生意社02月09日讯 中国铝业股份有限公司2026年2月9日铝锭(AL99.70)现货价格各地区价格大幅上涨，具体如下： 华东市场对外报价23400元/吨，华南市场对外报价23430元/吨，西南市场对外报价23370元/吨，中原市 场对外报价23280元/吨；较上一交易日(2.6)分别上涨260元/吨、290元/吨、260元/吨、250元/吨。 PriceSeek评析 生意社02月09日讯 中国铝业股份有限公司2026年2月9日铝锭(AL99.70)现货价格各地区价格大幅上涨，具体如下： 华东市场对外报价23400元/吨，华南市场对外报价23430元/吨，西南市场对外报价23370元/吨，中原市 场对外报价23280元/吨；较上一交易日(2.6)分别上涨260元/吨、290元/吨、260元/吨、250元/吨。 PriceSeek评析 铝，多空评分：1 文章显示2026年2月9日铝锭(AL99.70)现货价格在华东、华南、西南、中原市场分别上涨260元/吨、290 元/吨、260元/吨、250元/吨，涨幅显著。这表明市场对铝的需求强劲或供应紧张，利好现货价格。铝作 为大宗商品，价格上升可能受下游制造业复苏或库存 ...

行 业 及 产 业 有色金属 2026 年 02 月 09 日 相关研究 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 价格波动较大，向好趋势不改 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报 20260202-20260206 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ 一周行情回顾：据 iFind，环比上周 1）上证指数下跌 1.27%，深证成指下跌 2.11%，沪深 300 下跌 1.33%，有色金属（申 万）指数下跌 8.51%，跑输沪深 300 指数 7.18 个百分点。2）分子板块看，环比上周，贵金属下跌 ...

长城证券研报指出，中国铝业拟收购巴西铝业，打开海外产能扩张空间。公司拟与国际矿业巨头力拓斥 资62.86亿元人民币，联合收购巴西铝业68.596%股权。前述收购完成后，巴西铝业将成为公司的附属公 司，纳入公司合并报表范围。巴西铝业目前拥有3 座在产铝土矿山，年铝土矿产量约200万吨，氧化铝 产能80万吨/年，电解铝产能43万吨/年，下游加工产能21.5万吨/年，原铝产量占比超过巴西市场三分之 一。此外，巴西铝业还控股或参股21座水电站和4个风电站，权益装机规模1.6吉瓦，年权益发电量约70 亿度，全部为可再生能源，且均为铝产业自备电。中国铝行业头部企业，综合实力位居全球铝行业前 列。结合公司2月4日收盘价，对应PE分别为15.1/10.0/6.5倍，首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the non-ferrous metal mining ETF, which opened with a gain of 1.94% at 2.254 yuan on February 9 [1] - Major holdings in the non-ferrous metal mining ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.50%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 2.14%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.97%, and others showing positive gains [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Theme Index return, managed by China Merchants Fund Management Co., with a return of 121.32% since its establishment on June 21, 2023, and a 5.62% return over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Silverhua ETF (159871), which opened with a gain of 1.39% at 1.097 yuan on February 9 [1] - Major holdings in the Silverhua ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.50%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 2.14%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.97%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The performance benchmark for the Silverhua ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Index return, managed by Silverhua Fund Management Co., with a return of 116.82% since its inception on March 10, 2021, and a 4.72% return over the past month [1]

