Core Insights - In 2025, Jiangxi's non-ferrous metal industry achieved a historic breakthrough, with revenue surpassing 1 trillion yuan, becoming the second trillion-level industrial cluster in the province after the electronic information industry [1] - The capital market plays a significant role in supporting this growth, with eight listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector generating over 436 billion yuan in revenue and nearly 8 billion yuan in net profit in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - Leading companies such as Jiangxi Copper, China Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium are pivotal in establishing a robust industrial framework for Jiangxi's non-ferrous metal sector [1] Industry Growth and Development - Jiangxi Copper Group has signed strategic cooperation agreements with local companies to enhance collaboration in mining equipment maintenance and overseas market expansion [2] - The copper industry in Jiangxi has seen a 23.57% increase in main product output and an 11.6% rise in revenue since 2022, driven by integrated development and collaboration among chain enterprises [2] - The province has implemented a "1269" action plan to modernize key manufacturing industry chains, focusing on enhancing the non-ferrous metal sector [2] Resource Utilization and Innovation - Jiangxi's rare earth industry has transformed from a resource-rich but weak industrial base to a thriving sector, with the establishment of the China Rare Earth Group and the emergence of local companies like Jinli Permanent Magnet [3] - The lithium battery industry in Yichun has grown from under 25 billion yuan to a scale exceeding 100 billion yuan, with over 70% of the industry's value chain now in the mid-to-late stages [3] Capital Market Empowerment - The traditional copper industry in Yingtan has shown resilience and vitality, with the establishment of a 5 billion yuan copper industry guidance fund to support the development of over 280 enterprises [4] - Jiangxi has created a copper-based new materials cluster with a production value exceeding 600 billion yuan, driven by collaboration among leading companies [5] - Jiangxi's capital market has facilitated the transformation of companies like Anyuan Coal Industry into new sectors, focusing on rare metals and mining investment [6] Investment and Financial Support - The Jiangxi Modern Industry Guidance Fund, established in May 2022 with a total scale of 300 billion yuan, has exceeded 342 billion yuan and has supported 90 industrial projects [7] - The fund collaborates with major enterprises to establish specialized funds, promoting the transition of key industries from aggregation to quality enhancement [7] - The fund aims to build a development matrix that includes traditional, emerging, and future industries, enhancing the competitiveness of industrial clusters [7]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Greater China Materials, specifically alumina and related sectors [1] - **Market Sentiment**: The industry view is considered attractive by Morgan Stanley [6] Core Insights - **Alumina Production Cuts**: An alumina plant in Guizhou is planning production cuts in January and February, indicating a potential shift in supply dynamics [8] - **Government Actions**: China has issued its first batch of ultra-long special treasury bonds amounting to Rmb93.6 billion for equipment upgrading, which may impact the materials sector positively [8] - **Safety Inspections**: There is a potential nationwide safety inspection in the iron and steel industry due to a recent explosion, which could affect production and operational costs [8] Price and Inventory Movements - **Base Metals**: - Shanghai copper prices decreased by 0.8% WoW, with inventories increasing by 25.1% [2] - Shanghai aluminum prices increased by 0.4% WoW, while inventories rose by 37.0% [2] - **Steel Prices**: - Shanghai HRC and CRC prices both fell by 0.6% WoW, while rebar prices dipped by 0.2% [3] - Tangshan billet prices declined by 1.3% WoW [3] - **Cement Prices**: Remained stable at Rmb340/t as of January 23 [3] - **Coal Prices**: QHD5500 price decreased by 0.3% WoW to Rmb686/t, with inventory rising by 5.8% to 5.82 million tons [3] - **Glass Prices**: - Glass fiber prices remained flat at Rmb3,883/t [4] - Float glass prices unchanged at Rmb1,198/t [4] Battery Metals - **Price Increases**: - Domestic industrial-grade and battery-grade hydroxide prices rose by 3.5% and 4.0% WoW, respectively [2] - Industrial- and battery-grade lithium carbonate prices both increased by 3.5% WoW [2] Gold Market - **Price Surge**: Gold prices increased by 6.9% WoW to US$4,936/oz, indicating strong demand [2] Additional Observations - **Inventory Trends**: - Long steel inventories at traders increased by 2.0% WoW, while flat steel inventories decreased by 0.9% WoW [3] - **Market Dynamics**: The increase in inventories for copper and aluminum suggests a potential oversupply situation, which could impact future pricing [2][3] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state of the Greater China materials sector, particularly focusing on alumina and related industries.

