Upstart Holdings, Inc. ( UPST ) appears to be giving bullish investors another opportunity to buy the name. The market has seen some shift to a “risk off” mentality, leading to a slide in the stock price. That underperformance has created a buying opportunity, with management signalingJulian Lin is a financial analyst. He finds undervalued companies with secular growth that appreciate over time. His approach is to look for companies with strong balance sheets and management teams in sectors with long growth ...

Core Viewpoint - Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) is presenting a buying opportunity for bullish investors as the stock price has declined due to a market shift towards a "risk off" mentality [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Upstart Holdings, Inc. is experiencing a stock price slide, which has created a potential buying opportunity for investors [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Julian Lin, a financial analyst, focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential and strong balance sheets [1] - Lin leads the investing group Best Of Breed Growth Stocks, which emphasizes stocks with a high probability of delivering significant alpha compared to the S&P 500 [1] - The investment strategy combines growth-oriented principles with strict valuation criteria to enhance the margin of safety [1]

Industry Overview - Fintech is transforming the global financial landscape by embedding financial services into everyday experiences, enabling programmable money, and leveraging AI for personalized interactions and risk management [1] - The rise of embedded finance integrates payments, lending, insurance, and investments into non-financial platforms, reducing distribution costs and enhancing customer loyalty [2] - Open banking and open finance empower customers with control over their data, fostering faster onboarding and customized products [2] - Programmable money powered by stablecoins and real-time payment rails is revolutionizing treasury, payroll, and cross-border transfers through instant settlement [2] - AI is becoming the new operating system for the financial industry, driving decision-making in underwriting, cybersecurity, and compliance [3] Future Trends - The future financial system will be open, data-permissioned, AI-native, and instant in settlement, with long-term winners being fintechs and incumbents that master interoperability and trusted customer relationships [4] - Stocks like Upstart Holdings, Affirm Holdings, and Nu Holdings are gaining investor attention as they adapt to these trends [4] Company Insights: Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) - Upstart is an AI-driven fintech that uses machine learning to evaluate non-traditional data points for lending, allowing broader loan approvals while maintaining strong credit performance [6][7] - The company acts as an intermediary, earning revenues through referral fees, loan servicing fees, and income from loan sales and securitization [7] - Upstart's direct-to-consumer platform enables individuals to apply for loans directly, leveraging automation and data analytics to disrupt traditional lending [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UPST's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 51.4% and 930%, respectively [9] Company Insights: Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) - Affirm operates in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) and embedded finance space, allowing consumers to split purchases into installments at the point of sale [10] - The company uses data-driven underwriting and real-time credit assessment to manage risk dynamically [11] - Affirm differentiates itself by focusing on larger-ticket purchases and flexible repayment options, supported by a robust capital model [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AFRM's fiscal 2026 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 23.9% and 473.3%, respectively [14] Company Insights: Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) - Nu Holdings targets underserved and digitally native consumers in Latin America with a suite of app-based services across lending, banking, and investing, amassing 123 million customers as of June 30, 2025 [15][16] - The company has reduced operational costs while boosting efficiency and accessibility, promoting financial inclusion in underserved markets [16] - Nu's diversified revenue streams from lending, interchange fees, and marketplace services offer resilience and scalability [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NU's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 32.2% and 24.4%, respectively [19]

Core Insights - Upstart, an AI lending marketplace, has secured a forward-flow commitment from Castlelake, a global alternative investment firm, to purchase up to $1.5 billion in consumer loans [1] Company Summary - Upstart has entered into a new 12-month forward flow arrangement with Castlelake for the purchase of consumer loans originated through its platform [1]

Core Insights - Pathward Financial, Inc. has announced a partnership with Upstart to provide personal loans through Upstart's AI-driven lending marketplace, aiming to enhance financial inclusion for more borrowers [1][3]. Company Overview - Pathward, N.A., a subsidiary of Pathward Financial, Inc. (Nasdaq: CASH), focuses on increasing financial access and availability through its Partner Solutions and Commercial Finance business lines [4]. Partnership Details - The collaboration with Upstart is designed to leverage Upstart's AI models and cloud applications, allowing lenders to approve more borrowers at lower rates while providing a superior digital experience [2][3]. - Upstart connects consumers to over 100 banks and credit unions, facilitating personal loans for various purposes, including debt consolidation and covering expenses like weddings and medical needs [2]. Leadership Statements - Pathward President Anthony Sharett expressed enthusiasm about the partnership, highlighting a shared mission to improve access to credit [3]. - Michael Lock, Senior Vice President of Lending Partnerships at Upstart, noted that the combination of Upstart's technology and Pathward's regulatory expertise will enable the delivery of industry-leading credit products [3].

