- The report focuses on the "CSI Nonferrous Metal Mining Theme Index," which selects 40 listed companies with nonferrous metal mineral reserves as index samples, reflecting the overall performance of nonferrous metal mining-themed listed companies. The index emphasizes upstream mining companies due to their higher profit elasticity and direct benefits from metal price increases. The index is designed to capture the value of upstream resource enterprises and is suitable for investors optimistic about resource cycle trends[27][28][32] - The index adopts a balanced strategy for selecting constituent stocks. It first excludes the bottom 10% of low-liquidity stocks based on daily trading volume, then selects the top three securities from each CSI fourth-level industry based on market capitalization rankings over the past year. If fewer than three securities are available, all are included. Remaining samples are added based on market capitalization rankings until the total reaches 40 stocks. This ensures representation across various resource categories, including gold, aluminum, rare earths, cobalt, lithium, and other strategic metals. The index is adjusted semi-annually in June and December[28][32] - The index's constituent stocks are distributed across four major sectors: industrial metals, energy metals, precious metals, and strategic small metals. This structure aligns with high-demand downstream industries such as new energy, AI computing power, power infrastructure, and semiconductors, enabling precise capture of core investment opportunities across the entire industry chain[7][32][40] - The index's market capitalization distribution is concentrated in large-cap stocks, with 55.61% of the weight allocated to stocks with a market capitalization above 1 trillion RMB. Mid-cap stocks (200-1000 billion RMB) account for 43.09% of the weight, providing effective support. This structure avoids risks associated with small-cap stocks while leveraging the resource barriers of large-cap leaders and capturing growth opportunities in niche sectors[41][46] - The index demonstrates strong performance across various timeframes. Over the past year, its return reached 120.35%, significantly outperforming major broad-based indices like the CSI 300 (24.58%) and the Shanghai Composite Index (27.13%). It also surpassed industry indices such as the SW Nonferrous Metals Index (107.58%). In the medium term, its six-month return was 95.59%, and its three-month return was 28.48%. Short-term performance was equally impressive, with a one-month return of 24.06%[59][62][64]

Core Insights - The China Securities Sub-Industry Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (000811) has seen a strong increase of 2.55% as of January 23, 2026, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Huafeng Aluminum (up 10.00%), Silver Nonferrous (up 9.97%), and Tongling Nonferrous (up 9.94%) [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) rose by 2.75%, reaching a latest price of 2.24 yuan, and has accumulated a 1.16% increase over the past week [1] - The Nonferrous Metals ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 21 days, totaling 11.807 billion yuan, with the latest share count reaching 7.224 billion and total assets at 15.773 billion yuan, both marking new highs since inception [1] - Over the past two years, the net value of the Nonferrous Metals ETF has increased by 169.74%, ranking 35th out of 2,515 index equity funds, placing it in the top 1.39% [1] - The ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 27.00% since inception, with the longest consecutive months of increase being 6 months and the highest cumulative increase being 69.57%, averaging a monthly return of 9.76% during rising months [1] Index Composition - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Nonferrous Metals Theme Index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, Huayou Cobalt, China Aluminum, Ganfeng Lithium, Shandong Gold, Yun Aluminum, Zhongjin Gold, and Tianqi Lithium, collectively accounting for 52.98% of the index [2] Stock Performance - The performance of key stocks within the index includes: - Zijin Mining: -0.13% with a weight of 15.30% - Luoyang Molybdenum: +0.13% with a weight of 7.92% - Northern Rare Earth: +0.44% with a weight of 5.30% - Huayou Cobalt: +5.38% with a weight of 4.69% - China Aluminum: -0.45% with a weight of 4.39% - Ganfeng Lithium: +5.63% with a weight of 3.23% - Shandong Gold: +0.87% with a weight of 3.18% - Yun Aluminum: -0.24% with a weight of 3.11% - Zhongjin Gold: +2.88% with a weight of 3.08% - Tianqi Lithium: +3.54% with a weight of 2.60% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong rally, with the popular ETF, Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876), reaching a historical high and significant trading volume, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector has shown a robust performance, with the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) rising by 3.29% and achieving a trading volume of 1.07 billion yuan, surpassing the previous day's total [1][9]. - Major stocks in the