Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable amounts leaving the communication equipment and precious metals sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a capital outflow of 1.647 billion, with a slight increase in stock price of 0.37% [2] - Xinyi Sheng saw a capital outflow of 1.169 billion, with a decline in stock price of 1.7% [2] - BlueFocus Media had a capital outflow of 1.067 billion, with a stock price increase of 2.48% [2] - Industrial Fulian faced a capital outflow of 1.022 billion, with a decrease in stock price of 0.32% [2] - Zijin Mining reported a capital outflow of 0.844 billion, with a stock price increase of 3.88% [2] - Western Materials had a capital outflow of 0.747 billion, with a notable stock price increase of 7.73% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The communication equipment sector is facing significant capital outflows, with Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng leading the outflows [1][2] - The precious metals sector, including companies like Shandong Gold and Zijin Mining, is also experiencing notable capital outflows [1][3] - The automotive sector, represented by BYD, has a capital outflow of 0.396 billion, with a slight decrease in stock price of 0.25% [3]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like Hunan Gold and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant gains, while the non-ferrous mining ETF is also up over 2% [1] - Precious metals faced a historic downturn due to trading congestion and external pressures, with silver and gold experiencing maximum daily declines of over 30% and 10% respectively [1][14] - Short-term volatility is expected in precious metal prices due to profit-taking, but long-term trends indicate that the de-dollarization process will continue, suggesting that the current adjustment is not the end of the precious metal rally [1][18] Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a return of 146.48% and a maximum drawdown of -13.76% [3] - The index focuses on the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, with copper, gold, and aluminum making up over 58% of its composition [5] - Historical performance indicates that the non-ferrous mining index has a cumulative increase of 353.53% over the past decade, with an annualized return of 16.83% [10][12] Group 3 - The market outlook for 2026 suggests that central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings will continue to support gold prices, while copper prices are expected to find support amid supply disruptions [19] - The aluminum market is facing downward pressure due to seasonal factors and a decline in processing activity, with a reported drop of 1.5 percentage points in aluminum processing [19]

记者丨金珊 李益文 2月3日，国投白银LOF今日复牌再度跌停，报4.25元，最新溢价率为88.94%。国投白银LOF2日发布公 告称，决定参考白银期货国际主要市场的价格变动幅度，对基金资产进行合理重估；国投瑞银白银 LOF2日晚间更新净值后显示，单日净值跌幅达31.5%，创公募基金单日下跌历史纪录。 国泰海通证券认为，本轮贵金属价格的大幅下跌是对年初以来非理性上涨的技术性调整，而非黄金长期 牛市的终结。短期来看，前期过热投机情绪的降温，以及资金杠杆水平的下降有助于黄金重回更健康与 稳健的上涨趋势。长期来看，在各国信任程度下降的情况下，全球仍在经历持续的货币体系重构，央行 购金仍有较大空间，黄金长期的行情仍然会延续。 （声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。） 责任编辑：王珂 编辑丨江佩霞 2月3日，黄金、白银反弹，现货黄金一度重回4800美元，现货白银日内触及85美元，截至10：22，黄 金、白银涨幅均有所收窄。 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4785.350 | 83.497 | 4831.9 | | +126.0 ...

#周一开盘整体情绪低迷，但随后部分公司打开跌停板，港股的资源股大幅跑赢市场，投资者的情绪在打开跌停板 后得到了大幅释放，我们估计随着金银价格企稳，特别是Comex黄金价格的企稳，市场或进入抄底时间段。 #商品的下跌风险都是涨出来，和基本面没有太大的关系：回归历史，黄金最大的风险是美国经济重启增长，但短 期内我们看不到这个变化；铜铝在这波价格下跌后，很可能产业链进入重启采购，将12月至今滞后的需求释放， 因此我 #周一开盘整体情绪低迷，但随后部分公司打开跌停板，港股的资源股大幅跑赢市场，投资者的情绪在打开跌停板 后得到了大幅释放，我们估计随着金银价格企稳，特别是Comex黄金价格的企稳，市场或进入抄底时间段。 保持情绪的稳定，别听风就是雨，这种情绪的宣泄是中长期布局的最佳时机，这个时候也是收集筹码的时机。 股票层面也一样，对于真正受益于商品价格中枢上移的肯定保留，抛弃杂毛阶段。 #如何选择或者保留龙头公司，看估值！我们按照铜价1.1万，黄金5000美元，铝价2.3万的价格去计算估值，如果 估值都在15倍以内，那有为什么好担心的？ #需要估值表请同对口销售联系！！甚至这这轮泥沙俱下的阶段，可以找到被错杀的标的，# ...

