Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for specific sectors such as shipping and logistics [2]. Core Insights - The shipping sector is experiencing a significant increase in oil transportation rates due to heightened sanctions from the US and EU against Iran and Venezuela, leading to strong market sentiment among shipowners [6][17]. - The infrastructure sector is advised to focus on individual stock selections, particularly in stable cash flow assets like ports, which are currently undervalued [19]. - The aviation industry is expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics and lower fuel prices in 2026, marking a potential recovery year for profitability [25]. - The express delivery sector is projected to see a gradual improvement in competition and profitability, with a focus on major players like SF Express and Zhongtong Express [21]. Shipping Sector Summary - Oil transportation rates have surged significantly due to geopolitical tensions, with VLCC TD3C-TCE reaching $116,000 per day, a notable increase of 10.8% from the previous week [12][49]. - The dry bulk market is showing signs of seasonal decline, with the BDI index reporting a drop of 7.2% [16][48]. - Recommendations include focusing on oil tanker and dry bulk stocks such as COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [17]. Infrastructure Sector Summary - Weekly data indicates a 17.3% increase in truck traffic volume, while rail freight has seen a 10.3% increase week-on-week [19][18]. - The report suggests investing in highway assets like Anhui Expressway, which are expected to provide stable returns [19]. Express Delivery Sector Summary - The express delivery industry saw a 13.7% year-on-year growth in business volume for 2025, with December showing a slowdown to 2.6% [20][21]. - Major companies are expected to benefit from operational adjustments, with SF Express projected to achieve faster profit growth in 2026 [21]. Aviation Sector Summary - The aviation sector is currently in a transitional phase, with passenger volumes showing a 3.6% year-on-year decline, but a potential recovery is anticipated in 2026 due to improved market conditions [25][22]. - The report emphasizes monitoring the impact of the Spring Festival travel season and geopolitical factors on oil prices [25]. Logistics Sector Summary - The logistics sector is experiencing stable air freight prices, with the TAC Shanghai outbound air freight price index remaining flat week-on-week [26]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring cross-border transport volumes and short-haul freight rates [26].

香港联交所最新数据显示，1月12日，贝莱德增持中远海能（600026）(01138)3183.1956万股，每股作价 11.4548港元，总金额约为3.65亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为7681.40万股，最新持股比例为5.93%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新数据显示，1月12日，贝莱德增持中远海能(01138)3183.1956万股， 每股作价11.4548港元，总金额约为3.65亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为7681.40万股，最新持股比例 为5.93%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas ETF Huatai Fuhua (159309) opened down by 1.69% at 1.220 yuan, reflecting a mixed performance among its major holdings [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The performance benchmark for the oil and gas ETF Huatai Fuhua (159309) is the CSI Oil and Gas Resource Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on May 31, 2024, the fund has achieved a return of 24.34%, with a monthly return of 11.03% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major holdings include: - Jereh Group opened up by 1.04% - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) down by 1.46% - China Petroleum down by 0.70% - China Petrochemical down by 0.34% - China Merchants Energy down by 2.02% - Guanghui Energy unchanged at 0.00% - COSCO Shipping Energy down by 2.03% - China Merchants South Oil down by 0.89% - CNOOC Engineering down by 1.30% - Intercontinental Oil and Gas down by 1.97% [1]

Core Insights - The article presents the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 15, 2026, highlighting significant gainers and their dividend yields [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The top performer is Aotewi (688516.SH) with a daily increase of 8.15% and a year-to-date increase of 32.30%, along with a dividend yield of 3.80% [1][5]. - Weichai Power (000338.SZ) ranks second with a daily rise of 4.18% and a year-to-date increase of 17.44%, offering a dividend yield of 3.62% [1][5]. - Action Education (605098.SH) follows with a daily gain of 4.01% and a year-to-date increase of 11.71%, featuring a dividend yield of 5.02% [1][5]. Group 2: Dividend Yields - The highest dividend yield among the top 20 stocks is from Jichuan Pharmaceutical (600566.SH) at 7.99%, with a daily increase of 1.57% and a year-to-date increase of 0.84% [1][5]. - Other notable dividend yields include Oppein Home (603833.SH) at 6.85% and Qianjiang Motorcycle (000913.SZ) at 5.67% [1][5]. Group 3: Market Trends - The article notes the formation of a MACD golden cross signal, indicating a positive trend in the stock market, particularly for the highlighted stocks [4][8].

