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彭博:由于北京暂缓实施重大刺激措施,中国股市涨势降温
彭博行业研究· 2024-10-08 05:06
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records discuss the Chinese stock market and its recent performance, particularly focusing on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, as well as the Hong Kong stock market [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Market Performance**: The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 6.1% in early trading, with an initial increase of nearly 11%. However, the market's upward momentum has cooled due to skepticism about the government's commitment to further stimulus measures [1]. - **Stimulus Measures**: The National Development and Reform Commission did not announce significant stimulus measures during a recent press conference, leading to doubts among traders about the sustainability of the stock market rally [1]. - **Investor Sentiment**: Many strategists and fund managers are cautious about the recent rebound in the Chinese stock market, expressing a desire for concrete actions from the government to support the market. Concerns have been raised about overvaluation in many stocks [1]. - **Trading Volume Surge**: On a recent Tuesday, trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets surged to 2.46 trillion yuan (approximately 348 billion USD), nearing the record of 2.59 trillion yuan set on September 30 [1][2]. - **Technological Issues**: Several brokerage trading applications experienced temporary freezes due to the surge in trading volume, indicating the high demand for trading services during this busy period [2]. - **Government Spending Plans**: Officials from the National Development and Reform Commission indicated plans to accelerate spending and increase investment, particularly targeting low-income groups and recent graduates. They also plan to issue long-term sovereign bonds to support major projects [3]. - **Economic Growth Target**: The Chinese government aims for a 5% economic growth rate this year, but recent economic data suggests that achieving this target may be challenging due to weak consumer spending and a sluggish real estate market [3]. - **Historical Context**: The Chinese stock market has experienced multiple cycles of boom and bust. A significant stimulus plan initiated in late 2014 led to a dramatic market rebound, but a subsequent crash occurred in mid-2015, highlighting the volatility of the market [3]. Other Important Content - **Market Transition**: There is a noted shift in market focus from Hong Kong to the onshore market, with the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index experiencing a significant decline after a month of strong performance [2]. - **Need for Reforms**: Analysts emphasize the necessity for fiscal reforms and substantial economic changes to ensure long-term stability and growth in the Chinese economy [3].
彭博:中国股票自2008年以来涨幅最大&日本自民党选石破茂为首相_
彭博行业研究· 2024-09-29 16:04
Good morning from London. I'm Anna Edwards alongside Guy Johnson. We're an hour away from the opening trade. Here's what you need to know. Risk on. Chinese stocks are set for their best week since 2008, fueled by Beijing's raft of stimulus measures. In the United States, the S&P 500 hits its 42nd record close of the year. Inflation signals. We get USPCE and early inflation clues for Europe today. What they could mean for the next central bank decisions. And runoff in Japan. The country's ruling Liberal Demo ...
彭博:All in! Buy China!
彭博行业研究· 2024-09-29 16:04
What a week for China, right? There is a saying on Chinese social media now, it used to be ABC, buy anything but China, but now it's ABC, all in, buy China. And that's certainly the market sentiment that is coming through today. If you look at the billionaire investor David Tepper, that's one of the most read stories on the terminal today. He's saying he's buying everything related to China. And also, CSI 300 set for the biggest weekly gain in 16 years. We just spoke to Winnie Wu from B of A. She was saying ...
可转债恐成雷区-彭博
彭博行业研究· 2024-08-21 06:28
退市违约接二连三曾是「绿洲」的中国可转债市场恐成「雷 区」 可转债,因兼具债券和股票的属性,收益有保底并有机会随 股价上升而增厚,在中国市场曾被视为攻守兼备的投资品 种。 今年5月,在广州工作的Jimmy Yang投资上百万元人民币购 买了一只广汇汽车发行的可转债,但到7月中旬他的本金已 遭腰斩,且这只名为「广汇转债」的券随后因正股触及面值 退市指标而停牌,并最终和正股双双被终止上市。 「当时因为(债券)是AA+的评级自我安慰,不然就割肉 了,」Jimmy Yang说。广汇转债的退市正值中国对小微盘 股监管趋严的时期,规模逾8000亿元的中国境内可转债市 场多只债券受此影响出现剧烈波动,可转债指数在过去一年 已下跌约9%,Jimmy也是众多遭受转债退市或违约冲击的 投资者中的一员。 中国境内可转债市场一度受到「固收+」基金经理和大量个 人投资者的青睐,但随着境内第一例可转债违约在今年发生 以来,市场的风险偏好明显下降。由于股票市场监管趋严, 发行方是小微企业的可转债尤其动荡。一方面,转股以博取 高收益的可能性因正股价格走低而下降;另一方面,其债券 保底的属性也受到违约的威胁。这个曾经的「绿洲」恐成中 国股债市 ...
彭博:在巴菲特大幅减持股份后,苹果投资者敦促他们保持冷静-
彭博行业研究· 2024-08-05 04:29
对一些人来说,伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。苹果公司(Apple Inc.) 的股份被缩减可能被解读为对这家 iPhone 制造商的增长故事缺 乏信心。但华尔街的许多人敦促投资者不要理会新闻,保持冷静。 这家由沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)领导的企业集团周六透露, 它在第二季度出售了这家科技巨头近一半的股份。其持股目前约 为 840 亿美元,低于 3 月底的约 1400 亿美元。这次抛售发生在 股市的剧烈上涨期间,苹果股价上涨了 23%,并将标准普尔 500 指数从一个纪录推到了另一个纪录。 自 2016 年沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)首次披露其在苹果公 司的股份以来,其股价飙升了近 900%,因为该公司巩固了对该 行业的控制,在此过程中为伯克希尔带来了价值数十亿美元的未 实现利润。 就在伯克希尔公布投资组合的几天前,苹果发布了自己的季度业 绩,该业绩显示收入恢复增长,并暗示新的人工智能功能将在未 来几个季度推动 iPhone 的销售。财报发布后,苹果股价保持稳 定,尽管出现了更广泛的抛售,但最终在本周收盘走高。 "巴菲特减持苹果股份仅仅是为了风险管理,"Integrity Asset M ...
