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服务消费深度研究:旅游景区、商超百货:量化投资风格与政策促进方向的共振
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-07 13:27
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the unique characteristics of tourism and retail companies, highlighting their high asset replacement costs and low profitability, which makes them attractive for quantitative investment strategies [5][10][14] - It identifies the significant role of government policies in promoting consumer spending, particularly in the tourism and retail sectors, as a key driver for investment opportunities [5][21][22] - The report suggests that the potential investment value of tourism and retail companies is being activated by changes in equity, management, licenses, and new economic models [5][6] Group 1: Characteristics of Tourism and Retail Companies - Tourism and retail companies are primarily state-owned, with 45 out of 92 companies being local state-owned enterprises, which provides a strong safety margin for investments [11][12] - These companies generally have replacement costs that exceed their market value, indicating substantial underlying asset value that is not reflected in their financial statements [14][15] - The average stock price of these companies is relatively low, with 12 companies priced below 5 yuan and 49 below 10 yuan, making them appealing for quantitative investors [17][18] Group 2: Policy Support and Economic Models - Since 2023, numerous policies have been introduced to stimulate consumption, reflecting a high-level commitment to boosting the consumer sector [21][22] - The concept of "first-release economy" is highlighted as a direct application of these policies, with examples including supermarket adjustments and the promotion of winter sports and low-altitude economies [5][21] - The report notes that the low institutional ownership in these companies, with 67 having less than 5% institutional holdings, aligns with the aesthetic preferences of quantitative investors [24][25] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on four key areas of change: equity, management, licenses, and new economic models, which are expected to enhance the investment potential of tourism and retail companies [5][6] - Specific companies to watch include Guilin Tourism, Hong Kong China Travel, and Changbai Mountain, with additional attention on Sanxia Tourism and Tianfu Culture and Tourism [5][6]
首届长白山滑冰挑战赛将于1月10日开赛
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 06:54
Group 1 - The first Changbai Mountain Ice Skating Challenge is scheduled for January 10 at the Changbai Mountain Xiyou Paradise Ice Rink, aimed at enriching the ice and snow sports industry and promoting the integration of sports and tourism [1] - The competition will feature a short track speed skating 500-meter time trial, with separate categories for men and women, including various age groups [3] - The total number of participants is capped at 200, with specific rules for determining winners based on the number of participants in each group [3] Group 2 - The ice rink at Changbai Mountain Xiyou Paradise is built to professional standards, ensuring a smooth ice surface and complete facilities [5] - The organizing committee will provide insurance for participants and has arranged for a professional medical support team to ensure safety during the event [5] - Participants must be in good health and possess a certain level of skating ability, with options for technical training available for beginners [5]
26年元旦,免税入境游山岳型景区表现亮眼
Orient Securities· 2026-01-06 15:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the social services industry [4] Core Insights - The Ministry of Culture and Tourism data aligns with expectations, highlighting strong performance in duty-free shopping, inbound tourism, and leading mountain scenic spots. The upcoming long Spring Festival holiday and supportive tourism policies are expected to boost domestic consumption, leading to a favorable outlook for the social services industry in 2026 [3][7] Summary by Sections Domestic Tourism Demand - Domestic travel demand is steadily increasing, with 142 million domestic trips taken during the New Year holiday, a 5.2% increase compared to 2024. Total domestic travel expenditure reached 84.79 billion yuan, up 6.3% year-on-year, with per capita spending increasing by 1.1% [7] Duty-Free Shopping - Duty-free sales in Hainan during the New Year holiday showed significant growth, with 442,000 items sold, a 52.4% increase year-on-year. The number of shoppers reached 83,500, up 60.6%, and total spending was 712 million yuan, a 128.9% increase. This growth is attributed to the official launch of duty-free operations, new policies, and promotional activities [7] Scenic Spots - Leading mountain scenic spots demonstrated strong visitor elasticity, with Huangshan receiving over 75,000 visitors (up 76.5% year-on-year), Emei Mountain hosting 126,200 visitors (up 20.9%), and Changbai Mountain seeing a 41% increase in visitors compared to 2025. The expansion of high-speed rail and airports contributed to this growth [7] Online Travel Agencies (OTAs) - Inbound tourism and winter sports are emerging as key growth drivers, with a 110% year-on-year increase in inbound ticket bookings and a more than 30-fold increase in experiential product bookings. Domestic winter sports continue to be a central theme for growth in 2026 [7]
元旦假期 长白山全域游客接待量增长超七成
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-04 12:48