sector, such as Baiyin Non-Ferrous and Tongling Non-Ferrous, have seen significant gains, with Baiyin Non-Ferrous up by 9.97% and Tongling Non-Ferrous by 9.94% [2][14]. - The overall market sentiment is positive, with the non-ferrous metal sector leading among 31 primary sub-industries in the A-share market [5][13]. Group 2: Gold Price Surge - International gold prices have surged, with spot gold reaching 4,950 USD per ounce, marking a new historical high, while COMEX gold futures peaked at 4,970 USD per ounce [2][10]. - The rise in gold prices is attributed to factors such as geopolitical tensions, U.S. risks, and central bank gold purchases, which are expected to support gold prices in the future [3][13]. Group 3: Investment Trends - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF has seen a net subscription of 52.2 million units, accumulating 844 million yuan over the past 20 days, indicating strong investor interest [1][11]. - The ETF covers a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture various market cycles [6][16]. - Analysts predict that the demand for basic metals like copper, aluminum, and tin will continue to perform well due to emerging needs in AI, electricity, and new energy sectors [3][13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong resurgence of gold's financial attributes, driven by factors such as real interest rates, the US dollar index, and regional situations, with gold prices reaching historical highs of $4,960 per ounce and silver surpassing $97 per ounce [1] - The World Gold Council reported that in 2025, gold prices set records 53 times, with global gold ETF inflows reaching $89 billion and total holdings climbing to a historical high of 4,025 tons, indicating a continuous influx of funds driving up the value of gold assets [1] - Silver is positioned as an essential raw material in three key sectors: solar photovoltaic, automotive and electric vehicles, and data centers and artificial intelligence, supporting its core role in future industrial transformations [1] Group 2 - As of January 23, 2026, the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.86%, with component stocks such as silver and gold companies showing significant gains, including a 9.97% increase in silver stocks and a 7.02% rise in Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining [2] - The National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the nonferrous metals sector, based on a sample of 50 securities with notable scale and liquidity, providing a benchmark for industry investment [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index as of December 31, 2025, include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Northern Rare Earth, collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC suggests focusing on three stock selection criteria in the electrolytic aluminum industry: companies with high capacity-to-market value ratio and significant earnings elasticity with rising aluminum prices, those with overseas expansion capabilities and strong growth potential, and prioritizing companies with high alumina self-sufficiency rates amid current low alumina prices [1] Group 1: Stock Recommendations - CICC maintains a "outperform industry" rating for China Hongqiao (01378), raising the target price from 29.29 HKD to 42.79 HKD [1] - Recommended stocks include: China Hongqiao, Nanshan Aluminum (600219) International H-share (02610/target price 77.76 HKD), Nanshan Aluminum A-share (600219.SH/target price 7.25 RMB), China Aluminum (601600) (02600/target price 17.04 HKD), Tianshan Aluminum (002532) (002532.SZ/target price 22.67 RMB), and Huatong Cable (605196), all rated "outperform industry" [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Chinese aluminum companies are accelerating their overseas expansion due to domestic bauxite shortages and production capacity limits since 2017, with early movers gaining competitive advantages in resource-rich regions [2] - Companies like China Hongqiao are targeting low-cost regions, particularly in Indonesia, for alumina sourcing, while Guinea's bauxite mining is expected to produce around 170 million tons by 2025, with China Hongqiao projected to be the largest producer at 71 million tons [2] Group 3: Price and Cost Dynamics - The aluminum price increase benefits all electrolytic aluminum companies, with those having a high capacity-to-market value ratio showing greater potential for price appreciation [3] - Companies with alumina self-sufficiency above 100% can benefit from rising alumina prices, as it becomes an internalized cost, leading to increased sales profits [3] - Companies with high self-generated electricity ratios, like China Hongqiao and Nanshan Aluminum, are positioned to benefit from falling coal prices, while those with lower ratios face greater cost sensitivity [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The outlook for aluminum prices is positive, driven by a growing supply-demand gap and supportive global fiscal and monetary policies, with potential for significant profit expansion as costs remain low [5] - China Hongqiao, Yun Aluminum (000807), and Zhongfu Industrial (600595) are identified as companies with relatively high valuation elasticity, expected to rank among the top performers in 2025 with projected price increases of 177%, 134%, and 171% respectively [5]

