Investment Rating - The oil and gas industry is rated as "Outperform" [5] Core Views - The report indicates that geopolitical tensions have significantly influenced oil prices, with Brent crude averaging $64.7 per barrel in January 2026, up $3.1 from the previous month, and WTI averaging $60.2 per barrel, up $2.4 [1][12] - OPEC+ has decided to continue suspending oil production increases in March 2026, maintaining a cautious approach to supply amid fluctuating geopolitical conditions [1][16] - Demand for crude oil is projected to grow between 930,000 to 1.3 million barrels per day in 2026, with further increases expected in 2027 [2][17] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - In January 2026, Brent crude futures averaged $64.7 per barrel, while WTI averaged $60.2 per barrel, reflecting significant fluctuations due to geopolitical events [1][12] - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and potential military actions against Iran have contributed to price volatility [1][12] Supply Side Analysis - OPEC+ has decided to maintain its production cuts, with a collective reduction of 2 million barrels per day extended through the end of 2026 [16][20] - The report anticipates that the Brent crude price will stabilize between $55 and $65 per barrel in 2026, while WTI is expected to range from $52 to $62 per barrel [18][38] Demand Side Analysis - Major energy agencies forecast an increase in crude oil demand, with OPEC estimating a rise to 106.52 million barrels per day in 2026, up from 105.10 million barrels per day in 2025 [2][17] - The demand growth rate is expected to accelerate in 2027, with projections of 107.86 million barrels per day from OPEC [2][17] Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), PetroChina, and Satellite Chemical are rated as "Outperform" with respective earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024 and 2025 [4] - CNOOC is projected to have an EPS of 2.90 in 2024 and 2.66 in 2025, while PetroChina is expected to have an EPS of 0.90 in 2024 and 0.91 in 2025 [4]

Investment Rating - The oil and gas industry is rated as "Outperform" [1][5][4] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant fluctuations in oil prices due to geopolitical tensions, with Brent crude averaging $64.7 per barrel in January 2026, up $3.1 from the previous month, and WTI averaging $60.2 per barrel, up $2.4 [1][12] - OPEC+ has decided to continue suspending oil production increases into March 2026, maintaining a cautious approach amid seasonal factors and geopolitical uncertainties [1][16][20] - Demand for crude oil is projected to grow between 930,000 to 1.3 million barrels per day in 2026, with further increases expected in 2027 [2][17] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - In January 2026, Brent crude futures averaged $64.7 per barrel, while WTI averaged $60.2 per barrel, reflecting a month-on-month increase [1][12] - Geopolitical events, including U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and tensions with Iran, have contributed to price volatility [1][12] Supply Side Analysis - OPEC+ has decided to maintain its production cuts, with a collective reduction of 2 million barrels per day extended through the end of 2026 [1][20] - The report anticipates that the average Brent price will stabilize between $55 and $65 per barrel in 2026, while WTI is expected to range from $52 to $62 per barrel [3][38] Demand Side Analysis - Major energy agencies forecast an increase in global crude oil demand, with OPEC, IEA, and EIA estimating demand for 2026 at approximately 106.52 million, 104.83 million, and 105.10 million barrels per day, respectively [2][17] - The demand growth for 2027 is expected to be higher, with OPEC and EIA predicting increases of 134,000 and 126,000 barrels per day [2][17] Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as CNOOC, PetroChina, Satellite Chemical, and CNOOC Development are rated as "Outperform" with respective earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024 and 2025 [4][5] - CNOOC is projected to have an EPS of 2.90 in 2024 and 2.66 in 2025, while PetroChina is expected to have an EPS of 0.90 in 2024 and 0.91 in 2025 [4][5]

证券研究报告 原油周报：美国原油产量下降，后续关注美伊谈判进展 大化工首席分析师：陈淑娴，CFA 执业证书编号：S0600523020004 联系方式：chensx@dwzq.com.cn 石化化工分析师：周少玟 执业证书编号：S0600525070005 联系方式：zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2026年2月8日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 ◼ 【美国原油】 2 ◼ 1）原油价格：本周Brent/WTI原油期货周均价分别67.7/63.5美元/桶，较上周分别-0.9/+0.1美元/桶。 ◼ 2）原油库存：美国原油总库存、商业原油库存、战略原油库存、库欣原油库存分别8.4/4.2/4.2/0.2亿桶，环比-324/- 346/+21/-74万桶。 ◼ 3）原油产量：美国原油产量为1322万桶/天，环比-48万桶/天。美国活跃原油钻机本周412台，环比+1台。美国活跃压 裂车队本周148部，环比-3部。 ◼ 4）原油需求：美国炼厂原油加工量为1603万桶/天，环比-18万桶/天；美国炼厂原油开工率为90.5%，环比-0.4pct。 ◼ 5）原油进出口量：美国原油进口量、出口量、净进口量 ...