Core Insights - The tourism market in Changbai Mountain is experiencing a steady operation and increasing popularity during the 2026 New Year holiday, with a total of 36,600 visitors, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.77% [1] - According to UnionPay Business data, the Changbai Mountain Management Committee received 178,700 domestic tourists during the holiday, marking a year-on-year increase of 74.34% [1] - The total spending by domestic tourists reached 201 million yuan, which is a 70.34% increase compared to the previous year [1] Group 1 - Changbai Mountain has implemented multiple strategies in online marketing, product supply, special activities, and service assurance to enhance its tourism offerings [1] - The combination of rich cultural tourism products and high-quality service experiences has contributed to a successful start to the New Year tourism season [1]
元旦假期,长白山全域游客接待量增长超七成
Core Insights - The tourism market in Changbai Mountain is experiencing a significant increase in visitor numbers and spending during the 2026 New Year holiday period [1] Group 1: Visitor Statistics - Changbai Mountain scenic area received a total of 36,600 visitors, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.77% [1] - The Changbai Mountain Management Committee welcomed 178,700 domestic tourists, marking a 74.34% increase compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Financial Impact - Domestic tourists' total spending reached 201 million yuan, which is a 70.34% increase year-on-year [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Changbai Mountain has focused on multiple areas such as online marketing, product supply, special activities, and service assurance to enhance the tourism experience [1] - The company aims to achieve a successful start to the New Year tourism season through a diverse range of cultural and tourism products and high-quality service experiences [1]
2026 年元旦假期数据点评:2026 旅游市场强劲开局,行业前景可期
国泰海通· 2026-01-04 11:49
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the social services industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [3]. Core Insights - The tourism market is showing a strong start in 2026, with expectations for continued growth as the Spring Festival approaches. The report highlights several recommended stocks in the OTA, hotel, and scenic area sectors [4]. - There is a significant increase in duty-free sales in Hainan, driven by the appreciation of the RMB, with a recommendation for China Duty Free Group [4]. - The report notes a substantial rise in domestic travel during the New Year holiday, with 142 million trips taken, reflecting a 5.19% increase compared to 2024 [4]. Summary by Sections Tourism Market - The report indicates that 142 million domestic trips were made during the New Year holiday, with total spending reaching 84.789 billion yuan, a 6.35% increase from 2024. The average spending per trip was 597.1 yuan, up by 1.1% [4]. - Recommended stocks in the OTA sector include Trip.com Group and Tongcheng Travel, while hotel recommendations include Huazhu Group, Jinjiang Hotels, and ShouLai Hotels [4]. Duty-Free Sales - Duty-free shopping in Hainan saw a remarkable increase, with sales of 307,000 items from January 1 to 2, 2026, marking a 48.3% year-on-year growth. The number of shoppers reached 65,000, up 60.9%, and total spending was 505 million yuan, a 121.5% increase [4]. Transportation - The report highlights that from January 1 to 3, 2026, the total inter-regional passenger flow is expected to reach 590 million, averaging 198 million per day, a 19.5% increase year-on-year. Railway passenger volume is projected at 48.223 million, with a 53.1% increase [4].
商社行业周报(2025.12.29-2026.1.4):元旦出行热度高,三亚免税销售迎开门红-20260104
国泰海通· 2026-01-04 09:34
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The travel industry is expected to continue outperforming expectations, with a positive outlook on the travel chain including OTA (Ctrip, Tongcheng), hotels (Atour, Huazhu, Jinjiang, Shoulv), duty-free (China Duty Free), and scenic spots (Emei Mountain, Three Gorges Tourism, Changbai Mountain) [4]. - The competitive landscape has significantly improved, particularly for companies like Huatu Mountain Ding, Caibai Co., and Laopu Gold [4]. - Notable dividend stocks include Sumida, Action Education, and Chongqing Department Store [4]. - The AI+ sector shows promise with companies like Konnate Optical, Fenbi, Tianli International Holdings, Kevin Education, and Doushen Education [4]. - Oversold stocks identified include China Oriental Education, Guoquan, Gaoxin Retail, and Junting Hotel [4]. Industry Updates - In the social service industry, Sanya's duty-free sales reached 163 million yuan on January 1, 2026, marking an 83.2% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong start for duty-free sales in 2026 [4]. - Ctrip's New Year travel report indicates that domestic scenic spot ticket bookings have increased over fourfold year-on-year, with significant growth in inbound travel bookings, sparking the first consumption boom of 2026 [4]. - Tongcheng Travel's report highlights a surge in travel demand during the New Year holiday, driven by a three-day holiday and the "request 3 days off for 8 days" trend, leading to increased bookings for flights, hotels, and homestays [4]. - Retail sector updates include: - Pang Donglai Group's sales in 2025 reached 23.531 billion yuan, a 39% increase from 16.9 billion yuan in 2024 [4]. - Hema's overall revenue growth exceeded 40% in 2025, with its core formats serving over 100 million consumers [4]. - Sam's Club in China surpassed 140 billion yuan in sales in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 40% [4]. Company Announcements - Kid King announced a profit forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 275 million to 330 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 51.72% to 82.06% [4]. - Qingmu Technology's chairman reduced his stake by 464,100 shares, accounting for 0.50% of the company's total share capital, with a reduction price of 59.68 yuan [4].
