group 2: Tesla - Tesla's Model Y has been recognized as the best electric vehicle for 2026 by Consumer Reports, emphasizing its importance to Tesla's sales, as the Model S, Model X, and Cybertruck contribute only about 3% of global sales [11] - Tesla is transitioning its production focus, ending the Model S and Model X to make space for its Optimus robot assembly line, which introduces uncertainty but also potential upside in AI and robotics [9][11] Group 3: Industry Trends - The current market trend shows that automakers focusing on hybrids are in a favorable position, as evidenced by Consumer Reports' rankings where nine of the top ten vehicles have hybrid options [7][12] - Investors need to monitor which automakers are effectively responding to consumer demand rather than their own projections, as this will influence future vehicle success [12]