Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities indicates that uranium futures prices are expected to rise to $98 per pound by January 28, 2026, representing a 29% increase compared to December 24, 2025, driven by tight supply and increasing demand for nuclear energy [1] Supply Side Analysis - Limited capital expenditure and unsustainable mining operations in Kazakhstan are impacting supply, with Kazatomprom announcing a plan to reduce uranium production by approximately 10% in 2026 [1][4] - Kazakhstan, which holds 13% of global uranium resources, supplies 43% of the world's uranium production, indicating a potential supply crunch [4] Demand Side Analysis - The global focus on energy security is expected to drive continued growth in nuclear power demand, with China projected to be a major contributor to this growth [1][6] - The U.S. and China are the top two uranium demand countries, with their combined demand expected to increase. In 2024, U.S. demand is projected at 18,100 tons, accounting for 26.86% of global demand, while China's demand is expected to reach 13,100 tons, making up 19.45% of the total [5] Future Projections - According to the IEA, global nuclear power capacity is predicted to reach 2.6 times the level of 2024 by 2050, with China leading this growth [6] - The U.S. is considering expanding its strategic uranium reserves to reduce reliance on Russian supplies, which may further elevate uranium prices [7] Market Developments - The recent submission of a preliminary prospectus by the physical natural uranium trust SPUT to issue up to $2 billion in transferable, non-redeemable trust shares over 25 months indicates a positive outlook for uranium demand [2] - The restart of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Plant Unit 6 by Tokyo Electric Power Company marks a significant development in Japan's nuclear energy landscape [2] Concentration of Uranium Resources - As of January 2021, Australia, Kazakhstan, Canada, Russia, and Namibia hold the majority of the world's uranium resources, with the top three countries accounting for over 50% of total reserves [3] - In 2022, Kazakhstan, Canada, and Namibia were the top three uranium-producing countries, collectively accounting for nearly 70% of global production [3]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of seizing opportunities in cyclical industries from price expectations to performance realization, particularly focusing on the relationship between commodities and US Treasury yields [5][7] - In the week ending January 30, 2026, global stock markets showed mixed results, with Hong Kong and the UK markets leading gains, while major commodity futures like crude oil saw significant increases [5][6] - The report highlights that the manufacturing PMI for January 2026 fell to 49.3%, down from 50.1% in December, indicating a contraction influenced by the upcoming Spring Festival and a high base effect from the previous month [10][11] Group 2 - The report discusses the correlation between commodity prices and US Treasury yields, noting that during different economic phases, their relationship varies, particularly at economic turning points [8][9] - The January PMI data indicates a decline in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, with the manufacturing PMI reflecting a drop due to seasonal factors and high base effects [10][12] - The report outlines new regulations from the China Securities Regulatory Commission aimed at standardizing public fund performance benchmarks, which will take effect on March 1, 2026, to protect long-term investor interests [14][15] Group 3 - The report notes that the high-tech and midstream equipment manufacturing sectors remain above the prosperity line, while downstream consumer goods manufacturing has not sustained its previous strength, reflecting weak domestic demand [11][13] - The report indicates that the service sector's PMI also showed weakness, particularly in the real estate sector, which has seen a significant decline, impacting overall confidence [12][13] - The report suggests that the new regulations will enhance transparency and accountability in fund management, thereby improving investor trust and decision-making [17][18]

2024年，公司实现营业收入6.40亿元，同比减少10.36%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润1226.89万 元，同比减少65.18%；归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润1122.32万元，同比减少 66.52%；经营活动产生的现金流量净额9465.44万元，同比增长678.77%。 中国经济网北京2月2日讯 翔腾新材(001373.SZ)日前披露2025年度业绩预告。公司预计2025年年度 归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-3,900万元至-2,700万元；扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为-3,950万元 至-2,750万元。 翔腾新材首次公开发行股票的发行费用（不含增值税）合计5,444.43万元，其中承销及保荐费用 3,229.06万元。 (责任编辑：何潇) 翔腾新材于2023年6月1日在深交所主板上市，发行股份数量为1,717.1722万股，发行价格为28.93 元/股，保荐机构（主承销商）为光大证券，保荐代表人为黄腾飞、陈姝婷。 翔腾新材首次公开发行股票募集资金总额49,677.79万元；扣除发行费用后，募集资金净额为 44,233.36万元。翔腾新材实际募资净额比原拟募集资金少5943.11万元。 ...