Group 1 - International precious metals futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold futures rising by 1.48% and COMEX silver futures falling by 1.78% [1] - The non-ferrous sector benefits from the combination of "global monetary easing, rigid supply, and new demand," leading to increased interest in the "higher gold and copper content" Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652), which has attracted over 1.4 billion yuan in the last 20 trading days, bringing its total scale to over 6 billion yuan [1][4] Group 2 - A Danish pension fund plans to liquidate its U.S. Treasury holdings by the end of the month due to concerns over credit risk associated with U.S. policies, which has led to increased interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to see strong performance in 2025, with companies in the Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) projecting collective earnings growth, including a 120%-142% increase for Northern Rare Earth [4] Group 3 - The non-ferrous industry is expected to maintain high prosperity in 2026-2027 due to a combination of recovery cycles and supply constraints, with copper and aluminum prices anticipated to improve [5] - Global electrolytic copper supply is expected to remain limited in 2026, with demand driven by U.S. stockpiling and grid construction, potentially leading to a shift from surplus to shortage [6] Group 4 - Aluminum prices have been gradually increasing since the second half of 2025, with expectations of a supply growth rate of only 1.7% in 2026, resulting in a projected shortfall of over 800,000 tons [9] - Energy metals like lithium are expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics in 2026-2027, with prices likely to rise due to increased demand from energy storage batteries [12] Group 5 - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is positioned to benefit from a comprehensive layout across various metal sectors, including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, capitalizing on the super cycle of non-ferrous metals [13] - The ETF has a leading copper content of 34% and gold content of 12%, with a high concentration of top holdings at 38% [15] Group 6 - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) has shown superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return leading its peers and a lower maximum drawdown, indicating a better investment experience [17] - The index's growth has been driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion, with a current P/E ratio of 26.27, down 52% from five years ago, suggesting a favorable valuation [18]

Core Insights - The solar street light market in China is experiencing significant growth potential, transitioning from initial application to market promotion and scaling up towards intelligent upgrades, driven by technological advancements and increasing demand [1][11] Market Overview - The market size of China's solar street light industry is projected to grow from 291 million yuan in 2019 to 385 million yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.76% [1][12] - By 2025, the market size is expected to reach 407 million yuan [1] Industry Development - The solar street light industry has evolved from the 1970s, initially limited by low efficiency and storage capacity, to widespread application in urban and rural areas since the 21st century [7][11] - The production volume of solar street lights is forecasted to increase from 543,500 units in 2019 to 642,600 units in 2024, with a CAGR of 3.41% [11][12] - Sales volume is expected to rise from 458,200 units in 2019 to 571,000 units in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.5% [11][12] Technological Advancements - Continuous improvements in photovoltaic and storage technologies are leading to enhanced efficiency and cost optimization, facilitating the transition towards intelligent solar street lights [1][11] - The efficiency of single crystal PERC cells has surpassed 23%, and new battery technologies are emerging, significantly reducing initial investment costs and extending the lifespan of solar street lights [11] Industry Chain - The solar street light industry chain includes upstream raw material supply (solar panels, lithium batteries, LED lights), midstream manufacturing and assembly, and downstream applications in parks, squares, and urban roads [8][11] Key Players - Major companies in the solar street light industry include Qunshang Co., Ltd., Zhouming Technology, and Jiawei New Energy, among others [2][13] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of national brands and numerous regional manufacturers, with a shift towards comprehensive solutions that integrate smart control systems [13] Future Trends - The integration of smart management platforms and IoT technologies is expected to transform solar street lights into critical nodes for urban data collection and management [15] - Innovations in materials and storage technologies will drive performance improvements, with a focus on higher efficiency solar cells and advanced battery solutions [17] - Aesthetic design and scene-specific customization are becoming focal points for competition, moving beyond basic functionality to enhance visual appeal and environmental integration [18]