2月6日消息，天眼查数据显示，中海油能源发展股份有限公司发布海油发展-工程技术公司智能注水流 量模块等物资采购专有协议中标候选人公示，发布时间为2026年2月6日。 ...

Core Viewpoint - CNOOC Development experienced a significant decline in stock price, with a drop of 7.33% on February 2, resulting in a trading volume of 938 million yuan. The company faced a net financing outflow of approximately 64.68 million yuan on the same day [1]. Financing Summary - On February 2, CNOOC Development had a financing buy-in amount of 57.26 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 122 million yuan, leading to a net financing buy-in of -64.68 million yuan. The total financing and securities balance reached 404 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 0.94% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level compared to the past year [1]. - The company repaid 129,800 shares in securities lending and sold 85,800 shares on February 2, with a selling amount of 357,800 yuan. The securities lending balance was 3.58 million yuan, also at a high level compared to the past year [1]. Business Performance - As of September 30, CNOOC Development reported a total of 74,000 shareholders, an increase of 10.86% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 9.79% to 137,449 shares. For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 33.947 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.81%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.853 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.11% [2]. Dividend Information - Since its A-share listing, CNOOC Development has distributed a total of 4.747 billion yuan in dividends, with 3.354 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder was Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 100 million shares, a decrease of 5.926 million shares from the previous period. The fifth-largest circulating shareholder was Southern CSI 500 ETF, holding 29.432 million shares, down by 685,100 shares. Yinhua Rich Theme Mixed A has exited the list of the top ten circulating shareholders [3].

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 920088 | 科力股份 | 42.50 | -17.95% | 10.74万 | 4.72 乙 | | 300164 | 通源石油 | 11.05 | -14.21% | 240.79万 | 26.98亿 | | 300191 | 潜能恒信 | 27.31 | -12.83% | 36.98万 | 10.38亿 | | 603619 | 中曼石油 | 31.22 | -10.00% | - 4.88万 | 1.52亿 | | 002207 | 准油股份 | 10.01 | -9.98% | 4.23万 | 4236.13万 | | 600871 | 石化油服 | 3.07 | -9.97% | 82.22万 | 2.52亿 | | 600339 | 中油工程 | 3.84 | -8.13% | 256.35万 | 10.05 Z | | 002828 | 贝肯能源 | 12.08 | -7.72% | 42.97万 | 5.22亿 | | 60 ...

