发布时间：2025-04-28 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 证券研究报告：机械设备 | 公司点评报告 | 最新收盘价（元） | 17.40 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.35 | / 5.34 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）93 | / 93 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 23.15 / 15.55 | | | 资产负债率(%) | 29.7% | | | 市盈率 | 10.79 | | | 第一大股东 | HERMES | EQUITIES | | CORP. | | | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 汉钟精机(002158) 光伏产品受行业影响承压，半导体真空泵推进批量 供应 l 投资要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 2024 年，公司实现营收 36.74 亿元，同比-4.62 ...

公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 17.40 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.35 | / 5.34 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）93 | / 93 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 23.15 / 15.55 | | | 资产负债率(%) | 29.7% | | | 市盈率 | 10.79 | | | 第一大股东 | HERMES | EQUITIES | | CORP. | | | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 汉钟精机(002158) 证券研究报告：机械设备 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-04-28 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 光伏产品受行业影响承压，半导体真空泵推进批量 供应 l 投资要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 2024 年，公司实现营收 36.74 亿元，同比-4.62 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [12]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is in line with expectations, achieving a revenue of 4.954 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 398 million yuan, up 2.05% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is expanding its product offerings across various sectors, including consumer electronics, new energy, and semiconductors, with significant progress in new product development and customer acquisition [5][9]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 34.38%, a slight increase of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.85%, a decrease of 0.09 percentage points [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.039 billion yuan, 7.390 billion yuan, and 8.909 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 21.91%, 22.37%, and 20.55% respectively [6][10]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 555 million yuan, 767 million yuan, and 973 million yuan, with growth rates of 39.21%, 38.24%, and 26.92% respectively [6][10].

- The diffusion index model triggered a right-side buy signal at the close of trading on Tuesday, April 25, 2025 [6][14][33] - The first threshold method triggered a full position signal at the close of trading on April 7, 2025 [36] - The delayed threshold method gave an open position signal at the close of trading on April 22, 2025 [40] - The dual moving average method gave a short position signal at the close of trading on March 12, 2025 [41] Model Testing Results - Diffusion index model, weekly return 2.52% [43] - First threshold method, signal value 0.0225 [36] - Delayed threshold method, signal value not specified [40] - Dual moving average method, signal value not specified [41] Quantitative Factors and Construction - Factor name: Momentum factor; Construction idea: Based on the stock's price momentum; Construction process: Calculated using the rank IC method, weekly rank IC value 0.221, historical average -0.003 [5][13][27] - Factor name: Logarithmic market capitalization factor; Construction idea: Based on the logarithm of the stock's market capitalization; Construction process: Calculated using the rank IC method, weekly rank IC value 0.196, historical average -0.032 [5][13][27] - Factor name: Non-linear market capitalization factor; Construction idea: Based on the non-linear transformation of the stock's market capitalization; Construction process: Calculated using the rank IC method, weekly rank IC value 0.196, historical average -0.032 [5][13][27] - Factor name: Single-quarter ROE factor; Construction idea: Based on the stock's return on equity for a single quarter; Construction process: Calculated using the rank IC method, weekly rank IC value 0.19, historical average 0.025 [5][13][27] - Factor name: PE TTM reciprocal factor; Construction idea: Based on the reciprocal of the stock's price-to-earnings ratio trailing twelve months; Construction process: Calculated using the rank IC method, weekly rank IC value 0.189, historical average 0.02 [5][13][27] Factor Testing Results - Momentum factor, weekly rank IC value 0.221, historical average -0.003 [5][13][27] - Logarithmic market capitalization factor, weekly rank IC value 0.196, historical average -0.032 [5][13][27] - Non-linear market capitalization factor, weekly rank IC value 0.196, historical average -0.032 [5][13][27] - Single-quarter ROE factor, weekly rank IC value 0.19, historical average 0.025 [5][13][27] - PE TTM reciprocal factor, weekly rank IC value 0.189, historical average 0.02 [5][13][27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [12]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is in line with expectations, achieving a revenue of 4.954 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 398 million yuan, up 2.05% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is expanding its product offerings across various sectors, including consumer electronics, new energy, and semiconductors, with significant progress in production and customer acquisition [9][10]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 34.38%, a slight increase of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.85%, a decrease of 0.09 percentage points [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.039 billion yuan, 7.390 billion yuan, and 8.909 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 21.91%, 22.37%, and 20.55% respectively [6][10]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 555 million yuan, 767 million yuan, and 973 million yuan, with growth rates of 39.21%, 38.24%, and 26.92% respectively [6][10].

证券研究报告：机械设备|深度报告 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 | 行业基本情况 | | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 1575.92 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 1803.12 | | 52 | 周最低 | 1122.98 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） 2024-04 2024-07 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-04 -19% -14% -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 机械设备 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:陈基赟 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070003 Email:chenjiyun@cnpsec.com 2020 年全球分析仪器市场规模约 670 亿美元，中国分析仪器市 场约为 385 亿元。根据 SDI 发布的全球实验分析仪器市场规模数据显 示，2020 年全球分析仪器市场规模预计达到 670 亿美元，2015-2020 年年均复合增长率约为5.5 ...

