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大参林(603233):2025Q1业绩快速增长,持续优化门店布局
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 07:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 6.956 billion yuan, representing a 3.02% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, which is a 15.45% increase [4] - The company is optimizing its store layout, which is expected to enhance profit potential [8] - The company is actively embracing AI technology to improve operational efficiency and revenue generation [10] - The company is projected to have significant profit release potential, with expected revenues of 29.168 billion yuan, 32.144 billion yuan, and 35.400 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 16.84 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.2 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total of 16,622 stores as of Q1 2025, including 6,239 franchise stores [8] - The company reported a gross profit margin of 34.98% in Q1 2025, with a net profit margin of 6.61% [5] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 26.497 billion yuan, an increase of 8.01%, and a net profit of 915 million yuan, a decrease of 21.58% [4][13] - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be 1.52369 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 17.35 [13][11] - The company’s cash flow from operations for 2024 was 3.106 billion yuan, a decrease of 2% [6]
甘源食品(002991):短期业绩承压,静待后续逐季改善
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 06:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but is expected to improve gradually on a quarterly basis. The revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.257 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.18% [4][9] - The company is focusing on stabilizing its existing products while expanding its new product offerings to enhance market presence and channel compatibility [5][8] Company Overview - Latest closing price: 74.53 yuan - Total shares: 0.93 billion, circulating shares: 0.50 billion - Total market value: 6.9 billion yuan, circulating market value: 3.7 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 93.52/47.85 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 24.5% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 18.00 [3] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 2.257 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 376 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit of 341 million yuan, with respective year-on-year changes of 22.18%, 14.32%, and 16.91% [4] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 652 million yuan, net profit of 99 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit of 93 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of 22.05%, -13.91%, and -10.4% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 504 million yuan, net profit of 53 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit of 46 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -13.99%, -42.21%, and -45.14% [4] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from various product segments was as follows: mixed nuts and beans (705 million yuan, +39.80%), green peas (524 million yuan, +12.56%), sunflower seeds (302 million yuan, +10.48%), and others [5] - Revenue from different sales models showed growth: distribution model (1.927 billion yuan, +22.58%), e-commerce (239 million yuan, +10.75%), and others (81 million yuan, +65.45%) [5] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 35.46% and 16.67%, respectively, showing slight declines year-on-year [6] - The decline in profitability is attributed to rising raw material costs, increased expenses for overseas markets and brand investments, and tax base differences in Q4 2024 [6][8] Future Outlook - The company plans to expand into Southeast Asian markets such as Indonesia and Malaysia in 2025, focusing on local product design and trademark applications [7] - The strategy includes deepening cooperation with major retail channels and enhancing e-commerce partnerships to drive growth [8] - Profitability is expected to recover as raw material costs stabilize and scale effects are realized [8] Earnings Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are adjusted to 2.677 billion yuan and 3.102 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.61% and 15.86% [9] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are adjusted to 401.99 million yuan and 495.83 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 6.86% and 23.34% [9] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are 4.31 yuan and 5.32 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17 and 14 [9]
普莱柯:业绩见底,25年Q1大幅增长-20250428
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 06:23
证券研究报告:农林牧渔 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 增持|维持 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 13.70 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)3.46 / 3.46 | | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)47 / 47 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 24.10 / 10.95 | | 资产负债率(%) | 15.2% | | 市盈率 | 50.74 | | 第一大股东 | 张许科 | 研究所 分析师:王琦 SAC 登记编号:S1340522100001 Email:wangqi2022@cnpsec.com 普莱柯(603566) 业绩见底,25 年 Q1 大幅增长 ⚫ 事件: 事件:1)公司发布 2024 年年报,全年实现营业收入 10.43 亿元, 同比下降 16.77%,归母净利润 0.93 亿元,同比下降 46.82%。猪苗竞 争加大及管理费用增加,公司 24 年业绩下降。2)同时公司发布 2025 年一季报,实现营业收入 2.79 亿元,同比增长 18.32%,归母净利为 0.53 亿元,同比增长 93.75%。禽苗和化药 ...
佳电股份:电机业务略有承压,核电业务同比高增-20250428
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 05:23
证券研究报告:电力设备 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 10.64 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)6.95 | / 5.87 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)74 | / 62 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 14.12 / 8.80 | | 资产负债率(%) | 63.1% | | 市盈率 | 24.74 | | 第一大股东 | 哈尔滨电气集团有限公 | | 司 | | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 佳电股份(000922) 电机业务略有承压,核电业务同比高增 l 投资要点 事件:公司披露 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 2024 年,公司实现营收 48.99 亿元,同比-7.92%;实现归母净利 润 2.56 亿元,同比-35.78%;实现扣非归母净利润 2.27 亿元,同比- 28.68 ...
五粮液:增长韧性强劲,25年营收目标预计5%左右-20250428
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 05:23
证券研究报告:食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 五粮液(000858) 增长韧性强劲,25 年营收目标预计 5%左右 l 投资要点 公司 2024 年实现营业总收入/营业收入/归母净利润/扣非净利 润 891.75/891.75/318.53/317.42 亿 元 , 同 比 7.09%/7.09%/5.44%/5.40%。2024 年,公司毛利率/归母净利率为 77.05%/35.72%,分别同比 1.26/-0.56pct;税金/销售/管理/研发/财 务费用率分别为 14.62%/11.99%/3.99%/0.45%/-3.18%,分别同比- 0.43/2.63/0/0.07/-0.21pct。全年实现销售收现 1018.69 亿元,同 比-3.3%;经现净额 339.4 亿元,同比-18.69%;年末合同负债 116.9 亿元,同比增加 48.25 亿元,环比增加 46.18 亿元(去年同口径环比 增加 29.16 亿元)。2024 年总计现金分红 223 亿元,分红率 70%。24 年公司净利率微降,主因销售费用率提升,24 年公司销售费用中形象 宣传费、促销费 ...