2月2日，海油发展跌5.33%，截至发稿，报4.26元/股，成交5169.01万元，换手率0.12%，总市值433.03 亿元。 资料显示，中海油能源发展股份有限公司位于北京市东城区东直门外小街6号，成立日期2005年2月22 日，上市日期2019年6月26日，公司主营业务涉及提供能源技术服务、FPSO生产技术服务、能源物流服 务、安全环保与节能产品及服务。主营业务收入构成为：能源物流服务51.51%，能源技术服务 35.37%，低碳环保与数字化17.13%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，大成基金旗下1只基金重仓海油发展。大成智惠量化多策略混合A（004209）四季度持有股 数2.6万股，占基金净值比例为0.81%，位居第五大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约6240元。 大成智惠量化多策略混合A（004209）成立日期2017年3月21日，最新规模817.05万。今年以来收益 6.65%，同类排名3452/9000；近一年收益33.73%，同类排名3752/8193；成立以来收益9.22%。 大成智惠量化多策略混合A（004209）基金经理为刘旺。 截至发稿，刘旺累计任职时间2年33天，现任基金资产总规模 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the oil and petrochemical sector, with the sector outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by +8.40% this week [10]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors remain the primary driver in the current oil market, with significant attention on the potential for conflict between the US and Iran. The market is pricing in a geopolitical risk premium of approximately $8-10 per barrel related to Iran [15][17]. - The report anticipates that if the situation with Iran does not escalate into a full-blown conflict, oil prices may revert to supply-demand fundamentals, potentially leading to a price decline [15][17]. - The report highlights that the recent cold wave and reduced production in Kazakhstan have slowed the accumulation of global inventories, with expectations of a return to a higher accumulation rate in the coming weeks [17][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown a weekly increase of +7.95%, with specific indices such as the oil and gas resources index rising by +7.79% and the oil and gas extraction services index by +7.96% [10][11]. Oil Sector - As of January 29, WTI crude oil was priced at $65.42, up by $6.06, while Brent crude was at $72.57, up by $6.60. The EIA reported a decrease in commercial crude oil inventories by 2.295 million barrels [16][17]. - The report notes that US crude oil production stands at 13.696 million barrels per day, with a decrease in net imports by 61.8% [16]. Refining Sector - The average operating rate of domestic refineries was reported at 80.02%, with a slight increase of 1.24 percentage points from the previous week. The average refining margin for major refineries was 659.83 yuan per ton, down by 101.65 yuan per ton [16]. Polyester Sector - The PX-Naphtha spread has increased to approximately $340 per ton, with PTA processing fees at 374.32 yuan per ton. The report indicates a decline in profitability for polyester products, with average profit levels for various types of polyester showing negative margins [16]. Olefins Sector - The average price for ethylene in the domestic market was reported at 5769 yuan per ton, a slight decrease of 0.33%. The propylene market saw an increase in average transaction prices to 6400 yuan per ton, up by 3.64% [16].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the oil and petrochemical sector, with the sector outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by +8.40% this week [10]. Core Insights - The oil market is experiencing a rapid increase in prices due to geopolitical risks, particularly concerning Iran's potential actions in the Strait of Hormuz, with a risk premium estimated at $8-10 per barrel [15][16]. - The overall supply remains in excess, with previous supportive factors like cold weather and reduced production in Kazakhstan starting to stabilize [15]. - The report highlights a mixed performance across various segments of the petrochemical industry, with oil and gas resources showing a +7.79% increase, while the polyester index decreased by -1.82% [10]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The petrochemical sector has outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with various indices showing significant weekly changes, including the oil and gas extraction service index at +7.96% and the refining and chemical index at +6.75% [10][11]. Oil Market - As of January 29, WTI crude oil closed at $65.42, up $6.06 from the previous week, while Brent crude closed at $72.57, up $6.60 [16]. - The EIA reported a decrease in commercial crude oil inventories by 2.295 million barrels, with a notable drop in gasoline inventories as well [16]. Refining Sector - The average operating rate of domestic refineries increased to 80.02%, with a slight rise in gasoline demand due to seasonal travel [16]. - The average refining margin for major refineries was reported at 659.83 yuan per ton, down 101.65 yuan from the previous period [16]. Polyester Sector - The PX-Naphtha spread has risen to approximately $340 per ton, with PTA processing fees reported at 374.32 yuan per ton [15]. - The report notes a decline in profitability for various polyester products, with average profit levels for POY150D at -21.03 yuan per ton [15]. Olefins Market - The average price for ethylene in the domestic market was reported at 5769 yuan per ton, a slight decrease of 0.33% from the previous week [15]. - Propylene prices in Shandong increased by 225 yuan per ton, reflecting a 3.64% rise [15].

证券之星消息，根据天眼查APP-财产线索数据整理，中海油能源发展股份有限公司1月29日发布《海油 发展-物流公司伊拉克集装箱物资国际运输代理服务专有协议中标候选人公示》，详情如下： 数据来源：天眼查APP 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 采购方：中海油能源发展股份有限公司 供应商：烟台安信国际物流有限公司 中标金额：6831600.0,7014605.0,7435420.0 地区：天津市 发布日期：2026-01-29 标题：海油发展-物流公司伊拉克集装箱物资国际运输代理服务专有协议中标候选人公示 通过天眼查大数据分析，中海油能源发展股份有限公司共对外投资了61家企业，参与招投标项目50758 次；财产线索方面有商标信息103条，专利信息4307条，著作权信息392条；此外企业还拥有行政许可61 个。 ...