Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a case of potential fraud in the real estate market, where a real estate agent continued to market a property after it was already sold, leading to a situation known as "double selling" [2][10]. Group 1: Incident Overview - A buyer, Mr. Li, signed a contract and paid over 1 million yuan for a property but discovered that the same agent was still promoting the property to other potential buyers [3][9]. - The property in question was a 160.11 square meter four-bedroom apartment, initially listed at 260 million yuan but sold for 146 million yuan [3][9]. Group 2: Buyer Experience - Mr. Li's friend, Mr. Xue, found the same property listed by the same agent, raising suspicions about the agent's practices [7][10]. - Mr. Li and his family took measures to protect the property during the waiting period for the transfer, including having family members stay at the property to deter further viewings [8][9]. Group 3: Agent's Conduct - The agent, Mr. Xie, attempted to delay the transfer date, which Mr. Li refused, suspecting the agent was trying to facilitate another sale at a higher price [9][14]. - The agent's actions were reported to be in violation of real estate regulations, as they continued to show the property after a contract was signed [14]. Group 4: Company Response - The real estate platform, Beike, confirmed that the agent was registered and that their actions were against company policy, stating that a property can only be signed once [13][14]. - Beike has initiated an investigation into the matter and is collecting information from the buyer for further action [13].

Core Insights - The real estate sector has shown a decline of 2.1% over the past week, ranking 17th among 29 sectors in the market, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index and the Wind All A index experienced changes of 0.1% and -1.6% respectively [5][38]. - New home sales in 36 cities reached 1.425 million square meters last week, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 14.2% and a year-on-year increase of 146.5%. However, cumulative sales from January 1 to January 30 totaled 5.398 million square meters, down 30.3% year-on-year [5][10]. - The second-hand housing market saw a total transaction area of 1.706 million square meters across 15 cities last week, with a slight week-on-week decrease of 0.7% but a significant year-on-year increase of 744.4%. Cumulative sales for the same period reached 6.739 million square meters, up 15.8% year-on-year [5][16]. Real Estate Market Conditions - The inventory of new homes in 13 cities stands at 7.7738 million square meters, showing a slight decrease of 0.2% week-on-week and a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%. The average de-stocking period is 23.0 months, which is stable compared to the previous week but has increased by 6.7 months year-on-year [5][24]. - In terms of land transactions, the total area sold in 100 cities from January 26 to February 1 was 1.7955 million square meters, marking a week-on-week increase of 49.2% and a year-on-year increase of 419.7%. The average land price was 979 yuan per square meter, down 28.0% week-on-week and down 74.4% year-on-year [5][32]. Investment Recommendations - For mainland developers, the report recommends companies such as Binjiang Group and China Merchants Shekou in A-shares, and China Overseas Development and Greentown China in Hong Kong stocks, highlighting that sales growth expectations post-market recovery will drive valuation improvements [5][9]. - Light asset operation companies are also recommended, as they are expected to maintain stable fundamentals during the downturn. Suggested companies include Greentown Service for property management and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle for commercial management [5][9]. - For Hong Kong developers, the report suggests focusing on companies like Sun Hung Kai Properties and Henderson Land Development, which are expected to benefit from a recovering residential sales market [5][9]. Financing Conditions - In the realm of domestic credit bonds, real estate companies issued a total of 8 bonds last week, amounting to 4.96 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 42.9% week-on-week but an increase of 346.3% year-on-year. The net financing amount was -3.97 billion yuan due to repayments totaling 8.93 billion yuan [5][36].

