SoFi Technologies(SOFI)
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SoFi: The $3B Question Heading Into Q4 2025 Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-28 22:00
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns, indicating a systematic approach to analyzing price movements [1]
SoFi vs. OppFi: Which Fintech Stock Looks More Compelling Right Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 17:51
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies (SOFI) and OppFi Inc. (OPFI) are both players in the fintech lending sector, with SOFI focusing on prime and near-prime borrowers while OPFI targets subprime borrowers [1] Group 1: SoFi Technologies (SOFI) - SoFi continues to innovate, recently launching SoFi Pay for low-cost international payments and a USD stablecoin, indicating a push towards blockchain integration in financial services [2] - The relaunch of SoFi's crypto trading platform aligns with increased investor interest in cryptocurrencies, while the introduction of SoFi Coach aims to provide personalized financial insights [3] - The SoFi Smart Card offers cash-back rewards and credit-building tools, enhancing customer engagement and brand loyalty [4] - Marketing partnerships, such as with NFL MVP Josh Allen, are increasing SoFi's brand visibility among younger consumers [5] - The acquisition of Galileo Financial Technologies has strengthened SoFi's fintech infrastructure, enabling better payment processing and AI-driven engagement tools [6][7] - The integration of Galileo's technology with SoFi's products enhances operational efficiency and innovation, creating a structural advantage [8] Group 2: OppFi Inc. (OPFI) - OppFi's financial performance is driven by its AI and machine-learning-based underwriting engine, Model 6, which has led to significant profitability growth [9] - In Q3 2025, OppFi reported a 136.9% year-over-year increase in net income, while revenues grew by 13.5%, highlighting the efficiency of its business model [10] - The company's auto-approval rate reached 79.1%, improving operational efficiency and leading to a 79% growth in adjusted EPS [11] - OppFi's Model 6.1 upgrade aims to enhance risk pricing precision, with early results showing a decline in net charge-offs [12] - The Loan Origination Lending Application (LOLA) is expected to further improve scalability and operational efficiency, with testing underway [13][14] - OppFi's disciplined credit assessment combined with rising automation positions it well for profitability in a volatile lending environment [15] Group 3: Financial Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SOFI indicates a 36.8% growth in sales and a 146.7% increase in EPS for 2025 [16] - SOFI's current quarter sales estimate is $981.89 million, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 32.85% [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI shows a 13.6% increase in sales and a 65.3% rise in EPS for 2025 [19] - OPFI's current quarter sales estimate is $159.75 million, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 17.71% [20] - OPFI is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 5.78X, significantly lower than SOFI's 41.91X, indicating that OPFI appears cheaper [22] Group 4: Comparative Analysis - SoFi is viewed as the more compelling investment due to its diversified, platform-driven model that supports balanced growth across cycles [23] - OppFi's efficiency gains are notable, but its business is more closely tied to subprime credit conditions, which may increase risk during economic stress [23]
Dear SoFi Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for January 30
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 16:00
Core Viewpoint - SoFi Technologies is experiencing a cautious investor sentiment as its stock has fallen significantly from its 52-week high, primarily due to concerns over capital dilution and high valuations [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - SoFi Technologies, founded in 2011, operates as a member-centric digital financial ecosystem, offering a range of services including lending, banking technology, APIs, investing tools, and cash management [4]. - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $31.1 billion [4]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, SoFi's shares have increased by nearly 58.33%, with a notable 20% rise over the last six months, although the stock has recently declined by 5.95% in the past month [5]. - Currently, SoFi stock trades at 70.95 times forward adjusted earnings and 9.17 times sales, which are significantly above industry averages, indicating a premium valuation [6]. Group 3: Business Growth - Despite stock volatility, SoFi's underlying business continues to expand, with consistent product adoption, robust member growth, and strong engagement metrics [2]. - Investor behavior reflects this growth, as the stock rose by 4.9% upon the announcement of its earnings schedule and gained an additional 6.6% in the following trading session [2]. Group 4: Recent Earnings Performance - In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, SoFi reported a revenue increase of 37.9% year-over-year, reaching $961.6 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $904.4 million [7]. - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 120% from the previous year to $0.11, exceeding consensus estimates of $0.08 [7].