Market Overview - The market experienced a downturn with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.85%, and the ChiNext down 0.91% [1] - A total of 1,604 stocks rose while 3,771 stocks fell, indicating a broader market weakness [1] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector saw significant gains, with gold prices surpassing $5,000 per ounce for the first time, and silver prices also rising sharply [2] - Notable stocks in this sector included Zhongjin Gold and Xibu Gold, which reached their daily limit [2] Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector strengthened, with stocks like Cap Bio and Mike Bio hitting their daily limit due to concerns over a Nipah virus outbreak in India [2][4] - The outbreak has prompted increased monitoring in countries such as Thailand and Nepal [2] Oil and Gas Sector - Oil and gas stocks rallied, with Zhongman Petroleum hitting its daily limit and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) rising over 6% to reach a new high [5] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector faced adjustments, with stocks like China Satellite and China Satcom hitting their daily limit [6] Large Sell Orders - Significant sell orders were noted in major stocks, with Zijin Mining seeing over 4.07 billion yuan in sell orders and China Ping An over 2.05 billion yuan [6] Market Sentiment and Policy - Analysts from CITIC Securities indicated that the current reduction in broad-based ETFs by institutional investors may be a strategy to realize profits rather than directly suppressing speculative trading [10] - The report suggests that increasing margin requirements or trading fees could be more effective in cooling market enthusiasm [10]

Group 1 - The meeting involved representatives from Guotai Junan Securities and Lanshi Zhongke, focusing on the latest developments and technological layout in the field of nanomaterials [1][2] - Lanshi Zhongke showcased its core technology system and competitive advantages in nanomaterials, as well as its future development plans [1] - The discussion included key technical indicators and optimization paths for materials such as lanthanum oxide, cerium oxide, and nano zinc oxide, with positive feedback on Lanshi Zhongke's technical strength and development prospects [1] Group 2 - Lanshi Zhongke expressed gratitude for the support and resource promotion from Guotai Junan Securities, highlighting the complementary nature of their core process R&D and industrialization experience with the research focus of Jiangxi Copper Research Institute [2] - The company looks forward to a site visit from the Jiangxi Copper team for further exchanges and aims to collaborate with partners in the new materials field [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights significant sell orders in the closing auction for multiple heavyweight stocks, with Zijin Mining's sell order amount exceeding 4 billion yuan [1] - Other companies such as China Ping An, Jiangxi Copper, China Duty Free Group, Shandong Gold, Wanhua Chemical, and Kweichow Moutai also had sell orders exceeding 400 million yuan [1] - Previously, on January 14, 2026, several stocks including China Merchants Bank, Zijin Mining, and Yangtze Power had sell orders exceeding 1 billion yuan [1]

广州期货认为，当下驱动铜价上涨逻辑有所松动，但铜矿供应脆弱+新兴领域带来的刚性需求，以及战 略资源属性愈发强化，铜价底部依旧坚实，调整空间相对有限，倾向于震荡蓄势后延续涨势。 铜业股午前集体走强，截至发稿，中国有色矿业(01258)涨12.02%，报16.68港元；五矿资源(01208)涨 11.02%，报5.05港元；中国黄金（600916）国际(02099)涨7.25%，报233.6港元；紫金矿业（601899） (02899)涨5.05%，报42.46港元；江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)涨4.07%，报47.06港元。 消息面上，正信期货表示，宏观预期情绪有所降温，但地缘担忧仍存，尽管美国政府持续施压美联储， 但市场对于降息定价较为保守，同时通胀数据暂未超预期，失业率回落，美国自身经济韧性仍存。产业 端来看，虽然远期的供需预期暂难证伪，但近段弱现实特征延续，全球库存进一步增加至100万吨。铜 价在10万关口调整后再度反弹，主要还是受地缘以及金价指引，价格高位震荡为主。 ...