普莱柯(603566):业绩见底,25年Q1大幅增长
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 05:23
证券研究报告:农林牧渔 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 增持|维持 ⚫ 事件: 事件:1)公司发布 2024 年年报,全年实现营业收入 10.43 亿元, 同比下降 16.77%,归母净利润 0.93 亿元,同比下降 46.82%。猪苗竞 争加大及管理费用增加,公司 24 年业绩下降。2)同时公司发布 2025 年一季报,实现营业收入 2.79 亿元,同比增长 18.32%,归母净利为 0.53 亿元,同比增长 93.75%。禽苗和化药增长助力公司业绩企稳。 ⚫ 猪苗承压,禽苗及化药增长 个股表现 -35% -28% -21% -14% -7% 0% 7% 14% 21% 28% 35% 2024-04 2024-07 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-04 普莱柯 农林牧渔 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 13.70 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)3.46 / 3.46 | | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)47 / 47 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 24.10 / 10.95 | | 资产负债率(%) ...
高频数据跟踪:基建施工提速,焦炉、高炉、沥青开工率上行
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 05:06
证券研究报告:固定收益报告 发布时间:2025-04-28 研究所 生产:焦炉、高炉、沥青开工率升高,化工、轮胎下降 4 月 25 日当周,焦炉产能利用率升高 1.86 pct,高炉开工率升 高 0.77 pct,螺纹钢产量减少 0.11 万吨,沥青开工率升高 2.0 pct; 受检修季影响,PX 开工率下降 0.37 pct,PTA 下降 3.48 pct;汽车 全钢胎、半钢胎开工率分别下降 2.97 pct、0.33 pct。 需求:商品房成交持续回落,BDI 指数企稳回升 4 月 27 日当周,商品房成交面积持续回落;航运指数 SCFI 下降 1.66%,CCFI 上涨 1.03%,BDI 上涨 8.88%。4 月 20 日当周,商品房存 销比升高,土地成交面积连续两周下降,住宅用地成交溢价率下降; 电影票房较前一周下降 0.2 亿元;汽车厂家日均零售增加 10818 辆, 日均批发增加 7309 辆。 物价:原油、猪肉价格下降,有色、黑色系商品上涨 分析师:梁伟超 SAC 登记编号:S1340523070001 Email:liangweichao@cnpsec.com 分析师:崔超 SAC 登记编号 ...
佳电股份(000922):电机业务略有承压,核电业务同比高增
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 04:41
证券研究报告:电力设备 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 10.64 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)6.95 | / 5.87 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)74 | / 62 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 14.12 / 8.80 | | 资产负债率(%) | 63.1% | | 市盈率 | 24.74 | | 第一大股东 | 哈尔滨电气集团有限公 | | 司 | | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 公司电机主业 2024 年受行业影响略有承压。2024 年,公司电机 业务收入39.01亿元,同比-13.77%,毛利率17.94%,同比-6.11pcts, 2024 年中小型电机行业企业面临需求与订单不足,材料价格波动且 高位运行、产品销售价格不涨与下降等困难,行业企业竞争加剧。 核电业务 2024 ...
五粮液(000858):增长韧性强劲,25年营收目标预计5%左右
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 03:37
证券研究报告:食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 l 投资要点 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 五粮液(000858) 增长韧性强劲,25 年营收目标预计 5%左右 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 129.05 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)38.82 | / 38.81 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)5,009 | / 5,009 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 164.05 / 107.69 | | 资产负债率(%) | 27.5% | | 市盈率 | 15.73 | | 第一大股东 | 宜宾发展控股集团有限 | | 公司 | | 研究所 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司 2024 年实现营业总收入/营业收入/归母净利润/扣非净利 润 891.75/891.75/318.53/317.42 亿 元 , 同 比 7.09%/7.09%/5.44%/5. ...
若羽臣:自有品牌高增,利润率优化-20250428
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 03:23
证券研究报告:商贸零售 | 公司点评报告 发布时间:2025-04-28 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 49.91 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)1.64 | / 1.21 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)82 | / 60 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 51.40 / 10.07 | | 资产负债率(%) | 28.8% | | 市盈率 | 76.78 | | 第一大股东 | 王玉 | 研究所 分析师:李媛媛 SAC 登记编号:S1340523020001 Email:liyuanyuan@cnpsec.com 若羽臣(003010) 自有品牌高增,利润率优化 l 事件回顾 公司公布 2024 年年报及 25 年一季报,24 年公司营收/归母净利 润分别为 17.7/1.06 亿元,同比+29%/+95%;其中 24Q4 营收/归母净 利润为 6.1/0.48 亿元,同比+14%/+133%。25Q1 公司营收/归母净利 润分别 5.7/0.27 亿元,同比+54%/+114%。24 年拟每 10 股分红 5 元, ...