Core Points - U.S. stock futures are lower, with Dow futures falling over 50 points [1] - Super Micro Computer Inc reported disappointing first-quarter results, with earnings of 35 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate of 40 cents, and revenue of $5.01 billion, below the expected $5.99 billion [2] - Super Micro's revenue decreased from $5.93 billion in the same period last year [2] - The company's shares fell 9.2% to $43.12 in pre-market trading [2] Company-Specific Movements - Biohaven Ltd experienced a significant drop of 46.2% to $7.51 after receiving an FDA Complete Response Letter for VYGLXIA [4] - Trex Company Inc declined 31.9% to $32.02 following worse-than-expected third-quarter results and lowered FY25 sales guidance [4] - Soleno Therapeutics Inc fell 22.2% to $49.65 after reporting third-quarter results [4] - Axon Enterprise Inc's shares dropped 19.6% to $567.50 after mixed third-quarter results and an acquisition announcement [4] - Pinterest Inc dipped 18.8% to $26.69 after posting disappointing third-quarter earnings [4] - SSR Mining Inc fell 17.5% to $17.90 after its third-quarter results [4] - Uniqure NV's shares decreased by 15.8% to $25.61 after a prior gain [4] - Clover Health Investments Corp fell 15.5% to $2.97 after mixed third-quarter results [4] - Upstart Holdings Inc declined 15.3% to $39.15 after mixed results and lowered FY25 guidance [4] - Corsair Gaming Inc fell 12.4% to $6.59 following worse-than-expected third-quarter results [4] - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. declined 5% to $237.80 despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results and projecting fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $9.6 billion [4]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]

Core Insights - Premarket trading is showing notable activity with significant price movements indicating potential trading opportunities before the market opens [1] Premarket Gainers - SMX (Security Matters) Public Limited Company (SMX) increased by 52% to $2.24 [3] - Entravision Communications Corporation (EVC) rose by 33% to $2.66 [3] - Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. (BW) saw a 28% increase to $4.79 [3] - NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE) gained 24% reaching $11.71 [3] - Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW) also increased by 24% to $9.30 [3] - Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RIGL) rose by 22% to $34.72 [3] - Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) increased by 21% to $7.20 [3] - Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) saw a 15% increase to $218.06 [3] - AsiaStrategy (SORA) rose by 14% to $3.63 [3] - Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) increased by 7% to $5.05 [3] Premarket Losers - Biohaven Ltd. (BHVN) decreased by 42% to $7.96 [4] - Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) fell by 34% to $30.65 [4] - Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. (SLNO) saw a 23% decline to $49.00 [4] - Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) decreased by 19% to $572.00 [4] - Clover Health Investments, Corp. (CLOV) fell by 19% to $2.82 [4] - Pinterest, Inc. (PINS) decreased by 18% to $26.91 [4] - SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) saw a 17% decline to $17.91 [4] - Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) decreased by 16% to $38.81 [4] - WF International Limited (WXM) fell by 12% to $2.25 [4] - Corsair Gaming, Inc. (CRSR) decreased by 11% to $6.66 [4]

Core Insights - Upstart, an AI lending marketplace, reported significant growth in consumer demand and credit strength in Q3, with a notable increase in loan originations [1][2][3] Company Performance - Loan originations increased by 80% year-over-year in Q3, reaching $2.9 billion [2] - Personal loan originations rose by 73% to $2.7 billion, auto loan originations increased fivefold to $128 million, and home loan originations grew fourfold to $72 million [3] - Over 2 million applications were submitted in Q3, marking a 30% increase from Q2 and the highest level in over three years [3] Consumer Credit Strength - Upstart's macro indicator showed a modest uptick in July and August, leading to a temporary reduction in approvals and an increase in interest rates, but overall consumer credit strength remains stable with signs of improvement [4][5] - The company perceives the broader economic backdrop for credit as favorable, with decelerating personal consumption growth indicating improving credit health [6] Automation and Process Improvements - 91% of loans enabled by Upstart in Q3 were fully automated, requiring no human intervention [6] - The company successfully automated the home equity line of credit (HELOC) approval process, increasing the automated approval rate from less than 1% in June to 20% by October [7][8]

Core Insights - Upstart Holdings, Inc. reported a revenue of $277.11 million for the quarter ended September 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 70.9% and an EPS of $0.52 compared to -$0.06 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $281.02 million by 1.39%, while the EPS exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.42 by 23.81% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Transaction Volume was reported at $2.85 million, below the average estimate of $3.2 million based on three analysts [4] - Revenue from fees, net was $258.54 million, compared to the average estimate of $275.62 million based on four analysts, reflecting a year-over-year change of +76.2% [4] - Revenue from servicing and other fees, net was $41.66 million, versus the estimated $46.11 million, showing a +24.8% change year-over-year [4] - Revenue from platform and referral fees, net was $216.88 million, compared to the estimated $230.22 million, representing a +61.6% change year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Upstart's shares have returned -9.6% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]