Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company reported double-digit increases in organic net revenue, operating income, and adjusted diluted EPS in both constant currency and dollar terms [6][11][12] - Organic net revenue growth was plus 10.2%, reaching $9.3 billion, with volume growth of plus 3.9% [12][14] - Adjusted diluted EPS grew by plus 17.3% in constant currency and by plus 12.7% in dollar terms to $1.69, despite a $0.07 unfavorable currency variance [14][59] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The smoke-free business saw shipment volumes increase by plus 14.4% year-on-year, with organic net revenue growth of plus 20% and organic gross profit growth of plus 33% [6][16] - IQOS delivered close to plus 10% HTU-adjusted IMS growth, with strong performance in Japan and Europe [7][11] - ZYN shipments increased by plus 53% to reach 202 million cans, exceeding initial expectations [8][43] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The international nicotine pouch can volumes grew by plus 53%, or plus 182% excluding the Nordics, indicating strong global demand [9][50] - In Europe, total shipments of IQOS advanced by plus 17.5% in Q1, with significant growth in markets like Spain, Germany, and Bulgaria [30][32] - The cigarette industry declined by 1.3% in Q1, with growth in markets where smoke-free products are not present, such as Turkey and India [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to deploy a multi-category strategy across markets, with smoke-free products now accounting for 44% of total gross profit [6][7] - The focus remains on expanding the smoke-free portfolio, with significant investments in brand building and product innovation [29][30] - The company aims to achieve double-digit growth for the rest of the year and has raised its shipment forecast for ZYN to 800 million to 840 million cans per year [12][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving another year of super growth despite uncertainties in the global economic outlook [11][59] - The company anticipates continued strong momentum from its smoke-free business and expects to mitigate potential supply chain challenges [57][65] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a progressive dividend policy while focusing on sustainable growth [65][66] Other Important Information - The company delivered over $180 million in gross cost savings in Q1, placing it on track to achieve a $2 billion target over 2024-2026 [27] - The company is committed to investing in U.S. manufacturing, with significant job creation expected as a result [49] Q&A Session Summary Question: ZYN out-of-stock issues and inventory rebuilding timeline - Management acknowledged ongoing out-of-stock issues and indicated that replenishment would occur gradually, with normalization expected by Q3 2025 [68][73] Question: Drivers of continued margin expansion - Management highlighted that smoke-free products are driving margin expansion, with a significant organic gross margin increase in Q1 [75][78] Question: Guidance outlook for the second half of the year - Management indicated that traditional differences between H1 and H2 could affect growth rates, but overall strong momentum is expected [85][89] Question: Unconstrained growth for ZYN - Management noted that while they cannot provide precise estimates for unconstrained demand, they expect consumer offtake to accelerate as supply constraints are lifted [100][102] Question: Net interest cost guidance for the year - Management did not provide specific guidance for net interest costs but indicated a positive start to the year [116][119]

Core Insights - Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with both revenue and earnings exceeding expectations, leading to a nearly 3.5% increase in share price during pre-market trading [1][2] - The company raised its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for 2025, reflecting positive momentum across various regions and product categories [1][11] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for the first quarter was $1.69, a 12.7% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61 [2] - Net revenues reached $9,301 million, up 5.8% on a reported basis and 10.2% on an organic basis, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8,946.3 million [2] - The adjusted operating income rose 12.8% to $3,790 million, driven by improved pricing and positive volume/mix, despite increased costs in marketing and administration [5] Product Performance - Revenues from smoke-free products increased by 15% (20.4% organically), accounting for 42% of total revenues, with strong performance from IQOS and ZYN [4] - Shipment volumes for total products increased by 3.9% to 187.8 billion units in the first quarter [4] Regional Performance - European net revenues grew 3% (8.6% organically) to $3,560 million, supported by positive pricing and volume [7] - In the Americas, revenues surged 27.2% (32% organically) to $1,267 million, driven by favorable volume and pricing [8] Future Outlook - For 2025, adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $7.36-$7.49, indicating a growth of 12-14% [11] - The company expects net revenues to increase by 6-8% on an organic basis and operating income to rise by 10.5-12.5% [13] - Operating cash flow is anticipated to exceed $11 billion in 2025, with capital expenditures around $1.5 billion [13]

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Group 1 - Philip Morris reported quarterly earnings of $1.69 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61 per share, and up from $1.50 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 4.97% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $9.3 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.97%, and an increase from $8.79 billion year-over-year [2] - Philip Morris has consistently outperformed consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [2] Group 2 - The stock has increased approximately 36.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -10.1% decline in the S&P 500 [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The trend for estimate revisions for Philip Morris is currently favorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Group 3 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.81 on revenues of $10.04 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.23 on revenues of $40.6 billion [7] - The Tobacco industry is ranked in the top 21% of Zacks industries, suggesting a positive outlook for stocks within this sector [8]

Championing a Smoke-Free World 2025 First-Quarter Results April 23, 2025 Introduction • A glossary of terms as well as adjustments, other calculations and reconciliations to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures for non-GAAP financial measures cited in this presentation are available in Exhibit 99.2 to the company's Form 8-K dated April 23, 2025 and on our Investor Relations website 2 Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements Excellent Q1 Marks Strong Start to 2025 (a) At prevailing exchange rates ...

Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...

Shares of Philip Morris (PM) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 7% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $165 in the previous session. Philip Morris has gained 35.6% since the start of the year compared to the 6.6% move for the Zacks Consumer Staples sector and the 26.7% return for the Zacks Tobacco industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of ...

Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris International Inc. is expected to show growth in both revenue and earnings for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue estimates around $9 billion, reflecting a 1.8% increase year-over-year [1]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly earnings is $1.61 per share, indicating a 7.3% increase from the previous year [2]. - The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 4% [2]. Smoke-Free Product Performance - Smoke-free products contributed 40% to the company's net revenues in Q4 2024, showcasing the success of its IQOS device and other innovations like IQOS ILUMA, ZYN nicotine pouches, and VEEV ONE e-vapor [3]. - The estimated revenue from smoke-free products for Q1 2025 is $3,576.89 million, up from $3,296 million in the same quarter last year [4]. Cost Management and Strategic Initiatives - Philip Morris has implemented cost-saving measures and strategic initiatives that have positively impacted its margins [4]. Currency Impact and Regulatory Challenges - The company anticipates a 4-cent unfavorable impact on adjusted EPS due to volatile currency movements [5]. - Strict government regulations, including mandatory precautionary labels and self-critical advertisements, are challenges that may affect cigarette consumption [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Philip Morris, with a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of -1.83% [6].

In its upcoming report, Philip Morris (PM) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $1.61 per share, reflecting an increase of 7.3% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $8.95 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 1.8%.The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has undergone an upward revision of 2.2% in the past 30 days, bringing it to its present level. This represents how the covering analysts, as a whole, have reassessed their initial ...

Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on April 23, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.61, reflecting a +7.3% change year-over-year. Revenues are projected to be $8.95 billion, up 1.8% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.92% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. However, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.83%, suggesting a bearish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3. Stocks with this combination have a nearly 70% success rate for positive surprises [8]. However, a negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Historical Performance - Philip Morris has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters. In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.55 per share against an expectation of $1.51, resulting in a surprise of +2.65% [12][13]. Conclusion - While Philip Morris does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [16].