Should You Buy SoFi Technologies Stock Before Jan. 30?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 12:42
Core Viewpoint - SoFi has experienced a decline of approximately 20% from its recent highs and is expected to report its fourth-quarter earnings on January 30, with strong prior performance indicators suggesting potential for impressive results [1][5]. Financial Performance - SoFi reported record highs in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, fee-based revenue, new member additions, and product growth in the third quarter, leading management to raise its full-year guidance [2]. - The company anticipates reporting a total of 3.5 million new members for the full year, a 36% year-over-year revenue growth, and an adjusted EPS of $0.37 per share for the full year [2]. Loan Growth and Revenue - SoFi's loan growth has been accompanied by lower default rates, indicating a favorable risk profile [4]. - There has been significant growth in fee-based revenue, particularly from its loan platform business, which generates low-risk, high-margin fee income through loan origination and referrals [4]. Upcoming Earnings Report - If SoFi meets or exceeds its guidance, the fourth-quarter results are expected to be impressive, given the company's strong track record [5]. - The earnings conference call will be crucial for gaining insights into recent corporate actions and product introductions [6]. Capital Raise and Product Changes - In December, SoFi raised approximately $1.5 billion by selling new shares for general corporate purposes, raising questions about the necessity of shareholder dilution given the company's previously adequate capital levels [7]. - The introduction of new products, such as the SoFi Smart Card and the transition to a $10 monthly fee for SoFi Plus benefits, will be monitored for customer reactions and enthusiasm [8]. Investment Consideration - SoFi may present an attractive investment opportunity at a 20% discount from its highs, but further clarification on recent developments is needed before increasing positions [9].
Buying This Bank Stock Could Help Make You a Millionaire Retiree
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 23:02
Core Viewpoint - SoFi Technologies is presented as a promising growth stock for pre-retirees aiming to build wealth, with significant recent performance metrics indicating strong potential for future growth [1]. Company Overview - SoFi Technologies is a fintech company that primarily serves millennials and younger consumers, evolving from a focus on student loans to a comprehensive online banking platform offering various financial services [5]. - The company has reported a membership base of 12.6 million, indicating a strong customer acquisition strategy [5]. Financial Performance - In the third quarter, SoFi achieved adjusted net revenue of $950 million, marking a 38% year-over-year increase [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $277 million, reflecting a 49% increase compared to the previous year [7]. - Fee-based revenue reached $409 million, up 50% year-over-year [7]. - Member growth was reported at 35%, with a total of 12.6 million members [7]. - Product growth also saw a 36% increase, totaling 18.6 million products [7]. - Management has raised its guidance for 2025, indicating confidence in continued growth [7]. Market Potential - A report from Motley Fool Research suggests that approximately 75% of consumers are likely to switch banks for better-suited offerings, highlighting the competitive landscape and potential for SoFi to capture market share [6].
Should You Buy SoFi Technologies Before Friday's Q4 Earnings?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 19:31
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies has transformed personal finance for millennials and Gen Z, starting with student loan refinancing and expanding into a full-spectrum digital bank offering various financial services [1][4] - The company has achieved significant growth, boasting over 12 million members and a stock price increase of 245% over the past three years, driven by rising adoption and profitability [2][4] - Investors are keenly awaiting the fiscal Q4 earnings report, as SoFi has consistently beaten expectations in the previous four quarters [2] Company Overview - SoFi Technologies provides a wide range of services through its mobile app and website, including banking, lending, investing, and financial planning tools, with a focus on tech-savvy users [4][5] - Membership has surged from approximately 1 million in 2019 to over 12.6 million, reflecting a 35% year-over-year increase, driven by successful cross-selling and the acquisition of a banking charter [4][5] Financial Performance - SoFi's stock has underperformed in 2023, down 3%, while the S&P 500 has gained about 2% [6] - The stock trades at 87 times trailing earnings and 44 times next year's estimates, which is higher than the banking industry average of around 12 but comparable to high-growth fintech peers [6] - The forward price-to-sales ratio stands at 7.46, elevated compared to SoFi's historical average of around 5, but reasonable given its transition to profitability and expected revenue growth exceeding 20% annually [6]
SoFi Is Poised to Report Strong Q4 Results. Is a Share-Price Rebound in SOFI Stock's Future?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 17:41
Core Viewpoint - SoFi Technologies is experiencing stock pressure ahead of its Q4 earnings announcement, despite strong operational results and growth in revenue and earnings [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - SoFi is expected to deliver strong revenue growth in Q4, supported by a growing member base and expanding fee-driven revenue [4] - In Q3, SoFi's financial services and technology platform segments generated $534 million in revenue, a 57% year-over-year increase, now accounting for over half of total revenue [6] - Fee income in Q3 reached $409 million, up 50% from the previous year, driven by various sources including loan platform business, origination and referral fees, brokerage fees, and interchange revenue [7] Group 2: Business Model and Strategy - SoFi's shift toward a low-risk, fee-driven model is expected to enhance growth by reducing dependence on interest-rate-sensitive lending income [2] - The company is diversifying its revenue streams and strengthening its balance sheet, which supports long-term earnings stability [5] - SoFi's capital-light, non-lending businesses are scaling rapidly, becoming a larger part of the overall revenue mix [5]
Pre-Q4 Earnings: Is SoFi Technologies Stock a Portfolio Must-Have?