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (00728) at 70.97%, Green Power Environmental (01330) at 68.68%, and Haotian International Construction Investment (01341) at 66.96% [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700), Pop Mart (09992), and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) saw the largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days, with increases of +2.954 billion, +1.333 billion, and +1.183 billion respectively [1] - Conversely, China Mobile (00941), Zijin Mining (02899), and Alibaba-W (09988) experienced the largest decreases in holding amounts, with reductions of -2.026 billion, -1.856 billion, and -1.609 billion respectively [2] Group 1: Top Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) has a holding of 9.851 billion shares, representing 70.97% [1] - Green Power Environmental (01330) has a holding of 0.278 billion shares, representing 68.68% [1] - Haotian International Construction Investment (01341) has a holding of 7.430 billion shares, representing 66.96% [1] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - Tencent Holdings (00700) increased by +2.954 billion, with a change of +4.9354 million shares [1] - Pop Mart (09992) increased by +1.333 billion, with a change of +5.8896 million shares [1] - Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) increased by +1.183 billion, with a change of +13.9887 million shares [1] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - China Mobile (00941) decreased by -2.026 billion, with a change of -2.5982 million shares [2] - Zijin Mining (02899) decreased by -1.856 billion, with a change of -4.69103 million shares [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) decreased by -1.609 billion, with a change of -0.98507 million shares [2]

Core Insights - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the real estate market, highlighting the significant debut of commercial real estate REITs, with the first batch of applications exceeding 32.1 billion RMB, accounting for 14% of the existing C-REITs market [5] - The cancellation of the "three red lines" policy marks a pivotal shift, indicating a return to orderly market development and improved financing channels for real estate companies [16][20] - The report notes a strong year-on-year increase in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes, with new home transactions in 50 cities up 3.3% week-on-week and 37.2% year-on-year [5][9] Group 1: Central Policies - The cancellation of the "three red lines" policy allows for a more market-oriented development of the real estate sector, which had previously constrained financing for weaker firms [16] - The central government is actively managing expectations and stabilizing the policy environment to facilitate a turning point in the real estate cycle [16] Group 2: Transaction Performance - New home transactions saw a week-on-week increase of 3.3% and a year-on-year increase of 37.2%, reflecting a recovery from last year's low base due to the Spring Festival [5][9] - Second-hand home transactions also showed significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 154.9%, driven by a favorable comparison to last year's figures [9] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the new home supply has improved, with a week-on-week increase of 34.5%, which is unusual before the Spring Festival, suggesting increased developer confidence [5] - The second-hand market remains robust, with a year-on-year increase in visits and transactions, indicating sustained demand [5] Group 4: Land Market Performance - The land market showed weaker performance, with total land sales in 300 cities amounting to 12.7 billion RMB, down 20% week-on-week and 69% year-on-year [5] - The report highlights a supply of 7.93 million square meters, with a land absorption rate of 51%, indicating a dual weakness in supply and demand [5] Group 5: Company Performance and Recommendations - The report suggests that companies with strong investment fundamentals and low valuations, such as China Jinmao and China Overseas, are leading the sector [5] - The property management sector also performed well, with a 2.6% increase, outperforming the Hang Seng Index [5] Group 6: C-REITs Overview - The C-REITs composite return index rose by 0.36%, with 41 out of 78 REITs showing gains, particularly in the renewable energy and highway sectors [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][6] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the year-on-year performance of new and second-hand housing transactions aligned with the Spring Festival holiday, suggesting that the data may show significant changes in the coming weeks [11] - The real estate sector is viewed as an early economic indicator, making it a crucial area for investment as it reflects broader economic trends [4] - The competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private companies expected to benefit more in the future [4] - The report suggests focusing on first-tier and select second- and third-tier cities for investment opportunities, as this combination has historically performed better during market rebounds [4] Summary by Sections New Housing Transactions - In the latest week, new housing transaction area in 30 cities was 136.9 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 16.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 32.3% [23] - First-tier cities accounted for 40.3 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 6.7% and a year-on-year decrease of 20.0% [23] - Second-tier cities saw 64.9 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 24.4% and a year-on-year decrease of 29.8% [23] - Third-tier cities recorded 31.7 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 14.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 46.6% [23] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - The total area of second-hand housing transactions in 15 sample cities was 211.9 million square meters, a month-on-month decrease of 0.9% but a year-on-year increase of 15.0% [33] - First-tier cities contributed 93.8 million square meters, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.6% [33] - Second-tier cities had 82.6 million square meters, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.8% [33] - Third-tier cities recorded 35.5 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [33] Credit Bonds - In the week from January 26 to February 1, eight credit bonds from real estate companies were issued, totaling 4.96 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.73 billion yuan from the previous week [3] - The total repayment amount was 8.93 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.49 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing amount of -3.97 billion yuan, which is an increase of 2.76 billion yuan from the previous week [3]