数据显示，达诚基金旗下1只基金重仓江西铜业。达诚成长先锋混合A（010301）四季度持有股数3.52万 股，占基金净值比例为5.07%，位居第二大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约10.84万元。 达诚成长先锋混合A（010301）成立日期2020年10月27日，最新规模2507.65万。今年以来收益5.46%， 同类排名4760/9003；近一年收益26.17%，同类排名4921/8185；成立以来收益3.91%。 达诚成长先锋混合A（010301）基金经理为陈染。 1月26日，江西铜业涨5.17%，截至发稿，报62.69元/股，成交6.25亿元，换手率0.49%，总市值2170.79 亿元。 资料显示，江西铜业股份有限公司位于江西省南昌市高新开发区昌东大道7666号，成立日期1997年1月 24日，上市日期2002年1月11日，公司主营业务涉及铜和黄金的采选、冶炼与加工;稀散金属的提取与加 工;硫化工以及金融、贸易等领域。主营业务收入构成为：阴极铜50.21%，铜杆线19.55%，黄金 14.50%，铜精矿、稀散及其他有色金属6.91%，白银3.21%，铜加工产品2.66%，其他产品1.65%，化工 产品( ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6]. Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. In the past week, the negative feedback for copper and aluminum has significantly weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The report indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13]. 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The report lists several investment targets, including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988, Buy) and Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) [4]. 3. Precious Metals - Precious metals are experiencing intense liquidity trading, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The report notes that the market expects limited upward pressure on precious metals in the short term due to anticipated interest rate stabilization [14][30]. 4. Copper - The report highlights renewed support for copper prices due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. Supply tightness continues, with recent strikes in Chile affecting copper concentrate availability [17][70]. 5. Aluminum - The report indicates a reduction in negative feedback for aluminum, with demand showing marginal recovery. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate has risen by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][83].

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2026 年 01 月 25 日 金银齐舞，美元信用弱势与现货结构性紧缺塑造价格新高 金属行业周报 周期/金属及材料 我们统计相对历史最高价，大部分有色金属当前价格尚处于腰部及以下。民族 主义强化大叙事，资源股维持逢低加仓、长期坚定持有。重点关注金银铜铝钨 铀稀土锂钴钽镁镍等品种。短期推荐寻找补涨金属、标的。此外，关注科技成 长相关新材料标的。马斯克点燃商业航天主题，关注斯瑞新材、西部材料、有 研粉材、银邦股份等。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 236 | 4.6 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 8324.2 | 7.3 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 7294.7 | 7.0 | 行业指数 | % | 1m | 6m | 12m | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 20.9 | 61.5 | 102.5 | | 相对表现 | 19.1 | 47.3 | 78.8 | 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 相关报告 1、《核电全球复苏，铀价中枢预计 整体上行—核能系列报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6] Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. The negative feedback for copper and aluminum has notably weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9] Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The cycle assessment indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13] 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The precious metals sector experienced the highest gains [21]. 3. Precious Metals - For precious metals, trading has become intensely liquid, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The inventory levels for SHFE gold were 102 tons, an increase of 1.96 tons from the previous week [14][30]. 4. Copper - The copper market is experiencing renewed support due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. The operating rate for refined copper rods was 67.98%, up by 10.51 percentage points [17][29]. 5. Aluminum - The aluminum market shows signs of demand recovery as negative feedback weakens. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate rose by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][85].