耐用消费产业行业研究 2026 年 02 月 08 日 买入（维持评级） 行业周报 证券研究报告 国金证券研究所 分析师：赵中平（执业 S1130524050003 ） zhaozhongping ＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：唐执敬（执业 S1130525020002 ） tangzhijing＠gjzq.com.cn 联系人：谢俪丹 xielidan＠gjzq.com.cn 国际烟草巨头财报频出，泡泡年会更新，苹果官宣 AI 硬件布局 投资逻辑 潮玩：布鲁可登录日本市场、海外版图持续扩张，与 Takara Tomy 合作深入有望进一步推动其 IP 拓展进程。布鲁可 变形金刚星辰版前三弹将率先登岛，此次由日本《变形金刚》IP 官方持有方 Takara Tomy（多美）引入。2 月 5 日泡 泡玛特与中科宇航联名设计的太空主题 SPACE MOLLY 公仔完成太空首秀；2 月 6 日公司举办年会，会上宣布 2025 全 年全品类销售量超 4 亿，Labubu 单品销售量超 1 亿，全球注册会员超 1 亿人，门店数量超 700 家。 新型烟草：菲莫国际业绩会彰显 HNB 赛道长期增长动力，未来有望二次加速， ...

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis focusing on Coca-Cola Co, Philip Morris International Inc, and the State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® ETF [1] - It highlights the performance trends and investment opportunities within the consumer staples sector [1] - The analysis includes insights on market dynamics and potential growth areas for the mentioned companies [1] Group 2 - Coca-Cola Co is analyzed for its market position and financial performance, indicating strong brand loyalty and revenue generation [1] - Philip Morris International Inc is discussed in terms of its strategic shifts towards reduced-risk products and market expansion [1] - The State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® ETF is evaluated for its role in providing diversified exposure to the consumer staples sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Dividends play a crucial role in long-term investing, accounting for 31% of all stock market gains since 1926, making them essential for total return [1] Group 1: Coca-Cola Company - Coca-Cola is a blue-chip stock with a globally recognized beverage empire, known for consistent dividend payouts and strong performance in various economic conditions [4] - The company has a market capitalization of $340 billion, with a current stock price of $79.14 and a dividend yield of 2.58% [5][6] - Coca-Cola's revenue grew 5% year-over-year to $12.5 billion in the third quarter, maintaining a robust operating margin of 32%, which is vital for sustaining dividends [7] - The stock has appreciated approximately 58% over the last five years, indicating substantial capital growth alongside dividend income [8] Group 2: Philip Morris International - Philip Morris has a market capitalization of $285 billion, with a current stock price of $182.85 and a dividend yield of 3.09% [9][10] - The company is pivoting towards alternative tobacco products, with smoke-free products accounting for 41% of sales and available in 100 global markets [13] - Over the last decade, Philip Morris shares have risen 97%, significantly outperforming peers like Altria and British American Tobacco [11] - The $16 billion acquisition of Swedish Match in 2022 expanded Philip Morris' distribution network and diversified its product offerings [13] - The company has a strong track record of returning cash to investors through dividends, which currently exceed the S&P 500 average of 1.14% [14]

CFO Emmanuel Babeau said organic net revenue increased 6.5% in 2025, or 7.9% excluding what he described as a “technical Indonesia impact.” Organic operating income rose 10.6% with 140 basis points of organic margin expansion. In dollar terms, adjusted operating income grew 11.8% to $16.4 billion, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 14.2% at constant currency and 15% in dollar terms to $7.54. Babeau noted EPS landed at the high end of the company’s prior guidance range despite a lower-than-expected currency tailw ...

Core Insights - Philip Morris International Inc. reported fourth-quarter results that met analyst expectations, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.70 and revenue of $10.4 billion, slightly above the expected $10.39 billion [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved adjusted diluted EPS of $7.54 for the full year 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.8%, or 14.2% on a currency-neutral basis [2] - Revenue from smoke-free products constituted 41.5% of total net revenues and nearly 43% of total gross profit, marking increases of 2.8 and 3.2 percentage points compared to full-year 2024 [3] Group 2: Business Growth and Strategy - Smoke-free shipment volumes increased by 8.5% in the quarter, while traditional cigarette volumes saw a decline of 2.2% [2] - Philip Morris guided for fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS in the range of $8.38 to $8.53, surpassing the analyst consensus of $8.33 [4] - The company set new growth targets for 2026–2028, aiming for organic net revenue growth of 6% to 8%, organic operating income growth of 8% to 10%, and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 9% to 11%, excluding currency effects [4]

Core Insights - Philip Morris International Inc. reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.70, matching estimates, but revenue of $10.36 billion slightly missed expectations of $10.40 billion [1][6] - The company has achieved its fifth consecutive year of volume growth, with net revenues exceeding $40 billion in 2025, of which nearly $17 billion came from its smoke-free business [2][6] - Despite a decline in stock price due to softer-than-expected revenue figures, the company's strong performance and strategic focus on smoke-free products position it well for future success [3][6] Financial Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of Philip Morris is approximately 32.90, with a price-to-sales ratio of about 7.09 and an enterprise value to sales ratio of 8.25, indicating market valuation of its earnings and sales [4] - The company's earnings yield stands at around 3.04%, reflecting its profitability relative to its stock price [4] - Philip Morris has a debt-to-equity ratio of -4.59, indicating a significant level of debt compared to equity, and a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting its ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [5]

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) stock rose Friday after the company reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results.The company pointed to strong smoke-free momentum and a record Marlboro share while outlining upbeat earnings and growth targets.Quarterly MetricsPhilip Morris reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.70, in line with the Street view. Quarterly sales of $10.362 billion (+6.8% year over year) missed the Street view of $10.440 billion.“We achieved another remarkable year ...

Key Takeaways PM posted adjusted EPS of $1.70, up 9.7% Y/Y, beating estimates despite revenues missing expectations.Smoke-free revenues rose 12% and accounted for over half of net revenues in three of four regions.Net revenues climbed 6.8% as pricing strength and smoke-free volumes offset lower cigarette shipments.Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) reported fourth-quarter 2025 results, with both top and bottom lines increasing year over year. Net sales missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, while earnings ...

Market Analysis by covering: Biogen Inc, Philip Morris International Inc, Centene Corp. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

We accomplished this through strong pricing, portfolio resilience, and disciplined execution, with Marlborough reaching a historic high share. Managing this business responsibly enables us to invest boldly in better alternatives and sustain our smoke-free momentum. Together, these factors enabled us to deliver 15% adjusted diluted EPS growth in dollar terms, the strongest growth since 2011, excluding the pandemic recovery year of 2021. This reflects currency-neutral growth of 14% well above our expectations ...