Group 1 - Beike-W (02423.HK) saw an afternoon increase of over 8%, specifically rising by 8.49% to reach HKD 52.4 [1] - The trading volume for Beike-W amounted to HKD 803 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) has seen a significant increase in stock price, rising over 8% to HKD 52.4, with a trading volume of HKD 803 million, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The second-hand market is showing stability in both volume and price, which is expected to positively impact Beike's performance [1] - In the first 18 days of January 2026, Beike recorded a 33% year-on-year increase in second-hand property transactions across 79 cities, suggesting a rebound in market activity [1] - Excluding market share growth, the current transaction volume corresponds to an annualized second-hand transaction volume of 860 million square meters, a 24% increase compared to 2025, aligning with the annualized figure of 840 million square meters from Q4 2024 [1] Group 2: Share Buyback Activity - Beike has been actively repurchasing its shares, spending approximately USD 300,000 to buy back around 497,700 shares on January 26, 23, and 22, and USD 350,000 for 58,910 shares on January 20 [1] - This consistent buyback activity indicates the company's confidence in its stock value and future prospects [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Beike-W (02423) has seen a significant increase in stock price, rising over 8% to HKD 52.4, with a trading volume of HKD 803 million [1] - GF Securities reports that the stability in the second-hand market positively impacts Beike's performance, noting a significant rebound in second-hand transaction volume in early 2026, with a 33% year-on-year increase in the first 18 days of January across 79 cities [1] - The annualized second-hand transaction volume is projected to reach 860 million square meters in 2026, reflecting a 24% increase compared to 2025, indicating a potential "small spring" in the market for 2026 [1] Group 2 - Beike has been actively repurchasing its shares, spending approximately USD 3 million on January 26 to buy back about 497,700 shares, and similar amounts on previous days for additional share repurchases [1] - The company has consistently engaged in share buybacks, with multiple transactions recorded in January, indicating a strategic move to enhance shareholder value [1]

Core Insights - Porsche China CEO announced plans to reduce the number of dealerships from 114 in 2025 to 80 by 2026, a nearly 30% decrease, in response to a projected 26% decline in sales in 2025 [1] - The channel optimization has led to dissatisfaction among some customers who are unable to use maintenance packages purchased at authorized dealerships due to closures, raising questions about consumer rights protection [1][2] - The luxury car market is entering a phase of inventory competition, where brands are consolidating resources and focusing on high-potential markets, but Porsche's main controversy lies in its responsibility to consumers during market changes [1][2] Company Response and Consumer Trust - Porsche has faced criticism for not adequately addressing consumer concerns regarding the usability of maintenance packages after dealership closures, which has led to a loss of trust among customers [2][3] - The company has been accused of enjoying the benefits of the booming luxury car market without properly addressing consumer rights, resulting in unnecessary losses for loyal customers [2] - The lack of clear solutions for customers who purchased maintenance packages at closed dealerships reflects a failure in brand management and a depletion of consumer trust [2][3] Market Challenges and Brand Strategy - The announcement of a significant reduction in dealerships amid unresolved consumer issues may exacerbate the brand's trust crisis and further damage consumer confidence [3] - Porsche's challenges are indicative of broader issues faced by traditional luxury brands in adapting to the evolving Chinese market, particularly in terms of electric vehicle development and meeting local consumer demands [3][4] - To regain consumer trust, Porsche must implement clear solutions for affected customers and adopt a transparent approach in addressing public concerns, demonstrating accountability and commitment to consumer rights [4] Industry Implications - The situation serves as a warning for all traditional luxury brands, emphasizing the importance of respecting market dynamics and prioritizing consumer rights [4] - Brands must focus on both product quality and service experience to maintain competitiveness in a challenging market environment, or risk being eliminated from the market [4]