共和党大会的五个关键点
彭博行业研究· 2024-07-20 15:35
Politics 政治 | Elections 选举 人。以下是周三事件中需要了解的五件关键事情: Speakers also included Peter Navarro, the former Trump trade adviser released from prison just hours earlier after serving time for contempt of Congress, a reminder of the legal issues still shadowing Trump. 发言者还包括前特朗普贸易顾问彼得·纳瓦罗(Peter Navarro),他在因藐视国会而服刑数小时后从监狱获释,这 提醒人们法律问题仍然笼罩着特朗普。 有关共和党全国代表大会 - 7 月 17 日的更多信息,请单击此处 查看我们的 TOPLive 博客。 Former US President Donald Trump at the Republican National Convention (RNC) at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, US, ...
旧文重温为何芯片如此重要
彭博行业研究· 2024-07-20 15:35
Technology 科技 | Quicktake 快速拍摄 Why Making Computer Chips Has Become Such a Big Deal 为什么制造计算机芯片变得如此重要 Tap to unmute How America Dropped the Ball on Key Chip Technology 美国如何在关键芯片技术上丢球 By Ian King and Debby Wu 作者:伊恩·金(Ian King)和黛比·吴(Debby Wu) 2024年5月15日 at GMT+8 19:04 2024年5月15日 在 GMT+8 19:04 Updated on 2024年7月17日 at GMT+8 23:38 更新于 2024年7月17日 at GMT+8 23:38 Computer chips are the engine room of the digital economy, and their growing capabilities are enabling technologies such as generative artificial intellig ...
五件事20240711
彭博行业研究· 2024-07-11 01:58
Financial Data and Key Metrics - The S&P 500 topped 5,600 for the first time, climbing 1% and marking its 37th record this year [44] - US Treasuries remained stable after a strong $39 billion sale of 10-year bonds [44] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy costs, is expected to rise 0.2% for a second month in June, marking the smallest back-to-back gains since August [38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - Apple aims to ship at least 90 million iPhone 16 devices in the latter half of this year, targeting about 10% growth in shipments of new iPhones [22] - Apple is confident that the addition of Apple Intelligence features with the iPhone 16 will help boost demand when the model goes on sale late this year [22] Market Data and Key Metrics - China's Securities Regulatory Commission is tightening rules on short selling and high-frequency trades to crack down on improper arbitrage and maintain market stability [6] - The mainland stock exchanges will boost margin requirements in short selling starting July 22, and China Securities Finance Corp will suspend its business of lending securities to brokerages starting July 11 [6][7] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - Apple is competing with other AI-enhanced smartphones from rivals like Samsung and Xiaomi, particularly in China where Huawei's Mate 60 Pro won over local consumers with its advanced, made-in-China 7-nanometer processor [22][48] - Alphabet has shelved efforts to acquire HubSpot, which would have ranked among the biggest takeovers of the year, helping Alphabet compete with other players like Microsoft, Oracle, and Salesforce [20][46] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that he doesn't need inflation below 2% before cutting rates and added that the labor market has cooled "pretty significantly" [44] - Swaps are pricing in two rate cuts in 2024, with higher chances of the first cut coming in September [44] Other Important Information - The Bank of Korea is poised to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.5%, while Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to hold its overnight policy rate at 3.00% [25][26] - The US commercial real estate market's downturn has starkly negative implications for private equity, which relies heavily on debt to hit return benchmarks [14] Summary of Q&A Session - No specific Q&A session details were provided in the content
对冲基金大量做空英伟达
彭博行业研究· 2024-07-08 02:16
Hedge funds piled into short bets against Tesla Inc. right before the electric vehicle maker unveiled a set of numbers that triggered a hefty share-price rally.在电动 汽车制造商特斯拉公布一系列引发股价大幅上涨的数据之 前,对冲基金纷纷做空特斯拉。 Those contrarian bets now threaten to saddle the hedge funds behind them with losses. Tesla's latest vehiclesales results, published on July 2, revealed secondquarter deliveries figures that beat average analyst estimates, even though sales were down. Investors pounced on the news, driving the company's sh ...
五件事20240703
彭博行业研究· 2024-07-03 01:51
5 Things You Need to Know to Start Your Good morning. Hindenburg made a tiny profit from Adani rout. Modi to cozy up to Putin with Russia visit. ChinaTaiwan tensions ratchet up a notch. Here's what's moving markets — Sebastian Boyd早上好。兴登堡从阿达尼的溃败 中获得了微薄的利润。莫迪与普京的俄罗斯之行相处融洽。 中国与台湾的紧张关系上升了一个档次。以下是推动市场发 展的因素——塞巴斯蒂安·博伊德(Sebastian Boyd) Hindenburg Research made tiny gains of just over $4 million after the short-selling report that triggered a $153 billion rout in Adani Group assets. That figure, which hasn't been ...