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中国旭阳集团:焦化多运营模式驱动,积极布局氢能形成新增长点
天风证券· 2024-07-12 02:02
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 4.2, based on a current price of HKD 2.98 [1][49]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to leverage its coking coal business to develop its chemical and hydrogen energy sectors, indicating a strategic focus on diversification and growth [10][41]. - The company has a strong financial performance, characterized by effective cost control and stable cash flow management, which enhances its investment appeal [11][30]. - The company aims to increase its annual coking capacity to 30 million tons by 2025 through various growth strategies, including investments and partnerships [14][47]. Summary by Sections 1. Coking Business and Chemical, Hydrogen Energy Development - The company operates multiple business lines, including self-built, joint ventures, and management services, which balance heavy and light asset strategies [14][30]. - The company has established a robust presence in the coking industry, with a cumulative revenue growth of 270.2% from 2016 to 2023 [14][25]. - The company has diversified its product lines in the chemical sector, achieving significant growth in revenue and profit margins [30][36]. 2. Coking Industry Positioning - The company is the largest independent coking producer globally, with a market share of 2.24% in China, which is expected to increase with new projects in Indonesia and Pingxiang [14][47]. - The company’s coking production costs are significantly lower than the industry average, contributing to its competitive advantage [25][27]. 3. Chemical Business Development - The company has developed a comprehensive chemical product line based on by-products from coking, with 55 products across various categories [30][36]. - The chemical business has shown stable growth, with a cumulative revenue increase of 254.6% from 2016 to 2023 [36][30]. 4. Hydrogen Energy Initiatives - The company is actively investing in hydrogen energy, viewing it as a key growth area and a transition path for the coking industry [41][45]. - The strategic plan for hydrogen development includes a comprehensive approach to production, storage, and distribution, aiming to establish a robust hydrogen supply network [45][39]. 5. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at HKD 11.50 billion, HKD 12.81 billion, and HKD 13.75 billion, respectively [47][49]. - The valuation is based on a PE ratio of 15 times the expected net profit for 2024, leading to a target market value of approximately HKD 172.51 billion [49][50].
中国旭阳集团(01907) - 2023 - 年度财报
2024-04-25 12:34
Company Overview - China Risun Group Limited is the world's largest independent coke producer and supplier for over a decade[11]. - The company has become the world's second-largest producer of caprolactam and the largest producer of high-purity hydrogen in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region[11]. - The company is approaching its 30th anniversary in 2025, reflecting on its core strengths and methodologies[11]. Production and Capacity - There has been a substantial increase in the annual production capacity of products, transitioning from traditional commodities to innovative and advanced products[11]. - The Group's production bases include locations in Beijing, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, Shandong, and ongoing developments in Indonesia and Jiangxi[24][27]. - The Group operates eight production bases globally, including seven in China and one in Indonesia, with plans for further expansion in Jiangxi, China[63]. - The Group aims to increase its annual production/processing volume of coke and refined chemicals according to market demand and its Five-Year Plan from 2021 to 2025[63]. - The Group's gross annual coke production capacity in Indonesia is projected to be 13.40 million tons, with an attributable capacity of 4.36 million tons per annum[63]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the total revenue of China Risun Group Limited reached RMB 46,065,896, an increase from RMB 43,139,449 in 2022, reflecting a growth of approximately 6.8%[34]. - The Group achieved a gross profit of RMB 33.2 million in 2023, compared to RMB 42.8 million in 2022, indicating a decline[23]. - The profit for the year attributable to owners of the company was RMB 860,814, a decrease from RMB 1,855,122 in 2022, representing a decline of approximately 53.6%[34]. - The basic earnings per share for 2023 was RMB 0.19, down from RMB 0.42 in 2022, showing a decrease of about 54.8%[34]. - The total dividend for the year is approximately RMB 270 million, representing at least 30% of the Group's net distributable profits of approximately RMB 861 million[22]. Market Position and Share - The market share in coke for 2023 accounted for 1.8% globally (up from 1.6% in 2022) and 2.5% of China's total output (up from 2.2% in 2022)[12]. - The market share in high purified hydrogen (by production capacity) in 2023 accounted for 8.3% in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area of China (up from 5.7% in 2022)[12]. - The Group's focus for 2024 includes expanding the market share of all key products through operational management and mergers and acquisitions[22]. Strategic Development - The strategic development signifies a transformation from a singular focus on coke to establishing refined chemicals as the second pillar business segment[11]. - The strategic shift towards diversified product offerings marks a transition from a focus solely on coke to establishing fine chemicals as a second pillar business segment[13]. - The Group plans to strengthen the production line of coke and refined chemicals while expanding into new materials and new energy, such