Group 1 - Precious metals and non-ferrous metals collectively strengthened on February 9, with the non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) rising by 2.09%, and stocks like Shenghe Resources increasing by 9.49% [1] - Silver and rare earth stocks also saw significant gains, with silver rising by 5.94%, and companies like China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth following suit [1] - The price consumption is relatively flat as the Spring Festival approaches, and the increase in non-ferrous metals is limited compared to precious metals, indicating a potential return to fundamentals after the price surge [1] Group 2 - According to CITIC Securities, copper is testing the key support level of 100,000 yuan/ton, with expectations for downstream inventory replenishment likely to occur after the Spring Festival [1] - Global copper inventory has risen to 1.11 million tons, with 589,000 tons locked in the COMEX market, while aluminum prices are supported at 23,500 yuan/ton despite current inventory accumulation [1] - The prices of non-ferrous metals are influenced by both financial and commodity attributes, with the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle and global copper and aluminum inventories remaining relatively low, suggesting improved demand driven by economic recovery and the new energy sector [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Theme Index (000811) include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, collectively accounting for 51.85% of the index [2] - The weightings of the top stocks are as follows: Zijin Mining at 15.30%, Luoyang Molybdenum at 7.92%, and Northern Rare Earth at 5.30% [3] - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) has several off-market connections, including the Huaxia Non-Ferrous Metal ETF Connect A (016707) and C (016708) [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions in influencing metal price trends [2] - The report highlights the need to focus on investment opportunities following stabilization in the market [8] Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a decline of 8.51% last week, underperforming major indices [14][16] 2. Metal Prices and Inventory - Copper prices decreased by 3.45% to 100,100 CNY/ton, while aluminum prices fell by 5.07% to 23,315 CNY/ton [24] - SHFE gold prices dropped by 8.92% to 1,090.12 CNY/gram, while COMEX gold rose by 5.13% to 4,988.60 USD/ounce [26] - SHFE silver prices decreased by 37.17% to 18,799 CNY/kg, with COMEX silver down by 1.28% to 77.53 USD/ounce [26] 3. Macro Data Tracking - The report tracks key macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. CPI and PCE, which show a year-on-year increase of 2.7% and 2.79%, respectively [29][30] - China's CPI and PPI for December were reported at 0.8% and -1.9%, respectively [30] 4. Precious Metals: Low Inventory Disturbances - The report notes that low inventory levels continue to disrupt precious metal prices, with significant fluctuations observed in both gold and silver markets [52][53] 5. Copper: Price Fluctuations - The report indicates that copper prices are expected to fluctuate, with supply-side adjustments and demand dynamics playing crucial roles [65][72] 6. Aluminum: Price Adjustments - Aluminum prices are under pressure due to macroeconomic sentiment and seasonal demand fluctuations, with a noted decrease in processing rates [10][80] 7. Energy Metals: Strong Demand - The report highlights robust demand for energy metals, particularly lithium, despite some price pressures due to macroeconomic factors [89][92] 8. Rare Earths: Price Trends - Prices for rare earth elements, particularly praseodymium and neodymium oxides, continue to rise, supported by tight supply conditions [11]

Group 1 - Copper prices continue to rise, with domestic commodity futures opening with Shanghai copper up over 2%. Last week, LME metal futures closed higher, with LME copper rising by $91 to $12,994 per ton and LME aluminum rising by $58 to $3,085 per ton [1] - According to Huayuan Securities, in the medium to long term, insufficient capital expenditure in copper mining and frequent supply-side disruptions may shift the copper supply-demand balance from tight equilibrium to shortage. Additionally, the profit cycle for copper smelting is expected to bottom out amid a "de-involution" backdrop, and with the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle, copper prices are likely to break upward [1] - In the context of copper prices reaching historical highs, the process of "aluminum replacing copper" in the air conditioning and home appliance sectors may accelerate. Furthermore, the policy of replacing old consumer goods with new ones is expected to continue until 2026, which may lead to an increase in demand for electrolytic aluminum [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, and others, collectively accounting for 55.71% of the index [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth in China's non-ferrous metal production, indicating a positive trend in the industry with a projected increase in output and investment opportunities in energy-saving and emission reduction initiatives from 2026 to 2032 [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - In December 2025, China's production of ten non-ferrous metals reached 7.21 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [1] - The cumulative production of these ten non-ferrous metals for the entire year of 2025 was 81.75 million tons, showing a cumulative increase of 3.9% [1] - The data is sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics and compiled by Zhiyan Consulting, emphasizing the reliability of the statistics [1] Group 2: Companies Involved - Key listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector include Zijin Mining (601899), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), China Aluminum (601600), Northern Rare Earth (600111), Jiangxi Copper (600362), Yunnan Copper (000878), Chihong Zinc & Germanium (600497), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Western Mining (601168), and Shenghe Resources (600392) [1] - These companies are positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the non-ferrous metal market and the focus on energy efficiency and emissions reduction [1]

港交所消息：2月2日， 贝莱德 持有的 中国铝业 H股多头头寸从6.23%降至5.65%。 ...