Group 1 - Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 6.31%, trading at 46.00 CNY per share, with a transaction volume of 725 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.44%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 212.057 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on January 31, 2000, and listed on August 28, 2003, is primarily engaged in gold mining, smelting, and the production and sale of gold and silver products, including standard gold bars and various investment gold bars [1] - The revenue composition of Shandong Gold includes 50.14% from purchased gold, 29.96% from self-produced gold, 9.75% from trading, 7.65% from small gold bars, and 2.50% from other sources [1] Group 2 - Yongying Fund has a fund that ranks among the top ten circulating shareholders of Shandong Gold, with the Gold Stock ETF (517520) newly entering the top ten shareholders in the third quarter, holding 29.6867 million shares, which is 0.64% of the circulating shares [2] - The Gold Stock ETF (517520), established on October 24, 2023, has a latest scale of 12.55 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 27.15%, ranking 3rd out of 5562 in its category, and a one-year return of 127.7%, ranking 5th out of 4285 [2] - The fund manager of the Gold Stock ETF is Liu Tingyu, who has a total fund asset scale of 28.048 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 186.44% and the worst being 1.32% [2] Group 3 - Yongying Fund's fund has a significant position in Shandong Gold, having increased its holdings by 776,700 shares in the fourth quarter, totaling 30.4634 million shares, which accounts for 9.4% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding [3] - The estimated floating loss for the fund today is approximately 94.4367 million CNY [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, which opened with a gain of 3.96% at 1.891 yuan [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.36%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 3.12%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.41%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The ETF has a performance benchmark based on the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 89.27% since its inception on January 16, 2023, and a monthly return of 13.04% [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 2.91%, while Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 7.33%, and Zhongjin Gold fell by 8.16%, reflecting volatility within the sector [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, which are crucial for investors looking at opportunities in the non-ferrous metals market [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that despite a rebound in gold and silver prices, the A-share market's gold concept stocks mostly experienced declines, with several stocks hitting the daily limit down for three consecutive days [1] - The spot gold price fell to $4,402.38 per ounce before rebounding to $4,855.81 per ounce during the trading session [1] Group 2 - The following gold-related stocks experienced significant declines: - Yuguang Gold Lead: -10.01% with a market cap of 21.9 billion [2] - Sichuan Gold: -10.01% with a market cap of 22.5 billion [2] - Zhaojin Gold: -10.00% with a market cap of 19.3 billion [2] - Silver Nonferrous: -10.00% with a market cap of 82 billion [2] - Shengda Resources: -10.00% with a market cap of 34.1 billion [2] - China Gold: -9.99% with a market cap of 20 billion [2] - Hunan Silver: -9.98% with a market cap of 43.6 billion [2] - Other notable declines include: - Zhongjin Gold: -8.16% with a market cap of 147.8 billion [2] - Cuixue Jewelry: -7.53% with a market cap of 2.738 billion [2] - Hengbang Shares: -7.42% with a market cap of 24.6 billion [2] - Shandong Gold: -7.33% with a market cap of 209.8 billion [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [11]. Core Insights - The domestic copper inventory is beginning to decrease, which may lead to stronger prices [6]. - The gold market is expected to stabilize and rise further due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5]. - The aluminum supply remains rigid, supporting the investment outlook for the aluminum sector [11]. - Tin prices are expected to be supported by tight supply conditions [11]. - Antimony prices are rebounding after a six-month decline, indicating potential investment opportunities [11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) has shown significant performance with a 1-month increase of 22.6%, a 3-month increase of 35.7%, and a 12-month increase of 128.5% [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices reached $4981.85 per ounce, with a week-on-week increase of $35.60, or 0.72%. Silver prices were $103.19 per ounce, up $4.19, or 4.23% [4]. Copper and Aluminum - Copper prices closed at $13,440 per ton on the LME, up $460 per ton, or 3.54%. SHFE copper closed at ¥103,170 per ton, up ¥2,120, or 2.10% [6]. - Domestic aluminum prices were ¥24,640 per ton, with a week-on-week increase of ¥510 [7]. Tin and Antimony - Domestic refined tin prices were ¥423,630 per ton, down ¥110, or 0.03%. The supply and demand for tin are weak, leading to a price fluctuation around high levels [9]. - Antimony prices remain supported due to tight supply conditions, with current prices at ¥160,000 per ton [10]. Recommended Stocks - For the gold sector, recommended stocks include Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and China National Gold International. In the copper sector, recommended stocks include Zijin Mining and Western Mining. For aluminum, recommended stocks are Shenhuo Co., Yunnan Aluminum, and Tianshan Aluminum [12].