行业周报 · 通信行业 两会召开在即，科技创新将成为关注重点 眽眻眽睁 年 眾 月 眼 日 光通信相关标的：中际旭创（眾眻眻眾眻睃）， 新易盛（眾眻眻着眻眽）等；IDC 相关标 的：光环新网（眾眻眻眾睃眾）等；光纤光缆龙头：长飞光纤（睁眻眼睃睁睄），亨通光电 （睁眻眻眿睃睂），中天科技（睁眻眻着眽眽）等；量子通信：国盾量子（睁睃睃眻眽睂）等； 运营商相关标的：中国移动（A+H），中国电信（A+H），中国联通（A+H） 等；卫星互联网相关标的：通宇通讯（眻眻眽睂睄眽），普天科技（眻眻眽着眿眿）等。 风险提示：AIGC 应用推广不及预期的风险；国内外政策和技术摩擦的不确定 性风险；着G 规模化商用推进不及预期的风险等。 通信行业 | | | 分析师 赵良毕 ：眻眼眻-睃眻睄眽-睂睁眼睄 ：zhaoliangbi_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S眻眼眾眻着眽眽眻眾眻眻眻眾 研究助理：刘璐 ：yj.liulu@chinastock.com.cn 相对沪深 眾眻眻 表现图 眽眻眽睁-眻眽-眽睃 资料来源：Wind，中国银河证券研究院 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 2025/2/ ...

何飚在运营商行业的地位及知名度就不必说了，担任过中国联通、中国移动两大运营商集团高管，各方 面的能力都是首屈一指，业界的人对他赞誉一片，贡献巨大。 早年他操盘中国联通收入最大规模省公司广东联通，业绩非常好，一手带领公司发展迈上了新台阶。 运营商财经网 朱欣雨/文 知情人士向运营商财经网透露，中国移动核心领导班子再次出现变动，集团总经理何飚不再任职，被调 走另有重用了，出任国家广电总局副局长！ 后来，他分管市场口，将中国联通市场条线业务打理得有声有色。在他的管理下，中国联通那几年业务 发展得很好，尤其是南方各省公司得宽带业务迅速崛起。 在中国移动任职期间，正值移动加速从"通信运营商"向"科技服务企业"转型的重要阶段，对集团数字化 转型和创新发展贡献颇多。 现如今，他被调走到广电总局担任副局长，这样的领导无论到哪里任职都能干得出色！ （责任编辑：朱欣雨） 出任中国联通集团副总经理的四年间，他先分管技术口，负责中国联通数字化、信息化等核心工作，大 力优化算力基础设施布局，提出"顶层规划解决方案""8+1"方案，在工业互联网、智慧城市等重点领域 发力，还高度重视6G发展，可以说是中国联通数字化转型的关键推动者。 ...

Group 1 - The oil and petrochemical sectors are leading the market, with Hong Kong's central enterprise dividend assets gaining attention due to rising regional tensions and resource competition [1] - Guojin Securities indicates that resource-related dividends will benefit from both overseas power shortages and the synchronization of global manufacturing investment and interest rate cuts [1] - The recovery of gold suggests that the impact of the "WASH" shock is subsiding, but the rebound of the US dollar may continue, potentially suppressing liquidity in the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - As of February 4, 2026, the Hang Seng Central Enterprise ETF (513170) rose by 1.20%, with the latest price at 1.6 yuan [2] - The Hang Seng Central Enterprise ETF closely tracks the Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Index, which reflects the overall performance of Hong Kong-listed companies with mainland central enterprises as the largest shareholders [2] - The Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Index has a balanced industry distribution, with nearly 40% in finance, around 20% in energy (including the "three barrels of oil" and coal), and about 10% in operators [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Index account for 65.99%, with major companies including China National Offshore Oil, SMIC, and major banks [2]

Group 1 - The 2026 China Finance TMT "Leading List" ceremony was held on January 29, organized by a well-known financial media operator [1] - China Mobile Shanghai's "Smart Guardian: Warm Elderly Care" comprehensive solution won the "2025 Annual Operator 'Elderly Care Service' Excellent Solution" award [1] - The evaluation process was fair, open, and competitive, involving major domestic telecom operators and numerous well-known enterprises [1]

Core Insights - The 2026 China Finance TMT "Leading List" ceremony was successfully held on January 29, showcasing various sectors including telecommunications, finance, automotive, real estate, digital devices, internet, home appliances, home furnishings, pharmaceuticals, liquor, and food [1] - China Telecom Jiangsu Branch won the "2025 Annual Excellent News and Brand Communication Power" award, highlighting its competitive edge in the telecommunications sector [1]