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the importance of domestic substitution in the analysis instrument sector, emphasizing the low current domestic production rate and the government's supportive policies for industry development [7][30] - The global market for analytical instruments is projected to reach approximately $67 billion, with China's market at around 38.5 billion yuan [5][24] - The report anticipates a growth rate of 6-10% for China's analytical instrument industry in 2025, driven by policy support and increased focus on product innovation [6][33] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the mechanical equipment sector is 1575.92, with a 52-week high of 1803.12 and a low of 1122.98 [1] Market Performance - The relative performance of the mechanical equipment sector against the CSI 300 index shows a projected decline of 19% to a growth of 26% from April 2024 to April 2025 [3] Market Size and Growth - The global analytical instrument market was approximately $67 billion in 2020, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 5.5% from 2015 to 2020 [5][21] - China's analytical instrument market was about 38.5 billion yuan in 2020, significantly lower than the U.S. and Germany [24] Domestic Production and Policy Support - The domestic market share of analytical instruments has increased from 32.2% in 2011 to 44.6% in 2023, with specific categories like mass spectrometers seeing growth from 1.5% to 11.2% [7][30] - The report outlines various government policies aimed at promoting domestic production and innovation in the analytical instrument sector [32] Import Data Analysis - The import value of analytical instruments under the 9027 tariff code showed a decline from 696 billion yuan in 2020 to 570 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a shift towards domestic products [8][34] - The U.S. remains the largest source of imports for analytical instruments, accounting for approximately 23.4% of imports in 2024 [34] Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests monitoring companies such as 聚光科技 (Juguang Technology), 钢研纳克 (Gangyan Nake), and 莱伯泰科 (Leibotai Technology) for their roles in the analytical instrument market [10][44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [7][14]. Core Views - The company is gradually returning to normal operations, with multiple factors contributing to profit improvement. In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 6.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 268 million yuan, up 127.8% year-on-year [4]. - The efficiency of aircraft utilization is improving, with significant increases in business volume driving revenue growth. In 2024, passenger capacity increased by 33.2% year-on-year, and passenger turnover rose by 40.7% [5]. - The effective dilution of unit costs and significant support from subsidy policies have notably improved performance. The company's non-fuel unit costs decreased by 11.7% year-on-year in 2024, and other income surged by 144.9% to 1.29 billion yuan due to revised regional airline subsidy policies [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 7.53 yuan - Total shares: 1.278 billion - Total market capitalization: 9.6 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 9.09/5.18 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 83.8% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 35.79 [3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.696 billion yuan and a net profit of 268 million yuan. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, with a net profit of 82 million yuan, up 232.3% [4][10]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 400 million yuan, 720 million yuan, and 1 billion yuan, respectively [7]. Operational Metrics - In 2024, the passenger capacity increased by 33.2%, and the passenger turnover increased by 40.7%, with a seat occupancy rate of 79.61%, up 4.25 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The company’s revenue per passenger kilometer decreased by 4.6% to 0.53 yuan due to market competition [5]. Cost Management - The company’s non-fuel unit costs decreased by 11.7% year-on-year in 2024, contributing to improved profitability despite rising operational costs [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [7][14]. Core Views - The company is gradually returning to normal operations, with multiple factors contributing to profit improvement. In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 6.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 268 million yuan, up 127.8% year-on-year [4]. - The efficiency of aircraft utilization is improving, with significant increases in business volume driving revenue growth. In 2024, passenger capacity increased by 33.2% year-on-year, and passenger turnover rose by 40.7% [5]. - The effective dilution of unit costs and significant support from subsidy policies have notably improved performance. The company's non-fuel unit costs decreased by 11.7% year-on-year in 2024, and other income surged by 144.9% to 1.29 billion yuan due to revised regional airline subsidy policies [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 7.53 yuan - Total shares: 1.278 billion - Total market capitalization: 9.6 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 9.09/5.18 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 83.8% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 35.79 [3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.696 billion yuan and a net profit of 268 million yuan. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, with a net profit of 82 million yuan, up 232.3% [4][10]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 400 million yuan, 720 million yuan, and 1 billion yuan, respectively [7]. Operational Metrics - In 2024, the passenger load factor improved to 79.61%, an increase of 4.25 percentage points year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a further increase to 79.85% [5]. - The company’s revenue per passenger kilometer decreased by 4.6% to 0.53 yuan in 2024 due to market competition [5]. Future Outlook - The report expresses optimism about the growth potential of the regional airline market in China, with expectations for continued improvement in operational efficiency and profitability for the company [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.32 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 300 million yuan, up 32.8% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in the baby care segment and continue to launch new products to capture market share [8] Company Overview - Latest closing price: 35.58 yuan - Total shares: 4.05 billion, circulating shares: 1.03 billion - Total market capitalization: 14.4 billion yuan, circulating market capitalization: 3.7 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 36.53/16.13 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 6.3% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 48.08 [4] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue and net profit of 280 million yuan and 40 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 34% and a decline of 13% [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit were 240 million yuan and 44 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 44% and 25% [5] - The gross profit margin for 2024 increased by 1.8 percentage points to 58.2% [7] - The company expects net profits of 390 million yuan, 500 million yuan, and 604 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 36 times, 29 times, and 24 times [8][11] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from mosquito repellent, baby care, and essential oils was 440 million yuan, 690 million yuan, and 160 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 35%, 32%, and 8% [6] - For Q1 2025, the revenue growth rates for mosquito repellent, baby care, and essential oils were 66%, 11%, and -6%, respectively [6] - Online direct sales and non-platform distributors showed strong performance, with revenue growth of 24.8% and 39.6% in 2024 [6]