Core Insights - The Chinese telecommunications industry is at a crossroads as the 2025 statistics reveal a mixed performance, with total telecom business volume growing by 9.1% year-on-year, significantly outpacing GDP growth by 4.1 percentage points, contributing positively to economic growth [2] - However, telecom business revenue growth has declined to only 0.7% in 2025, a drop of 2.5 percentage points from 2024, indicating a trend of stagnation in revenue growth despite overall market improvements [3][4] Group 1: Industry Performance - By the end of 2025, the number of 5G base stations reached 4.838 million, accounting for 37.6% of mobile phone base stations, with an average of 34.4 5G base stations per 10,000 people, exceeding the "14th Five-Year Plan" target [2] - The number of mobile phone users in China reached 1.827 billion, with a penetration rate of 130 devices per 100 people, surpassing the global average by 22.5 percentage points [2] - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.204 billion, with a net increase of 190 million users, representing over 65.9% of total mobile phone users, which is 2.1 times the global average [2] Group 2: Revenue Trends - Telecom business revenue for 2025 was 1.75 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of only 0.7%, down from 3.2% in 2024, and significantly lower than the 6.2% and 8% growth rates in 2023 and 2022, respectively [3][4] - Traditional business revenues, including mobile data and voice services, are declining due to competition from OTT services and pricing pressures, with traditional business revenue down by 0.5% in 2025 [4] Group 3: Emerging Business Growth - New emerging businesses, including cloud computing, big data, and IoT, accounted for 25.7% of telecom industry revenue in 2025, growing by 4.7% year-on-year and contributing 1.2 percentage points to overall revenue growth [6] - Big data business revenue grew by 69.2% year-on-year, driven by demand from enterprise clients for data governance and intelligent applications [6] - The number of IoT terminal users reached 2.888 billion, significantly exceeding the number of mobile phone users, indicating a shift from low-value connections to revenue-generating opportunities [7] Group 4: Transition Challenges - The growth rate of cloud computing revenue slowed to 2.9% in 2025, a significant drop from nearly 30% in 2023, highlighting challenges in the sector [8] - Operators face difficulties in the cloud business due to pricing structures and competition from major cloud providers, which limits their market share in high-end cloud services [9] - Continued investment in data centers and computing networks is squeezing profit margins for operators, with China Mobile's computing network investment reaching 37.3 billion yuan in 2025 [9] Group 5: Future Outlook - The ability of emerging businesses to transition from volume growth to high-quality monetization will depend on the industry's execution in building capabilities, ecosystem cooperation, and capital efficiency [10] - If operators can effectively integrate network advantages with computing services into scalable products, emerging businesses may become a sustainable profit driver for the telecommunications industry [10]

Group 1 - The net inflow of southbound funds today amounted to 3.22 billion HKD [1] - The top three companies with net inflows were CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, Xiaomi Group-W, and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, with net purchases of 935 million HKD, 914 million HKD, and 590 million HKD respectively [1] - The companies with the highest net outflows included Zijin Mining, China Mobile, and CNOOC, with net sales of 635 million HKD, 541 million HKD, and 526 million HKD respectively [1]

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 32.22 billion HKD today [1] - The top net purchases included: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group at 9.34 billion HKD, Xiaomi Group-W at 9.14 billion HKD, and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong at 5.89 billion HKD [1] - Notable net sales included: Zijin Mining at 6.35 billion HKD, China Mobile at 5.41 billion HKD, and CNOOC at 5.25 billion HKD [1] Group 2 - Southbound funds have recorded a continuous net sell of China Mobile for 20 days, totaling 159.752 billion HKD [1] - Zijin Mining has seen a net sell for 5 consecutive days, amounting to 37.8638 billion HKD [1] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) has also experienced a net sell for 5 consecutive days, totaling 12.2751 billion HKD [1]

扬子晚报/紫牛新闻记者了解到，扬州市委、市政府一直重视人工智能产业发展，将人工智能作为"613"产业体系中重点发展的领域，加快布局"人工智能 +"未来赛道。前不久举办的人工智能OPC创新发展大会明确提出，扬州将打造"中国最优OPC创业之城"。此次举办网络统战助力"人工智能+"创新创业主 题沙龙，既是贯彻落实市委市政府关于人工智能产业发展部署要求的具体行动，也是深化网络统战工作创新、服务全市经济社会高质量发展的生动探索。 1月30日，"网联赋能共创未来"——扬州市网络统战助力"人工智能+"创新创业主题沙龙活动，在中国移动（600941）江苏有限公司扬州分公司举办。活动 中，全体人员集中参观了扬州移动5G+未来体验中心，"扬州市网络人士之家"在该公司揭牌。 现场交流 市委常委、统战部部长丁四海，市委统战部副部长杨秀华，市委网信办副主任沈娟娟，市数据局副局长乔有金，市网联会会长、市大数据管理中心主任韩 义森，中国移动江苏有限公司扬州分公司党委书记、总经理宗迅怀等出席活动。活动现场，市委网信办、市数据局分别作人工智能产业发展政策解读，中 国移动江苏有限公司扬州分公司发布了"AI+OPC灵犀晓伴智能体"。座谈交流环节， ...