Group 1 - Core viewpoint one: The A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend in January 2026, with major broad-based indices rising, supported by long-term capital and stabilizing economic expectations [4] - Core viewpoint two: The spring market is still expected to be promising, although a short-term correction may occur before the Spring Festival due to tightening liquidity and decreased trading enthusiasm [5] - Core viewpoint three: In the spring market, small-cap stocks typically perform better, with a focus on growth and cyclical sectors, particularly in electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, and communications [6] Group 2 - The Hong Kong market is advised to maintain a "growth + value" barbell strategy, benefiting from earnings recovery, improved liquidity, and supportive policies, with a structural rebound expected in the first quarter [7]

以下文章来源于债券人 ，作者光大证券固收研究 债券人 . 唯有进行扎实的基本面研究，方能行稳致远。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 分评级来看，债项评级高评级券（评级为AAA）、中高评级券（评级为AA+）、中评级券（评级为 AA）、中低评级券（评级为AA-）和低评级券（评级为AA-及以下）本周涨跌幅分别为-0.81%、-1.48% 、-1.51%、-1.87%、-2.81%，高评级券跌幅最低。 分转债规模看，大规模转债（债券余额大于20亿元）、中大规模转债（余额在15至20亿元之间）、中规模 转债（余额在10至15亿元之间）、中小规模转债（余额在5至10亿元之间）、小规模转债（余额小于5亿 元）本周涨跌幅分别为-1.42%、-1.59%、-1.93%、-1.49% ...

Market Overview - The securities sector experienced a decline of 1.59% on January 30, with Huazhong Securities leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable declines included Huazhong Securities, which fell by 6.90% to a closing price of 7.15, with a trading volume of 1.932 million shares and a turnover of 1.388 billion [2] - Other significant declines included Hualin Securities down 4.07% and Changjiang Securities down 3.67% [2] - In contrast, Tusheng Securities saw a slight increase of 0.92%, closing at 16.40 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector saw a net outflow of 2.374 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 739 million [2] - The data indicates that speculative funds had a net inflow of 1.635 billion [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Stock - CITIC Securities had a net inflow of 168 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 206 million from speculative funds [3] - Dongwu Securities experienced a net inflow of 26.088 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 63.284 million from retail investors [3] - The overall trend shows that while institutional investors are pulling back, retail investors are still actively participating in the market [2][3]

过去一年，光大证券董事长赵陵鲜少露面参加公开活动。 他变得更加低调，专注于光大证券的内部事务发展。 2022年，赵陵成为"救火队长"，空降光大证券担任董事长一职，一直在处理风险事件后遗症、高管震荡 等问题。 这几年，光大证券规模、盈利都不算特别亮眼。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 文/瑞财经 许淑敏 | | 本报告期末 | 本报告期初 | 增减变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (%) | | 总资产 | 31, 817, 996 | 29, 295, 902 | 8.61 | | 归属于上市公司股东的 | 7. 192, 690 | 6,839, 026 | 5.17 | | 所有者权益 | | | | | 股本 | 461, 079 | 461, 079 | | | 归属于上市公司股东的 | 13. 21 | 12. 77 | 3.45 | | 每股净资产(元) | | | | 二是光大证券终于回归营收、净利双涨的状态。 2022年-2024年，光大证券营收增幅分别为-35.48%、-6.94%、-4.32%，归母净 ...

经济观察网证监会网站显示，上海季丰电子股份有限公司2026年1月30日向上海证监局办理辅导备案登 记，辅导机构为光大证券股份有限公司。 ...

本报记者 周尚伃 作为行业并购重组的标杆，国泰海通2025年预计实现归母净利润275.33亿元至280.06亿元，同比增长111%至115%；预计实 现归母扣非净利润210.53亿元至215.16亿元，同比增长69%至73%。业绩大幅增长的背后，2025年，国泰海通全面提升经营管理 水平，稳中求进、主动作为，平稳高效完成合并交易，有序推动整合融合，充分发挥合并后的品牌优势、规模效应和互补效 应，优化升级零售、机构、企业三大客户服务体系，以提升综合能力实现客户经营"增量扩面、提质增效"，资产规模及经营业 绩创历史新高，财富管理、机构与交易等业务收入同比显著增长，初步实现"1+1＞2"的效果。 从已披露的数据来看，2025年上市券商业绩整体向好，形成了头部券商稳中有进、重组标的爆发增长、中小券商突围发力 的多梯队协同发展格局，高质量发展成效逐步显现。 头部券商业绩稳中有进 2025年，头部券商的规模优势与综合竞争力进一步释放，业绩表现稳中有进。具体来看，中信证券全年实现营业收入748.3 亿元，同比增长28.75%；归母净利润300.51亿元，同比增长38.46%，刷新自身盈利纪录。招商证券与光大证券同样保持稳健 ...

（编辑 王雪儿） 证券日报网讯 1月29日，光大证券在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，二级市场股价受多种因素影响， 经济形势、行业趋势、股指波动、资金面偏好、公司经营情况、投资者偏好等因素都会影响股价走势。 公司一直以来持续加强经营管理，努力实现高质量发展，通过提升业绩、股东分红来提升股东回报；公 司也持续合法合规地开展市值管理，希望能进一步提升资本市场对公司投资价值的发现和认可，使公司 股价更合理地体现公司价值。 ...