as caprolactam (CPL) and hydrogen-based products[22]. - The Group's strategy includes a balance between mergers and acquisitions and operational management services to enhance its competitive edge[20]. Environmental and Social Responsibility - Cumulative investment in environmental protection reached approximately RMB8.9 billion as of December 31, 2023, up from RMB6.5 billion in 2022[15]. - The Group is committed to high standards of environmental and social responsibility while harmonizing business growth with national development goals[20]. - The Group's hydrogen energy segment successfully passed the "Low Carbon Hydrogen, Clean Hydrogen and Renewable Hydrogen Standards and Evaluation" certification, becoming the first domestic enterprise to obtain clean hydrogen certification for demonstration city clusters[76]. Management and Governance - Mr. Yang has been the Executive Director and CEO since November 2007, overseeing overall management and business development of the Group[38]. - The management team is committed to enhancing corporate governance and operational efficiency through experienced leadership[38][40]. - The Board of Directors consists of nine members, including six Executive Directors and three Independent Non-executive Directors[172]. Research and Development - The Group is focusing on digital transformation, intelligent manufacturing, and big data as part of its development strategy aligned with the National Five-Year Plan[84]. - Research and development expenses increased by 30%, totaling $150 million, to support new technology initiatives[51]. Customer and Supplier Relationships - The Group maintains long-term cooperative relationships with major customers, with some relationships lasting over 18 years[157]. - The principal raw material for coke production is coking coal, primarily sourced from suppliers in Shanxi and Hebei provinces[159]. - The Group procured coking coals from over 100 suppliers in the PRC and overseas during the Reporting Period, ensuring a broad base of suppliers for competitive pricing[164]. Shareholder Information - The total issued share capital of the Company as of December 31, 2023, was HK$442,412,600, divided into 4,424,126,000 shares of HK$0.1 each[165]. - The Group declared a final dividend of RMB1.20 cents per share for the year ended December 31, 2023, totaling approximately RMB53,090,000, representing no less than 30% of the profit attributable to owners of the company[168]. - The Group has not issued any debentures during the Reporting Period[165].
焦炭处于低谷,化工表现突出
安信国际证券· 2024-03-21 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 5.5 HKD, indicating an expected upside of 84% from the current price of 2.99 HKD as of March 21, 2024 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 46 billion RMB in 2023, representing a growth of 6.8%, but net profit decreased by 53% to 860 million RMB. The gross margin was 7.2%, down by 2.7 percentage points, and the net margin was 2.1%, down by 2.2 percentage points [1][5]. - The coking industry is currently in a downturn, with coking prices having peaked at the end of 2023 and subsequently declining significantly in 2024. Despite this, the company's competitive position is strengthening [1][5]. - The chemical segment performed well, with revenue increasing by 21% to 18.6 billion RMB, primarily due to the commissioning of a caprolactam production line and the consolidation of the chemical business from Xuyang Zhongran [1][5]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with new projects in Inner Mongolia and Indonesia contributing to an increase in coking output [1][5]. Financial Summary - The total market capitalization of the company is approximately 13.4 billion HKD, with a total share capital of 4.42 billion shares [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 0.26, 0.36, and 0.51 HKD respectively [1][6]. - The forecasted revenue for 2024 is 49.64 billion RMB, with a projected net profit of 960 million RMB, reflecting a recovery from the previous year's decline [6][14]. Valuation Analysis - The valuation methods employed include comparable company analysis and discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. The target price derived from these methods is 5.5 HKD, based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22x, reflecting the long-term valuation despite current industry challenges [8][11]. - The DCF analysis estimates the company's market value at approximately 25.4 billion HKD, considering a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 12% and a long-term growth rate of 2% [11][8].
焦炭稳健发展,化工扩张显著
德邦证券· 2024-03-20 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the stable development of the company's coking business despite a decline in prices, with significant expansion in the chemical sector [3][4] - The company achieved a total revenue of 46.066 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%, but net profit decreased by 53.6% to 861 million [2][3] - The chemical business revenue surpassed the coking business for the first time, indicating a core growth area for future development [3] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 180.77 billion from its coking business, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, while the gross profit decreased by 33.7% due to the downturn in the real estate market [3] - The average coking price for the year was 2201.4 yuan/ton, down 27.6% year-on-year [3] - The chemical business generated revenue of 186.81 billion, up 21.1% year-on-year, with a gross profit increase of 26.8% [3] - The company expects total revenues of 528 billion, 590 billion, and 676 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits projected at 11 billion, 12 billion, and 15 billion [4][6] Business Segment Analysis - Coking Business: Revenue for H2 2023 was 104.82 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47.5%, with a significant increase in production capacity from ongoing projects [3] - Chemical Business: The company is expanding its production capacity and has achieved cost optimization, which is expected to continue benefiting margins [3] - Hydrogen Energy: The company has become the largest hydrogen energy producer in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and is positioned to benefit from industry growth [3] Market Performance - The company's stock price has fluctuated between 3.010 and 3.740 HKD over the past 52 weeks, with a total market capitalization of 13.49358 billion HKD [5]