证券之星消息，1月30日通信服务板块较上一交易日上涨0.33%，世纪恒通领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4117.95，下跌0.96%。深证成指报收于14205.89，下跌0.66%。通信服务板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301428 | 世纪恒通 | 45.20 | 4.56% | 20.97万 | | 9.15 亿 | | 603220 | 中贝通信 | 25.90 | 2.53% | 30.33万 | | 7.79亿 | | 300442 | 润泽科技 | 81.83 | 2.27% | 66.43万 | | 54.08亿 | | 300597 | 吉大通信 | 9.92 | 2.06% | 7.75万 | 7610.52万 | | | 603881 | 数据港 | 37.57 | 2.04% | 81.13万 | | 30.97亿 | | 000889 | 中嘉博创 | 3.60 | 1.41% | 14.44万 | 5145.67万 | ...

瑞银预计中国移动2025-2026年净利润将增长2-3%，派息比率分别达到74.5%/76%，因此每股股息预计 每年以中单位数百分比增长，对应2026年预期股息率7-8%。该行预计中移动2026年资本开支将下降 2.3%，结构性转向计算设备如AI服务器，其折旧年限较传统电信设备为短。根据该行观察，中国领先 的AI大语言模型仍在演进阶段，企业客户亦处于探索AI应用场景的阶段。因此初期AI项目仍需大量客 制化，盈利能力存在不确定性。 报告指，虽然中国电信营运商对股息派发的承诺以及持续的成本控制，但由于互联网巨头在AI能力上 领先并持续抢占云市场份额，同时传统电信业务在宏观环境下受压，认为股价上行空间有限。以2026年 预期股息率7-8%、盈利年均复合增长率处于低单位数计，料中移动难以产生超额回报。 智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，中国移动(00941)股价上行潜力有限，缺乏重新估值催化剂，将目 标价从100港元下调至81港元，并将评级从"买入"下调至"中性"。 瑞银指，中移动目前2026年预期股息率约7%，高于亚太区同业中位数的5%，但2025-2028年盈利盈利年 均复合增长率仅2%，低于亚太区同业的6-7 ...

报告指，虽然中国电信营运商对股息派发的承诺以及持续的成本控制，但由于互联网巨头在AI能力上 领先并持续抢占云市场份额，同时传统电信业务在宏观环境下受压，认为股价上行空间有限。以2026年 预期股息率7-8%、盈利年均复合增长率处于低单位数计，料中移动难以产生超额回报。 智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，中国移动(00941)股价上行潜力有限，缺乏重新估值催化剂，将目 标价从100港元下调至81港元，并将评级从"买入"下调至"中性"。 瑞银指，中移动目前2026年预期股息率约7%，高于亚太区同业中位数的5%，但2025-2028年盈利盈利年 均复合增长率仅2%，低于亚太区同业的6-7%。由于中国移动已明确提供股息指引，该行认为稳定的股 息展望已充分反映在目前股价中。 瑞银预计中国移动2025-2026年净利润将增长2-3%，派息比率分别达到74.5%/76%，因此每股股息预计 每年以中单位数百分比增长，对应2026年预期股息率7-8%。该行预计中移动2026年资本开支将下降 2.3%，结构性转向计算设备如AI服务器，其折旧年限较传统电信设备为短。根据该行观察，中国领先 的AI大语言模型仍在演进阶段，企业客户亦 ...

瑞银发表报告指，中国移动股价上行潜力有限，缺乏重新估值催化剂，将其目标价从100港元下调至81 港元，评级从"买入"下调至"中性"。报告指，虽然中国电信营运商对股息派发的承诺以及持续的成本控 制，但由于互联网巨头在AI能力上领先并持续抢占云市场份额，同时传统电信业务在宏观环境下受 压，认为股价上行空间有限。以2026年预期股息率7-8%、盈利年均复合增长率处于低单位数计，预计 中国移动难以产生超额回报。 ...

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 30 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：风格迅速切换，怎么看 1 月 29 日，权益市场放量震荡。万得全 A下跌 0.23%，全天成交额 3.26 万亿元，较昨日（1 月 28 日）放量 2671 亿元。港股方面，恒生指数上涨 0.51%，恒生科技下跌 1.00%。南向资金净流入 43.74 亿港元，其中腾讯控 股、小米集团分别净流入 8.00 亿港元和 6.43 亿港元，中国移动和紫金矿业则净流出 6.46 亿港元和 3.77 亿港元。 日内风格和题材迅速轮动。早盘黄金股和油气资源高开，但随后快速回落；与此同时，AI应用迅速上涨， SW 传媒指数一度涨超 6%，科技成为上午行情的焦点。临近中午，有色行情迎来修复，稀土永磁板块领涨。值得 注意的是，上午地产板块同样走强，低位补涨成为交易线索，为下午的风格转换埋下伏笔。午后，市场风格由成 长转换到价值，白酒接力地产迅速走强，中证白酒指数全天大涨 9.79%，成分股除贵州茅台外全部涨停，同时贵 金属、AI应用、稀土行情均显著回落。 如何看待市场风格从科技迅速切换至白酒？其一， ...

瑞银将 中国移动 A股评级下调至中性，目标价95元人民币。 ...