Group 1 - The 2026 China Finance TMT "Leading List" ceremony was held on January 29, attracting significant attention and participation from various industry stakeholders, including operators, financial institutions, and research institutes [1] - The event announced the annual award winners across multiple sectors such as telecommunications, finance, automotive, real estate, digital devices, internet, home appliances, home furnishings, pharmaceuticals, liquor, and food, recognizing outstanding companies and products that contribute to industry development [1] - China Mobile's Cloud Capability Center won the "2025 Annual Artificial Intelligence Innovative Excellence Solution" award for its integrated solution of pan-internet cloud computing and networking, standing out among fierce competition [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current market is characterized by a "summer" phase of a bull market, with active trading, accelerated sector rotation, and a broadening profit effect, but without signs of full-blown bubble or extreme sentiment, indicating that both time and space have not yet peaked [2][5]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Compared to major global markets, the recent rise in the Chinese stock market is more of a "catch-up" rather than a "bubble," with the A-share market still undervalued despite a significant rebound in 2025 [4][6]. - As of the third quarter of 2025, the dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of the CSI 300 index is approximately 14 times, significantly lower than the S&P 500 (about 29 times) and the Nasdaq (about 42 times), indicating a relative undervaluation [6]. - The foundation of the bull market in China is solid, supported by the unshakeable advantage of the manufacturing sector, underestimated technological strength, cautious global corporate capital expenditure, and supportive policies [7]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The company identifies five key "hard asset" investment directions: "Technology Innovation+", pharmaceutical and biotechnology, supply-side reversal of resource products, gold, and high-dividend assets [8][9]. - In the "Technology Innovation+" sector, internet platform companies are experiencing a valuation recovery post-antitrust adjustments, with strong cash flows and enhanced dividends, while AI-enabled new businesses are emerging [9][10]. - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector is entering a harvest phase, with innovative drug development yielding global licensing opportunities, and the industry is at a historical low in valuation after four years of deep adjustment [10]. - The supply-side reversal of resource products is driven by a significant lack of capital expenditure over the past five years, coupled with rigid demand growth in new energy, military, and AI hardware, leading to a supply gap for key metals [10]. - Gold assets are gaining value as a non-credit asset amid global de-dollarization and ongoing geopolitical conflicts, with potential support for gold prices if the Federal Reserve continues to lower interest rates [10]. - High-dividend assets, such as those in the power, telecommunications, and banking sectors, provide stable cash flows in a declining interest rate environment, serving as a ballast in investment portfolios, especially during periods of increased volatility [10].

Core Insights - The telecommunications industry appears to be thriving on the surface, but there is a hidden issue where many frontline employees resort to spending their own money to "buy data" in order to meet unrealistic KPIs [1][2] Group 1: Employee Practices - Employees face strict performance evaluations with increasing targets, including new user acquisition and service upgrades, which are difficult to achieve in a saturated market [1] - To meet these targets, employees often end up spending thousands of yuan out of pocket, effectively "paying to work" [1] Group 2: Market Implications - The practice of data falsification undermines fair competition, creating a vicious cycle where diligent employees are penalized while those who manipulate data gain short-term benefits [2] - This behavior can lead to misleading marketing practices, such as inducing sign-ups and concealing terms, which harms consumer rights and erodes trust in the telecommunications sector [2] - If this formalism persists, both the telecommunications companies and the market will ultimately bear the consequences, although the three major operators are beginning to address this issue [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the investment strategies for the year 2026, focusing on opportunities identified by top fund companies and managers in the market [1][124]. Group 1: Market Sentiment Indicator - The "Congestion Degree" is a unique indicator developed by the company to reflect trading sentiment in popular sectors, combining four dimensions: volume, price, funds, and analyst forecasts [3][126]. - This indicator quantitatively tracks changes in market sentiment and has strong implications for short-term stock price movements [3][126]. Group 2: TMT Sector Insights - The congestion levels for various TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications) segments are as follows: - Optical modules: congestion level is moderately low [10][131]. - Servers: congestion level is moderately high [8][133]. - Base stations: congestion level is moderate [10][135]. - Optical fiber and cables: congestion level is moderately high [10][136]. - IDC (Internet Data Center): congestion level is moderately high [10][136]. - Computer equipment: congestion level is high [10][139]. - Optical components: congestion level is high [10][140]. - RF components: congestion level is high [10][145]. - PCB (Printed Circuit Board): congestion level is moderate [10][146]. - IT services: congestion level is moderately high [10][147]. - Semiconductor materials: congestion level is high [10][157]. - Consumer electronics: congestion level is moderately low [10][172]. Group 3: Manufacturing Sector Insights - The congestion levels for various manufacturing segments are as follows: - Automotive parts: congestion level is high [10][181]. - Lithium batteries: congestion level is moderate [10][184]. - Wind power: congestion level is moderately low [10][187]. - Photovoltaic components: congestion level is high [10][197]. - Industrial robots: congestion level is high [10][199]. - Unmanned aerial vehicles: congestion level is high [10][200]. Group 4: Consumer and Pharmaceutical Sector Insights - The congestion levels for various consumer and pharmaceutical segments are as follows: - White goods: congestion level is low [10][207]. - Alcoholic beverages: congestion level is moderately low [10][209]. - Medical services: congestion level is moderately high [10][222]. Group 5: Financial and Real Estate Sector Insights - The congestion levels for various financial and real estate segments are as follows: - Real estate: congestion level is moderate [10][225]. - Insurance: congestion level is high [10][225]. - Banking: congestion level is low [10][226].

Core Viewpoint - The year-end bonuses for telecom operators are expected to decrease, but the situation is not as dire as rumored, with overall bonus pools still substantial despite slower profit growth [1][3] Group 1: Industry Performance - The telecom industry is experiencing a slowdown, with profit growth for the three major operators expected to drop to around 5% by the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The saturation of 5G users and continuous reductions in data service fees have contributed to the lack of growth in traditional business areas [1] Group 2: Bonus Distribution Changes - Bonuses are being allocated differently, with a focus on new business areas such as AI, cloud computing, and quantum communication, where high-performing employees may receive bonuses exceeding 50,000 [3] - Employees in traditional business departments, frontline positions, and less profitable regions may see a reduction in their bonuses, with some experiencing significant declines [3] Group 3: Compensation Reform - The compensation system for state-owned enterprises has shifted to emphasize "total wage management," meaning that slower profit growth limits the overall wage pool [3] - Bonus distribution is now strictly based on performance, job value, and regional profitability, leading to significant disparities in bonuses among employees in the same company [3]