2023年年报点评:“双轮驱动”显成效,焦炭行业底部承压
国泰君安· 2024-03-19 16:00
Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating for the stock [2][3] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 46.065 billion in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 6.78%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 53.6% to RMB 861 million, in line with market expectations [2] - The company's "dual-drive" strategy has shown results, with chemical business revenue surpassing coke for the first time [2] - The coke business is under pressure, but the company's leading position is expected to strengthen in 2024 [2] - Overseas expansion, particularly in Indonesia, is accelerating, with three coke ovens already operational and a total planned capacity of 13.4 million tons, of which 4.36 million tons are equity capacity [2] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 was RMB 46.066 billion, up 6.8% year-on-year, with gross profit of RMB 3.325 billion and net profit of RMB 861 million [5] - Revenue for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E is projected to be RMB 52.087 billion, RMB 58.591 billion, and RMB 64.817 billion, respectively [5] - Net profit for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E is forecasted to be RMB 914 million, RMB 1.067 billion, and RMB 1.512 billion, respectively [5] Coke Business - The coke and coking products segment generated revenue of RMB 18.077 billion in 2023, up 10% year-on-year, with an average selling price of RMB 2,201 per ton, down 27.6% year-on-year [2] - Gross profit for the coke segment decreased by 33% to RMB 1.64 billion, with a gross margin decline of 6 percentage points to 9.1% [2] - The company's capacity utilization rate is close to full capacity, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market [2] Chemical Business - Chemical business revenue reached RMB 18.68 billion in 2023, up 21.1% year-on-year, surpassing coke revenue for the first time [2] - Gross margin for the chemical business increased slightly by 0.3 percentage points to 7.3% [2] Overseas Expansion - The company has accelerated its overseas expansion in Indonesia, with three coke ovens already operational and a total planned capacity of 13.4 million tons, of which 4.36 million tons are equity capacity [2] - Indonesia is expected to become a key development hub for the company, targeting markets in Southeast Asia and India [2]
中国旭阳集团(01907) - 2023 - 年度业绩
2024-03-14 14:56
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責,對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明,並 明 確 表 示 概 不 就 因 本 公 告 全 部 或 任 何 部 分 內 容 而 產 生 或 因 倚 賴 該 等 內 容 而 引 致 的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 China Risun Group Limited 中國旭陽集團有限公司 (股份代號:1907) (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 截 至2023年12月31日止年度 經審核全年業績公告 | --- | --- | |-------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | ...
中国旭阳集团(01907) - 2023 - 中期财报
2023-09-22 04:18
唱 RISUN China Risun Group Limited 中國旭陽集團有限公司 (Incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability) (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) Stock Code 股份代號 : 1907 Interim Report 中 期 報 告 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | | | | | | | | =1 n | | | | | | ñ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | CONTENTS 目錄 43 45 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------|--------------------------| | | | | Corporate Information | 公司資料 | | Financial Highlights | 財務摘要 | | Management Discussion and Analys ...
中国旭阳集团(01907) - 2023 Q2 - 业绩电话会
2023-09-07 07:30
[0 -> 12] 接下来有请中国血氧集团开始进行公司录影及投资者交流下面有请中国血氧集团的陈总为大家分享 [14 -> 31] 很高兴今天在这里和大家一起来分享就是介绍我们的公司的同时也能跟大家一起交流那首先的话就是因为毕竟是咱们那个2023年中期的业绩刚刚过然后我就先来简单的介绍一下公司上半年的这个业绩情况 [31 -> 48] 主要我们包含四个部分就包含公司概览、业绩表现、业务亮点和未来发展展望这一页是公司的一个简单的业务亮点的一个总结然后一会儿的话其实我都会介绍到这边就不再做最初了首先我们先看一下公司的基本情况 [48 -> 73] 从行业地位上来讲,我们每一年也都会根据沙利文的报告来看公司整体的行业中的一个排位还有行业地位首先我们是全球最大的独立焦炭生产商以及供应商也是全球最大的焦化粗本加工商全球第二大高温煤焦油加工商中国最大的工业耐制本班生产商 [73 -> 97] 中国最大的胶工煤气质甲醇生产商全球第二大锦内纤生产商以及京津冀最大的氢气供应商然后这个是我们的几大业务板块首先是这个胶炭板块那这个是公司的主营业务在今年上半年我们是实现了780万吨的业务量这个780万吨的业务量呢同比去年同期的话是增长 ...
中国旭阳集团(01907) - 2023 - 中期业绩
2023-08-25 14:53
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責,對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明,並 明 確 表 示 概 不 就 因 本 公 告 全 部 或 任 何 部 分 內 容 而 產 生 或 因 倚 賴 該 等 內 容 而 引 致 的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 China Risun Group Limited 中國旭陽集團有限公司 (股份代號:1907) (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 截 至2023年6月30日止六個月 中期業績公告 | --- | --- | |-------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
中国旭阳集团(01907) - 2022 - 年度财报
2023-04-25 11:17
帽RISUN China Risun Group Limited 中國旭陽集團有限公司 (Incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability) (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) Stock Code 股份代號 : 1907 A N U N N Ö Ñ 年 報 CONTENTS 目 錄 CONTENTS 目 錄 | --- | --- | --- | |-------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | 1 | Corporate Information 公司資料 | | | 5 | Chairman's Statement 主席報告 | | | 9 | Business Highlights 業務撮要 | | | 14 | Financial Highlights 財務摘要 | | | 16 | Management Discuss ...