[Table_ReportInfo] 2024 年 11 月 09 日 证券研究报告•宏观简评报告 数据点评 低于预期的通胀，静待增量政策起效 ——2024 年 10 月通胀数据点评 | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | | | | 点评 | 西南证券研究发展中心 | | [Table_Summary] CPI 同比再度走低，食品价格拖累是主因。同比来看， 2024 年 1 ...

ooo[Table_ReportInfo] 2024 年 11 月 08 日 证券研究报告•宏观定期报告 宏观周报（11.4-11.8） 财政政策持续加力，美国大选靴子落地 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.982 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 76.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 427 million yuan, up 171.48% year-on-year. In Q3 2024 alone, the revenue was 2.606 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 77.05%, and a net profit of 196 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 230.39% year-on-year [1]. - The strong performance is attributed to the robust demand for photovoltaic power station installations both domestically and internationally, which has significantly boosted the company's overseas business. The company has a global marketing service network and supply chain delivery system, enhancing its revenue [1]. - The gross profit margin improved by 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin increased by 2.45 percentage points to 7.80% in Q3 2024. The company also reported a significant improvement in cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 417 million yuan [1]. - The company has a strong order backlog, with new signed orders for photovoltaic brackets totaling approximately 7 GW, valued at nearly 2.5 billion yuan. The total order backlog stands at approximately 5.99 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential [1]. - The company has received approval from the CSRC for a non-public offering to raise up to 1.1 billion yuan, aimed at enhancing its competitiveness in the photovoltaic bracket business [1]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 9.83 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 53.83%, and a net profit of 700.90 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 103.14% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 3.46 yuan in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 23 [2]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 20.45% in 2024, indicating strong profitability [2].

[Table_ReportInfo] 2024 年 11 月 07 日 证券研究报告•宏观简评报告 数据点评 出口超预期增长，积压订单加快释放 ——2024 年 10 月贸易数据点评 | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 11 月 06 日 证券研究报告•2024 三季报点评 持有 （维持） 当前价：8.11 元 恒顺醋业（600305）食品饮料 目标价：——元（6 个月） Q3 收入小幅改善，盈利能力持续提升 [Table_Summary 事件：公司发布] 2024年三季报，前三季度实现收入 15.3亿元，同比-6.5%，实 现归母净利润 1.2亿元，同比 13.1%；其中 24Q3实现收入 5.3亿元，同比+5.6%， 实现归母净利润 0.26 亿元，同比+80%。 酱类产品增长良好，食醋和酒类产品维持平稳。分产品看，前三季度醋类/酒类/ 酱类产品分别实现收入 9.8/2.6/1.4亿元，同比分别-5.2%/+2.2%/-10.1%；其中 24Q3 醋类/酒类/酱类产品增速分别为-0.3%/+0.2%/+26.1%。主业食醋 Q3收入 增速环比略有下滑，主要系市场竞争加剧所致；酱类产品在低基数下维持较快 增速。分区域看，单三季度华东/华中/华南/西部/华北地区收入分别同比 +10.2%/+14.8%/+2.2%/-17%/-24.5%；而具体到战区层面，则 Q3单季度北 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.88 RMB for the next 6 months [1] Core Views - The company's performance is temporarily under pressure due to weak terminal demand, but it is expected to improve with the support of national subsidies [1] - The company's profitability remains stable, with a net profit margin of 12% in the first three quarters of 2024, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company's whole-home channel has shown rapid growth, with a 26.34% year-on-year increase in revenue, driven by deep cooperation with leading decoration companies [1] - The company is actively responding to national policies, such as the "replacement of old with new" initiative, which is expected to boost demand in the fourth quarter of 2024 and beyond [1] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 7.66 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 920 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2% [1] - In Q3 2024, the company's revenue was 2.73 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 21.1%, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 360 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 21.2% [1] - The company's gross profit margin in the first three quarters of 2024 was 35.8%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting the continuous improvement in quality and efficiency [1] Business Segments - The Sofa brand generated revenue of 6.89 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 6.84%, with an average customer unit price of 23,679 RMB per order [1] - The Milan brand achieved revenue of 367 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.87%, with an average customer unit price of 14,731 RMB per order, up 448 RMB compared to the first half of 2024 [1] - The company's whole-home channel revenue increased by 26.34% year-on-year, with 277 cooperative decoration companies covering 196 cities and regions nationwide [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 1.30 RMB, 1.43 RMB, and 1.56 RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15x, 13x, and 12x [1] - The company's ROE for 2024-2026 is expected to be 15.47%, 14.95%, and 14.37%, respectively [2] - The company's target price is set at 22.88 RMB, based on a 16x P/E ratio for 2025, considering the successful development of its whole-home business and the optimization of its brand matrix [6] Industry Comparison - The average P/E ratio for comparable companies in the furniture industry is 13.92x for 2025 [6] - The company's P/E ratio for 2025 is 13x, slightly lower than the industry average, reflecting its strong position in the market and the potential for growth driven by national policies [6]