Core Viewpoint - The resource sector has seen significant growth, with many resource-related funds doubling their net value over the past year, driven by strong performance in the non-ferrous metals sector and rising prices of gold and silver [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shenyin Wanguo non-ferrous metals sector index surged by 89.38% in 2025, leading the A-share market [1]. - As of January 19, 2026, the number of public funds with a unit net value growth rate exceeding 100% reached 176, with 124 being actively managed equity funds [3]. - Among the doubling funds, a significant number are focused on resource sectors, particularly in non-ferrous metals and gold [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Strategies and Adjustments - Many fund managers adjusted their holdings in the fourth quarter based on fundamental changes and valuation considerations, with a focus on resource-related stocks [1][4]. - The Longcheng Value Selection fund achieved a net value growth rate of 105.16% over the past year, with a majority of its top holdings in non-ferrous metals [4]. - The China Europe Cycle Preferred fund reduced its holdings in traditional non-ferrous metals while increasing exposure to lithium and cobalt, reflecting a shift towards new energy resources [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Fund managers remain optimistic about the resource sector, citing factors such as global monetary easing, increased demand from AI data centers, and supply-side uncertainties as drivers for growth [9][10]. - The China Europe Resource Selection fund manager highlighted copper, aluminum, lithium carbonate, gold, and tungsten as the top five investment targets for 2026, while also considering opportunities in chemical and steel sectors [10].

Group 1 - The rise in risk aversion has driven precious metals higher, with spot gold surpassing $4870 per ounce, showing a daily increase of over 2.3%. UBS strategist Joni Teves expects gold prices to have upward momentum in the first half of the year, potentially reaching $5000 per ounce if concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence persist [1] - Silver is benefiting from the rise in gold prices and a narrowing supply-demand gap, with expectations to challenge $100 per ounce this year [1] - The copper market is tightening due to demand from energy transition, leading to an expected increase in price levels [1] Group 2 - As of November, the U.S. unemployment rate has dropped to 4.4%, indicating a temporarily stable labor market, with market expectations that the Federal Reserve will halt interest rate cuts from January to April [1] - In the medium to long term, risks related to U.S. federal government debt remain, and the dollar's status is facing challenges, suggesting continued opportunities for gold in the context of a global monetary system restructuring [1] Group 3 - The CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) has risen by 1.76%, with component stocks such as silver and tungsten companies showing significant gains, including a 10.01% increase for silver companies and 9.92% for tungsten companies [1] - The CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Index tracks 50 prominent securities in the nonferrous metals sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Molybdenum [2]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts China's GDP growth to reach 5% year-on-year by 2025, driven primarily by consumption stimulation from the trade-in policy [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - The growth trend in the commodity market is expected to continue into 2026, with global demand-driven metals (such as gold, copper, and lithium) outperforming domestic demand-driven sectors (like coal and steel) [1] - Supply disruptions and accelerated industry consolidation are anticipated to persist throughout the year [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The trade-in subsidy policy is projected to extend into 2026, with incentives becoming more targeted and efficiency-focused, still providing substantial support for overall commodity demand [1] Group 3: Industry Preferences - The preferred order for the basic materials sector in 2026 is gold and copper, followed by aluminum, lithium, coal, and steel [1] - The materials sector is expected to continue outperforming the MSCI China Index in 2026 [1] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to buy Zijin Mining (02899, 601899.SH) and to accumulate China Aluminum (02600, 601600.SH) and China Hongqiao (01378) on dips [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) may experience a temporary pause due to the issuance of convertible bonds [1]