Core Viewpoint - The shipping and port sector experienced a slight decline of 0.07% on January 15, with Xiamen Port leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4112.6, down 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.41% to 14306.73 [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The shipping and port sector saw a mixed performance among individual stocks, with notable gainers including: - Xingtong Co., Ltd. (603209) at 15.57, up 2.17% with a trading volume of 81,800 shares and a turnover of 127 million yuan [1]. - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026) at 14.29, up 2.07% with a trading volume of 639,900 shares and a turnover of 92.36 million yuan [1]. - Nanjing Port (002040) at 10.38, up 1.76% with a trading volume of 242,800 shares and a turnover of 253 million yuan [1]. - Conversely, Xiamen Port (000905) led the decline at 12.91, down 4.01% with a trading volume of 383,400 shares and a turnover of 500 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The shipping and port sector experienced a net outflow of 168 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 36.77 million yuan [2]. - Notable capital flows among individual stocks included: - China Merchants Energy (601872) with a net inflow of 69.47 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 80.39 million yuan from retail investors [3]. - Nanjing Port (002040) had a net inflow of 26.04 million yuan from institutional investors, but also saw a net outflow of 22.99 million yuan from retail investors [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the geopolitical landscape is shifting due to renewed U.S. sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, which could impact oil trade dynamics and increase demand for compliant oil transportation [1][2][3] - In the short term, if internal unrest in Iran escalates, oil trade demand may shift towards compliant supplies in the Middle East, equivalent to a demand for 38 VLCCs [1][3] - If the U.S. or Israel attacks Iran, the geopolitical risk premium for oil transportation may rise, further affecting the oil market [1][3] Group 2 - Venezuela's oil exports are currently constrained by U.S. military actions, which may push the oil trade towards compliance, representing a demand for 19 VLCCs in the short term [2] - If U.S. sanctions on Venezuela are lifted, the oil shipping demand could increase to 46 VLCCs, and with continued investment in infrastructure, exports could reach historical peaks of 240,000 barrels per day, equivalent to 141 VLCCs [2] - The shadow fleet established by Russia has allowed it to maintain oil exports despite sanctions, with potential impacts on 150,000 barrels per day of Russian oil exports if sanctions are intensified [4] Group 3 - The report suggests that companies such as China Merchants Energy Shipping Company (601872.SH), COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation (600026.SH), and China Merchants Jinling Shipyard (601975.SH) should be monitored for potential investment opportunities [5]

Group 1 - The oil sector is experiencing a capital inflow despite market conditions, with the Penghua Oil ETF (159697) seeing a net subscription of 10 million units, marking five consecutive days of net inflow [1] - Political tensions in Venezuela and Iran are increasing, contributing to a rise in regional political risk premiums for oil prices, while OPEC+ has decided to temporarily halt its production growth plan for the first quarter of 2026 [1] - As of January 15, 2026, the National Securities Oil and Gas Index (399439) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Hengtong Co. leading at a 3.61% increase, while Jiufeng Energy is down 4.45% [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Oil and Gas Index (399439) include major companies such as China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC, collectively accounting for 67.11% of the index [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The geopolitical changes are expected to usher in an "Oil Shipping Era" [3] - The U.S. military action against Venezuela may promote the compliance of Venezuelan oil trade, with short-term impacts limiting exports and shifting demand to compliant regions, equivalent to a demand for 19 VLCCs [4] - If U.S. sanctions on Venezuela are lifted, oil exports could reach 2.4 million barrels