2024 年 11 月 07 日 证券研究报告•金融工程动态报告 大类资产配置观点（2024 年 11 月） 大类资产配置月观点 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2024, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 33.5% and a net profit increase of 37.7% [1][3]. - The company's creative design capabilities have been internationally recognized, winning multiple awards at the 2024 Pentawards, enhancing its brand value and competitive advantage in high-end packaging design [2]. - The company has optimized its expense structure, with a decrease in the expense ratio by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating efficient cost management [3]. - The company has a strong order backlog, with contract liabilities increasing by 43.5% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting robust customer demand [3]. - The completion of the main construction of the smart manufacturing project is expected to significantly enhance production capacity and efficiency, supporting future revenue growth [3]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 450 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, and a net profit of 38.79 million yuan, up 29.5% year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 50.3 million yuan, 66.2 million yuan, and 87.0 million yuan respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.6% [4]. - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 35 in 2024 to 20 in 2026, indicating potential for valuation improvement [4][5].

[Table_ReportInfo] 2024 年 11 月 07 日 证券研究报告•市场投资策略 西南总量研究 美国大选解读 西南观点 西南证券研究发展中心 [Table_Summary] 1. 宏观：美国大选进展解读，如何看待后续政策走势？ 当地时间 11 月 6 日，根据《国会山报》、美国福克斯新闻等多家美国媒体最新公 布的测算，美国共和党总统候选人特朗普将收获超半数的选举人票，预计将锁定 本次美国总统选举胜局。当日凌晨，特朗普在佛罗里达州发表讲话，宣布在 2024 年总统选举中获胜。 1）美国的总统选举是通过"选举人团"制度间接选出总统，每个州根据人口比例 配有一定数量的选举人票，总数为 538张，候选人需要至少获得 270张选举人票 才能赢得总统选举。另外，美国实行的是"赢者通吃"制度，在绝大多数州获胜 的候选人可以获得该州全部的选举人票。截至当日北京时间晚上 7 点，特朗普获 得 277票，哈里斯获得 226票，特朗普当选几乎没有悬念。此次大选除了确立了 特朗普夺得美国总统之位外，还决定了参众两院的掌控权。美国政策的推出通常 是先由众议员提出议案，然后交由众议院和参议院审议，最后由总统签署。因此 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating to the company [1][10]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight revenue increase of 0.47% year-on-year, reaching 4.178 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, but faced a significant decline in net profit, down 79.39% to 82 million yuan [1][2]. - In Q3 2024, revenue rose by 2.93% year-on-year to 1.699 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 85.16% to 19 million yuan, indicating challenges in profitability despite stable revenue growth [2][3]. - The company is increasing its R&D investment, which rose by 10.04% year-on-year to 93 million yuan, representing a R&D expense ratio of 2.23% [2][3]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings in the pet health market, which is expected to be a new growth point [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.178 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.47%, and a net profit of 82 million yuan, a decrease of 79.39% [1]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.699 billion yuan, up 2.93% year-on-year, and a net profit of 19 million yuan, down 85.16% [2]. R&D and Growth Potential - The company is committed to R&D, with expenses increasing to 93 million yuan, which is expected to enhance product quality and competitiveness in the long term [2][3]. - The approval of a new cat vaccine and advancements in African swine fever vaccine development are notable achievements that may support future growth [2][3]. Market Outlook - The demand for animal health products is anticipated to grow due to increasing awareness of animal health among farming enterprises [3]. - The company is positioning itself in the pet market, which is expected to provide significant growth opportunities [3]. Earnings Forecast - The projected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is 0.14, 0.37, and 0.52 yuan, respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 50, 19, and 13 [3][4].