2026旅游“开门红”:江苏订单激增97%,南京上榜热门地TOP10
Yang Zi Wan Bao Wang· 2026-01-03 13:51
Group 1: Domestic Tourism Market Performance - The domestic tourism market experienced a strong start in 2026, with ticket bookings for scenic spots increasing over four times year-on-year [1] - Jiangsu province stood out with a 97% increase in overall travel orders compared to the same period last year, with top attractions including Suzhou's Humble Administrator's Garden and Nanjing's Qinhuai Scenic Area [1] Group 2: Young Travelers and New Travel Trends - Young people, particularly those born after 2000, dominated the travel market, accounting for 39% of travelers, while those born in the 1990s made up 33% [2] - The concept of "self-care travel" gained popularity, with a 125% increase in searches related to "New Year travel," reflecting a shift towards more personalized and meaningful travel experiences [2] Group 3: Popular Destinations and Growth in Orders - Major tourist destinations included Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou, with provinces like Guangxi and Jiangsu seeing order growth of over 100% [5] - Guangxi's introduction of over 400 cultural and tourism activities led to a 170% increase in travel orders, while lesser-known destinations like Anji and Qingyuan saw orders rise by 930% and 774%, respectively [5] Group 4: Snow and Mountain Tourism - The initial snowfall of the year significantly boosted mountain tourism, with ticket bookings for mountain attractions increasing by over 150% [6] - Huangshan saw a remarkable 544% increase in orders, while other mountains like Lushan and Emei also experienced substantial growth [6] Group 5: Ice and Snow Activities - The trend of "ice and snow tourism" broke regional barriers, with southern regions like Anji experiencing a 930% increase in orders for outdoor snow activities [8] - Northern regions offered unique experiences such as ice fishing and traditional fishing culture, appealing to young travelers seeking adventurous activities [9] Group 6: Concerts as Tourism Drivers - Concerts became a significant driver of tourism, with cities like Harbin and Zhuji seeing order increases of 82% and 2544%, respectively, due to major events [12] - The phenomenon of traveling to a city for a concert highlights the growing importance of live events in boosting local tourism [12] Group 7: Growth in Inbound Tourism - The inbound tourism market showed strong growth, with ticket bookings increasing by 110% and experience-based product bookings rising over 30 times [15] - Popular inbound destinations included major cities like Shanghai and Beijing, with Sanya seeing a 170% increase in orders due to its duty-free shopping and beach vacation appeal [15]
谁在守护长白山雪道?这群“雪季匠人”藏不住了!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-01 19:47
(来源:工人日报) 阅读提示 近年来,冰雪产业迅速升温扩容,雪具维修师、造雪机工人、压雪车驾驶员、雪山索道管理员等新职业 因雪而兴、因雪而热。面临产业升级、需求跃迁,从业者积极提高技能水平、强化岗位责任意识,守护 冰雪热潮。 清晨6点,吉林省长白山华美胜地度假区还笼罩在冬日漆黑的夜色中,造雪机的轰鸣已划破寂静,雪道 上、大厅里、索道旁,各岗位人员渐次就位……这样繁忙而有序的节奏,成为许多"雪季从业者"的工作 日常。 近年来,集滑雪、娱雪、度假于一体的冰雪产业迅速升温扩容,雪具维修师、造雪机工人、压雪车驾驶 员、雪山索道管理员等新职业因雪而兴、因雪而热,同时也面临着产业升级、需求跃迁与人才变革的挑 战。 在热潮中重择职业轨道 "以前在厂里看机器,现在'伺候'雪板,忙得很有成就感。"30岁的雪具维修师陶鑫一边用专业工具为雪 板打蜡,一边笑着说,雪具维修师就是雪板的"医生"与"美容师"。他的工作台上,摆放着等待维修的雪 板和头盔。 从一名业余的滑雪爱好者转行成为雪具维修师,陶鑫的转型经历与冰雪产业的发展同向而行。2014年, 石家庄一家雪场招聘雪具维修师,陶鑫凭借对雪具的了解和年龄优势成功竞聘,后来又从老师傅那里一 ...
长白山(603099) - 长白山旅游股份有限公司2025年第三次临时股东会决议
2025-12-29 09:30
证券代码:603099 证券简称:长白山 公告编号:2025-070 长白山旅游股份有限公司 2025年第三次临时股东会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 本次会议是否有否决议案:无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 465 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数(股) | 180,520,378 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股 | | | 份总数的比例(%) | 66.2810 | (四) 表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定,会主持情况等。 本次股东会由公司董事会召集,参会董事推举董事王俊超主持。会议采用现场 投票和网络投票相结合的表决方式。会议的通知及召开符合《公司法》、《公司章 程》及国家有关法律、法规的规定。 (一) 股东会召开的时间:2025 年 12 月 29 日 (二) 股东会召开的地点:长白山旅游股份有限公司三楼会议室 (三) 出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优 ...