per day, requiring 141 VLCCs [4] - Iran's oil exports face dual pressures from domestic unrest and U.S. threats, with potential demand shifts to compliant markets equating to a need for 38 VLCCs [4] - Russia's oil exports are maintained through shadow fleets, with potential sanctions impacting 1.5 million barrels per day, equivalent to 36 VLCCs [4] - The new geopolitical landscape highlights the strategic value of oil shipping, with demand expected to improve in the short to medium term [4] Summary by Sections Geopolitical Impact on Oil Shipping - The geopolitical situation is reshaping global oil trade flows, expanding the compliant oil shipping market [4] - Short-term supply changes due to geopolitical conflicts may support shipping rates [4] - The dual logic of trade flow restructuring and compliance transformation is expected to drive demand in the oil shipping industry [4] Demand Projections - Venezuela: - Short-term demand shift due to transport restrictions: 19 VLCCs - Medium-term demand if sanctions are lifted: 46 VLCCs - Long-term potential peak exports: 141 VLCCs [4] - Iran: - Short-term demand shift due to unrest: 38 VLCCs - Long-term potential peak exports: 57 VLCCs [4] - Russia: - Potential sanctions impact: 36 VLCCs - If sanctions are lifted, demand could increase significantly [4]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Hong Kong/China Transportation and Infrastructure - **2026 Outlook**: More opportunities than risks, with a focus on supply-side opportunities in airlines, tanker shipping, and express delivery, while container shipping faces oversupply concerns [1][2][3] Airlines - **Pricing Trends**: Pricing inflation resumed since October 2025, supported by supply-side constraints and demand recovery from business travel, outbound travel growth, and inbound travel [2][11] - **Demand Drivers**: Business travel recovery positively correlated with capital expenditure, and inbound travel expected to grow, benefiting airlines [2][21] - **Airlines' Up-Cycle**: Chinese airlines are in a multi-year supply-driven up-cycle, with margin upside if pricing performance exceeds expectations [2][11] - **Key Stocks**: Overweight ratings on Air China (0753.HK), China Eastern Airlines (0670.HK), China Southern Airlines (1055.HK), and Spring Airlines (601021.SS) [9][10] Shipping - **Tanker Market**: Increasing demand for compliant tankers due to geopolitical tensions, with limited new supply additions due to low capital expenditure over the past decade [3] - **Container Shipping Risks**: Remains conservative on container shipping due to oversupply concerns [3] - **Key Stocks**: Overweight on COSCO Shipping (1138.HK) and China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872.SS), underweight on COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919.HK) and Orient Overseas (0316.HK) [3] Airports - **Bargaining Power**: Airports are regaining bargaining power through duty-free contract renewals, breaking monopoly dynamics, and increasing shareholdings in duty-free operators [4][54] - **Duty-Free Spending**: Expected upside in duty-free spending with expanded product categories and higher offline sales [4][58] - **Key Stocks**: Equal-weight ratings on Shanghai International Airport (600009.SS), Hainan Meilan Airport (0357.HK), and Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (600004.SS), underweight on Beijing Capital International Airport (0694.HK) [53] Express Delivery - **Market Consolidation**: ZTO (ZTO.N) and YTO (600233.SS) are consolidating market share, leading to cost-efficiency gains and margin expansion [5] - **International Expansion**: J&T (1519.HK) expected to consolidate market share in overseas markets through e-commerce partnerships [5] Key Risks and Considerations - **Airlines**: Risks include faster-than-expected aircraft delivery, deterioration in travel demand, unfavorable RMB depreciation, and surging oil prices [52][51] - **Airports**: Continued underperformance in duty-free business due to weak consumption and competition from other channels [54][55] Conclusion - The transportation sector in Hong Kong/China is poised for growth in 2026, driven by supply-side opportunities in airlines and shipping, while airports are regaining power in duty-free operations. However, risks remain, particularly in container shipping and overall economic conditions.