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant decline in the gold and non-ferrous metal sectors, with over 30 leading stocks hitting the daily limit down of -10% following a sharp drop in international gold prices [1][3][4]. Market Reaction - The gold concept sector saw 81 stocks, with notable declines including Xiaocheng Technology down 19.97% and Tongling Nonferrous Metals down 10.04% [2][3]. - The sell-off was characterized by a lack of buying interest, leading to a situation of "no volume limit down," indicating that investors were unable to sell their holdings, resulting in asset depreciation [3][4]. External Factors - The decline was triggered by a sudden drop in international gold prices, with London spot gold falling nearly 9% in a single day, marking the largest daily drop in years [3][4]. - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain high interest rates and signals of prolonged high rates contributed to the bearish sentiment in the gold market, as higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold [5][6]. Internal Market Dynamics - The gold sector had previously seen a significant increase of over 30% since the beginning of the year, attracting substantial short-term and leveraged funds, which led to an overbought condition [7][8]. - As the market sentiment shifted, a massive outflow of over 8.5 billion yuan from the gold sector occurred, leading to a panic sell-off [8][10]. Industry Challenges - Rising mining costs due to increased expenses for labor, energy, and equipment have raised concerns about profit margins for gold mining companies, despite high gold prices [10]. - The presence of "pseudo-gold stocks" in the sector, which lack solid fundamentals, has led to severe declines as funds exited these stocks when the market turned [10][11]. Broader Market Impact - The sharp decline in gold and silver prices negatively affected the overall commodity market and risk asset sentiment, with significant capital flows shifting towards defensive sectors and technology growth areas [12][21]. - The retail gold market also reflected this disparity, with physical gold prices remaining high while international prices plummeted, highlighting the disconnect between market prices and consumer prices [12][13]. Investor Sentiment - The market reaction has led to a divide among analysts, with some viewing the decline as a healthy correction while others express caution about the long-term trend and potential further declines in gold prices [21][22].

Macro Dynamics - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council approved the "Modern Capital Metropolitan Area Spatial Coordination Plan (2023-2035)", aiming to cultivate an innovation triangle in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, enhancing collaboration and resource flow [2] Housing Market - Shanghai has initiated a program to purchase second-hand housing for affordable rental housing, targeting new citizens, young people, and graduates to meet their rental needs [3] - The first batch of housing to be acquired will focus on matching housing types, layout, and transportation convenience to support talent in the city [3] Energy Sector - The China Electricity Council reported that by 2025, the country will add 550 million kilowatts of new power generation capacity, with wind and solar power accounting for 440 million kilowatts, representing 80.2% of the total [4] Financial Institutions - Citigroup warned that gold valuations have reached extreme levels, with global gold expenditure as a percentage of GDP hitting 0.7%, the highest in 55 years, indicating potential risks for gold prices [7] - Deutsche Bank remains bullish on gold, maintaining a target price of $6,000 per ounce despite recent price drops, citing ongoing positive factors for gold investment [8] Market Data - On February 2, A-shares experienced a significant decline, with all three major indices dropping over 2%, and more than 4,600 stocks falling, including 123 hitting the daily limit down [12] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell by 2.23%, with the technology index down 3.36%, and significant declines in precious metals and semiconductor stocks [13] Company Dynamics - Midea Group announced a share buyback of 26.94 million shares, representing 0.35% of its total share capital, at a total cost of 1.998 billion yuan [17] - Chip-on-Board Technology reported a revenue of 394 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.52%, but a net profit decrease of 4.91% [18] - GoerTek has repurchased 40.54 million shares, amounting to 1.14% of its total shares, for a total expenditure of 1.108 billion yuan [19] - Microsoft saw a market value drop of $381 billion following disappointing earnings and forecasts, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards tech stocks [20] - Amazon is expected to report strong fourth-quarter earnings, with analysts predicting over 28% upside potential in the next 12 months [21]