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 17:15
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 30, with earnings expected at 12 cents, reflecting a 140% increase year-over-year, and revenues projected at $981.9 million, indicating a 32.9% year-over-year growth [1][7] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the upcoming quarter shows two upward revisions in earnings estimates over the past 60 days, countered by two downward revisions [1] - The Earnings ESP for SOFI stands at +1.30%, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] Segment Performance - Significant year-over-year growth is anticipated across SOFI's segments, particularly in Financial Services, Lending, and Technology Platforms [4] - Financial Services revenues are estimated at $446 million, representing a 74% year-over-year growth, while Lending revenues are expected to reach $488 million, indicating a 17% year-over-year growth. The Technology Platform segment is projected to grow by 12% [5] Stock Performance - SOFI shares have increased by 60.5% year-over-year but have seen a 14% decline over the last three months, suggesting a consolidation phase after a strong performance [7][8] - The company's valuation appears elevated, with a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 42.51X, significantly higher than the industry average of 21.6X [9] Investment Considerations - Given the current valuation concerns, a cautious approach is recommended, as the stock may struggle to gain significant upward momentum in the near term [10] - Comparatively, Block (XYZ) and Upstart (UPST) may present better value opportunities, with forward P/E ratios of 20.24X and 16.94X, respectively [11][12]
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) is Flashing an Intriguing Quant Setup Ahead of Q4 Earnings
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-26 18:30
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) may well be one of the more perplexing ideas in the market right now. Mainly, the concern is that the obvious signs for SOFI stock don’t point in a positive direction. For example, Barchart’s Technical Opinion indicator rates SOFI as an 8% Weak Sell — and that’s justified by the security’s soft performance of 1.26% below parity for the new year. Yes, in the past 52 weeks, SOFI stock has gained nearly 61%, which must be taken into account. However, the problem is that, since mid-S ...
Should You Buy SoFi Stock Before Jan. 30?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-25 16:05
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies has experienced significant stock growth, increasing over 355% in the past three years, and is preparing to report its Q4 and full-year results for 2025 on January 30 [1][2] Company Overview - SoFi has transitioned from a student loan company to a comprehensive financial management app, aiming to be a one-stop shop for financial services [1] - The company is focused on cross-selling products to enhance customer engagement and drive sales, indicating a long-term growth potential [1] Financial Performance - SoFi has onboarded record new customers for three consecutive quarters, with adjusted net revenue rising 38% year-over-year in Q3 2025 [2] - All business segments, including lending, financial services, and the B2B tech platform, are experiencing double-digit growth, with the financial services segment seeing a remarkable 76% year-over-year sales increase [2] - The company benefits from lower interest rates in lending and operates without physical storefronts, allowing for efficient cost management [2] Market Expectations - Wall Street anticipates SoFi will report $0.11 in EPS for Q4 and $0.36 for the full year, although stock performance may be influenced by whether these expectations are met [4] - SoFi has consistently beaten EPS expectations for the past four quarters, and positive market reactions have followed its product innovation updates [5] Long-term Outlook - Short-term stock movements are deemed less important than long-term prospects, with expectations that SoFi stock will continue to perform well into 2026 [6]